Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Lucius]

Yay!
My bank blocked direct transfers to an exchange.

Fucking cuntholes!!!

Good thing is that i don't have to rely on a single one 

I'm thinking that the next time I go to the bank to be asked those stupid questions like "do you finance any organizations (terrorist, political and similar)" I will put this on the counter and record the employee's reaction. Then again, perhaps that isn't a smart idea, especially when it comes to banks.

[Hueristic]

i'm really surprised that no one here has posted any pictures from this year's drone show in Lugano/Switzerland...
full video: https://x.com/LuganoPlanB/status/2114058922222919751

✂️

Watched the show so sad to see it and orange man talk.

You've been here long enough to know to shrink when quoting.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Richy_T]

Not yet Uptober

I m waiting for Yesvember. 

Hopefully Ninevember.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hueristic]

Not yet Uptober

I m waiting for Yesvember. 

Hopefully Ninevember.

Right about now I'll be happy with Nodropvember.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

Not yet Uptober

Fall uncertainty
Hands feeling in the dark air
Not yet Uptober






#haiku

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Searing]

Yay!
My bank blocked direct transfers to an exchange.

Fucking cuntholes!!!

Good thing is that i don't have to rely on a single one 

I'm thinking that the next time I go to the bank to be asked those stupid questions like "do you finance any organizations (terrorist, political and similar)" I will put this on the counter and record the employee's reaction. Then agPUain, perhaps that isn't a smart idea, especially when it comes to banks.

anyway...my play ..I just HODL ...and should probably sell crap in the attic and buy more via eBay but lazy...held since 2015

As to my vote above, I assume 'briefly' if the stock market were to go down 20% on an AI crash.....then BTC would go down (briefly, I hope) 40%

not a lot of 'adulting' in the world as such....I'm guessing at best a 'deep recession' for real folk no matter where the K shaped economy takes others..if not worse

so manage your debt, get some more btc dust and hunker down.....this lack of adulting in the world and in Govt is gonna bite everyone in the ass I fear

later

brad

[OutOfMemory]

Not yet Uptober

notober?

not over?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[OutOfMemory]

Yay!
My bank blocked direct transfers to an exchange.

Fucking cuntholes!!!

Good thing is that i don't have to rely on a single one 

I'm thinking that the next time I go to the bank to be asked those stupid questions like "do you finance any organizations (terrorist, political and similar)" I will put this on the counter and record the employee's reaction. Then again, perhaps that isn't a smart idea, especially when it comes to banks.

I could print that myself, i just need the orange filament  

However, there is news on the issue:

I found out that normal (slow) SEPA transfers to exchanges were put on hold, while transaction status was "accepted".
So i took a couple of deep breaths, made myself a big mug of strong latte and called the bank support line, which wasn't easy, because i had to trigger an authenticated phone call through their AI chatbot inside their mobile app    
Yeah, WTF?! This is what i was thinking, too.

So the operator (f) asked me, if i did initiate those transactions by myself, if i know the owner of the receiving bank account, and if i was told to do so or if it was my personal decision. I just answered accordingly, then she asked me what the reason for this transaction was (privacy,  anyone?), I answered that i provided money to a trading depot. She asked me to hold the line for a few minutes. When she returned to the call and rescued me from the boring waiting music with intermittent, loud beeps (?), like if you dial a random 0 on a number pad, she said the instant transactions would have to be initiated again, and the SEPA transactions got unlocked.

About half an hour later, i was driving the car and just got to my target, i got another call from the bank. This time it was some supervisor, asking me very detailed questions about the transactions that were formerly put on hold. She asked me where the money was coming from, plus more or less the same questions from the first call, plus if i am investing myself or who was my broker (LMFAO!). This type of private stuff. Then i became frustrated and started to nag her a bit, asked her if she wants to know my zodiac sign and gender, and if i should spell it, or use verbal morse codes (bee-bip-bip). She became serious and a bit angry, so i had to tell her that i tried to cheer her up with a little humor, and that i was a advocate of privacy since decades, and i got a little annoyed by her questions.  When i asked why i had to answer all those questions again, she said that they take money laundering very serious (as i told you before), as well as combating investment-scams, especially in the crypto space. I told her that i'm in the space since almost 10 years now, and that i always do my trades myself, sell rarely, and if so, pay my taxes accordingly.
After that, she just said that the two IBAN numbers i tried to send my money to were to be whitelisted by her, and followed up with the usual bla bla (if you encounter anything that is raising suspicions regarding those two accounts, don't hesitate to contact us... YEAH, i thought, if your fucking app would allow me to do that).

Bonkers?
Bankers!

My money is finally on my accounts now, after the BTC price has increased more than $1000 again.
Thanks for nothing. Is this what i pay those idiots for?

[d_eddie]

5. Bitcoin Simulations Show Why a Return to $126,000 Would Not Last
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-simulations-show-why-a-return-to-126000-may-not-last
Published: 2026-10-27 08:40 AM CT
Summary: A block-bootstrap simulation of 100,000 paths using 1,096 daily log returns from Oct. 26, 2023 through Oct. 26, 2026 found that 50.4% of paths closed above Bitcoin's record $126,198.07 at least once within 365 days, while only 34.8% finished above it. The 15.6-point gap means roughly one path in six reclaimed the level and then ended below it. Among paths that crossed within a year, the median first crossing took 189 days, and the median maximum drawdown before crossing was 18.9%, with a 90th percentile of 30.7%. The simulation starts from a $79,950 close on Oct. 26, 2026, and CryptoSlate's published one-year forecast puts the median terminal price at $124,281 on Oct. 26, 2027. Across seven selected historical recoveries since 2013, four dipped back below their old closing record within 30 days, and all seven saw a peak-to-trough correction of at least 20% within 90 days of first reclaim.
BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3 | DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017

Random walk? Brownian motion? Which kind of simulation is this block-bootstratp? Does it mean anything at all?

ELI5?

[Biodom]

5. Bitcoin Simulations Show Why a Return to $126,000 Would Not Last
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-simulations-show-why-a-return-to-126000-may-not-last
Published: 2026-10-27 08:40 AM CT
Summary: A block-bootstrap simulation of 100,000 paths using 1,096 daily log returns from Oct. 26, 2023 through Oct. 26, 2026 found that 50.4% of paths closed above Bitcoin's record $126,198.07 at least once within 365 days, while only 34.8% finished above it. The 15.6-point gap means roughly one path in six reclaimed the level and then ended below it. Among paths that crossed within a year, the median first crossing took 189 days, and the median maximum drawdown before crossing was 18.9%, with a 90th percentile of 30.7%. The simulation starts from a $79,950 close on Oct. 26, 2026, and CryptoSlate's published one-year forecast puts the median terminal price at $124,281 on Oct. 26, 2027. Across seven selected historical recoveries since 2013, four dipped back below their old closing record within 30 days, and all seven saw a peak-to-trough correction of at least 20% within 90 days of first reclaim.
BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3 | DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017

Random walk? Brownian motion? Which kind of simulation is this block-bootstratp? Does it mean anything at all?

ELI5?

Meaningless drivel, imho.
Could it happen? Maybe, but I am not counting extra 43K per btc, lol.
The poisonous Palihapatya, though, is another story.
I am starting to recall that practically any opinion that he espouses ends up as in a bunkum bunk, very similar to Vinny Lingham...they are "brothers in FUD".

[d_eddie]

I found out that normal (slow) SEPA transfers to exchanges were put on hold, while transaction status was "accepted".
So i took a couple of deep breaths, made myself a big mug of strong latte and called the bank support line, which wasn't easy, because i had to trigger an authenticated phone call through their AI chatbot inside their mobile app    
Yeah, WTF?! This is what i was thinking, too.

So the operator (f) asked me, if i did initiate those transactions by myself, if i know the owner of the receiving bank account, and if i was told to do so or if it was my personal decision. I just answered accordingly, then she asked me what the reason for this transaction was (privacy,  anyone?), I answered that i provided money to a trading depot. She asked me to hold the line for a few minutes. When she returned to the call and rescued me from the boring waiting music with intermittent, loud beeps (?), like if you dial a random 0 on a number pad, she said the instant transactions would have to be initiated again, and the SEPA transactions got unlocked.

About half an hour later, i was driving the car and just got to my target, i got another call from the bank. This time it was some supervisor, asking me very detailed questions

This is where I ask the one question that can make them nervous. "I believe closing an account is expense free by law, isn't it?".

I played this soft threat several times, with several banks. Twice I actually followed through.
Once in particular I remember well: I didn't actually close the account, but the following day I made a significant transfer of about 95% of my funds into another bank. We NEED to have more than one bank don't we?. At the time, the amount was substantial. Substantial enough that they called to ask why. Not in an inquisitive, "are you supporting terrorism or scams" way: they could see the destination address was in my name, only at a different bank. I answered: "Why? Because the other bank doesn't try to obstruct my transfers. I already managed a few transfers from them in the past, and there was no hassle." (which was true).

She asked me where the money was coming from, plus more or less the same questions from the first call, plus if i am investing myself or who was my broker (LMFAO!). This type of private stuff. Then i became frustrated and started to nag her a bit, asked her if she wants to know my zodiac sign and gender,

This is where I ask for the color of her underwear and if she's actually wearing it. Privacy, you know. At least to call center operators.

the usual bla bla (if you encounter anything that is raising suspicions regarding those two accounts, don't hesitate to contact us... YEAH, i thought, if your fucking app would allow me to do that).

In my experience, bankers are not even the hardest to reach by phone. Try to talk to a person at the electric co. or your telecom when there's a problem!

My money is finally on my accounts now, after the BTC price has increased more than $1000 again.
Thanks for nothing. Is this what i pay those idiots for?

Consumer protection code for recovering opportunity costs. If there were one, they'd be sweating. There isn't.

[d_eddie]

The poisonous Palihapatya, though, is another story.
I am starting to recall that practically any opinion that he espouses ends up in a bunk, very similar to Vinny Lingham...they are "brothers in FUD".

Is he actually named after a DICK? 

[Biodom]

The poisonous Palihapatya, though, is another story.
I am starting to recall that practically any opinion that he espouses ends up in a bunk, very similar to Vinny Lingham...they are "brothers in FUD".

Is he actually named after a DICK? 

not directly, afaik, but he talks about his "member", though.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lingham