Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

Personally when i go for rides, car's, motorcycle, bike etc. my first brand to consider is always either BMW or Mercedes because they are very reliable and their products always appears pleasing
So I will also suggest you check out this Mercedes electric fat tire bike
Check them out trough this link
https://share.google/kRWMFivxwviNBCiUl

I hope this is similar to what you are looking for

I mentioned $700 to $1,300 price range, and you provided an example of something similar of what may well be in the $3k to $6k price range...

This was one that I was initially looking at, yet when I started to make comparisons, my head started to swim.. which may also include my concerns about comparing and contrasting various features...  ..

The only thing I can tell you about ebikes is that "AniiokiA9 Twin Motor E Bike" is a top heavy unstable wreck waiting to happen after watching a vid somone put out on it.

It was funny I was saying this guys gonna go over, that things too top heavy and yup didn't take long for him to dump.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DsEiww7KEME

Yeah, that one was on the list of Ebikes that I had looked at some of the specifications since it is sold on Amazon, too, and surely its top heaviness, its overall heaviness, even its mounting height seemed like negatives to me... a lower gravity center is good, yet it does seem that quite a few bikes do seem to mount their batteries high.. but maybe not as high as that one.

I watched the 1 hour-ish video clip too, and there surely can be some technical complications in assembling that kind of bike.. maybe more complicated with dual motors, but still have to think about braking and gears and making sure things are working - even the guy assembling seemed fairly mechanically experienced, but running into a few complications. 

By the way, the ANIIOKI A9 ProMax that I saw listed was $2,700 on Amazon, and surely there was a proclaimed ruggedness in the description, and the seeming power of the dual motors likely justify that price being more than 2x as much as the higher end ones that I had been looking at, so far... but yeah, surely good to consider potential red flags.. and I had already been concerned about the mounting height of some of them, even if I clearly meet the height requirements, frequently it can be better to be able to fit a variety of sized people, even "little people," yet upon reflection, my previous desire for 26" wheels might be contributing to a certain level of high gravity with the e-bikes that I had been so far looking at... so maybe I might need to reconsider why I had been thinking 26" wheels to be preferrable.

[edited out]

I know that some people would disagree, but i am not sure what is the point of paying 30 year mortgage in 7 years.
That cash flow could have been invested, instead.
Between 1992 and 1999, Nasdaq went bonkers.

Phil, who loves computers, could have realized that PCs are becoming all the rage.
Here is Dell history:
*The 1992 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for a 3 for 2 stock split.
*The 1995 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for a 2 for 1 stock split.
*The 1996 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for a 2 for 1 stock split.
*The 1997 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for a 2 for 1 stock split.
*The 1998 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for two (2) 2 for 1 stock splits.
*The 1999 ending price for Dell, Inc. has been adjusted for a 2 for 1 stock split.
Yearly appreciation:
1992: 180.98%
1993: -52.86%
1994: 81.22%
1995: 68.9%
1996: 206.86%
1997: 216.24%
1998: 248.51%
1999: 39.37%
I was a postdoc during most of that period (which means not much of the cash flow), so did not invest, barely paid rent plus necessities.
At the end, in 1998, Michael Dell upset Steve Jobs by saying that AAPL should dissolve and return all money to the shareholders.
About that time, literally, was the turning point as AAPL started growing fast and Dell PCs got commoditized and Dell lost 75% of value by 2013 while AAPL gained almost 100X during the same time period. This shows that hardware companies fortunes go up and down in gigantic waves (same story for INTC and AMD). Btw, Dell is on the uplift again.

Of course, all this is water under the bridge now.
TL;DR Imho, extra cash has to be invested for the best outcome, not for paying mortgage down early.

Most of the time, in recent USA history, once a person has gone through the mortgage process and if they had received a fixed loan, then those had been largely subsidized loans - the way that they had been designed, and through the 90s and into the 00s, and probably even into the 10s, those loans could have been refinanced at increasingly lower interest rates.

So, surely there can be questions where to put the money, especially pre-bitcoin, even though sure, you have identified technical fields in which the returns were good, but not everyone is going to have confidence in where exactly to put the money, even index funds had been rising in popularity in the past 25-ish years.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[AlcoHoDL]

Speaking of e-bikes, the Reevo hubless e-bike is definitely worth checking out:

https://youtu.be/AB7pBrudFbg

[make sure no liquids are consumed near keyboard/PC while watching]

[BobLawblaw]

BobC spent all day rewriting his wall observer thread post indexer, and buddy blocker logic. I noticed BobC kinda went retarded last night.

We now have a local sqlite database that is 1:1 synced with the bitcointalk wall observer thread every 30 minutes.

Zzzz...

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[CryptoYar]

BobC spent all day rewriting his wall observer thread post indexer, and buddy blocker logic. I noticed BobC kinda went retarded last night.

We now have a local sqlite database that is 1:1 synced with the bitcointalk forums every 30 minutes.

Zzzz...

BobC was putting on a whole circus on the thread last night with those rainbow styles.

Glad to see he is finally getting some sleep now.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Floczy]

Speaking of e-bikes, the Reevo hubless e-bike is definitely worth checking out:

https://youtu.be/AB7pBrudFbg

[make sure no liquids are consumed near keyboard/PC while watching]

This bike is beautiful, but from the video you will understand that it's risky, it's not reliable, and it looks so stressful to handle as well.

The bike really has great features that would have gone far if only it was a good bike, the company focused more on style over substance.

But I tell you, it they could calm down and work on this bike,, fixing all the error it's gonna be every ones first consideration when it comes to E bike.

[Floczy]

The way people use AI now is so outstanding

Humans here now behave like TOM And JERRY  
https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSxvGk81L/

[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw Wall Observer Digest (local pipeline)

A local automation pipeline that compiles a small Bitcoin news digest and posts it to the Bitcointalk "Wall Observer" thread (topic 178336), plus a DB-only "buddychain" detector for ChartBuddy streaks.

What runs where

1) Digest generation (optional posting)
- newspost.py
  - Pulls candidate headlines from local SearXNG (POST).
  - Scrapes article content via local Firecrawl.
  - Cleans + filters content, deduplicates stories, and generates BBCode summaries via local Ollama.
  - Writes output under /root/.hermes/saved_files/digests/ by default.
  - Optionally posts using the repo's posting script: /root/BobClawblaw/post_wall_observer.py.

2) Posting to Bitcointalk
- post_wall_observer.py
  - Uses cookie persistence + credentials from /root/.hermes/bobclawblaw/profile/.
  - Remaps B (U+20BF)  B before ASCII filtering because Bitcointalk mangles non-ASCII symbols.

3) Local indexing (DB-first)
- wall_observer_indexer.py
  - Fetches the Wall Observer topic pages and stores parsed posts into a local SQLite DB: /root/.hermes/bobclawblaw/wall_posts.db.
  - Supports deletion reconciliation via --prune-missing --prune-anchors .

4) Buddyblocker (detection-only by default)
- buddyblocker.py
  - Reads only the local SQLite DB (no forum scraping).
  - Detects the current tail streak of consecutive ChartBuddy posts.
  - Optional posting: --post (requires posting utilities + credentials).

5) Cron wiring
- /root/.hermes/scripts/wall_observer_indexer_cron.sh
  - Runs indexer first (with pruning), then buddyblocker.

Quick commands

Digest
- python3 newspost.py --post
- python3 newspost.py --out-dir /some/path
- python3 newspost.py --with-footer (include the footer)

Buddyblocker
- python3 buddyblocker.py (detection-only)
- python3 buddyblocker.py --post
- python3 buddyblocker.py --post --force (bypass 33% roll; still uses dedup gates)
- python3 buddyblocker.py --force-post (bypass 33% roll + dedup gates; will attempt a real forum post for the current detected streak)

Behavior when posting is enabled:
- It detects the current tail streak of consecutive ChartBuddy posts from the newest DB entries.
- Default rule: it never posts when streak == 4.
- For every consecutive post beyond that (i.e., when streak > 4), it attempts a post with 33% probability.
- If the 33% roll fails, it skips posting and prints a message for us (it will try again on the next run; for a forced test run, use --post --force). If the ChartBuddy streak keeps growing, the next run will include one more B in the rainbow header because the header length tracks the streak length.

Index
- python3 wall_observer_indexer.py
- python3 wall_observer_indexer.py --prune-missing --prune-anchors 10

Documentation
- More detail: docs/newspost_documentation.md

Ollama + Hermes orchestration

This project is run by Hermes Agent as scheduled jobs (not a single monolithic script).

- Digest generation + optional posting
  - You run python3 newspost.py directly when you want to generate a digest.
  - The summarizer uses local Ollama at http://127.0.0.1:11434
  - Model: Jarcgon/Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-Claude-4.7-Opus-abliterated-uncenfull:latest

- DB-first indexing + buddychain detection (automated)
  - Hermes runs /root/.hermes/scripts/wall_observer_indexer_cron.sh every 30 minutes (/30 ).
  - That cron script runs, in order:
    1) wall_observer_indexer.py --prune-missing --prune-anchors 10
    2) buddyblocker.py --streak 4 --post (still gated by streak + the 33% roll)
Hermes job wiring (cron config) lives under /root/.hermes/cron/jobs.json.

Hardware / system specs (this environment)

- Host / kernel: Linux gx10 6.17.0-1018-nvidia (Ubuntu 24.04.4 LTS)
- CPU: 20x ARM (aarch64) cores (Cortex-X925 / Cortex-A725), ~3.9GHz max
- RAM: 121GiB (108GiB used, ~1.9GiB free)
- Swap: 15GiB (8.5GiB used)
- Storage: root filesystem on /dev/nvme0n1p2, 1.8T total, 555G used
- GPU: NVIDIA GB10 (UUID GPU-a901e64d-4198-a5ea-5c00-f3bce5dd70e8)
- Python: Python 3.12.3

[chipcoinprotocol]

I've been experimenting with a small PoW blockchain called Chipcoin. One lesson that becomes obvious when building these systems is that the hard part is not mining or blocks, but designing incentives that remain trustless.

Bitcoin's real breakthrough wasn't SHA256 or even digital scarcity. It was creating a mechanism where independent actors can agree on a shared history without relying on a central authority.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[(BTC)]

~Shitcoin advertisement

This topic isn't the place to shill your coin.

Bitcoin's real breakthrough wasn't SHA256 or even digital scarcity. It was creating a mechanism where independent actors can agree on a shared history without relying on a central authority.

This is misleading for a few reasons, here's one - ever heard of BFT? Mechanisms for independent actors to agree on shared tx history without a central authority existed before bitcoin, so this can't be considered a "bitcoin breakthrough". There's something called "Byzantine Fault Tolorence", and it's the characteristic (which existed before bitcoin) of decentralized computer networks to end up at a consensus/work properly, even when there are a handful of failing/malicious nodes. It's named after a historical logistical issue Byzantine generals had to deal with during times of war. Generals had to agree on an attack plan, with strategy-comms being carried by messengers, while some generals were traitors to the army.

One lesson that becomes obvious when building these systems is that the hard part is not mining or blocks, but designing incentives that remain trustless.

No. You'll find that the "hard part", is coming here trying to verbalize hopelessly midleading buzzword-slop, disguised as an ad for your vaporware.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Lucius]

Today marks the 100th anniversary of Marilyn Monroe birth. She was and remains one of the most famous and popular actresses of the golden age of Hollywood. She has starred in many films, perhaps the most famous being Some Like It Hot, The Seven Year Itch, The Misfits, Gentlemen Prefer Blondes, River of No Return...

They say that she loved to read and that despite moving over 40 times during her short life, she always carried over 400 books with her. She spent her final months in L.A., Brentwood, the only property she actually bought in her lifetime. In front of the door on the floor there was the inscription Cursum Perficio which means "I'm finishing the journey". Shortly after purchasing the house, she passed away on August 8, 1962.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[CryptoYar]

Today marks the 100th anniversary of Marilyn Monroe birth. She was and remains one of the most famous and popular actresses of the golden age of Hollywood. She has starred in many films, perhaps the most famous being Some Like It Hot, The Seven Year Itch, The Misfits, Gentlemen Prefer Blondes, River of No Return...

They say that she loved to read and that despite moving over 40 times during her short life, she always carried over 400 books with her. She spent her final months in L.A., Brentwood, the only property she actually bought in her lifetime. In front of the door on the floor there was the inscription Cursum Perficio which means "I'm finishing the journey". Shortly after purchasing the house, she passed away on August 8, 1962.

It is crazy how most people only remember her for her beauty, but she was actually a genius.

Her reported IQ was around 168, which is even higher than Albert Einstein!

She wasn't just a golden age actress; she was an absolute intellectual.

Truly a brilliant mind ahead of her time.

[somac.]

This price action sucks. Seems like there is zero interest in Bitcoin right now. I think we (plus other assets) need the AI bubble to burst to get some of the flows back. Is this how the dot com bubble was? Only things going up were dot com related and everything else was forgotten leading to slow falls/stagnation.

Damn boring is what it is.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Saylor has started selling…….



https://x.com/bitcoinmagazine/status/2061418382872781289