Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[OgNasty]

The market is close to breaking through to a 6 month high. That would be a pretty bullish signal. Stubborn resistance so far but it can’t fight off buying forever. Will be interesting watching tomorrow’s action. It could point the way forward.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[vapourminer]

no more hummingbirds

 Leave your feeder out for a couple more weeks please.  There are a couple of stragglers at our feeder and they might hit you up on the way by!

roger that they will stay at least a few more weeks. changing the sugar mix every few days is ingrained into us anyway so its no real effort.

hummingbirds. imagine living life one red bull at a time.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-09-20 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-09-20 09:05 PM CT

Bitcoin is grinding higher, up 3.7% over the last seven days, as the Fear & Greed Index sits comfortably in Greed at 70. The market is absorbing a modest $6.2 million weekly net inflow into U.S. spot ETFs, driven by a strong Friday recovery that offset earlier withdrawals. This weekend's thin liquidity is holding price steady near $81,000, with no clear directional break yet.

Outlook: Traders should watch for sustained ETF inflows to confirm whether the recent Friday surge represents a genuine shift in institutional demand or a temporary blip. The market remains range-bound, so a decisive move above $80,000 or a drop below $75,000 will likely signal the next major trend.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $81,042.00, down 0.02% over 24 hours and up 3.7% over seven days. The derived Institutional Lag Composite reads +6 on a -50 to +50 scale. Buyers currently hold the initiative, as the Fear & Greed index sits at 70, signaling a Greed regime that supports the recent 5.2% monthly gain. This sentiment suggests participants are comfortable paying a premium, though the flat 24-hour move indicates a pause in momentum near the $83,000 resistance. The market is testing whether this enthusiasm can push through that ceiling or if it will fade, causing a drift back toward the $79,000 support. A break below $79,000 would flip control to sellers, exposing the $77,500 downside target, while a sustained close above $83,000 would open the path to $84,500.

SCENARIOS

- Range-Bound Consolidation Above $79,000 (45%): triggers: Price remains between $79,000 and $83,000 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index staying above 60. Invalidation: A daily close below $79,000 or above $83,000 through Friday.
- Breakout Toward $84,500 (33%): triggers: A daily close above $83,000 through Friday, accompanied by a Fear & Greed reading that rises above 75. Invalidation: Price fails to close above $83,000 through Friday.
- Correction to $77,500 (22%): triggers: A daily close below $79,000 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index dropping below 50. Invalidation: Price recovers and closes above $79,000 through Friday.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Regulatory Resilience: The failure of the Clarity Act and subsequent Fed rate hike triggered $571 million in long liquidations, yet spot prices held firm, suggesting the market had already priced in these legislative risks.
- ETF Flow Divergence: While Bitcoin ETFs saw a net weekly inflow, broader crypto ETFs experienced significant outflows, highlighting a flight to quality within the digital asset class.

TOP STORIES

1. Bitcoin ETFs post modest weekly inflow as some shitcoin funds end four-week streak
URL: https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-19-bitcoin-etfs-eke-out-positive-week-with-433-million-friday-inflow-as-ether-funds-snap-four-week-inflow-streak-415871
Published: 2026-09-20
Summary: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $6.2 million for the week ending September 18, driven by a $433 million surge on Friday. This single-day inflow was the largest since September 3 and offset significant withdrawals earlier in the week, preventing a second consecutive negative week. Fidelity's FBTC led the recovery with $310.7 million in Friday inflows, while BlackRock's IBIT contributed $108.4 million. In contrast, spot some shitcoin ETFs experienced a $140 million weekly outflow, ending a four-week streak of positive inflows that had totaled $1.94 billion. Bitcoin ETFs remain down approximately $1.45 billion in net flows year-to-date, with cumulative inflows since launch standing at $55.16 billion.

2. Bitcoin holds near $75,000 despite Fed hike and Clarity Act failure
URL: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/18/crypto-traders-braced-for-a-total-wipeout-this-week-but-bitcoin-had-other-plans
Published: 2026-09-20
Summary: Bitcoin maintained a price near $75,000 after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and the U.S. Senate failed to pass the Clarity Act. The legislative rejection triggered $571 million in liquidations of long futures positions within 24 hours, yet the spot price remained stable. Analysts attribute this resilience to traders having already anticipated the bill's failure, leaving few positions to unwind. The SEC issued a temporary Innovation Exemption for crypto platforms to trade tokenized U.S. stocks, signaling continued regulatory progress through agency authority rather than new statutes. Market experts expect range-bound trading, with a break above $80,000 or a drop below $75,000 serving as key indicators for the next directional move.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[xhomerx10]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[bitcoinPsycho]

I got a feeling that today is the day 

[Grease5000]

Now the rising sun
On the nature of bitcoin.
They begin to see.

Diesel tells the truth.
Bitcoin also tells the truth.
The truth gonna hurt.

More than one haiku.
And on a Sunday, no less.
Hat tip Alcohodl.

Diesel tells the truth.
Bitcoin doesn't hide the truth.
We choose to see it.

The numbers don't argue.
The market speaks in its own way.
Time reveals the rest.

Sunday still has truth.
Some lessons arrive quietly.
Some cost us to learn.

[DirtyKeyboard]

Now the rising sun
On the nature of bitcoin.
They begin to see.

Diesel tells the truth.
Bitcoin also tells the truth.
The truth gonna hurt.

More than one haiku.
And on a Sunday, no less.
Hat tip Alcohodl.

Diesel tells the truth.
Bitcoin doesn't hide the truth.
We choose to see it.

The numbers don't argue.
The market speaks in its own way.
Time reveals the rest.

Sunday still has truth.
Some lessons arrive quietly.
Some cost us to learn.

Remove the Thes from
Middle one and lose the Some
From mid line last one

[bitcoinPsycho]

Over the top lads   go go go

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[OgNasty]

Over the top lads   go go go

Definitely a massive move for the technicals. Happening on a Sunday night is a little suspicious but if that holds tomorrow a lot of big boys will see it as the buy signal. At this point it may take a black swan event to reach new cycle lows.

[OutOfMemory]

Over the top lads   go go go

Definitely a massive move for the technicals. Happening on a Sunday night is a little suspicious but if that holds tomorrow a lot of big boys will see it as the buy signal. At this point it may take a black swan event to reach new cycle lows.

I really kind of anticipated that move, but not that early (GMT). Key factor was that price declined only a little at beginning and started to slowly decrease to the end of the weekend again. This shows some power. Let's see where and how low we may retract, if this even was the daily top already.

Thinking about changing my avatar's laser eyes to green 

[GEMIN_M4]

To all the Bitcoin investors that are still waiting for $50,000 Bitcoin before buying what are they going to say now that Bitcoin surged over 82k ? A friend have been waiting on this lane for a long time already.

He said, can you see that Bitcoin is finding it very hard to break 82k? That's a big sign that it will get tired and turn around, probably make a new lows then I said to him, do not forget that trying to break a target and not turning back after every try can also be a sign that it will go through later.

My bag is already set since 60k max, I said to myself even if we go lower I have some dry powder aside, waiting for that opportunity and if it never happens I am already in.

People wait too long when opportunities presents itself, I will never understand why.