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September 22, 2026, 11:41:00 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 41 (39.4%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 23 (22.1%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 25 (24%)
No - other (explain below) - 15 (14.4%)
Total Voters: 104

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27052718 times)
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Floczy
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Have you seen a grown man cry?


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September 08, 2026, 11:08:10 PM


Holy Bitcoin!!!!
This 4 years cycle appears to be so accurate.. or will I say too accurate..
1064 days for the ATH creation

364 days for the retracement, happens historically every time man
October Monday 5th we are expecting a real rally

I just hope this is not gonna be a pattern discovered pattern broken situation

Is it just me?  or does it seem crazy-ass when guys lock into specifics and suggest that in advance bitcoin is bound to some specific pattern of price performance?  Sure afterwards we can look back at historical patterns, yet I really doubt that future performance can be derived with specifics from historical bitcoin price performance patterns.
Your right..

But that's all we have, all predictions all analysis are based on the history, you know history tells us a lot especially when it comes to Bitcoin in general, you get patterns, structures every thing you can to predict how the future might be,
Of cause it's clearly not what might happen, but what else are we going to be talking about if not for the past and some economical facts when it comes to prediction.
Every prediction you see definitely has a relationship with the past..

But if you come to think about it, these are what people just say, we all still follow the market, it can change anytime and we will adapt anyways. Because I posted doesn't mean it will happen, but all together it's worth looking at, it's worth the speculation, of cause it has happened several times and it could be considered an interesting discovery.. I wouldn't want to control the market and say the has to happen, instead "I found this, let's see what happens" that more like it

I can't control the market, I just have fun discovering more things that I feel others might find interesting as well  Wink

I'm bored, oh let me look at the charts, hmm this looks interesting, WO come and see this... It's just a feeling man  Smiley

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September 09, 2026, 12:04:12 AM


Explanation
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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September 09, 2026, 12:16:27 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (12), vapourminer (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

In thWe can look at the example of Ukraine. Everything was fine, until the day it didn't stay
Someone could have two or three backups scattered in different locations.
But imagine that you were out of town when she suffered an attack
There was no way to go back, not to his house or these other safe places of the seed.
He only had the option of fleeing the country.

So how did you take the seed with you?
If you couldn't go to one of the places where you had kept the backup?
If you cant reach your physical seeds, a 25th passphrase stored in your head is literally your last line of defense.

Huh?  How does that make any sense?

The 25th word does not give you access to shit, unless you know the first 24 words first.

of course one must note that many banks are now not supplying safety deposit boxes.

What is going to happen if there continues to be demand for such a safety deposit box service?

Maybe demand for such is dying, yet even in a world of digital assets (with bitcoin as the core value asset), there still seems to be benefits for folks who might want to have some information (or back up information) contained in physical locations that they expect to be able to have access.

Of course, in your scenario of a person who flees one location (such as Kiev), and he ONLY has one back up (in two locations) in NYC, he seems to be playing with fire, even if the reliance on the back up might ONLY be for a short period of time (during his transition from one location to the next).

Holy Bitcoin!!!!
This 4 years cycle appears to be so accurate.. or will I say too accurate..
1064 days for the ATH creation

364 days for the retracement, happens historically every time man
October Monday 5th we are expecting a real rally

I just hope this is not gonna be a pattern discovered pattern broken situation
Is it just me?  or does it seem crazy-ass when guys lock into specifics and suggest that in advance bitcoin is bound to some specific pattern of price performance?  Sure afterwards we can look back at historical patterns, yet I really doubt that future performance can be derived with specifics from historical bitcoin price performance patterns.
Your right..
But that's all we have, all predictions all analysis are based on the history, you know history tells us a lot especially when it comes to Bitcoin in general, you get patterns, structures every thing you can to predict how the future might be
that future performance can be derived with specifics from historical bitcoin price performance patterns.

Sure, history lends some data in regards to what happened in the past, but there are going to be a variety of future events, human, institutional and governmental conduct, foundational attributions of the coin (such as bitcoin) as compared with other assets, so history remains only one of many factors and we have to be careful in terms of putting too much attribution in regards to any one factor (including history).

Oh by the way, there are some guys who want to look at things like mining input, and surely in recent times we have had some bitcoin mining companies moving into building and supporting AI data processing systems, and so even the mining contributions might not be very clear in terms of how individual miners and/or pools are behaving in light of other incentives that they might have to direct and/or redirect their computational power.

Of cause it's clearly not what might happen, but what else are we going to be talking about if not for the past and some economical facts when it comes to prediction.

If you are a bitcoin investor rather than a trader, then you likely don't have to talk about which way you believe the BTC may or may not go in the short-to-medium term or try to make predictions about any specific aspects of it, and instead just focus on your own finances so that you can figure out how much bitcoin that you are able to buy on a perhaps weekly, regular, ongoing, persistent, consistent and perhaps even aggressive basis in light of your own budget.  

Every prediction you see definitely has a relationship with the past..

Sure there might be a relationship, but the relationship and the specifics might still be a BIG ASS so fucking what?

It seems to me that if you are figuring out what you are going to do or not do or to figure out where you are at, then bitcoin price analysis as compared with other places that you could put value seems to be in the ballpark of only 1  out of 9 of your individual factors.
Of course, if you are striving to be a trader rather than investor or you think that there is any meaningful value in regards to either trying to sell and buy back lower or to wait for lower prices or some other seemingly dumb shit like that, then you may or may not end up screwing up you bitcoin accumulation progress.

But if you come to think about it, these are what people just say, we all still follow the market, it can change anytime and we will adapt anyways.

How are you going to adapt based on what you believe the bitcoin price is going to do?  Some guys buy no matter the price, including if they consider themselves in the early bitcoin accumulation phase that could last 4-10 years or longer.

Sure, there are some guys who might be able to front load their bitcoin holdings so that they reach their accumulation target or greater than their bitcoin accumulation target in a timeline that is shorter than 4 years, yet I doubt that normies tend to be in such a position, even if they might prematurely come to conclusions that they have enough or more than enough bitcoin.

Because I posted doesn't mean it will happen, but all together it's worth looking at, it's worth the speculation, of cause it has happened several times and it could be considered an interesting discovery..

I doubt that it is helpful for anyone accumulating bitcoin, unless they do not know the difference between trading and investing.  Do you?  
 

I wouldn't want to control the market and say the has to happen, instead "I found this, let's see what happens" that more like it

How are you changing your own behaviors?  Are you buying more bitcoin during perceived bitcoin dips and less during periods that you believe the BTC price to be overheated?  Yet, how are you going to know about that kind of stuff?

You have ONLY been registered here since November 2025, so it has not even been a year and you think that you got bitcoin's price figured out and you think that there are ways to strategize your buys. Of course, you could have started accumulating bitcoin prior to your forum registration date, yet it seems difficult to really accumulate a lot of bitcoin in a short period of time, if that is what you are proclaiming to have had done for yourself.

I can't control the market, I just have fun discovering more things that I feel others might find interesting as well  Wink

You decide what to do based on what other people think or feel?  That comes off as a strange approach to bitcoin, and it comes off as a person who is going to have fun staying poor.
 
I'm bored, oh let me look at the charts, hmm this looks interesting, WO come and see this... It's just a feeling man  Smiley


I am not convinced in regards to your ways of describing how to approach bitcoin, unless you might have had been accumulating bitcoin for at least a whole cycle or more already.
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September 09, 2026, 01:04:12 AM


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September 09, 2026, 03:04:13 AM


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September 09, 2026, 04:04:12 AM


Explanation
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xhomerx10
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September 09, 2026, 04:46:55 AM

Breaking up ChartBuddy's run before the charts become sentient and start trading against us.
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September 09, 2026, 05:04:13 AM


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September 09, 2026, 05:51:58 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Hey ChartBuddy,

 Can you imagine holding onto a 54-year grudge against your childhood best friend knowing deep down that your own pride and choices destroyed the greatest partnership of your life.  Then, a few moments after finally confessing that guilt and healing that unconscionable rift, you decide it's time to abandon the very country that gave you everything and more that you could ever dream of, all because of one man - a total stranger - who happens to currently sit in the White House?  Fucking drama queen.  The irony.

When I'm weary,
feeling small,
When tears are in your eyes
I will dodge the call
I'm on my side
When times get rough
And friends just can't be found
Like a bridge over troubled water
I will tear it down
Like a bridge over troubled water
I will burn it down...

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September 09, 2026, 06:04:12 AM


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xhomerx10
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September 09, 2026, 06:11:46 AM

Damn!  I didn't mean to bring you own ChartBuddy old pal!

Hello, lamppost, what’cha knowin’?
I’ve come to watch your flowers growin’
Ain’t’cha got no rhymes for me?
Doot-in doo-doo, feelin’ groovy
Ba da da da da da da, feelin’ groovy

 Let's get back up to 80k by dawn.


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September 09, 2026, 06:26:58 AM

Atta boy!  You got this.  I'm going bed now.
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devouring-DARKNESS
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September 09, 2026, 07:11:05 AM
Last edit: September 09, 2026, 07:22:06 AM by devouring-DARKNESS

Not really, this might be an open forum but that doesn't mean that you knew where I am or I know where you are, there is still a level of privacy here so unless you give out your actual location no one will bother you about anything.
So if you want to you can still share your method, laminated and kept safe in three different locations, just don't make those locations public.
ProTip: You better change your number as soon as possible (like yesterday).  You will thank me later.   Tongue Tongue Tongue
Fact.

Look.  I have somewhere in the ballpark of 36.6k posts on this forum, and most likely, this forum is not my only digital footprint.  There have been times that I share some information that might relate to my current location, and so there are also some members who might be public and interacting about their information and/or asking other members about their information.  There are members who might NOT even be participating in the forum in regards to posting and sharing information, yet they might be wanting to try to glean information about other members, whether it is about their location, their bitcoin (crypto) / financial security practices and maybe their intentions are merely innocent curiosity, and other times their intentions might not be so honest (and non-intrusive).

Remember in the good ole days, stealing value might have had to have had taken place in person, yet in recent times, we have more and more ways that value has become able to be transmitted and held digitally, and especially bitcoin with a lot of its unique characteristics, and some of bitcoin characteristics and even abilities to hold and transmit value has become characteristics of other digital assets, whether shitcoins or other kinds of assets (products) that might relate with bitcoin.

Some of the digital assets (such as bitcoin) have built in characteristics of irreversibility and unstoppableness, even though of course aspects of bitcoin can be pseudo-traced, yet even some of the digital assets that are seemingly quite a bit centralized, traceable and stoppable, they sometimes might even end up allowing value to be transmitted or stored within them for nepharious purposes prior to being traced or stopped.  Historically bank robbers may well take a lot of chances to rob high amounts of value, even while knowing that the chances of their getting caught might have had been pretty high, and of course, these days, the calculations of skills, access to information and negative consequences from robbing from others are ongoingly changing, and who is really saying that any bad actors are even necessarily competent in their robbing skills, but at the same time, they still might be willing to take chances based on their calculations (rightly or wrongly) of getting caught and/or other negative ramifications from trying to take (or taking) coins from others.

It seems to me that we also have some actors in the bitcoin (and crypto) space who might not even be so concerned robbing in order to gain value for themselves, but they might be inclined to rob in order to either prevent others from having value or to sabatoge bitcoin (crypto) systems, which surely could even be indirectly bringing value to themselves through their other investments and/or interests, and maybe even sometimes something like governments and/or financial institutions seem to want to monitor and/or control various individuals, and so tools like bitcoin might challenge the abilities of governments / financial institutions to be able to monitor and control certain individuals, so they might target to weaken or destroy bitcoin (crypto) based on bitcoin (crypto) challenging their own status quo powers.
I suppose over time with as much posts that you have here on bitcointalk, bit by bit sensitive information about yourself might have come out here or there even without your intention to do so, after all an individual has a pattern they speak or write with and some of these patterns may be as a result of where they live/spent their lives like an ascent of you were speaking or maybe a slang or phrase that come out every now and then when you write.
At that point you are the one sharing your location to the rest of the world, making you responsible for anything that ends up happening.

Sure there is some responsibility that comes from being sloppy, taking risks and suffering negative consequences when bad people do bad things, yet at the same time, bad people should bear some responsibility too, to the extent that they might end up getting caught or paying for their bad actions (maybe ONLY through Karma?).
Actions should have consequences but unless someone is caught in their crime or by Karma (if even) then we can not do anything about it. This all still comes down to watching your own actions, you might not have any control over what will happen to someone who maybe steals from you but if the theft happened due to information you made available yourself (a mistake that could have been avoided) then it's on you for being reckless.
Breaking up ChartBuddy's run before the charts become sentient and start trading against us.
Rise of the machines? Cool Huh
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$220000 in one hour confirmed


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September 09, 2026, 07:47:07 AM
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83000 come on   Kiss  you know you want to
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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September 09, 2026, 10:25:11 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1)


these drugs.. are they legal?
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