CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 16, 2017, 08:14:48 AM Last edit: November 01, 2017, 09:33:02 PM by CarlesPuyol |
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I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it. I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chartThe Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit. I will summerize the result every couple days. I place a bet of 0.001 BTC on EVERY match Every bet will be placed at NitrogenSportsThe NBA season begins in 2 days. Lets see what will happen. Edit Total after day 9 36 Wins VS 27Loses Profit: 0.0065BTC
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crwth
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October 16, 2017, 09:55:38 AM |
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I'm quite intrigued with the experiment that you are about to do and I think if you somehow win a bet that is against the odds, you would already recover from the losses that you've gotten from previous bets. I would like to see a progression from this thread. Good luck to you.
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U.S.SportsInvest
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October 17, 2017, 05:14:35 PM |
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Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on. Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 17, 2017, 05:18:49 PM |
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Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on. Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!
Thanks for the advice. I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.
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U.S.SportsInvest
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October 17, 2017, 06:09:42 PM |
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Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on. Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!
Thanks for the advice. I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said. Sounds like a plan. Will follow your thread and I am very excited on how it works. Perhaps I should try my Anti public systems again, too ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) )
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NorrisK
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October 17, 2017, 06:53:58 PM |
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Nice approach that you are taking.
One flaw in this though might be that if the sample size is big enough, the collective will usually make the correct pick.
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boyptc
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October 17, 2017, 07:46:54 PM |
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Good experiment this is the first time that I've seen someone that wants to bet against the crowd choice. -snip-
Good luck with these bets Carles, I'm going to stay tune on your thread and will see if the will of yours that you'll get profit here is really possible.
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paul00
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October 17, 2017, 08:13:58 PM |
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I know no one can predict who will win the match even the weakest team on the NBA can be won and it depends on the situation but I don't think Boston Celtics can win on Cleveland this time in my opinion since Isiah tomas which is their like superstar back in the previous year and we all know kyrie is also at the boston team but still not enough to defeat cleveland.
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 18, 2017, 06:07:36 AM |
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Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win. Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us. 2/2 in the first day. Profit: +0.00195
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U.S.SportsInvest
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October 18, 2017, 07:09:54 AM |
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Great start for your system. I am excited how it will perform after 1000 picks. Anything less than that is not enough to say having a running betting system. You'll be betting 80% of the dogs which isnt a bad thing. Dog betting is better than fav betting in general!
Good luck!
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matchi2011
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October 18, 2017, 10:34:54 AM |
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I don't think i'd want to do that since you mostly would bet on underdogs and the percentage of upsets aren't that high every day. You may need to have a big capital if you're planning on betting against majority of bettors. Though if you win, you'll be smiling from ear to ear ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 18, 2017, 05:57:28 PM |
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boyptc
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October 18, 2017, 06:09:08 PM |
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Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win. Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.
2/2 in the first day. Profit: +0.00195
Wow this seems to be effective, I never knew that betting against the crowd is going to be effective for you. Congratulations to your first 2 bets, will catch more with your bets!
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badjacks99
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October 18, 2017, 07:02:01 PM |
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I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it. I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chartThe Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit. I will summerize the result every couple days. I place a bet of 0.001 BTC on EVERY match The NBA season begins in 2 days. Lets see what will happen. Ha ha, it's a pretty good idea! If you're able to keep the stuff throughout the entire season, be really interested to see the statistics at the end. You got to think, especially if you're picking your own underdogs there's some good money to be made. Good luck with it I'll be checking in on this.
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 19, 2017, 05:28:08 AM Last edit: October 19, 2017, 05:39:01 AM by CarlesPuyol |
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today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses. Total: 8 Wins VS 5 Loses Profit: +0.0025Another succesfull day.
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shintosai
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October 19, 2017, 08:56:22 AM |
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today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses. Total: 8 Wins VS 5 Loses Profit: +0.0025Another succesfull day. this one is a good concept again carles as we knew that the bets can be controlled by some fixed aganecy so betting against the house got some advantage if we able to select and predict the right games and basing from the last season we will encounter big odds then win with the ML. good luck.
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 19, 2017, 06:26:25 PM |
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 20, 2017, 07:08:28 PM |
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1W vs 2L today. Total after day 3 9 Wins VS 7 Loses Profit: 0.0014
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CarlesPuyol (OP)
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October 20, 2017, 07:34:56 PM |
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