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Author Topic: BTC will go down to 20  (Read 3319 times)
Frizz23 (OP)
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May 03, 2013, 06:26:23 PM
 #1

It's actually pretty simple. Basis Elliott Wave knowledge is sufficient to understand the BTC market.

Wave C will go down to where the "bubble" started. OK maybe not the full way ($10), but something like $20 or $25.


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UltimateReaper
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May 03, 2013, 06:27:42 PM
 #2

You're out of your mind.
Frizz23 (OP)
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May 03, 2013, 06:29:36 PM
 #3

You're out of your mind.

Possibly. But I made good money trading wave 5, A and B.

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randrace
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May 03, 2013, 06:31:06 PM
 #4

Move the peak of 'B' to April 25th.
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May 03, 2013, 06:32:44 PM
 #5

can i have a puff?

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May 03, 2013, 06:33:18 PM
 #6

You're out of your mind.

Possibly. But I made good money trading wave 5, A and B.

Hey sanity is overrated, I just don't think that price is possible. There are more people in the market now than then. Ergo,more demand, math, higher price.
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May 03, 2013, 06:36:28 PM
 #7

You're out of your mind.

Possibly. But I made good money trading wave 5, A and B.

Hey sanity is overrated, I just don't think that price is possible. There are more people in the market now than then. Ergo,more demand, math, higher price.

As prices sink over the following months many will leave. Sure, we all say "If it goes to $50 I'm going all in!" But that's not the way it actually works. Once we break out under $50 the selling pressure will be huge.
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May 03, 2013, 06:39:09 PM
 #8

As prices sink over the following months many will leave. Sure, we all say "If it goes to $50 I'm going all in!" But that's not the way it actually works. Once we break out under $50 the selling pressure will be huge.

Hmmm.  That would be a tremendous wall to sell through, but if it is sold through, confidence will be (temporarily) shattered.  Currently $50 is the mental safety-net.
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May 03, 2013, 06:39:58 PM
 #9

You're out of your mind.

Possibly. But I made good money trading wave 5, A and B.

Hey sanity is overrated, I just don't think that price is possible. There are more people in the market now than then. Ergo,more demand, math, higher price.

As prices sink over the following months many will leave. Sure, we all say "If it goes to $50 I'm going all in!" But that's not the way it actually works. Once we break out under $50 the selling pressure will be huge.

All I care about is multiplying my BTC in that time frame. It could go up, it could go down, doesn't matter, more BTC, more happy. This is how you win the game.
donjoe
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May 03, 2013, 06:49:43 PM
 #10

There are more people in the market now than then. Ergo,more demand, math, higher price.
I wouldn't be so sure. You're forgetting that a number of exchanges have shut down or blocked accounts recently, which scared some people away from Bitcoin forever, that Gox is getting sued, which scares even more people and that Google Trends shows the search volume for the term "bitcoin" has dropped back to February levels and seems to be continuing on that downward trend.

This is the April 2013 Crash and it's not over 'til it's over.

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May 03, 2013, 06:52:51 PM
 #11

It's starting to look that way.BTC is really starting to drop.I wonder if it'll follow another cycle where the value gets really low (£1.78 GBP per BTC like I saw once) before steadily rising again for a while before peaking like it did a short while ago?

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bitarrow
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May 03, 2013, 07:04:52 PM
 #12

You're out of your mind.

Possibly. But I made good money trading wave 5, A and B.

Hey sanity is overrated, I just don't think that price is possible. There are more people in the market now than then. Ergo,more demand, math, higher price.

As prices sink over the following months many will leave. Sure, we all say "If it goes to $50 I'm going all in!" But that's not the way it actually works. Once we break out under $50 the selling pressure will be huge.

All I care about is multiplying my BTC in that time frame. It could go up, it could go down, doesn't matter, more BTC, more happy. This is how you win the game.
+1000
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May 03, 2013, 07:05:45 PM
 #13

using the out of my ass (tm) analysis clearly this is a donkey balls bear crush wave.
this means that it will be way over 200 by the end of may

ok
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May 03, 2013, 07:06:49 PM
 #14

Awesome! Bring it down - I will be waiting to jump in!  Grin
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May 03, 2013, 07:19:11 PM
 #15

As prices sink over the following months many will leave. Sure, we all say "If it goes to $50 I'm going all in!" But that's not the way it actually works. Once we break out under $50 the selling pressure will be huge.

Hmmm.  That would be a tremendous wall to sell through, but if it is sold through, confidence will be (temporarily) shattered.  Currently $50 is the mental safety-net.

This feels right to me. Whenever I want to predict what the market will do I start by asking, "What would I do?" If the price drops to the $5o range again, I'm going to be buying all that I can. If there are many buyers out there like me, the price is going to have a hell of a time going below $50.
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May 03, 2013, 07:20:09 PM
 #16

I think that a lot of people that believe in Bitcoin are just hanging fire - until they identify their perceived bottom, and then will re-invest the same amount of capital but with a larger quantity of coins purchased.
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May 03, 2013, 07:26:26 PM
 #17

The price was about $50 before Cypriot crisis ballooned the bubble, so I don't think Bitcoin will ever fall below it.
Also don't forget about reward halving and difficulty increase which made unprofitable selling mined coins below $30-50.
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May 03, 2013, 07:43:15 PM
 #18

It's funny to see people still thinking it's Cyprus that caused the bubble, lol.


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May 03, 2013, 07:45:13 PM
 #19

You're out of your mind.

Shush, none shall question the great Idiot Wave theory.
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May 03, 2013, 07:52:05 PM
 #20

It's actually pretty simple. Basis Elliott Wave knowledge is sufficient to understand the BTC market.

Wave C will go down to where the "bubble" started. OK maybe not the full way ($10), but something like $20 or $25.


Lucky that the price history isn't slightly different, otherwise it would go down to -20

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