Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[philipma1957]

Bitcoin is so tiny, ONE company had added 30-40% of btc market cap after earnings.
Hopefully, bitcoin would not be so small in 2-3 years.

yeah it needs to be over 500k soon

and market cap needs to be over 10 trillion

20,100,000x500,000=1.005×10¹³  which would work well

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[vapourminer]

needs to be over 500k soon

works for me

[Danish Ali]

Bitcoin is so tiny, ONE company had added 30-40% of btc market cap after earnings.
Hopefully, bitcoin would not be so small in 2-3 years.

yeah it needs to be over 500k soon

and market cap needs to be over 10 trillion

20,100,000x500,000=1.005×10¹³  which would work well

More numbers please!

Aim higher than $10T

we need numbers that at least beat Gold's real total market cap.

Keep calculating.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Are we back?


@JamesEastonUK
I do not have the capacity to explain how obvious it is.

Welcome to the bull.

https://x.com/jameseastonuk/status/2092990527188685008

[cAPSLOCK]

It sure looks like Bitcoin is knocking on heaven's door here and sort of getting a foothold where it might be able to take a run.

But that said, it looks also that the RSI is still pretty hot on the daily.  So I wouldn't be surprised if we kept taking a breath from here.

Not to mention the fact that things are just so touch and go, and so many arenas at the same time...

I'd still love to see it punch through here, so I can post the pump truck one size bigger. 😁

[cAPSLOCK]

Are we back?


@JamesEastonUK
I do not have the capacity to explain how obvious it is.

Welcome to the bull.

https://x.com/jameseastonuk/status/2092990527188685008

Of course, being the permabull I am, I yearn for us to truly be in the next big uppity (nods to our missing friend). But I'm curious, particularly from the cycletherists here, if we are in a big bull...  Will that have broken cycle theory?  I mean, if October is the expected point, then mid-August isn't that far off.

But there are pathways that this could go on, which I think would make this cycle unique enough to at least consider it partially broken.

What if we get the kind of bull run that we expected to get last year starting now?

I know I know. I'm sorry for jinxing it. 🤪

[Danish Ali]

Are we back?


@JamesEastonUK
I do not have the capacity to explain how obvious it is.

Welcome to the bull.

https://x.com/jameseastonuk/status/2092990527188685008

Of course, being the permabull I am, I yearn for us to truly be in the next big uppity (nods to our missing friend). But I'm curious, particularly from the cycletherists here, if we are in a big bull...  Will that have broken cycle theory?  I mean, if October is the expected point, then mid-August isn't that far off.

But there are pathways that this could go on, which I think would make this cycle unique enough to at least consider it partially broken.

What if we get the kind of bull run that we expected to get last year starting now?

I know I know. I'm sorry for jinxing it. 🤪

Mid-August versus October is not cycle-breaking, it’s just noise within standard variance.

So if we launch now it is not a broken cycle, it is just a halving hyped peak in the context of structure organization ETF flows. This is not because macro liquidity flow came a couple of months early.

For what it is worth, if the market chooses to act ahead of its own calendar, then the permabulls will not complain!l.

[philipma1957]

Are we back?


@JamesEastonUK
I do not have the capacity to explain how obvious it is.

Welcome to the bull.

https://x.com/jameseastonuk/status/2092990527188685008

Of course, being the permabull I am, I yearn for us to truly be in the next big uppity (nods to our missing friend). But I'm curious, particularly from the cycletherists here, if we are in a big bull...  Will that have broken cycle theory?  I mean, if October is the expected point, then mid-August isn't that far off.

But there are pathways that this could go on, which I think would make this cycle unique enough to at least consider it partially broken.

What if we get the kind of bull run that we expected to get last year starting now?

I know I know. I'm sorry for jinxing it. 🤪

well fuckkkkkkk you.

now that we are past that here goes.

there will always be a 4 year cycle for coins being issued

2028  3.125/2 =      1.5625
2032  1.5625/2=     0.78125
2036  0.78125/2=   0.390625
2040  0.390625/2= 0.1953125

 so that cycle is set in stone until we tail end the lost 1/2 ing coins which many people hate me for talking about it but I see it as certain.

so I would say we will have coin production 4 year cycle for a minimum of 2028-2040
I would also say that price cycle of 4 years altered when we hit an ATH prior to 2024 1/2ing ie 70k in march 2024 broke the prior 4 year price cycle

ar at least accelerated to a short time frame which means under 4 years time for the ATH and for the DUMP

which both happened.

[Hueristic]

Was that a false llama sighting?


I think not.

[philipma1957]

mean while my 2499 usd air filter is still stuck in Canada and Lake Ontario is now lake america


now I think  if the lake is lake America the item should sail on a boat to Rochester and not be subject to tariffs

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[xhomerx10]

Was that a false llama sighting?


I think not.

 Llama drama?  I missed it!

[vapourminer]

Was that a false llama sighting?

I think not.

 Llama drama?  I missed it!

perhaps this?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg67072648#msg67072648

and

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg66833528#msg66833528

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[xhomerx10]

Was that a false llama sighting?

I think not.

 Llama drama?  I missed it!

perhaps this?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg67072648#msg67072648

and

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg66833528#msg66833528

 I saw those but I thought there was a new one I missed.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Richy_T]

so that cycle is set in stone until we tail end the lost 1/2 ing coins which many people hate me for talking about it but I see it as certain.

I think it might be instructive to graph the block reward in dollars (or Euro, whatever) over time.

Found one here:

https://bitcoinvisuals.com/chain-block-reward

The continual climb implies (though doesn't guarantee) to me that the 4-year cycle will continue to dominate for the time being.

(Note this should probably be adjusted for inflation but it's fine for a general impression)