Difficulty contest Sept.18 Prize a sealed Trezor wallet. Picks are closed.

[philipma1957]

Hopefully bitcoinwisdom stays up for tracking.


This trezor is provided by trezor  they made an error on my order sent me too many black ones and not  enough white ones.

This generously fixed the order by sending me whites ones on their dime.

I told them I would do the next promo  and give away a black one.

While mentioning their generosity in fixing an error.

I also must mention  when btc added bcc trezor did a good job of allowing access to the bcc.

New contest picks  to start at block 1116.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

rules to follow

old thread links

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2076073.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2057465.0

this Trezor

[philipma1957]

New contest picks  to start at block 1116.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

If you are overseas  I will spring for the shipping of the Trezor

Rules



https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1484047.msg14964950#msg14964950

 I am checking this list of rules from older thread

1)you must have been on this site since April 1st 2017  you must have at least 30 posts. --

2)I will check you out if you are new and decide if you can play.
3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed.
4)Do not pick someone else's number If you do I will assign a number and that will not be changed
5) picks start at:

Bitcoin Difficulty:  
Estimated Next Difficulty:  
 
Adjust time:                 Block    1116  
  
Hashrate(?):  
Block Generation Time(?):  
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:  




6) picks end at

Bitcoin Difficulty:  
Estimated Next Difficulty:
  
Adjust time:      516

Hashrate(?):  
Block Generation Time(?):  
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:  



7)  since this is a free contest I make all decisions if there are any issues or problems.


8 ) note the change  picks start later and end late in the hope of helping a person to pick a winner.

9) format is below and this is the  contest picks from 2016 in code

as low as you want

-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
+0.1
+0.2
+0.3
+0.4
+0.5
+0.6
+0.7
+0.8
+0.9
+1.0

to as high as you want

Code:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  I always pick this number


-0.5 = Erumara        
  0.0 = adaseb
+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998 
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+3.7  ! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.0 = alh
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer

+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.7 = wlefever
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!
+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang
+7.6 = RichBC

Code:

Difficulty History

Date _______Difficulty_____________ Change___   Hash Rate

Sep 18 2017	1,103,400,932,964	19.58%	7,898,451,536 GH/s
Sep 06 2017	922,724,699,726	3.89%	6,605,120,681 GH/s
Aug 24 2017	888,171,856,257	-3.80%	6,357,781,793 GH/s
Aug 09 2017	923,233,068,449	7.32%	6,608,759,726 GH/s
Jul 27 2017	860,221,984,436	6.92%	6,157,708,817 GH/s
Jul 14 2017	804,525,194,568	13.53%	5,759,015,666 GH/s
Jul 02 2017	708,659,466,230	-0.43%	5,072,782,052 GH/s
Jun 17 2017   711,697,198,174  .......... 4.85%.....   5,094,526,985 GH/s
May 24 2016   199,312,067,531   2.60%   1,426,731,353 GH/s
May 11 2016   194,254,820,283   8.73%   1,390,530,167 GH/s
Apr 28 2016   178,659,257,773   -0.01%   1,278,892,782 GH/s
Apr 14 2016   178,678,307,672   7.09%   1,279,029,147 GH/s
Apr 01 2016   166,851,513,283   0.82%   1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016   165,496,835,118   4.46%   1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016   158,427,203,767   -3.10%   1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016   163,491,654,909   13.44%   1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016   144,116,447,847   20.06%   1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016   120,033,340,651   5.89%   859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016   113,354,299,801   9.12%   811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015   103,880,340,815   11.16%   743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015   93,448,670,796           18.14%   668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015   79,102,380,900           8.77%   566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015   72,722,780,643          10.44%   520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015   65,848,255,180   5.77%   471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

10) Finally If I missed anything  I will be the sole  decider as to what is fair.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

And look at the diff drop at the start of this jump see gray line

[Philopolymath]

Is..
-0.5 = Philopolymath
Available?

[alh]

Is..
-0.5 = Philopolymath
Available?

While it is available, it's WAY too early to try and pick. Read above for details on when you can actually "make a pick".

[philipma1957]

Is..
-0.5 = Philopolymath
Available?

no as contest starts at block 1116

and I suggest you wait closer to the end of picks at   516.


look at all this hash on BCC

this is  a big  drop for btc  watch it for a while before you pick

we are -8% for  btc

look here often before you pick

https://pool.viabtc.com/

[Philopolymath]

AHH...THE COUNTDOWN to ADJUSTMENT...I just got it....DOH!

Ok I'll be quiet now and pay closer attention...
(I'm gunna pick DOWN BABY DOWN!!! anyway)
Can I get a wake-up call around block 600
And SHAME ON ANYONE WHO PICKS DIFF GO UP...Bad Vodoo Mojo on you..
They should be banned from contest..

[Kayaman85]

+1.9

Am I doing this right? lol sorry first time.

[VRobb]

Nope, too early and you might be too new a member to qualify for a pick...  phil will weigh-in shortly I'm sure... 

[Kayaman85]

Kool, just figured i'd give it a try. How do I know when to it starts? At a certain block or something?
And yeah, sorry, I am a noob. lol.

[philipma1957]

+1.9

Am I doing this right? lol sorry first time.

you have been on this site since 2016  but you have a big gap right here.



september 2017
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2062333.msg21526389#msg21526389


april 2016
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=424598.msg14533440#msg14533440


so  to be fair  your clock starts  sept 2017  which means  nov 2017  and 30 post minimum



______________________________________________________________________

this post is really bad

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2134724.msg21570188#msg21570188


this post is also bad

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2176471.msg21827839#msg21827839

____________________________________________________________________


but I don't hate guys that hustle so my 2 month rule with 30 posts  means  nov 2017 I will let you play.

As the dead time from 2016 to 2017 means you start the clock in sept of 2017

so make 30 posts and keep an eye on the threads. Nov 10 th or so and you are in.

[AtraxPool]

Would like to play along but not been member long enough I don't think.

Been watching the diff its a difficult one to predict right now just like you said in another post the hashrate is being manipulated with switching to bcc.

[philipma1957]

Would like to play along but not been member long enough I don't think.

Been watching the diff its a difficult one to predict right now just like you said in another post the hashrate is being manipulated with switching to bcc.

you would be nov 1

[philipma1957]

New contest picks  to start at block 1116.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

we start at block 1116

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

[philipma1957]

Bitcoinwisdom has us at  +0.17

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,105,328,181,025 (+0.17%)
Adjust time:   After 1185 Blocks, About 8.9 days
Hashrate(?):   8,013,117,336 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   18:0 (3.7 minutes ago)

New contest picks  to start at block 1116.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

we start at block 1116

[philipma1957]

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

we start at block 1116




 PICKS ARE OPEN

-1.2  = philipma1957


picks close at 516


Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964

Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,102,487,255,126 (-0.08%)

Adjust time:   After 1092 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):   7,871,417,829 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 32.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   9:10 (6.9 minutes ago)

good luck to all!

[Philopolymath]

Philopolymath = Down -0.5% (Oopps Corrected)

[VRobb]

I'm with you, phil, and thanks for running the game. Keeps degeneracy alive!   

-1.3 = VRobb

[philipma1957]

Philopolymath = Down -0.05%

Numbers are in .1

So

-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957

Your pick

Would be

-0.1 or

0.0

[vapourminer]

-1.0 =vapourminer

[philipma1957]

Philopolymath = Down -0.05%

Numbers are in .1

So


@ Philopolymath

Your pick

Would be

-0.1 or

0.0

can not be -0.05

current picks below are good

-1.3 =VRobb

-1.2 =philipma195

-1.0 =vapourminer7