Total Marketcap All Coins Logarithmic Regression

[Marc De Mesel]

Where is Trolololo when you need him lol!

yup

Awe and Wonder on twitter does a great job too with the log regression chart and other interesting stuff:
https://twitter.com/Awe_andWonder

Don't think he is doing log regression on total market cap thou

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[Spalenberg]

Awe and Wonder on twitter does a great job too with the log regression chart and other interesting stuff:
https://twitter.com/Awe_andWonder

Don't think he is doing log regression on total market cap thou

If anyone thinks Trololo's work was a bit difficult, Awe&Wonder's paper in Medium is even more so. But I think I've got the jist of what he is saying.

In my words he reckons the neutral btc price should be about $4800. Since we are already below this price at present bitcoin could now be considered to have become undervalued. For me that means now is more or less time to consider buying.

[Spalenberg]

From Trolololo's formula I've calculated today's % Spread based on today's actual Market Cap. of $115.7 B.

The Spread comes to -52.8 %.

See https://youtu.be/MvQzjyhtjRg for explanation.

[Marc De Mesel]

From Trolololo's formula I've calculated today's % Spread based on today's actual Market Cap. of $115.7 B.

The Spread comes to -52.8 %.

See https://youtu.be/MvQzjyhtjRg for explanation.

Indeed currently 252B is trendline/fair value of all crypto's, so 115B would be -54%, today 135B is -49%, undervaluation to fair value.

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=10%5E(3.23720++*+ln((number+of+weeks+since+2009+Jan+09)%2Fweeks)+-+8.81809)

[ngoccuong11789]

From Trolololo's formula I've calculated today's % Spread based on today's actual Market Cap. of $115.7 B.

The Spread comes to -52.8 %.

See https://youtu.be/MvQzjyhtjRg for explanation.

Indeed currently 252B is trendline/fair value of all crypto's, so 115B would be -54%, today 135B is -49%, undervaluation to fair value.

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=10%5E(3.23720++*+ln((number+of+weeks+since+2009+Jan+09)%2Fweeks)+-+8.81809)

Great job Marc, hope you update chart. follow you.

[Marc De Mesel]

Chart was updated by Awe and Wonder:
https://twitter.com/Awe_andWonder/status/1071995130092113920


Made new video about it, enjoy 

"Serious Undervaluation is Here"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k9JsmelO12s&t

[statdude]

Anyone done an updated regression lately? Awe hasn't posted since December, nothing on crypto since his last update.