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Question: Did the mining equation suddenly change with BFL's first "real" 5Gh shipment?  (Voting closed: May 01, 2013, 01:19:46 AM)
Yes! I bought a minirig and have my 13x24port USB hubs ready! - 23 (17%)
No! They won't be able to scale 5Gh production to meet everyone's delivery for 6 months - 85 (63%)
What you talkin bout willis?  Only Avalon is allowed to sell Asics! - 27 (20%)
Total Voters: 135

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Author Topic: Did the mining equation suddenly change with BFL's first "real" 5Gh shipment  (Read 4060 times)
jspielberg (OP)
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April 21, 2013, 01:19:46 AM
 #1

So... has Goliath just been roused from a slumber?  Are we going to see Asics flooding the market any day now? 

Should Avalon Batch 2 and 3 folks be concerned? 

What says the "wisdom of the crowd"?
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April 21, 2013, 01:26:31 AM
 #2

They will be delivering preorders for AT LEAST the next 6 months judging by the release of their FPGAs.

They haven't even finished the design for the Single or little Single yet.

Also, they aren't shipping yet.. these are prototypes shipped to developers and one PR guy.

I bet full scale shipping to actual customers is at least a week away if not more.
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April 21, 2013, 01:39:00 AM
 #3

This will add to the flow of ASICs but not in any radical way. Avalon has 1200 units shipping/almost shipping and at least 30,000 chips have been sold now. So you can expect the difficulty to double each month for the next few months at least. BFL will add to that as they manage to get some out the door, but with so many already in progress it's not a gamer changer for anyone who has been paying attention and projecting ahead.

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April 21, 2013, 01:44:19 AM
 #4

I must admit, I voted solely on the strength of the "Wha'choo talkin bout Willis" argument.

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April 21, 2013, 01:48:47 AM
 #5

I want BFL to ship my singles, I also don't want BFL to ship so my batch 3 avalon have a chance of ROI. I just can't win can I Sad
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April 21, 2013, 01:53:16 AM
 #6

Let's look at worse case scenario and assume they ship monday and everything is overnighted with saturday deliveries.  At this point, only the 5gh will ship and who knows when the bigger units will ship. 

Here is the math.

5gh x 400 units a day(that is going on what they have said they can do)= 2th a day x 5 days a week = 10th a week

So that to me is worse case scenario.  Then again, who knows when they will start shipping in bulk or how many a day they can really ship. 
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April 21, 2013, 02:06:16 AM
 #7

With ASICs in the wild new mining adopters (the rest of the world) will be forced to buy from companies like BLF. This will force other crypto currencies like Litecoin to come into favor since people can still mine that with a regular desktop machine.  Bitcoin was intended to be a non-centralized currency so it seems unreasonable that people will favor it as it becomes more centralized in large mining farms like ASICMiner.

 
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April 21, 2013, 02:10:01 AM
 #8

With ASICs in the wild new mining adopters (the rest of the world) will be forced to buy from companies like BLF. This will force other crypto currencies like Litecoin to come into favor since people can still mine that with a regular desktop machine.  Bitcoin was intended to be a non-centralized currency so it seems unreasonable that people will favor it as it becomes more centralized in large mining farms like ASICMiner.

 

Forget about idea mate, nobody doesn't give a shit about it at this stage. It's all about money now.

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April 21, 2013, 02:12:03 AM
 #9

It depends how many TH they can ship and how quickly.  Whether it ships as Jalapenos or Mini-rigs doesn't really matter.  If they - or any other ASIC vendor - can get significant hashing power into the hands of their customers quickly, it's a game changer.

All I can say is that this is Bitcoin. I don't believe it until I see six confirmations.
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April 21, 2013, 02:15:26 AM
 #10


Forget about idea mate, nobody doesn't give a shit about it at this stage. It's all about money now.

Yup, people on here would pimp out their moms for overnight delivery on any asic.

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April 21, 2013, 02:19:44 AM
 #11


Forget about idea mate, nobody doesn't give a shit about it at this stage. It's all about money now.

Yup, people on here would pimp out their moms for overnight delivery on any asic.

It's shame really... we're all here (or huge, huge majority) for money but it's going too far... I remember reading these forums 2-3 years ago and finding people here as some cool, mystic, revolutionary group but that went to bobbins when bitcoin went to 260$ and asic's hashing power calculations hit the brains Smiley

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minternj
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April 21, 2013, 02:29:56 AM
 #12


Forget about idea mate, nobody doesn't give a shit about it at this stage. It's all about money now.

Yup, people on here would pimp out their moms for overnight delivery on any asic.

It's shame really... we're all here (or huge, huge majority) for money but it's going too far... I remember reading these forums 2-3 years ago and finding people here as some cool, mystic, revolutionary group but that went to bobbins when bitcoin went to 260$ and asic's hashing power calculations hit the brains Smiley


I feel the same. Some of the venom coming from people on this forum is incredible.Not much of a community where we are here for the same purpose and to help each other out, more reminds me of a sports forum. Where immature idiots call each other names because they support the wrong team.

Warning about Nitrogensports.eu
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=709114.0
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April 21, 2013, 02:31:13 AM
 #13

I don't care who they pimp.  ASICs cannot mine litecoin and so the miners will migrate as soon as they recognize this...  Miners make more money mining litecoin than bitcoin.  Why would they mine bitcoin?  Today my machine mines both at about the same profit per day.  

When the ASICS all ship my machine will make much more money mining litecoin and the ASICs will not be able to follow.
jspielberg (OP)
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April 21, 2013, 02:34:37 AM
 #14


I feel the same. Some of the venom coming from people on this forum is incredible.Not much of a community where we are here for the same purpose and to help each other out, more reminds me of a sports forum. Where immature idiots call each other names because they support the wrong team.

Conflict is a fact of nature and tribalization seems to be one of human nature.  I think there are a few folks here who are professional miners, but the rest are just enjoying the crazy larger tribe that is bitcoin.  There are a couple of vocal blowhards... but the ignore button isn't that difficult to use.

Enjoy!  I am glad this poll is seeing some interesting discussion.
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April 21, 2013, 02:38:31 AM
 #15

I don't care who they pimp.  ASICs cannot mine litecoin and so the miners will migrate as soon as they recognize this...  Miners make more money mining litecoin than bitcoin.  Why would they mine bitcoin?  Today my machine mines both at about the same profit per day.  

When the ASICS all ship my machine will make much more money mining litecoin and the ASICs will not be able to follow.

Right, and as more and more people flock to litecoins, difficulty goes up like crazy like it has been.  If the price doesn't rise with the difficulty people who mine litecoins(like myself) are going to be making less money.  Right now we are sitting at 6% more profit then bitcoins.  What happens next?
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April 21, 2013, 02:42:37 AM
 #16

What happens next is a mass adoption of the currency, replacing bitcoin for these primary reasons:

1) mining does not require large sums of capital, it can be done by any PC.
2) mining algorithm does not allow a deep pocket ASIC solution to centralize the mining
3) transaction time is reduced, so merchants actually adopt it.
4) money supply is increased, not restricted to 21 million coins.

 
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April 21, 2013, 02:53:46 AM
Last edit: April 21, 2013, 04:04:13 AM by BkkCoins
 #17

I don't care who they pimp.  ASICs cannot mine litecoin and so the miners will migrate as soon as they recognize this...  Miners make more money mining litecoin than bitcoin.  Why would they mine bitcoin?  Today my machine mines both at about the same profit per day.  

When the ASICS all ship my machine will make much more money mining litecoin and the ASICs will not be able to follow.

Right, and as more and more people flock to litecoins, difficulty goes up like crazy like it has been.  If the price doesn't rise with the difficulty people who mine litecoins(like myself) are going to be making less money.  Right now we are sitting at 6% more profit then bitcoins.  What happens next?
You can expect most of the base 30TH/s of GPUs to migrate to Litecoin. What would the price of Litecoin do then? A currency no one has any use for except converting to Bitcoin.

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April 21, 2013, 03:51:10 AM
 #18

Aren't ASIC prices supposed to come down the more chips are made?

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April 21, 2013, 04:51:29 AM
 #19

Aren't ASIC prices supposed to come down the more chips are made?

I guess we'll get a sense of whether that's going to happen when 490,000 Avalon chips are delivered in August and we have a heap of different people selling units.

There's not really any particular reason why volume means prices must come down.  If the market will sustain high prices, then many businesses will charge high prices for as long as possible regardless of actual production costs. 

All I can say is that this is Bitcoin. I don't believe it until I see six confirmations.
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April 21, 2013, 09:44:51 AM
 #20

I don't care who they pimp.  ASICs cannot mine litecoin and so the miners will migrate as soon as they recognize this...  Miners make more money mining litecoin than bitcoin.  Why would they mine bitcoin?  Today my machine mines both at about the same profit per day.  

When the ASICS all ship my machine will make much more money mining litecoin and the ASICs will not be able to follow.

Exactly what I think. If you've been mining bitcoins and/or are going big, stay in the game a while, but I suggest to start on litecoin now before it explodes, and I bet you it will because everybody on this forum is coming to that conclusion at some point or another.
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