Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

as Trump would declare void elections and the shit hits the fan


BTW all of the above is shit news for the Ukraine

sorry that the Ukraine needs to fight without a lot of support from the USA.

The good thing is after this is over, he is not gonna longer be again a president of the USA thanks to the rules and he is gonna be just a part in history. The main thing is.... what is gonna be the new Republican line? Rubio? or JD Vance. I think Rubio is way better than JD.

You talking about "the new line"?! Those are all clowns!

Rubio is likely better than Vance

[OutOfMemory]

as Trump would declare void elections and the shit hits the fan


BTW all of the above is shit news for the Ukraine

sorry that the Ukraine needs to fight without a lot of support from the USA.

The good thing is after this is over, he is not gonna longer be again a president of the USA thanks to the rules and he is gonna be just a part in history. The main thing is.... what is gonna be the new Republican line? Rubio? or JD Vance. I think Rubio is way better than JD.

You talking about "the new line"?! Those are all clowns!

Rubio is likely better than Vance

Which would be like the infamous choice between a rock and a hard place.
Even if true (i also think it's likely true), you'd rather like real, respectable statemen to run the USA.

[OgNasty]

as Trump would declare void elections and the shit hits the fan


BTW all of the above is shit news for the Ukraine

sorry that the Ukraine needs to fight without a lot of support from the USA.

The good thing is after this is over, he is not gonna longer be again a president of the USA thanks to the rules and he is gonna be just a part in history. The main thing is.... what is gonna be the new Republican line? Rubio? or JD Vance. I think Rubio is way better than JD.

You talking about "the new line"?! Those are all clowns!

Rubio is likely better than Vance

Which would be like the infamous choice between a rock and a hard place.
Even if true (i also think it's likely true), you'd rather like real, respectable statemen to run the USA.

I don't care who the next President of the United States is so long as they hold decent values.  That means no trans nonsense in our schools.  No taxpayer funds to illegal immigrants.  Perhaps most importantly, someone who wants to cut government spending.  This means ending wars, ending fraudulent programs like USAID, and going after the fraudsters who are stealing money from the country.  I'm not sure why any of these things are controversial or why anyone would vote for the opposite, but that's how I feel.  I couldn't care less about the individual at the helm.  I care about the direction of the ship.

[Richy_T]

you'd rather like real, respectable statemen to run the USA.

You mean someone who can play one on TV? Cause that's the way things (barely) work these days.

[OutOfMemory]

you'd rather like real, respectable statemen to run the USA.

You mean someone who can play one on TV? Cause that's the way things (barely) work these days.

I wouldn't even argue over that, but honestly i literally meant real. 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

The results are coming in so far nothing out of the ordinary.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

Looks like a split congress

Sen = republican

House = democrats

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[OgNasty]

Looks like a split congress

Sen = republican

House = democrats

Probably the best case result.  The dems can have something to celebrate while Republicans understand that liberals can do very little damage to the country as long as they don't control the Senate or the Presidency.  

I just hope that Arizona doesn't end up with a liberal Governor again.  Such obvious fraud.  If you live here it is impossible to deny.  They only managed to shut down 2 voting locations in conservative areas though, and I don't think that is going to be enough for them to win if that's the only cheating they're relying on.  Fingers crossed...

[ESG]

 After twenty-two years in space, NASA's Swift Telescope will fall on Earth, after a failed mission to try to recover it, it should fall nearthe equator anywhere in the world, near the equator, maybe today /  tomorrow,  but the forecast would be this week. source, several  but>>
"  

After Observing the Sky for 22 Years, a Beloved NASA Space Telescope
 Is Expected to Meet a Fiery Death This Week

The Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory launched in 2004 and detected thousands of astrophysical phenomena, leading to some huge discoveries. Earlier this year, experts attempted a first-of-its-kind rescue mission to save the falling telescope, but it failed


NASA’s groundbreaking Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory, which stared at the cosmos for more than two decades, is expected to crash down to Earth this week. The U.S. Space Force estimates the beloved space telescope will re-enter the planet’s atmosphere around November 4, where most of it should burn up.

“We’ve known this day would come since before Swift was launched. At least in low-Earth orbit, what goes up must come down. And that end is catastrophic,” says John Nousek, an astronomer at Pennsylvania State University who led the control team, to Marcia Dunn at the Associated Press

Swift’s fiery death comes after an attempted Hail Mary earlier this year. The aging telescope recently had been falling from its orbit faster than predicted because of unusually strong solar activity in late 2024. That increased atmospheric drag on the observatory, pulling it down.

In response, NASA contracted Arizona-based company Katalyst Space Technologies to build a spacecraft that would use robotic arms to lift Swift back into higher orbit. It launched on July 3, but the first-of-its-kind mission failed when the rescue craft had issues with its orientation control system, among other problems.

Scientists are now mourning the loss of Swift. It launched in November 2004 for what was supposed to be a two-year mission to study gamma-ray bursts. They’re the most powerful explosions in the universe and often associated with the collapse of massive stars or the birth of black holes.

Instead, the observatory spent 22 years observing more than 2,000 gamma-ray bursts, 1,400 supernova explosions, stars being shredded by black holes, asteroids, comets and countless other cosmic phenomena and objects. Its data was quickly accessible to researchers, and by the end of its career, it had contributed to roughly 7,000 scientific papers. Some of the telescope’s biggest discoveries happened in 2017, when it detected signs of a merger between two dense stellar leftovers, called neutron stars, and helped trace a ghostly, high-energy neutrino particle to its origin.

...

Here there were also people coming from Paraguay to vote... nothing came of it... they had false documents and everything, but the trickery is at the end, they say who won and that's it. this circus is all over the world.. except in authoritarian countries... when the countries are  authoritarian who speak the truth... that they are in power and that's it, in non-authoritarian countries (regime), they set up a theater, a circus, spend some money and in the end, they say that it was the people who chose... the guilt of having a politician is still left to the people...

>>>Nice! fifth montly movie-average at 64500k still is support!


#

Been reading some posts as well obviously

The one caught my eye…

After each hack, price relatively recovers fast and surge for new All time highs.
Will the pattern rhyme again?

Who knows, but for the patterns followers  

 maybe it's missing the last deep breath, fill the tank with oxygen and burn all this accumulated fuel..., the more time passes, the more fuel is accumulating in the tank waiting for oxygen to be burned, and at the right time, the departure will be released, maybe in the next propulsion, #BTC will overtake Voyager that is already beyond the solar system out of the orbit of the Sun and within the infinity of the universe!

 #

monthly

BTC=76800$

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-11-03 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-11-03 08:04 PM CT

Bitcoin is grinding lower, down 5.3% over the past seven days and 10.2% over the past 30, with the Fear & Greed Index stuck at 34 for six straight sessions. The dominant story is corporate accumulation continuing into the weakness: Strive bought 124 BTC for roughly $10 million between Oct. 24 and Oct. 30, lifting its treasury to 43,124 BTC and fourth place among public holders. Price remains below the 30-day average of $81,141, and the 24-hour move is essentially flat at -0.14%.

Outlook: Watch whether spot Bitcoin ETF demand stabilizes after the combined $1.04 billion in net outflows on Oct. 30 and Nov. 2, since Wintermute flags that dip-buying has come through leveraged perpetual futures rather than fresh spot capital. Also keep an eye on the Liquid sidechain's restored 1:1 backing, which removes a lingering counterparty overhang from the bridge exploit.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $76,911.00, down 0.14% over 24 hours and down 5.3% over seven days. The derived Momentum-Sentiment Composite reads -5 on a -50 to +50 scale. Sellers still hold the initiative, and the tape reflects a market that has spent a month grinding lower rather than capitulating in a single flush. The computed levels frame the argument cleanly: $73,500 is the line that matters, and a close above it keeps the range intact while a decisive break opens the door toward $70,500. Resistance at $80,500 is where the burden of proof shifts back to buyers, and reclaiming it would put $83,500 in play. Fear & Greed at 34 tells us sentiment is defensive, but that reading describes mood, not flows, so treat it as context rather than a signal. What would flip control is simple and checkable: a sustained hold of $73,500 combined with a push through $80,500 would mark the first real change in character in weeks.

SCENARIOS

- Consolidation Above $73,500 (55%): The most likely path is that the market keeps chopping in the $73,500 to $80,500 band, because the 30-day decline has been orderly rather than violent and Fear & Greed at 34 has not yet reached the kind of washout reading that typically precedes a sharp reversal. A daily close that holds $73,500 through Friday, with no close below it in that window, confirms the range is intact. Invalidation: any daily close below $73,500 within five trading days.
- Reclaim of $80,500 Toward $83,500 (12%): For this to fire, buyers would need to absorb the recent supply and drive a daily close above $80,500 within five trading days, which would be the first meaningful higher high since the slide began. The trigger is that close above $80,500, and the $83,500 target becomes the objective once resistance flips to support. Invalidation: a daily close back below $80,500 after the breakout, or failure to print any close above $80,500 within five trading days.
- Breakdown Through $73,500 to $70,500 (33%): Should the current drift lower continue and a daily close land below $73,500 within five trading days, the range thesis fails and the $70,500 downside target comes into view. This scenario carries real weight because the 7-day and 30-day trends both point down, and momentum has not yet shown a turn. Invalidation: a daily close back above $73,500 after the breakdown, or no close below $73,500 within five trading days.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Corporate treasury bid: Strive's 124 BTC purchase and its first use of the SATS preferred at-the-market program show public companies are still adding coins into a falling market, even as its cash position fell $14 million week over week.
- Exchange breach fallout: The Binance breach on Oct. 29 and Mercado Bitcoin's separate Nov. 2 incident share a common thread of exchange-level security risk, which may be feeding the cautious tone in sentiment even as customer funds are being made whole.

TOP STORIES

1. Strive buys 124 BTC for $10M, total treasury reaches 43,124 BTC
URL: https://www.theblock.co/news/business/2026-11-02-strive-inches-closer-second-largest-public-bitcoin-holder-10-million-buy-432312
Published: 2026-11-02 09:00 AM CT
Summary: Strive bought 124 BTC for roughly $10 million between Oct. 24 and Oct. 30, according to a Monday SEC filing. The purchase brings Strive's total bitcoin treasury to 43,124 BTC and puts it in fourth place among public corporate holders. Strategy leads with 849,327 BTC, followed by Metaplanet at 44,000 BTC and Twenty One at 43,514 BTC. Strive ended Oct. 30 with $490.4 million in cash equivalents, down $14 million from a week earlier. CEO Matt Cole said Strive funded most of the purchase with existing cash and used its SATS preferred stock at-the-market program for the first time, a program launched Oct. 26 that allows Strive to sell up to $1 billion of SATS preferred shares.

2. Liquid Network Restores Full Bitcoin Backing After $320M Exploit
URL: https://www.theblock.co/news/ecosystems/2026-11-03-liquid-network-restores-full-bitcoin-backing-following-exploit-432387
Published: 2026-11-03 05:48 AM CT
Summary: The Liquid Federation said the sidechain's bitcoin reserves are back to full 1:1 backing for all LBTC, nearly two months after an exploit drained roughly 4,000 BTC, worth about $320 million, from its Federation wallet. The attacker returned about 3,400 BTC the day after Blockstream patched the affected bridge nodes on Sept. 6, but withheld roughly 600 BTC. Blockstream rejected the attacker's demand for a 10% bug bounty, saying open-source developers should not pay a ransom exceeding their economic participation. Samson Mow, a Liquid Federation board member, reported deposits of 50 BTC on Oct. 28, 300 BTC on Monday and a further 250 BTC later that day, and Mow named Blockstream as the source of the funds. The exploit traced to a bug in cached range proof verifications in Elements, the software underlying Liquid, which let the attacker create about 4,000 unbacked LBTC and withdraw bitcoin through SideSwap; Elements v23.3.4 shipped on Sept. 9 and Liquid resumed producing blocks that day.

3. Bitcoin Falls 8.25% Despite Lower Real Treasury Yields
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-and-treasury-yields-fall-together-in-rare-divergence-as-80000-recovery-fails
Published: 2026-11-03 09:30 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin fell 8.25% between Oct. 21 and Oct. 30, dropping from roughly $84,134 to $77,191, even as the 10-year inflation-protected US Treasury yield declined 16 basis points to 2.60%. The Nasdaq-100 lost 4.82% over the same stretch, and Bitcoin traded near $76,861 early Tuesday, below the $80,000 level. Wintermute attributed the crypto-specific shock to Binance's Oct. 29 security breach, which triggered about $1.5 billion in liquidations with roughly 85% of those positions long. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $643.2 million in net outflows on Oct. 30 and $398.6 million on Nov. 2, a combined $1.04 billion, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for $405.3 million of the Nov. 2 withdrawals. Wintermute said dip-buying came through leveraged perpetual futures rather than fresh spot capital, and the firm flagged $76,800 as the next level to hold while a reclaim of $80,000 with spot and ETF demand would challenge its cautious view.

4. Mercado Bitcoin Says Users Won't Bear Cost of Hack
URL: https://decrypt.co/382459/brazil-mercado-bitcoin-will-refund-users-40-million-hack
Published: 2026-11-03 12:16 PM CT
Summary: Mercado Bitcoin, Brazil's largest crypto exchange, said customers will not bear the cost of a breach it detected early on November 2 and that no customer lost money or data. The exchange froze deposits and withdrawals as a precaution, and those remain suspended with no restart date. Loss estimates differ: Mercado Bitcoin put the assets involved at about $38 million and said it had blocked $11 million with help from some shitcoin, some different shitcoin, yet another different shitcoin, still another different shitcoin and Chainalysis. Hypernative flagged more than $40 million in suspicious transfers across at least 10 blockchains including Bitcoin, one more different shitcoin, a fifth different shitcoin and Tron, while Arkham traced at least $46 million and Chainalysis about $49 million with nearly $10 million frozen. The CEO of some shitcoin, Paolo Ardoino, said more than $4.5 million in it tied to the incident was frozen, and a freeze stops tokens from moving but does not return them to their owner. The breach came days after hackers drained more than $6 billion from Binance on October 29, an attack the FBI blamed on North Korea's TraderTraitor group, though Mercado Bitcoin has not linked its incident to that one.

5. LDK Patches Onion-Message Probe That Could Link Unannounced Lightning Channels to Bitcoin Funding Outputs
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-lightning-fix-blocks-a-probe-linking-private-channels-to-onchain-funding
Published: 2026-11-03 09:00 AM CT
Summary: Lightning Development Kit merged a code fix on October 25 that blocks a documented onion-message probe linking an unannounced Lightning channel to the Bitcoin output funding it. A real short-channel ID encodes the funding output's block height, transaction index and output index, so an attacker can guess a candidate ID from an onchain output without knowing whether it belongs to a channel between two suspected nodes. The probe requires the attacker to connect to both suspected endpoints and route an onion message through them back to itself; before the fix, LDK's ChannelManager resolved real IDs for unannounced channels once funding confirmed, and a successful return confirmed the link. LDK now rejects an unannounced channel's real SCID during onion-message next-node lookup unless that value is the channel's outbound alias, and valid aliases remain usable. The fix concerns onion-message forwarding only, and the reviewed changelog does not establish which wallet releases or deployed versions include it, so users need confirmation from their wallet provider.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3 | DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

Buddy is crying bout maga results

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

We dipped under 76k for a bit.

Texas crushed maga blew out the  6 term wheelchair bound governor using a Latina.

Then the moron republican Paxton crushed by Talidico for senator.

As it stands the senate may be 51 dem 48 repub 1 independent

And the house may be 222 dem to 213 repub