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Author Topic: twitch.tv/stayeduptolate talking sports / sports betting Picks +12.12 BTC  (Read 313133 times)
stayeduptolate (OP)
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July 03, 2013, 06:20:18 PM
 #421

all bets for 7/3/2013

Baseball    Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners    Texas Rangers ML    5 hours from now    1.74 / -135.2    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0074

Baseball    Oakland Athletics
Chicago Cubs    Oakland Athletics -1.5    7 hours from now    2.13 / +113    ฿ 0.02    ฿ 0.0226

Baseball    Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies    Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5    4 hours from now    2.14 / +114    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0114
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July 03, 2013, 06:23:56 PM
 #422

Barely won that tennis parlay...

Jerzy and Djoko won in straight sets, but Murray got taken to a five setter surprisingly (came back from two sets down)!

+8 units on Wimbledon so far

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July 03, 2013, 07:47:41 PM
 #423

all bets for 7/3/2013

Baseball    Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners    Texas Rangers ML    5 hours from now    1.74 / -135.2    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0074

Baseball    Oakland Athletics
Chicago Cubs    Oakland Athletics -1.5    7 hours from now    2.13 / +113    ฿ 0.02    ฿ 0.0226

Baseball    Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies    Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5    4 hours from now    2.14 / +114    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0114

Have to agree on As and Pirates - As screwed up last night and with Locke pitching tonight for Pirates who are tearing it up should be nice.  I put .02 on As-1.5, .015 on Buccos -1.5, and a small bet of 0.002 on the Rangers.

Heres to hoping to be right tonight.

yup I am confident
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July 03, 2013, 07:48:48 PM
 #424

Barely won that tennis parlay...

Jerzy and Djoko won in straight sets, but Murray got taken to a five setter surprisingly (came back from two sets down)!

+8 units on Wimbledon so far

ya great match Smiley
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July 03, 2013, 08:54:12 PM
 #425

One of my Friday picks ATM...

N. Djokovic / J.M. Del Potro - J.M. Del Potro +534
J. Janowicz / A. Murray - J. Janowicz +443

Total: +3343

For the first match, both Djokovic and Del Potro have not dropped a set during the entire tournament thus far (5 matches). While Djokovic, as the 2011 champion, is certainly the favorite, an upset is possible. Del Potro's H2H against Djokovic is not too terrible at 4-8, and beating Djokovic at Indian Wells this year and during the 2012 Olympics. Del Potro seems to be returning to his Grand Slam winning form, just as in 2009, and can be a dangerous opponent.

The rising star Jerzy Janowicz and Andy Murray come into this match both having faced a 5 setter (Janowicz d. Melzer and Murray d. Verdasco). Today, Murray came from two sets down to take the win against Fernando Verdasco. However, Janowicz will not be as nearly forgiving and will punish Murray for his mistakes. With serves reaching speeds of up to 140+ mph and blistering groundstrokes, he poses a great threat to Andy Murray if he keeps his unforced errors down and remains consistent. Furthermore, Janowicz has the slight advantage in the H2H at 1-0, defeating Murray at the 2012 Paris Masters en route to the final.

The odds are enticing, so I am going to put a small play on this parlay.

0.1 units for return of 3.443 units.

stayeduptolate (OP)
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July 03, 2013, 09:05:52 PM
 #426

One of my Friday picks ATM...

N. Djokovic / J.M. Del Potro - J.M. Del Potro +534
J. Janowicz / A. Murray - J. Janowicz +443

Total: +3343

For the first match, both Djokovic and Del Potro have not dropped a set during the entire tournament thus far (5 matches). While Djokovic, as the 2011 champion, is certainly the favorite, an upset is possible. Del Potro's H2H against Djokovic is not too terrible at 4-8, and beating Djokovic at Indian Wells this year and during the 2012 Olympics. Del Potro seems to be returning to his Grand Slam winning form, just as in 2009, and can be a dangerous opponent.

The rising star Jerzy Janowicz and Andy Murray come into this match both having faced a 5 setter (Janowicz d. Melzer and Murray d. Verdasco). Today, Murray came from two sets down to take the win against Fernando Verdasco. However, Janowicz will not be as nearly forgiving and will punish Murray for his mistakes. With serves reaching speeds of up to 140+ mph and blistering groundstrokes, he poses a great threat to Andy Murray if he keeps his unforced errors down and remains consistent. Furthermore, Janowicz has the slight advantage in the H2H at 1-0, defeating Murray at the 2012 Paris Masters en route to the final.

The odds are enticing, so I am going to put a small play on this parlay.

0.1 units for return of 3.443 units.

thanks for the info and the write-up!
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July 03, 2013, 09:25:57 PM
 #427

No problem Cheesy I'm going to post some more tonight (ATP Challenger) that I think are good value parlays (ATP #100 vs ATP #500 for instance)...

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July 03, 2013, 09:55:18 PM
Last edit: July 04, 2013, 04:38:45 PM by whirlpool
 #428

Betting on these on Anonibet (Wednesday/Thursday Matches)...

Parlay:

Aljaz Bedene versus Filip Veger | Aljaz Bedene ML 1.22
Tim Smyczek versus Christian Harrison | Tim Smyczek ML 1.29
Michael Russell versus Michael Quintero | Michael Russell ML 1.16
Adrian Ungur versus Lorenzo Giustino | Adrian Ungur ML 1.24

Total: 2.26

According to http://www.tennisabstract.com/, a tennis sabermetrics and analysis site, all of these players have over an 85% chance of winning their respective matches.
Aljaz Bedene: 94.1%
Tim Smyczek: 85.1%
Michael Russell: 97.5%
Adrian Ungur: 87.7%

ATP Rankings:
Aljaz Bedene: #90 versus Filip Veger: #764
Tim Smyczek: #120 versus Christian Harrison: #357
Michael Russell: #95 versus Michael Quintero: #433
Adrian Ungur: #94 versus Lorenzo Giustino: #336

I do not see any of the players on the right-hand side winning. They're just simply outmatched.

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July 03, 2013, 09:56:35 PM
 #429

here again is all bets for 7/3/2013

Baseball    Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners    Texas Rangers ML    5 hours from now    1.74 / -135.2    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0074

Baseball    Oakland Athletics
Chicago Cubs    Oakland Athletics -1.5    7 hours from now    2.13 / +113    ฿ 0.02    ฿ 0.0226

Baseball    Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies    Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5    4 hours from now    2.14 / +114    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0114
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July 03, 2013, 10:32:26 PM
 #430

One of my Friday picks ATM...

N. Djokovic / J.M. Del Potro - J.M. Del Potro +534
J. Janowicz / A. Murray - J. Janowicz +443

Let me inform you that Del Po is injured (knee), he barely finished his previous match with Ferer on heavy dose of pain killers. Healthy Del Po would have trouble beating world No1, with injury his chances are not worth taking the risk.
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July 03, 2013, 10:37:56 PM
 #431

One of my Friday picks ATM...

N. Djokovic / J.M. Del Potro - J.M. Del Potro +534
J. Janowicz / A. Murray - J. Janowicz +443

Let me inform you that Del Po is injured (knee), he barely finished his previous match with Ferer on heavy dose of pain killers. Healthy Del Po would have trouble beating world No1, with injury his chances are not worth taking the risk.

you do have a point I am suprised del still played the match!
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July 03, 2013, 10:50:01 PM
 #432

Yeah, that's true. I guess the potential reward would justify the risk, in the case of a small bet.

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July 04, 2013, 08:31:08 AM
 #433

I am offering a sports betting challenge, and yes I am challenging you stayeduptoolate Wink

See here if interested: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=249684.0

.







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stayeduptolate (OP)
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July 04, 2013, 03:46:41 PM
 #434

Damn pirates gave up 2 in top of 9th and the third run was an easy short shop out error that would have ended inning.

As just shit the bed.

everyone just shit the bed last night lol
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July 04, 2013, 03:50:10 PM
 #435

I am offering a sports betting challenge, and yes I am challenging you stayeduptoolate Wink

See here if interested: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=249684.0

hey bud responded to you in your thread Smiley
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July 04, 2013, 04:38:01 PM
 #436

And it looks like we got an easy win on the Challenger parlay Smiley...More to come.

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July 04, 2013, 05:08:41 PM
 #437

And it looks like we got an easy win on the Challenger parlay Smiley...More to come.

very nice bro!
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July 05, 2013, 01:49:00 PM
 #438

1 bet today

Baseball    Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox    Tampa Bay Rays -1.5    9 hours from now    2.06 / +106    ฿ 0.01    ฿ 0.0106
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July 05, 2013, 02:01:44 PM
 #439

Upcoming Tennis Bet:

J. Janowicz vs. A. Murray - Over 41 2.17/+117

Mother of no children. Part-time idiot. Full-time douche.
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July 05, 2013, 08:33:07 PM
 #440

Upcoming Tennis Bet:

J. Janowicz vs. A. Murray - Over 41 2.17/+117

42 games guaranteed now. I hope some of you made some btc on it Smiley

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