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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26978783 times)
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7788bitcoin
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May 28, 2026, 08:12:11 PM

Fuck, I've had a buddy not get back to me the last few days I haven't talked to in many years so just went out hunt him down and fount out he died 8 months ago. Sad

*this being old shit sucks big time.
It is really sad to hear, even I lost a few friends after Covid due to heart attacks. So changed my lifestyle drastically. 
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May 28, 2026, 08:26:46 PM
Last edit: May 29, 2026, 01:16:19 AM by Hueristic
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Quote from: 7788bitcoin
Fuck, I've had a buddy not get back to me the last few days I haven't talked to in many years so just went out hunt him down and fount out he died 8 months ago. Sad

*this being old shit sucks big time.

It is really sad to hear, even I lost a few friends after Covid due to heart attacks. So changed my lifestyle drastically.  

Smart, lost most 30 years ago, very few left now.

*we were all hard partyers.
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May 28, 2026, 09:21:31 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (14), Hueristic (1)

Fuck, I've had a buddy not get back to me the last few days I haven't talked to in many years so just went out hunt him down and fount out he died 8 months ago. Sad

*this being old shit sucks big time.
It is really sad to hear, even I lost a few friends after Covid due to heart attacks. So changed my lifestyle drastically.  

Smart, lost most 30 years ago, very few left now.

*we were all hard partyers.

Losing close, life long friends sux for sure, especially when its not old age.
I lost three in the twenty tens, shortly before joining this forum. All sudden and unexpected.
I still think about them a lot to this day.
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May 28, 2026, 11:13:12 PM

Fuck, I've had a buddy not get back to me the last few days I haven't talked to in many years so just went out hunt him down and fount out he died 8 months ago. Sad

*this being old shit sucks big time.
It is really sad to hear, even I lost a few friends after Covid due to heart attacks. So changed my lifestyle drastically.  

Smart, lost most 30 years ago, very few left now.

*we were all hard partyers.

Losing close, life long friends sux for sure, especially when its not old age.
I lost three in the twenty tens, shortly before joining this forum. All sudden and unexpected.
I still think about them a lot to this day.

Live fast die young is a true statement.
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May 29, 2026, 02:18:48 AM

BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Digest - 2026-05-28 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-05-28 09:16 PM CT

Thursday's Bitcoin is sitting at $73,392, down 1.12% in the last day and roughly 3% over the past week. The Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 23 - extreme fear territory - and it's been sliding for seven straight days. Not a crash, but the market is clearly working through something.

The next few days will tell whether this is a normal pullback or the start of something deeper. Watch ETF flows - BlackRock's $528 million outflow was the second-largest on record, and if that trend continues, it could keep pressure on. Also keep an eye on whether Strategy's shift from buyer to potential seller actually materializes, because that's a structural change, not just noise.

PRICE ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $73,392.00 USD (-1.12% 24h change).
Bitcoin has fallen from above $82,000 in early May to where it is now, a pullback of roughly 11% from the peak. At $73,392, it's trading about $4,700 below its 30-day moving average of $78,137, which suggests the market is still finding its footing. The 3-day standard deviation of 387.64 tells me volatility is elevated but not extreme - this isn't a panic sell-off, more like a measured unwind. Funding rates are slightly positive at +0.0127% annualized, so leverage isn't running hot, and the spot arbitrage premium between Coinbase and Kraken is essentially flat at -0.54 USD, meaning there's no meaningful disconnect between exchanges. The real story is the combination of ETF outflows - BlackRock alone shed $528 million - and geopolitical risk from U.S. airstrikes on Iran, which revived a fear premium the market had been pricing out.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- ETF Outflows: BlackRock's IBIT posted $528 million in redemptions, its second-largest single-day withdrawal since launch, while Grayscale's GBTC followed with $104.8 million in outflows.
- Geopolitical Risk: U.S. airstrikes on an Iranian military site near the Strait of Hormuz revived geopolitical risk that markets had been pricing out, contributing to Bitcoin's drop below $73,000.
- Strategy's Potential Shift: Michael Saylor is considering selective Bitcoin sales from the company's 843,738 BTC treasury, which could remove one of the market's strongest support systems if it materializes.
- Institutional Adoption: Strive bought 1,109 BTC at roughly $77,000 apiece to reach 16,500 BTC total, while UTXO Management joined Stacks' Bitcoin staking program as one of the first institutional participants.

TOP STORIES

1. Strive Buys 1,109 Bitcoin, Treasury Hits 16,500 BTC
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/strive-buys-1109-bitcoin-as-treasury-rises-to-16500-btc
Published: 2026-05-28
Summary: Strive picked up 1,109 bitcoin last week at roughly $77,000 apiece, pushing its total stash to 16,500 BTC and landing it seventh among publicly traded companies with bitcoin treasuries. The stock has climbed 133% over the past three months, though it's still well below its 2025 peak. They've cleared their debt, shed leverage and margin exposure, and even removed encumbered bitcoin from the balance sheet - a tidy move that leaves them with $93.3 million in cash and over $50 million in preferred stock from Strategy, the biggest corporate holder at 843,738 BTC. Starting June 16, Strive is launching a SATA preferred stock that pays daily dividends at a 13.88% effective yield, positioning itself as an alternative to money market funds. They're also reviewing a refresh of their at-the-market programs to raise more capital for future bitcoin purchases.

2. Michael Saylor Has Kept Bitcoin Afloat. What Happens Now as Strategy Prepares to Sell
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/michael-saylor-kept-bitcoin-afloat-140135872.html
Published: 2026-05-28 09:01 AM CT
Summary: Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, holds 843,738 Bitcoin worth approximately $62 billion, representing roughly 4% of total supply after five years of aggressive buying. CEO Michael Saylor has shifted from his long-held 'never sell' stance to considering selective Bitcoin sales to maximize returns per share. The company's persistent demand has been a primary factor keeping Bitcoin trading substantially higher than it would otherwise trade, with Saylor estimating Bitcoin could fall to $40,000-$50,000 without Strategy's intervention. If Strategy transitions from permanent accumulator to tactical seller, the market could lose one of its strongest support systems, potentially pressuring prices lower. Smart investors should not panic but should recognize that the rules governing Bitcoin's rise over the past five years may soon change.

3. Bitcoin Falls 5.5% to $72,600 as ETF Outflows and U.S.-Iran Tensions Weigh
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-price-falls-below-73000
Published: 2026-05-28 10:43 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin has dropped from above $82,000 in early May to around $72,600, a pullback of roughly 11% from the peak. BlackRock's IBIT saw $528 million in net outflows Wednesday - its second-largest single-day withdrawal since launch - though that's less than 1% of the fund's $64 billion in lifetime inflows. A $1.29 billion dark-pool block trade on Tuesday complicated the picture; it wasn't a redemption, but it did signal institutional players trimming exposure. The immediate trigger was U.S. airstrikes on an Iranian military site near the Strait of Hormuz, which revived geopolitical risk that markets had been pricing out.

4. UTXO Management Joins Stacks' Bitcoin Staking Program
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/utxo-enters-bitcoin-staking-on-stacks
Published: 2026-05-28 10:16 AM CT
Summary: UTXO Management, a subsidiary of Nakamoto Inc., has become one of the first institutional participants in Bitcoin Staking on the Stacks network. The program locks BTC in a Bitcoin timelock while requiring participants to hold STX tokens equal to about 5% of their BTC position. Yield comes from Stacks' Proof-of-Transfer mechanism, where miners bid BTC to produce blocks, and the target is roughly 3% annual yield paid in bitcoin. The initial bonding period is six months, with mainnet expected later this summer. The top 100 corporate treasuries now hold over 1.2 million BTC, and this model offers a way to generate returns without moving assets off the base layer or relying on lending desks.

5. Bitcoin Falls Below $73,000 as BlackRock's ETF Sees Second-Largest Outflows
URL: https://www.theblock.co/amp/post/402816/bitcoin-falls-below-73000
Published: 2026-05-28 01:06 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin dropped below $73,000 on Wednesday, taking a 3.6% hit in 24 hours. Ether fell harder at 4.8%, while XRP and Solana each lost about 3.5%. The real story is the ETF flows - U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs saw their biggest net outflows since late January, with BlackRock's IBIT posting $527.8 million in redemptions, its second-largest day on record. Grayscale's GBTC followed with $104.8 million in outflows.

6. Bitcoin Falls 2% as U.S.-Iran Tensions and Inflation Weigh on Risk Assets
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/investing/article/bitcoin-prices-today-thursday-may-28-2026-down-this-morning-and-falling-further-113406336.html
Published: 2026-05-28 06:34 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin opened Thursday at $74,332.94, down 2% from Wednesday, and kept sliding to $73,285.68 by 7:18 a.m. military struck Iranian drones in the Strait of Hormuz, and investors are pulling back on riskier assets as the U.S. and Iran can't seem to agree on a proposal to open the strait and get oil flowing again. Rising inflation has the Fed considering raising interest rates for the first time in years. Over the past week, Bitcoin has dropped 4%, and over the past year it's down 31.8% from its all-time high of $126,198.07 set in October 2025.

7. Bitcoin Falls to $72,622 as U.S.-Iran Escalation Wipes Out $870M in Long Bets
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/us-iran-escalation-push-bitcoin-to-72622-as-870m-long-bets-collapse
Published: 2026-05-28
Summary: Bitcoin dropped 3.6% to $72,622 after fresh U.S. military strikes on Iran, wiping out $870 million in long positions over 24 hours. hit a strategic site in Bandar Abbas while Iran's IRGC responded by striking a U.S. base in Kuwait. Peace talks in Qatar were already underway when the hostilities escalated, and the timing looks bad for diplomacy.

8. Sequans Unwinds Bitcoin Treasury, Returns to Semiconductors
URL: https://www.theblock.co/amp/post/402883/sequans-completes-bitcoin-treasury-unwind-refocuses-iot-semiconductors
Published: 2026-05-28 09:48 AM CT
Summary: Sequans Communications has sold nearly 80% of its Bitcoin holdings to pay off convertible debt tied to its treasury strategy. The Paris-based company now holds just 658 BTC, all unrestricted. It started accumulating in June 2025, raised $385 million, and briefly held over 3,000 BTC before Bitcoin's crash from $126,000 to $80,000 forced it to sell in waves. Investors who bought at the peak are down more than 90%. The company says it will monetize the remaining holdings over time and refocus on 4G and 5G IoT semiconductors, RF transceivers, and defense applications.

9. Bitcoin price could fall toward $70,000 as U.S. Treasury settlements pull cash from markets
URL: https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-price-could-go-much-lower-below-70k-analyst-warns
Published: 2026-05-28 04:04 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin's been sliding since mid-May, dropping about 8% as the U.S. Treasury started pulling cash out of markets. Michael Kramer at Mott Capital Management thinks it could keep falling toward $70,000 if liquidity stays tight. Right now Bitcoin's sitting around $73,157, down another 3.7% in the last day, with $75,000 as the next floor to watch. The Treasury's been draining money since May 12 - $15 billion today, then $47 billion tomorrow, $68 billion on June 1, and more after that.

10. CME Bitcoin Futures Go 24/7, Ending Weekend Gaps
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-bids-farewell-to-cme-gaps-with-67k-still-on-the-radar
Published: 2026-05-28
Summary: CME Group's Bitcoin futures market is going 24 hours a day, seven days a week, which means the weekend gaps that have been a staple of BTC charts for years are going away. The lowest remaining gap sits just above $67,000, a level last seen in early April. Bitfinex whales are trimming their short positions, which some traders read as a sign of a new uptrend beginning, though Bitfinex research itself flagged missing ingredients for a full bullish reversal. BTC is currently trading around $73,500, below the $75,000 level where it's been consolidating. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF is seeing near-record outflows and US PCE inflation has hit its highest reading since 2023, so the backdrop isn't exactly a party.
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May 29, 2026, 03:20:17 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

A whiff of something strange:

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/anonymous-plaintiff-seeks-legal-bitcoin

Somehow, this lawsuit rhymes with something that "Craigie" has done before: pursuing some questionable and inapplicable legal standard.
By the same token: here, I am Leonardo and painted Mona Lisa, then did not paint it for another decade.
Someone sees this in my, Leonardo's, studio and proceeds to claim that I abandoned the painting, claiming that it is theirs now.
Reductio ad absurdum.

aka...where is the proof that the property was "abandoned"?

After a consult with AI..peeps are probably OK in the end, but an interesting wrinkle: remember that guy that sent btc to a burn address?
Apparently, this is basically an only way to take an "abandonment loss" on a full sum.
I am not sure where it could be beneficial, though...maybe when the estate is larger than $30 mil tax free limit for two spouses?
I am still bewildered, though, as taxation on above 30mil is still not 100%, but probably 50% max (in states with a state tax).

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May 29, 2026, 06:11:23 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), AlcoHoDL (1), CryptoYar (1)

This sparkle fairy just doesn't know what to do. She's having a hard time with this kind of price action.


Whatever it is that she has been eating which looks like a lot of Takiz, Fofcor and french fries, it seems like a lot of carbs, and maybe not so many fluids. 

She's lucky that she hasn't transformed into a little fatty yet, even though it looks like she might have grown 6 toes on the right side... poor lil ting-i-lie.

This sparkle fairy just doesn't know what to do. She's having a hard time with this kind of price action.

Sparkle fairy needs a Costco membership.  I've been getting by on the free samples and the all-beef, no-fillers frank and 20 oz drink for $1.50 combo at their food court.  It's not like roughing it either, I had some Jamaica Blue Mountain blend coffee with a Nonni's lemon biscotti for tea a couple nights ago.  I can let you in on a little secret, you don't need a membership to enter and partake of the free samples if you have a Costco gift card.  You can get one of Sparkle's Costco friends to pick up and refill a gift card on her behalf.  Also, most of the locations don't require a membership to use the food court.  Keep your Costco friends close and don't spread this hack too far, I hate when it's really busy.  

Yeah.  I wonder how many folks get their meals out of the freebies that are inside of Costco, and surely some of their products are considered loss leaders, meaning that they may well be selling them for at cost or even less than costs, and their rotisserie chicken is known for being a loss leader, too.

I never really thought about if it could be possible to get membership fees back through the free samples.  Imagine living close by a Costco and going every day.  They might retract the membership.. perhaps?  These days so many business are keeping tighter and tighter controls on their customers, and it used to be possible to just show the Costco membership card in order to enter, and these days membership cards are getting scanned at the door.  By the way, as a somewhat and sometimes traveller, so far, I have used my Costco card in the USA, Mexico and Canada.

[edited out]
Fixed it for her. Just sit tight and wait for the green candles to do their magic.  Wink


You cleaned the place up and removed some of the junk food, yet I wonder if you could actually get her to eat better foods, or maybe her system operates o.k. on those seemingly inferior products.  In your version, even though her pupils are a bit dialated (signs of drug use), they are, at least, not crossed as much... whether or not it is good to quickly go from blue hair to matching purple hair?

I'm not sure how useful the top 10 highest value TXID's in the last 24 is to this thread, now that I see it sitting there...
Yeah some sales/move were tiny. Under a coin.
Maybe list tx over 100 coins.
Which could be  0 to 1000 plus tx.

I did 3 tx over the lowest one you listed moving from an old trezor to a new one.

Around  0.15  btc they would have been in the top10

And that's too low
Why would they when the lowest of his top 10 was $6.73mil (or 91.66 btc)?
That said...there is an obvious lull (apart from that $433 mil 'whale').
I remember seeing in InvestAnswers youtube vid (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyxNbLGmXaQ) that the number of whales (>10000btc) dropped in half in the last 5 years or so while the number of Dolphins (100-1000btc) greatly increased. Conclusion: there is a natural and continuous re-distribution of btc, but, interestingly, relatively wealthy people (perhaps with $10-200ml in total capital) emerge as a large accumulator group.

I doubt the validity of saying that 100-1000btc is a mere Dolphin, but i digress.

What would be the odds that guys keep most, or all, of their bitcoin in one address?  Maybe in the olden days guys routinely reused their addresses like that?

The more years we have been in bitcoin, the more likely that we have generated more and more bitcoin addresses, and some of those addresses may or may not continue to hold coins.  Some of the addresses are purposefully zero'ed out.

Of course, the number of addresses versus number of people might go in the opposite direction too, to the extent it counts or to the extent that the 3rd party custodian honors the ownership of the client over the coins, so 3rd party custodian addresses may hold the coins of several clients or even thousands of clients.
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May 29, 2026, 07:32:05 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

[edited out]
Fixed it for her. Just sit tight and wait for the green candles to do their magic.  Wink


You cleaned the place up and removed some of the junk food, yet I wonder if you could actually get her to eat better foods, or maybe her system operates o.k. on those seemingly inferior products.  In your version, even though her pupils are a bit dialated (signs of drug use), they are, at least, not crossed as much... whether or not it is good to quickly go from blue hair to matching purple hair?
Haha, when Bitcoin does a massive breakout, it changes a fairy's entire DNA! Hair turns purple, eyes open wide in shock, and the junk food magicially disappears.

Let's just say the market pump fixed her eyesight but ruined her hair dye. At least she's happy now!
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