Anti-Public NBA picks Challenge - Bet against the public. 54W 47L. Day 16

[CarlesPuyol]

I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it.
I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart
The Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit.
I will summerize the result every couple days.
I place a bet of 0.001BTC on EVERY match
Every bet will be placed at NitrogenSports

The NBA season begins in 2 days.
Lets see what will happen.

Edit

Total after day 9
36 Wins VS  27Loses
Profit: 0.0065BTC

[crwth]

I'm quite intrigued with the experiment that you are about to do and I think if you somehow win a bet that is against the odds, you would already recover from the losses that you've gotten from previous bets. I would like to see a progression from this thread. Good luck to you.

[CarlesPuyol]

1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston  52%  VS  48%   


Golden State VS  Houston   56%  VS  44%   


So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck

[U.S.SportsInvest]

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

[CarlesPuyol]

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice.  I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.

[U.S.SportsInvest]

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice.  I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.

Sounds like a plan. Will follow your thread and I am very excited on how it works. Perhaps I should try my Anti public systems again, too )

[NorrisK]

Nice approach that you are taking.

One flaw in this though might be that if the sample size is big enough, the collective will usually make the correct pick.

[boyptc]

Good experiment this is the first time that I've seen someone that wants to bet against the crowd choice.

-snip-

Good luck with these bets Carles, I'm going to stay tune on your thread and will see if the will of yours that you'll get profit here is really possible.

[paul00]

I know no one can predict who will win the match even the weakest team on the NBA can be won and it depends on the situation but I don't think Boston Celtics can win on Cleveland this time in my opinion since Isiah tomas which is their like superstar back in the previous year and we all know kyrie is also at the boston team but still not enough to defeat cleveland.

[CarlesPuyol]

1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston  52%  VS  48%   


Golden State VS  Houston   56%  VS  44%   


So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck

Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win.
Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.

2/2 in the first day.
Profit:  +0.00195

[U.S.SportsInvest]

Great start for your system. I am excited how it will perform after 1000 picks. Anything less than that is not enough to say having a running betting system.
You'll be betting 80% of the dogs which isnt a bad thing. Dog betting is better than fav betting in general!

Good luck!

[matchi2011]

I don't think i'd want to do that since you mostly would bet on underdogs and the percentage of upsets aren't that high every day. You may need to have a big capital if you're planning on betting against majority of bettors. Though if you win, you'll be smiling from ear to ear

[CarlesPuyol]

Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip. 
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/

[boyptc]

Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win.
Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.

2/2 in the first day.
Profit:  +0.00195

Wow this seems to be effective, I never knew that betting against the crowd is going to be effective for you. Congratulations to your first 2 bets, will catch more with your bets!

[badjacks99]

I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it.
I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart
The Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit.
I will summerize the result every couple days.
I place a bet of 0.001BTC on EVERY match

The NBA season begins in 2 days.
Lets see what will happen.

Ha ha, it's a pretty good idea! If you're able to keep the stuff throughout the entire season, be really interested to see the statistics at the end. You got to think, especially if you're picking your own underdogs there's some good money to be made. Good luck with it I'll be checking in on this.

[CarlesPuyol]

Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip.  
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/

today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses.

Total:
8 Wins VS 5 Loses
Profit: +0.0025

Another succesfull day.

[shintosai]

Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip.  
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/

today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses.

Total:
8 Wins VS 5 Loses
Profit: +0.0025

Another succesfull day.

this one is a good concept again carles as we knew that the bets can be controlled by some fixed aganecy so betting against the house got some advantage
if we able to select and predict the right games and basing from the last season we will encounter big odds then win with the ML. good luck.

[CarlesPuyol]

3rd day will be played today.
Here is my betslip according to Anti Public challange
https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/bc1bb0dNzlPSTBKRHJMemxhWE92RnNGWk8rUT09/r/2223343/

[CarlesPuyol]

3rd day will be played today.
Here is my betslip according to Anti Public challange
https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/bc1bb0dNzlPSTBKRHJMemxhWE92RnNGWk8rUT09/r/2223343/

1W vs 2L today.

Total after day 3

9 Wins  VS  7 Loses
Profit:  0.0014

[CarlesPuyol]

day 4
Until now we have a small profit. What will happen today?

10 matches for today.
All picks are anti public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/b198e60dmhaTFVwVGcyeUFyNElzNkJ0QUVLdz09/r/2223343/