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Author Topic: South Korea, the BTC pump and the household credit problem  (Read 1177 times)
pinkflower (OP)
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May 26, 2017, 07:04:55 AM
Last edit: May 28, 2017, 09:43:13 AM by pinkflower
 #1

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.
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May 26, 2017, 11:57:20 AM
 #2

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country because the banking system doesnt allow them to.

That is a possibility. With the threat of war ever looming, I wouldn't be surprised if those that can afford to would be moving their money out of the country, in preparation for bugging out should conflict break out. This is just the way things are and how they'll continue to be in the near future.

So yeah, sucks for those who'll get left behind. Still wouldn't hurt to keep their bitcoins though. I mean, they can flee later as refugees and exchange their bitcoins in the host country.

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May 26, 2017, 12:10:28 PM
 #3

surely the primary reason for any premium is that it's a small market and hard, or impossible, for foreigners to get fiat in and out. you build a closed loop like that and it's always gonna go and do its own thing.

north korea has always been looming on the horizon.
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May 26, 2017, 06:44:18 PM
 #4

This are some of the disadvantages of crypto currencies as an anonymous transactions. Bitcoin and crypto currencies in general did not allow the government to ascertain the capital flight, money in circulation and the ability to spend. I am an advocate of removing anonymous transactions from bitcoin features.
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May 26, 2017, 06:48:34 PM
 #5

surely the primary reason for any premium is that it's a small market and hard, or impossible, for foreigners to get fiat in and out. you build a closed loop like that and it's always gonna go and do its own thing.

^^^^this

The capital controls and other factors such as the low exchange limits make it nearly impossible to move enough money to take advantage of the arbitrage. Also it seems the WON to USD conversions on the exchanges basically wipe out the arbitrage completely when you do the research.

Stop buying industrial miners, running them at home, and then complaining about the noise.
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May 27, 2017, 01:16:53 AM
 #6

I think this is a good news for the development of the bitcoin, if many countries officially using bitcoin then prices will continue to skyrocket and never drop like before.


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pinkflower (OP)
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May 27, 2017, 08:52:45 AM
 #7

surely the primary reason for any premium is that it's a small market and hard, or impossible, for foreigners to get fiat in and out. you build a closed loop like that and it's always gonna go and do its own thing.

north korea has always been looming on the horizon.

If you check the volume among the BTC/KRW trading pairs you will be surprised how large they are. I havent checked today but their volumes are tens of millions more in $. Are those ordinary people's money or institutional investors?
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May 28, 2017, 07:27:03 AM
 #8

I think this is a good news for the development of the bitcoin, if many countries officially using bitcoin then prices will continue to skyrocket and never drop like before.

Well they haven't officially adopted it but there seems to be a great demand from that country and even though it's going to hold up the price high we should be certain they are going into the right hands and not the bad people who intends to perpetuate crime with cryptocurrencies.
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May 28, 2017, 09:41:43 AM
 #9

I think this is a good news for the development of the bitcoin, if many countries officially using bitcoin then prices will continue to skyrocket and never drop like before.

Well they haven't officially adopted it but there seems to be a great demand from that country and even though it's going to hold up the price high we should be certain they are going into the right hands and not the bad people who intends to perpetuate crime with cryptocurrencies.

Both of you please take some time to read the topic in the original post and then tell us your thoughts about it. Im sure that will find that theres some validity in what Im trying to tell you.
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May 28, 2017, 10:42:50 AM
 #10

Japan and South Korea officially legalized the use of the bitcoin so helps increase the price, if China following Japan and South Korea, to legalize bitcoin then prices will rise by up to 1000% in a year.
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May 28, 2017, 10:48:34 AM
 #11

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Some of the reasons you mentioned are correct but I believe that the main reason why the Koreans are buying more bitcoins is just like the motives of  the majority of bitcoin holders and that is to gain profit. Koreans are also fanatic of social media and many things on the web thus they are not late on the facts that bitcoin as an online currency has made many individuals online to earn huge profit in a short period of time.
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May 28, 2017, 11:46:25 AM
 #12

Japan and South Korea officially legalized the use of the bitcoin so helps increase the price, if China following Japan and South Korea, to legalize bitcoin then prices will rise by up to 1000% in a year.
In x10 the price will not grow exactly, especially on the background of problems with BU and scaling. If China legalizes BTC, then I will believe in x2-3 in 1-2 years, but 10 times it is unrealizable

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May 28, 2017, 11:57:39 AM
 #13

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Or it could be just ordinary Koreans taking a fancy to Bitcoin.
We know that there is increased interest in Japan following favourable regulations; maybe this has spread to South Korea too.  Smiley
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May 29, 2017, 07:50:01 AM
 #14

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Or it could be just ordinary Koreans taking a fancy to Bitcoin.
We know that there is increased interest in Japan following favourable regulations; maybe this has spread to South Korea too.  Smiley

In other words youre thinking that the Korean traders are just trying to pump the price? Is that what youre saying? What do you mean that the favorable regulations has spread in South Korea too? Do you know any news about it?
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May 29, 2017, 10:40:34 AM
 #15

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Or it could be just ordinary Koreans taking a fancy to Bitcoin.
We know that there is increased interest in Japan following favourable regulations; maybe this has spread to South Korea too.  Smiley
I would be more inclined to believe that it was institutional investment rather than a large amount of individuals - the reason being that if you look at the Google search trends for Bitcoin, you'll find that South Korea is not even in the top 25 regions interested.

Also, a large number of "dumb money" tends to make the price more susceptible to large drops, because people panic whenever there is a slight drop in the market.  Since the premium is still crazily high it gives us an indication that the investors there are quite mature and are looking long-term.

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May 29, 2017, 10:54:37 AM
 #16

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high

I guess you should first look for simpler explanations

As said before, these exchanges may be locked in, and if you can't deposit or withdraw fiat to and from them (or fees for these operations are insane), you should expect such rates. The same happened at Bitfinex recently. They also had (and still have, if I'm not mistaken) problems with fiat transfers (Taiwanese banks closing payment channels for the exchange), and voila, Bitcoin is traded at an over 100 dollar premium to other exchanges. If you want to find out whether this has anything to do with capital flights, you could as well look at official exchange rates versus black market rates (e.g. Korean Won against the US dollar). If these rates are essentially the same (or there is no black market), then this discrepancy has nothing to do with capital flight

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May 29, 2017, 11:21:55 AM
 #17

I think this is a good news for the development of the bitcoin, if many countries officially using bitcoin then prices will continue to skyrocket and never drop like before.
maybe you are correct. but I do not like that way they are trying to pump bitcoin like that. They can use credit card to buy cheap bitcoin, right? But they waste tons of money to buy expensive bitcoin





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pinkflower (OP)
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May 30, 2017, 06:38:28 AM
 #18

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high

I guess you should first look for simpler explanations

As said before, these exchanges may be locked in, and if you can't deposit or withdraw fiat to and from them (or fees for these operations are insane), you should expect such rates. The same happened at Bitfinex recently. They also had (and still have, if I'm not mistaken) problems with fiat transfers (Taiwanese banks closing payment channels for the exchange), and voila, Bitcoin is traded at an over 100 dollar premium to other exchanges. If you want to find out whether this has anything to do with capital flights, you could as well look at official exchange rates versus black market rates (e.g. Korean Won against the US dollar). If these rates are essentially the same (or there is no black market), then this discrepancy has nothing to do with capital flight

Yeah youre right! I learned something new again today. I havent done some checking online yet but do you know where to find the rates for US dollars in the black market? Assuming those rates arent available anywhere then it would hard to know if it has something to do with capital flight for sure.
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May 30, 2017, 08:20:45 AM
 #19

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Or it could be just ordinary Koreans taking a fancy to Bitcoin.
We know that there is increased interest in Japan following favourable regulations; maybe this has spread to South Korea too.  Smiley
With the buzz surrounding bitcoin in Japan right now, it is no surprise that South Korea isn't far behind because of the growing demand and the sudden surge in interest, even if they have to pay a premium. What's even more amazing is that it is not only limited to bitcoin in South Korea as the demand for ethereum and ripple has also been picking up.
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May 30, 2017, 09:16:59 AM
 #20

Look at the prices of BTC in all the different exchanges and take notice of the higher price in the Korean exchanges. It was trading at a $2000 premium this week and has lowered to a $1000 premium.

Why? Could there be an ongoing capital flight happening? Their household debt is totaling $1.2 trillion. An all time high.

http://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2017&no=344490

Another reason for an ongoing capital flight scenario is the concerns over South Korea's face off against North Korea.

http://ecard.nationmultimedia.com/news/business/EconomyAndTourism/30312620

Maybe theyre using BTC to get money out of their country to bypass the banking system and the regulators that makes it hard to move money.

Or it could be just ordinary Koreans taking a fancy to Bitcoin.
We know that there is increased interest in Japan following favourable regulations; maybe this has spread to South Korea too.  Smiley
With the buzz surrounding bitcoin in Japan right now, it is no surprise that South Korea isn't far behind because of the growing demand and the sudden surge in interest, even if they have to pay a premium. What's even more amazing is that it is not only limited to bitcoin in South Korea as the demand for ethereum and ripple has also been picking up.

Korea,Japan and China were trying to adopt bitcoin with the guidance of bitcoin so more country were trying to adopt it and manipulate btc to benefit community.


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