Report: Bitcoin to $25,000 by 2022

[bonghip]

First, a word of warning: I think the valuation is overly optimistic, in the extreme, and I would take it with a grain of salt. May very well be a small analytics firm looking to grab some attention by making a splashy claim. That said, the report was published to the firm's paying clients, so their own credibility is on the line.

The company making the prediction is FundStrat, which describes itself as:

We are an independent research boutique, providing market strategy and sector research. Our differentiated approach is based on what we call fundamental strategy. That is, our research process combines both top-down strategy and bottoms-up fundamental views, to develop a roadmap of practical and useful investment insights for our clients.

According to FundStrat, Bitcoin is following Metcalfe’s Law, which essentially sketches out the value of a network based on how many users it has.

“If you modeled something as simple as square the number of users plus transaction value, it’s explained 94% of [Bitcoin’s price appreciation] this year,” Lee said.



Now, as for the future valuation, Tom Lee, Managing Partner of Fundstrat, put a $25,000 price target for Bitcoin by 2022 in a note to clients published earlier this year. However, and this is important, this view is predicated on cryptocurrencies displacing gold in portfolios with Bitcoin serving a “digital store of value.”

Presently, I don't see that happening. I think people using crypto as a long term store of value are taking on immense risk, and I don't see something as volatile as crypto displacing gold, which is historically a hedge against inflation and therefore done out of safety. Bitcoin is pure risk.

A $25,000 price is fun to think about, even though I don't believe it's in the cards.

I would like that too. Looking at the overall trend and impact of Bitcoin, this is possible. However, we can not be sure that it will happen. I hope more sec people invest in Bitcoin as well as countries around the world accept its existence.
$ 25,000 need amount of long time to get Bitcoin.

[Sithara007]

25K may be reached by 2020 (or even sooner). I am saying this because till now Bitcoin has over-performed on most of its predictions. A few months back, hardly anyone thought that BTC would breach the $5,000 per coin level. Many of the experts were saying that it will be achieved by 2020. But we have even breached the 6K mark now.

[appleffi]

That would be interesting if that happens. It would actually be five times higher than its value today. I think this prediction is over optimistic without considering the other competition with regards to cryptocurrency ecosystem.

[jaaeeeyyyy]

I see lots of prediction about the bitcoin possible value through years but reaching $25000 would not be probable i guess. I think the government in all country would not likely that to happen specially those 1st world country. I think, yes , that it could reach $25000 but not on year 2022 , it's to early for bitcoin to reach $25000 by that year.BUT , if it happens i would be glad and work harder for that.

[Bestpromoter]

full of promising, well bitcoin in 2022 , 25 000$ is good and better to the holders of it it is possible right, many people are not expected that the bitcoin crypto will be in this stage and the price of it is like huge, it can happen but i am not guarantee it.

[liuqi]

full of promising, well bitcoin in 2022 , 25 000$ is good and better to the holders of it it is possible right, many people are not expected that the bitcoin crypto will be in this stage and the price of it is like huge, it can happen but i am not guarantee it.

You will not be sure that this value is achievable in the 2022 because sathoshi nakamoto speculates the bitcoin value to be touch 10k usd in 2025 but this is huge value expectation than satoshi thinks. If that happens even I am also really happy with the bitcoin in my wallet since the value will reached to peak value again.

[iamMhew]

25K may be reached by 2020 (or even sooner). I am saying this because till now Bitcoin has over-performed on most of its predictions. A few months back, hardly anyone thought that BTC would breach the $5,000 per coin level. Many of the experts were saying that it will be achieved by 2020. But we have even breached the 6K mark now.

true! prediction of the price by the year 2020 will always changing at the moment pass by, and i also think that this price which is $25k per bitcoin is sooner to achieve, because of its unstoppable demand and price hike in the market. imagine that the experts before, are trying hard to predict the price of this bitcoin for many years to reach that price prediction, but its happen early than they predict. so $25k in the year 2020 is soon to happen before that year mentioned (2020).

[cioloxl]

Seeing the meteoric rise it had this year and the number of people that joined the ecosystem, I'm seeing well over 25k by 2022. 25k would not surprise me by 2020. Granted that's on the off chance that the scalability debate will have been over by then, no more copies with huge marketcaps. Bitcoin has to become trustworthy to reach 1 trillion. For me trustworthiness has been on a downslide for some time now.

[LyQaN]

statistics show a great evaluation and i hope it happens in 2022,and it could happen if  major part of transactions in world become digital,but currently price is between 5 and 6000$ so a price of 25000$ is a huge jump from its current value so there still a doubt that this would really happen,what i think is price can reach 15000$ mark easily and yes some of you will say it was nothing few years back but now see its price ,its because when something new come into market so or people become aware of it,suddenly their is a huge increase because of its usage and but after some time it slows down a bit ,so covering such a wide gap would be difficult.

[arbitrage]

This sounds very good but this date is light years from now and till then we will witness many speculations and manipulations of price. Fud will be better organized, hatters will find new arguments. I'm only not sure if this is going to be a spike or steady nice growth. Now prices changes 300$ daily, when reaches 10k we could see 1000$ daily changing of a price. This will open whole new possibilities for large investors. 

[aizen10]

we cannot hide the truth that bitcoin has a high risk, but its all up to us (bitcoin holder) if we continue support bitcoin or not. even there are more "funny" predictions about the price of bitcoin for the next next years, we cant hide too the truth that bitcoin become successful from the moment that what it is before. prediction and speculation are totally annoying, why we not stop seeking for the negative effects of bitcoin instead of seeking of what will happen next?

[GregH37]

Hope so this all prediction in coming years become true and help the investors who had invested their hard earned money with the anticipation that some day it will sky rocket with this price. Due to this we have hard fork happening and those coins which are created are not having much value as people mostly going for investing in btc itself.

I don’t know why, but people loves speculation a lot. We are still a long way from 2022, and everyone is already speculating price rates they are not even sure of at all. It would have been better if he said that price will more than $10,000 before 2022. By the way, I don’t even like the increase, would prefer it goes down to $250 and then skyrocket back to $5000.

[rev2]

So you can buy in cheap?

I think the prediction is quite accurate.

[Cloak1]

If by 2022 the price of bitcoin is $25,000,it would be a great news. Many people would leave their current job to join the bitcoin forum if it really happens. Besides it will be a strong and big competition among traders.

[Coffee135]

Hope so this all prediction in coming years become true and help the investors who had invested their hard earned money with the anticipation that some day it will sky rocket with this price. Due to this we have hard fork happening and those coins which are created are not having much value as people mostly going for investing in btc itself.

I don’t know why, but people loves speculation a lot. We are still a long way from 2022, and everyone is already speculating price rates they are not even sure of at all. It would have been better if he said that price will more than $10,000 before 2022. By the way, I don’t even like the increase, would prefer it goes down to $250 and then skyrocket back to $5000.

From the point of view of arithmetic your desire worse. But I agree with you. Wonder why everyone is waiting for prices to rise. Who took advantage of the last promotion? That sold all their coins when the price has risen to $ 6,100? Now everyone is waiting for $ 10,000. Then will wait for $ 20,000. And so on to infinity. Only few traders can do of these spikes money. The majority of users just keeps the coins for the future.

[henmark]

Intuitively,  I don't trust this prediction.   Financial analysts often have big fancy mathematical
models that, in the end, turn out to be very wrong.  And it's not that I'm hoping they're wrong.   
I'm hoping this model is right or even underestimates bitcoin's growth.  But I don't put much
stock in TA, never have, and it's been wrong too many times to rely on...just like predicting the
weather.

2022 isn't that far away.  Maybe OP will be kind enough to bump this in 5 years.

Because financial analyst based their predictions on the performance of the market and the company that they are predicting. Bitcoin don't have any of those what it has is just the demand from the people who wants to own at least a piece of this coins. And yes 2015 is just 5 years from today but that is long enough for a $19,000 bump on bitcoin's price. it just made almost $5000 bump on it's price since January 2017 that was just 9 months ago.

If we look at the graph of market price of bitcoin since the time it was introduced, I don’t think that there is hardly any issue for bitcoin to reach up to this much of market price and that too by the end of 2022. Moreover, the way bitcoin’s market price is constantly increasing there are very bright chances of this thing to happen in the coming days. I am very much hopeful that bitcoin will achieve this milestone.

[yanlap]

This sounds very good but this date is light years from now and till then we will witness many speculations and manipulations of price. Fud will be better organized, hatters will find new arguments. I'm only not sure if this is going to be a spike or steady nice growth. Now prices changes 300$ daily, when reaches 10k we could see 1000$ daily changing of a price. This will open whole new possibilities for large investors. 

It is all about the determination and the value of the bitcoin because now all the people the people are aware of the bitcoin, the income of the bitcoin is the best thing and it is about to hold and the organization of the bitcoin will give you the hollow price, it is the time for the bitcoin and the value of the bitcoin will get more organized if the high level people will buy the bitcoin and will hold it till the growth end.

[Granxis]

That would be interesting if that happens. It would actually be five times higher than its value today. I think this prediction is over optimistic without considering the other competition with regards to cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Bitcoin  can be $ 25,000 in 2022, but if it was broken into 10 pieces then it could even be $ 100. Bitcoin cash, Bitcoin gold etc etc

[myphoenixguy]

Where bitcoin will reach will solely depend on innovations and community acceptance. There are a lot of problems to be solved and as the solutions keep arriving and the network keeps getting robust, the price will keep rising. A 4-5K increase for each of the following
1. Solve micro transaction problem
2. Solve Transaction speed and scaling issue.
3. Solve the miner vs user ambiguity.

Thats an easy +15K in the coming 1-2 years itself. I say by 2020 beginning, well be looking at 25k

[athanz88]

It is an interesting article from fundstrat to read. Even though it is an over-optimistic article (in my opinion), i dont believe bitcoins will rise to that level in 5 years, yet i am hoping it, hehe. But still, it is more like a dream, and dreams do come true, but some don't. With the rise or bitcoin prices, it is normal for people that lives and works in economic world to make a prediction about it. But we need to do our research too about it. I am afraid it is more like a bait for people to buy more bitcoin, so there are more money involved in this cryptocurrencies system. I am not saying this is a scam or what, what i want to say is, if you want to invest on bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, do your research and plan well, choose your cyptocurrencies well, dont drop all your load on an investment, just invest what you can afford to lose. We all here want to be success with bitcoin, but we need to stay focus and alert too about good and bad things that might happen.