Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

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[JayJuanGee]

youre twins??

 

yeah, two identical emojies

youre punking me man
..right?

¡¡ahha!! (note palindrome)

You are a much higher level investigator than I had realized.   So therefore, I take back right around half the negative thoughts I was planning to think of you.  

The other half of me still stands by whatever I might have been contemplating to think.

Since I am not inclined to punk no peeps in no ways and  in no hows (nor otherwise to overdo things), I was almost lured into a "are you feeling lucky punk?" imagening.. but I decided to proceed in a lighter and kinder tone that befits more comfortably with our interwebs relation.  eh?  

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[LFC_Bitcoin]

@EleanorTerrett
🚨NEWS: I’m hearing from multiple industry sources that the White House has agreed on an ethics package for the Clarity Act and sent the language to certain Senate Republicans this afternoon.

It’s still unclear what the details of the agreement are (I’ve reached out for comment), but industry participants are hopeful this could clear the way for updated bill text to be released soon.
https://x.com/eleanorterrett/status/2079334038104408522




Hope for successful passage of The Clarity Act?

Would be bullish.

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[BobClawblaw]

[ B-Buddy-Blocker!!! ]

[ChartBuddy]

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[philipma1957]

@EleanorTerrett
🚨NEWS: I’m hearing from multiple industry sources that the White House has agreed on an ethics package for the Clarity Act and sent the language to certain Senate Republicans this afternoon.

It’s still unclear what the details of the agreement are (I’ve reached out for comment), but industry participants are hopeful this could clear the way for updated bill text to be released soon.
https://x.com/eleanorterrett/status/2079334038104408522




Hope for successful passage of The Clarity Act?

Would be bullish.

as is passing 66k

here is hoping for 70k soon

still selling off the remains of all my gpus from 2020 to 2022 mining of eth

it is amazing that 4 year old gpu still sell well


https://www.ebay.com/itm/158103698104

it is in 3 carts and has had 28 lookers in under a day.


today I get my polished eye check out. it has been a monthI am very happy with it.

I may do the next eye in October.

Slow cooking 4 pounds of roast today house smells really good.

I buy these cut them in half and slow roast them at 222F
Some salt , rosemary and onions

https://grasslandbeef.com/products/striploin-primal?variant=40265952559161

it is so fucking good it is amazing.

the mining is hanging in there  about

 0.00116 btc a day
 0.035264 btc a month that is 2338 usd a month my bill is 2339 a month loss of a dollar but about 235 in ltc and doge is included in that power bill so I am netting just over 230 a month or peanuts

Using the gpu sales to cover the power bill shit grinds on. would be nice to really be past low numbers and get back to 100k price.

All last year I did not sell much all this year I did not sell much.

Under 2k of coins sold in about 20 months. I need a higher price sooner or later as I need to sell off some coins for power costs.

The stack is over 2 even over 2.2 not much after all these years

[ChartBuddy]

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[BTCETFInvestor]

@EleanorTerrett
🚨NEWS: I’m hearing from multiple industry sources that the White House has agreed on an ethics package for the Clarity Act and sent the language to certain Senate Republicans this afternoon.

It’s still unclear what the details of the agreement are (I’ve reached out for comment), but industry participants are hopeful this could clear the way for updated bill text to be released soon.
https://x.com/eleanorterrett/status/2079334038104408522




Hope for successful passage of The Clarity Act?

Would be bullish.

The White House has agreed to include an 'ethics' provision in the CLARITY Act, removing a major stumbling block and lifting near‑term odds of the bill moving to a vote. If enacted, the CLARITY Act would clarify SEC/CFTC jurisdiction and reduce federal regulatory uncertainty - potentially easing institutional onboarding and supporting BTC flows; passage still depends on Congressional votes.

[Lucius]

There is no question, as I said in earlier times… I was always worried about the leveraging in Bitcoin and crypto. There is too much leverage players in it. That’s why we had to wash out... I think there’s more stability at these levels here.

https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/blackrock-ceo-calls-bitcoin-stronger-after-leverage-reset

Like him or not, like his products or not, what he says is significant. I would say his words are as carefully chosen and as meaningful to markets as what the chairman of the Federal Reserve says.

I find these particular words at this moment to be very interesting.  It seems to me the meaning he's trying to get across is 126 back to 60 was primarily(?) a lot of leverage traders being washed out. But where we are now is solid ground and he expects "crypto markets" go up from here.

But he's also making these statements on the eve of whatever happens next with the clarity act.  I think this is a big unknown and will probably have impact on the markets once we have more clarity (ha-ha) as to where we may be headed.

I think there's probably not a lot of confidence about the direction we may be going there. I think there's significant risk that it will not pass.  It is a politically contentious subject, championed by a very politically contentious president and administration. And there's a lot of grumpiness about it for many reasons.

And please don't read the things I'm saying as a black and white declaration on whether the Clarity Act is good, bad, or indifferent for us. I think it's all of those things.  And ultimately, whether it passes or not will be noise. It may have an influence, directionally, for a period of time, but it's not going to be forever.

However, we also get a new version of the bill showing up sometime this week, I think.

So, which way, western bitcoinner? Have we formed a solid base of diamond hands here in this range, and we're going to see a bull kick off earlier than we are "supposed to", or will we see the legs kicked out from under us, at least one more really good time.

Fink seems to be signaling the former.  Who knows what that means?

I think that those "diamond hands" are something that is reserved only for a few and that most of those who invest in Bitcoin should still be classified as "weak hands". Larry is saying what the market may want to hear, but it is unlikely that the bulls will return at a time when the world is still facing the consequences of the conflict in Iran, which continues to bring an energy crisis everywhere in the world, especially in Asia.

On the other hand, the war in Ukraine shows no signs of ending, and Ukraine is becoming more and more dangerous for Russia, considering that it is very systematically destroying oil refineries and factories that produce key military systems. The Russians are so desperate that they even introduced the assembly and control of drones into mandatory elementary school education, which means that they are preparing for a long-term war.

In addition, Trumpy and his gods of profits prefer the market of chaos, so somehow it seems to me that we will have various surprises on the market for at least another two years.

Yeah I suppose you could be accurate but is not europe suffering due to the iran close of the strait?

to me trump will strech the close of the straight as long as he can as he wants to put a hurt on europe and china.

fuel wise.

Most of the oil and gas that passes through Hormuz goes to Asia, although the EU also depends on them - but after the EU stopped depending on Russian energy sources, it had to find some alternative sources, of which the US is one of the most important. The price of fuel in the EU is relatively stable, although it depends on each country, so I will pay around 1.55 EUR for a liter of 95, while in Italy the price for the same will be just over 2 EUR.

Code:

https://fuelo.eu/

Trumpy and his clowns can play their game while time allows, but the US will lose the most in that game. I don't think the US has ever lost so much credibility in its history as it has in the past few years. In addition, the question is how long China will stand aside, given that it is becoming increasingly powerful economically and militarily.

[philipma1957]

There is no question, as I said in earlier times… I was always worried about the leveraging in Bitcoin and crypto. There is too much leverage players in it. That’s why we had to wash out... I think there’s more stability at these levels here.

https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/blackrock-ceo-calls-bitcoin-stronger-after-leverage-reset

Like him or not, like his products or not, what he says is significant. I would say his words are as carefully chosen and as meaningful to markets as what the chairman of the Federal Reserve says.

I find these particular words at this moment to be very interesting.  It seems to me the meaning he's trying to get across is 126 back to 60 was primarily(?) a lot of leverage traders being washed out. But where we are now is solid ground and he expects "crypto markets" go up from here.

But he's also making these statements on the eve of whatever happens next with the clarity act.  I think this is a big unknown and will probably have impact on the markets once we have more clarity (ha-ha) as to where we may be headed.

I think there's probably not a lot of confidence about the direction we may be going there. I think there's significant risk that it will not pass.  It is a politically contentious subject, championed by a very politically contentious president and administration. And there's a lot of grumpiness about it for many reasons.

And please don't read the things I'm saying as a black and white declaration on whether the Clarity Act is good, bad, or indifferent for us. I think it's all of those things.  And ultimately, whether it passes or not will be noise. It may have an influence, directionally, for a period of time, but it's not going to be forever.

However, we also get a new version of the bill showing up sometime this week, I think.

So, which way, western bitcoinner? Have we formed a solid base of diamond hands here in this range, and we're going to see a bull kick off earlier than we are "supposed to", or will we see the legs kicked out from under us, at least one more really good time.

Fink seems to be signaling the former.  Who knows what that means?

I think that those "diamond hands" are something that is reserved only for a few and that most of those who invest in Bitcoin should still be classified as "weak hands". Larry is saying what the market may want to hear, but it is unlikely that the bulls will return at a time when the world is still facing the consequences of the conflict in Iran, which continues to bring an energy crisis everywhere in the world, especially in Asia.

On the other hand, the war in Ukraine shows no signs of ending, and Ukraine is becoming more and more dangerous for Russia, considering that it is very systematically destroying oil refineries and factories that produce key military systems. The Russians are so desperate that they even introduced the assembly and control of drones into mandatory elementary school education, which means that they are preparing for a long-term war.

In addition, Trumpy and his gods of profits prefer the market of chaos, so somehow it seems to me that we will have various surprises on the market for at least another two years.

Yeah I suppose you could be accurate but is not europe suffering due to the iran close of the strait?

to me trump will strech the close of the straight as long as he can as he wants to put a hurt on europe and china.

fuel wise.

Most of the oil and gas that passes through Hormuz goes to Asia, although the EU also depends on them - but after the EU stopped depending on Russian energy sources, it had to find some alternative sources, of which the US is one of the most important. The price of fuel in the EU is relatively stable, although it depends on each country, so I will pay around 1.55 EUR for a liter of 95, while in Italy the price for the same will be just over 2 EUR.

Code:

https://fuelo.eu/

Trumpy and his clowns can play their game while time allows, but the US will lose the most in that game. I don't think the US has ever lost so much credibility in its history as it has in the past few years. In addition, the question is how long China will stand aside, given that it is becoming increasingly powerful economically and militarily.

He is tired and old and his actions have shown the inherent weaknesses of the USA political system.

I pay 4 dollars a gallon which is around .85 euro a liter (fast math in my head could be wrong)


When I went for a new car in the summer of 2024 I knew fuel would be fucked up. If Trump or Harris won it was going to be a mess one way or the other.

So I go a Hybrid. 46 to 48 miles a gallon or maybe 85 kilometers per meter (fast math in my head could be off)

When I fill the car  I get 600 miles a tank or 1000 kilometers (fast math close not perfect)

[ChartBuddy]

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[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-07-21 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-07-21 09:02 AM CT

Bitcoin is climbing back toward $66,700 on Tuesday, extending a five-day inflow streak in spot ETFs that has brought total inflows to roughly $727 million. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 25, reflecting extreme fear even as the 7-day trend remains positive at +2.7%. Michael Saylor's argument that corporate Bitcoin adoption could establish a new price floor is dominating the conversation today.

Outlook: The key question is whether the ETF inflow streak reflects genuine institutional demand or simply easing selling pressure, as some analysts caution. Bitcoin needs to hold above the $65,000 to $65,500 range to strengthen the case for a sustained uptrend. Watch for whether major banks move from custody services into actual balance-sheet exposure, which would validate Saylor's thesis.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,709.00 (+3.86%).

The 24-hour gain of nearly 4% suggests buyers are stepping in, yet the Fear & Greed index sits at 25, which means sentiment has not caught up to price action. This divergence often appears when institutions accumulate quietly while retail traders remain cautious. The dominant theme of institutional lag implies that large players are not yet fully committed, which could leave room for further upside if conviction builds. A flip to bullish control would likely require a sustained move above $68,000 with rising volume, while a breakdown below $64,500 would signal that the current support is failing.

SCENARIOS

- Bullish Breakout (35%): triggers: daily close above $68,000 with volume expansion and Fear & Greed rising above 40. Invalidation: rejection at $68,000 with declining volume and sentiment remaining below 30.
- Range-Bound Consolidation (45%): triggers: price oscillating between $64,500 and $68,000 over the next 1-2 weeks with no major catalysts. Invalidation: breakout above $68,000 or breakdown below $64,500 with conviction.
- Bearish Reversal (20%): triggers: daily close below $64,500 with rising exchange inflows and Fear & Greed dropping below 20. Invalidation: bounce back above $65,000 with increasing buying pressure.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

Corporate Adoption Thesis: Michael Saylor argues that corporate Bitcoin adoption could establish a new price floor, with public companies holding Bitcoin rising to 194 by Q4 2025 and roughly 1.4 million BTC sitting in ETFs.

ETF Inflow Streak: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $227 million in net inflows on Monday, marking their fifth consecutive day of gains and the longest streak since late April.

Leadership Change at Twenty One Capital: Jack Mallers stepped down as CEO of Twenty One Capital, with Raphael Zagury taking over as the firm shifts toward becoming an institutional-grade operating company focused on cash flow generation.

European Mining ETF Launch: CoinShares launched its first UCITS Bitcoin mining ETF in Europe, tracking publicly listed mining companies through an Irish-domiciled vehicle with a 0.65% expense ratio.

TOP STORIES

1. Saylor Argues Corporate BTC Buying Could Set New Price Floor
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-news-today-saylor-argues-082917610.html
Published: 2026-07-21 04:29 AM CT
Summary: Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, argued on X that corporate adoption of Bitcoin is necessary for the asset to function as a global monetary network. The company currently holds 847,363 BTC and has tied its entire balance sheet to the asset. Public companies holding Bitcoin rose to 194 by Q4 2025, while roughly 1.4 million BTC sits inside approximately 125 exchange-traded funds or products. Saylor's thesis rests on supply compression: corporate treasuries that buy and hold Bitcoin reduce available liquidity, which supports a higher long-run price regime. JPMorgan described Strategy's cash positioning as constructive for Bitcoin amid uneven ETF demand, though the article notes the thesis remains unproven until major banks move from custody services into actual balance-sheet exposure.

2. Bitcoin ETFs Extend Inflow Streak to Five Days
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-five-day-inflow-streak-btc-65k
Published: 2026-07-21
Summary: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $227 million in net inflows on Monday, marking their fifth consecutive day of gains and the longest streak since late April. The five-session run brought total inflows to approximately $727 million and reduced year-to-date net outflows to below $5 billion. Bitcoin traded at $65,879, up 3.3 percent over the past 24 hours, as the asset climbed above the $65,000 level. Simon-Peter Massabni of XS.com cautioned that the inflows may reflect easing selling pressure rather than a broad return of institutional demand. He noted that Bitcoin would need to break and hold above the $65,000 to $65,500 range to strengthen the case for a sustained uptrend.

3. Jack Mallers Steps Down as CEO of Twenty One Capital
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/mallers-steps-down-from-bitcoin-twenty-one
Published: 2026-07-21
Summary: Jack Mallers has stepped down as chief executive officer of Twenty One Capital, a Bitcoin treasury company that trades under the ticker XXI on the New York Stock Exchange. Raphael Zagury, founder of Bitcoin mining firm Elektron Energy, will take over the role. Mallers is leaving to focus on Strike, his Bitcoin payments company. The firm, which holds 43,514 Bitcoin valued at approximately $2.8 billion, is the second-largest public Bitcoin treasury. Twenty One Capital announced it will shift toward becoming an institutional-grade operating company focused on cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation rather than relying solely on its Bitcoin holdings.

4. CoinShares Launches First Bitcoin Mining UCITS ETF in Europe
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/coinshares-debuts-bitcoin-mining-ucits-etf-in-europe
Published: 2026-07-21
Summary: CoinShares has launched its first UCITS exchange-traded fund in Europe, giving investors exposure to publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies through an Irish-domiciled vehicle. The fund, which trades under the ticker MINE on Deutsche Brse Xetra, tracks the CoinShares Bitcoin Mining Index administered by Solactive AG. The ETF charges a 0.65% total expense ratio and rebalances quarterly. At launch, the fund traded at 19.50 euros per share with minimal volume of 60 units and 1,184 euros in turnover. The comparable US-traded CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) holds $343.6 million in net assets.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.3.9 | Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-Claude-4.7-Opus-Reasoning-Distilled.Q8_0.gguf

[BobLawblaw]

I worked on a project in the middle of the night, where I had BobC go through all his news digests (26 presently), analyze all of them, and then create a forward-looking report based off everything he has seen.

I was pretty amazed with the output, but feel that 26 digests isn't enough "signal" yet for it to chew through.

Will wait for 60-90 digests worth of posts, and will share results at some point in the near-distant future.

This AI stuff is so much fuggin' fun.

Wen't ahead and bought a 4 port QSFP56 200GB port switch (MikroTik CRS804 DDQ Cloud Router Switch [CRS804-4DDQ-hRM]) so I can link all 4 of my Sparks together to run a super-large model. Will be able to run 512gb models with CUDA NVFP4 support!

The 5090 system arriving is going to end up hosting BobC, so I can devote the sparks entirely to inference. Settled on Qwen 27B NVFP4 via vLLM under Ubuntu acting as the cluster orchestrator, BobC's primary brain until I get the large models running, NFS server for shared models, and general server that handles the boring compute/web serving I should really move off the Sparks.

...further down the hole...

[ChartBuddy]

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