Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

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[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[philipma1957]

bbb

[ChartBuddy]

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[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-09-23 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-09-23 09:04 AM CT

Bitcoin ETFs absorbed nearly $1 billion in new capital on Monday, signaling a decisive shift in institutional sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index climbed to 71, reflecting growing greed as the asset surged 12.7% over the past seven days. This inflow marks the largest single-day injection since October, suggesting the market is transitioning from recovery to accumulation.

Outlook: Traders should monitor the $16 billion options expiry on Deribit, as dealer hedging flows could dampen volatility near key resistance levels. Subsequent US macro data releases will test whether the recent ETF-driven rally can sustain momentum without further institutional buying.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $85,731.00, down 0.65% over 24 hours and up 12.7% over seven days. The derived Institutional Lag Composite reads +25 on a -50 to +50 scale. Buyers currently hold the upper hand, as the Fear & Greed index sits at 71, signaling a market driven by optimism rather than fear. This sentiment aligns with the recent seven-day rally, suggesting that participants are comfortable paying a premium for exposure. However, the price action has stalled slightly in the last 24 hours, indicating that the initial surge may be pausing before the next leg. The market needs to clear resistance at $91,500 to confirm a breakout, while support at $79,500 remains the critical floor for this trend. If price action fails to hold above $79,500, the bullish structure weakens, potentially inviting a deeper correction.

SCENARIOS

- Consolidation Above $79,500 (32%): triggers: Price remains between $79,500 and $91,500 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index staying above 60. Invalidation: A daily close below $79,500 or above $91,500 through Friday.
- Breakout Toward $97,000 (56%): triggers: A daily close above $91,500 through Friday, accompanied by a Fear & Greed reading that remains in the Greed zone. Invalidation: Price fails to sustain levels above $91,500 and closes below $79,500 through Friday.
- Correction to $74,500 (12%): triggers: A daily close below $79,500 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index dropping below 50. Invalidation: Price recovers and closes above $91,500 through Friday.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Dormant Wallet Activity: Four long-dormant wallets moved 1,971 BTC worth $161 million, including coins untouched since 2012, though on-chain data does not confirm if these assets are being sold or merely repositioned.

TOP STORIES

1. Bitcoin ETFs See Nearly $1B Inflows as Bull Market Returns
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/bitcoin-etf-investors-buy-nearly-1-billion
Published: 2026-09-22 02:55 PM CT
Summary: U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds received $999 million in new investment on Monday, marking the largest single-day inflow since October 6. Bitcoin's price stood at $86,552 after reaching $87,330 earlier in the day, representing a nearly 13% surge over the past seven days. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin trust led the inflows with $381.4 million, followed by the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF at $289.1 million and Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund at $238.8 million. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that the average ETF buyer is now in profit, as the estimated cost basis for these funds rose above $81,720 for the first time since January. CryptoQuant data indicated that Bitcoin crossed above its 365-day moving average, a technical signal often interpreted as the end of a bear market.

2. Bitcoin faces $16 billion options expiry and macro tests
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-faces-16-billion-options-expiry-friday-then-two-more-tests-hit-the-rally
Published: 2026-09-23 04:10 AM CT
Summary: Approximately $16 billion in Bitcoin options expire on Deribit on September 25, with calls comprising about 60% of the open interest. Bitcoin trades near $86,300, sitting within a low-volatility, positive-gamma zone that may dampen price movements near the $95,000 call wall. Ledn co-founder Mauricio Di Bartolomeo noted that dealer hedging flows from recent IBIT expirations likely pulled spot Bitcoin into the market, a dynamic expected to repeat with the Deribit book. Following the options settlement, US durable goods data, consumer sentiment reports, and CME futures settlements will test whether spot buying and ETF inflows sustain the rally. Recent ETF inflows totaled $999 million on September 21, while short liquidations contributed to a recent price surge.

3. Four dormant Bitcoin wallets move $161 million
URL: https://decrypt.co/379006/161-million-decade-old-bitcoin-moves-two-weeks
Published: 2026-09-22 04:16 PM CT
Summary: Four long-dormant Bitcoin wallets moved a combined 1,971.03 BTC, worth approximately $161 million, between September 6 and September 22. The largest transfer involved 1,260.78 BTC, valued at about $100.63 million, which had remained untouched since July 2016. Three of the four wallets carried "Noah Doe" tags linked to a New York lawsuit seeking to declare dormant addresses as abandoned property. A separate wallet holding 600 BTC, worth roughly $51.9 million, moved coins that had been dormant since July 2012. These movements continue a 2026 trend of ancient Bitcoin stashes reactivating, though on-chain data does not confirm whether the owners are selling or simply shifting custody.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3 | qwen3.8-flash-next

[ChartBuddy]

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[ivomm]

Even AI knows about BTC honey 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oaCOf4mXhg&list=RDQLXQH1g6AGk&index=8

[cAPSLOCK]

Not a recommendation or an endorsement because everything is dangerous nowadays...

But at first glance, this is an extraordinarily interesting mobile wallet project, kind of a Swiss Army knife.  Even has some kind of implementation of the big layer two contenders going right now. (Lightning, Liquid, Ark, Spark).

But the implementation and features are top-notch, in my opinion so far.

This would be a wallet on mobile that holds a good comparison to Sparrow on desktop.  

It works perfectly well with stateless signers like the Seedsigner.  You can easily set up watch only wallet and then spend from them through air gapped means.

Something for the power user and therefore there are some foot guns in there.  Also, it can be used in very complex ways (like the novel L2 implementations) which can lead to unforeseen tangles.  But I'm going to keep auditioning this one.

https://github.com/aeonbtc/IbisWallet

I'd share a screen job, but it doesn't allow that.

[ChartBuddy]

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[cAPSLOCK]

Even AI knows about BTC honey 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oaCOf4mXhg&list=RDQLXQH1g6AGk&index=8

The detail on this shit. It keeps getting better.

I'm a lifelong drummer. I know a little about the gear. I noticed that as the camera panned over, the guy playing the kit, there was a DW logo on the kick drum.

I wondered if they went deeper than that in the detail, so I waited for the next shot of the drums, and yes, indeed, the shells have the iconic DW lugs. Now, I'm not sure whether or not DW makes something like a vistalite shell as they had in this video, but the fact that it had that level of correct detail blows my mind. They didn't used to be able to get fingers right.

That said, these things to me are such a absolute exposure of the shallowness of popular culture and art because the robots can do just as good a job producing garbage as people who spend millions and millions of dollars on a song and video like this.

[Danish Ali]

Even AI knows about BTC honey 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oaCOf4mXhg&list=RDQLXQH1g6AGk&index=8

AI generating catchy tunes about stacking sweet gains before it even finishes training.

We really are in the future.

[ChartBuddy]

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[OgNasty]

A bloodbath in global assets of all kind today. Not great news to see how bad things are getting economically around the world. At least it seems like this is going to lead to an end of the Iran and possibly Ukraine wars. If that happened and we got those $5,000 checks, it would be off to the races again.

[ChartBuddy]

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[Hueristic]

Ohh no, back to ramen.

[OutOfMemory]

Even AI knows about BTC honey  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oaCOf4mXhg&list=RDQLXQH1g6AGk&index=8

The detail on this shit. It keeps getting better.

I'm a lifelong drummer. I know a little about the gear. I noticed that as the camera panned over, the guy playing the kit, there was a DW logo on the kick drum.

I wondered if they went deeper than that in the detail, so I waited for the next shot of the drums, and yes, indeed, the shells have the iconic DW lugs. Now, I'm not sure whether or not DW makes something like a vistolite shell as they had in this video, but the fact that it had that level of correct detail blows my mind. They didn't used to be able to get fingers right.

That said, these things to me are such a absolute exposure of the shallowness of popular culture and art because the robots can do just as good a job producing garbage as people who spend millions and millions of dollars on a song and video like this.

Thanks, you triggered me as a drummer right there to watch the video  

As for the fingers, there are still sausage fingers of the guitarist at 1:45, where the finger rings are level, which they aren't in most of the rest of the video, so i guess there is also heavy editing involved to mask up some details. Also the Djane shows AI fingers at 2:08 and 2:40. At this pacing (maaany fast cuts) it's hard to spot, but every time i had the impression of AI artifacts, i stopped, looked at some stills (frames) and the impressions got confirmed.

The Drum Workshop kit is indeed very interesting, for me as a co-aficionado. First i have to say that most of the hand postures are quite realistic, but it's in the details. Seems like Roland didn't sponsor the video, because the signature (logo) is obfuscated, while Zildjian (never sure if i spell it correctly) and DW (like Pioneer on the mixers) looks authentic. Most crazy thing was the double headed hihat, which i think doesn't even exist and the boom stand's swivel of the ride cymbal at 2:45 suddenly looks like it's been designed by H.R. Giger himself  

But yeah, the keep getting better, but the more sophisticated challenges, like realistic body movements, fingers and details that don't change between scenes, still not convincing for the autistic eagle eye.

Ohh no, back to ramen.

But still no amen (yet).
Spreading some hopium for the cyclists and fans of the Bitcoin funerals 

[cAPSLOCK]

A bloodbath in global assets of all kind today. Not great news to see how bad things are getting economically around the world. At least it seems like this is going to lead to an end of the Iran and possibly Ukraine wars. If that happened and we got those $5,000 checks, it would be off to the races again.

I would love for either of these to be true, but I don't think they will be.

As to the wars, they're not fighting the wars, they're telling us they're fighting. Not even what either side is saying, since we're getting at least two narratives for each of the major fronts that we're in right now. 

The United States is strangling energy production in the entire Eastern Hemisphere.  Ukrainian drones are bombing refineries in Russia, while the Strait of Hormuz is all but shut down.  Remember the gas pipeline? Who was it to blew that up again?

It won't be over till it's over, but it could get a lot worse from here.

As to those $5,000 checks, I would be gobsmacked if the right kept control of both houses.

No way.

Everyone on the left is going to vote against it. Probably more than half of Gen Z is going to vote against it.  I would imagine the Hispanic vote for the right is decimated.  And a lot of sensible people on the right feel betrayed by this administration. And they'll just stay home. 

Enough people will feel like a deadlock is better than the situation we're in now. There's no way those $5,000 checks are coming. (at least not via both houses being kept. I suppose they could change the rules as usual.)

I would love to be wrong and not for the $5,000 either. 😁

It's all about the energy and the money.  And it's an interesting gambit, honestly.  I'm not sure if this is the first war being waged with the Secretary of the Treasury basically being in control of an entire portion of it.  You could say he's actually the general of this one.

[Danish Ali]

Ohh no, back to ramen.

Premium ramen is still an upgrade over fiat savings. DCA through the noodle phase.