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Author Topic: MT.GOX PRESS : Statement Regarding Temporary Hiatus on U.S. Dollar Withdrawals  (Read 6173 times)
dave111223
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June 21, 2013, 06:38:00 AM
 #41

Of course if in 2 weeks I'm proved wrong and Mt Gox opens back up their wire transfers I can always move my money back from Bitstamp to Mt Gox and probably gain back 5%, so only took a 5% haircut.

That's assuming the spread would last 2 weeks.

There has always been a spread of at least a few percent between bitstamp and gox.
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bigdude
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June 21, 2013, 07:24:25 AM
 #42

Sudden demand for fiat, US fiat of all things, in large enough quantities that Gox has to adjust its behavior.

At least that's the story so far.

It begs all the "W" questions: who, why, where, how, even when. No doubt the media will be all over it... or not.

Fascinating development.


Dwolla accounts seized -> Dwolla users turn to wire transfers -> Mt. Gox bank accounts transaction volume rises rapidly -> bank eventually urges Mt. Gox to talk and do something.

This seems the most plausible theory anyway.

I think that is close, but more likely, this:

Dwolla accounts seized -> MtGox loses access to most of their USD -> MtGox tries to cope but runs out of USD reserves -> people start complaining that their withdrawals are taking increasing amounts of time -> MtGox issues notice, USD withdrawals suspended (ie. we have no USD and are trying to organise more via investors or bank credit)

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June 21, 2013, 09:43:32 AM
 #43

Dwolla accounts seized -> MtGox loses access to most of their USD

No. Dwolla was only a tiny fraction, no significant amount, probably already earned back through trading fees multiple times.

My theory is this: There never was an API access for wire transfers in the first place, they did it **all** with paper, even for the ex dwolla useres who initiate massive numbers of small transfers every day and this ineffective process collapsed (probably the bank refused to hire more people only to process these massive amounts of paper and demand API usage instead) and now they are finally trying to write some code to connect it to the bank API.

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June 21, 2013, 09:52:14 AM
 #44

Dwolla accounts seized -> MtGox loses access to most of their USD

No. Dwolla was only a tiny fraction, no significant amount, probably already earned back through trading fees multiple times.

My theory is this: There never was an API access for wire transfers in the first place, they did it **all** with paper, even for the ex dwolla useres who initiate massive numbers of small transfers every day and this ineffective process collapsed (probably the bank refused to hire more people only to process these massive amounts of paper and demand API usage instead) and now they are finally trying to write some code to connect it to the bank API.

That's an interesting and entirely plausible scenario IMO. They are probably still using an abacus at Gox for their accounts

"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
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June 21, 2013, 11:36:03 AM
 #45

Anybody from Japan here? Or at least somebody knowing how to communicate with the banks right way? Maybe there is some way to investigate the situation from the other side - somehow asking Mizuho bank about the reasons of the problem?
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June 21, 2013, 11:48:11 AM
 #46

https://mtgox.com/press_release_20130620.html


After much thought put into this recent news lead to only one outcome:
Exodus of USD from Gox, and there currently is only one exit: Buying coins. Expect artificial price boom now.
I saw such boom in last few hours of bitfloor life.
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June 21, 2013, 11:55:10 AM
 #47

I think there is more trouble with USD, if Chase Bank thread is any indication.

It appears US Banks are on the offensive.

Yeah, I call BS on the reddit thread.
I think their accounts were closed / frozen because they were doing something else.

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June 21, 2013, 12:43:34 PM
 #48

FYI

(Citibank refused transfer from Japan to Swizerland along the SWIFT path. Suggests US banks are on the offensive)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=231960.msg2540042#msg2540042

(MagicalTux saying that transfers are processed but capped at 1 million USD per day)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=239626.msg2540260#msg2540260

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June 21, 2013, 01:56:13 PM
 #49

I tried to warn everyone but got labeled as conspiracy theory. People claim BTC is immune to government, and the government loves us.

Told ya some day you'll wake up. Now the panic begins!
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June 21, 2013, 02:00:30 PM
 #50

I tried to warn everyone but got labeled as conspiracy theory. People claim BTC is immune to government, and the government loves us.

Told ya some day you'll wake up. Now the panic begins!
What panic? I see no sign of panic.
Panic would be Bitcoin dropping to $50 or below.
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June 21, 2013, 02:01:06 PM
 #51

I tried to warn everyone but got labeled as conspiracy theory. People claim BTC is immune to government, and the government loves us.

Told ya some day you'll wake up. Now the panic begins!
What panic? I see no sign of panic.
Panic would be Bitcoin dropping to $50 or below.

Stick around bird boy, you'll see.
phoenix1
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June 21, 2013, 02:01:25 PM
 #52

From Mt Gox Facebook page 45 minutes ago :

Quote
Dear Mt. Gox Customers and Bitcoiners,

The reaction since yesterday’s statement regarding the temporary suspension of U.S. dollar withdrawals has had mixed reactions, and raised more than a few questions about why we had to take this step right now. Rather than be subject to inaccurate speculation we’d like to clarify some points here. Due to pending matters we are unable to get into everything in great detail, though we’d certainly love to and are looking forward to the opportunity.

1) The problem with the U.S. withdrawals (and even other currencies for that matter) is that our bank can no longer handle the volume of withdrawals. They struggled in the last two months, and the increase due to the Dwolla separation has made it increasingly more difficult. The pressure we brought onto the bank’s resources finally gave in, and we are now working with them to find an alternative method (hence the suspension). We would have preferred to give notice if we were able to, but it was sudden for us as well.

2) We are now working with new banks and alternative methods for transmitting money to our customers. This does not mean we are stopping entirely within the next two weeks, but it will be slower than we would like. We are literally going to use our manpower to process withdrawals ourselves, manually. This will take more time, but we are dedicated to doing as many per day as possible. We announced a suspension in order to manage expectations while we deliver at a temporary reduced rate. Our goal is to have a new system set up in the next weeks with clarity for both the banks and for our customers.

3) Our previous release was rather vague, but for a reason. Mainly, we don't want to upset our bank! They do great work, but our kind of business is completely new to the banking industry. Processing international wires does not just involve pushing a button. It requires real manpower processing everything individually, even in this modern computer age. While Bitcoin's power lies in its ability to transfer fast and securely through software, the rest of the financial world does not operate like that (contrary to popular opinion). Money is surprisingly analog in many ways, and scarily digital in others.

4) Every customer’s funds are safe, sound, and accounted for. In fact, in our dealings with the Japanese financial regulators we have been assured that we are not under local pressure or suspicion and can operate as usual within normal legal frameworks.

5) Mt. Gox is certainly not a martyr, but it would be hard to argue that we aren’t "taking one for the team" as far as Bitcoin is concerned. We are a big target, and are absorbing the frustrations of Bitcoiners, regulators, banks, and a media that still doesn't quite understand what Bitcoin is. This is a job we are happy to fill, and not just because we are compensated for it. Our hope is that, once Bitcoin finds its place, we will be able to say that we made a difference in sorting it all out in the early days. New exchanges, business models, merchants, traders, and consumers are rising up to innovate and create a whole new way of doing business. A lot of lawyers are getting new cars in the meantime too.

6) As risky as it is to invoke the name of Litecoin (LTC???), we must apologize for not keeping everyone up to date. The fact is that the current situation means a continued delay, but for good reasons. We’re looking at July right now, though that depends on a few things. Mainly, we want to do things correctly from the beginning.

7) The new trading engine is finished, is smokin’ fast, and is currently undergoing bench tests. We’re looking forward to deploying it very soon.

While not the most in-depth update we'd like to give, we hope that it has at least clarified a few things. In the next few weeks we are planning to do another AMA on Reddit when we’ll hopefully be able to answer many more questions and also shed some light on what’s been going on at Mt. Gox these past months. Thank you for your patience and support.


"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
Birdy
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June 21, 2013, 02:04:41 PM
 #53

Stick around bird boy, you'll see.
That's the plan. Staying around til the bitter or happy end.
If it's the bitter one, I've lost a bit of money - no big deal.
If it's the happy one, I may be able to retire.
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June 21, 2013, 02:05:57 PM
 #54

I tried to warn everyone but got labeled as conspiracy theory. People claim BTC is immune to government, and the government loves us.

Told ya some day you'll wake up. Now the panic begins!

This kind of Alex Jones talk always befuddles me. Sure, banks and central banks sometimes print money, but ask any leftist if they do capitalism and free markets shit and they'll do the Alex Jones routine just like the Alex Jones farmland gold texas gun group do. Victim talk, really.

Most probably it's what Mtgox says, they were handling about 50% of international wires of the bank, too much.
dave111223
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June 21, 2013, 02:13:17 PM
 #55

Quote
The pressure we brought onto the bank’s resources finally gave in

Hm...what?  Still using double talk to gloss over the issue.
dave111223
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June 21, 2013, 02:24:29 PM
 #56

And what's with the comments about litecoin...why bring that into the mix while discussing their banking issues?

Trollbox on Btc-e is going nuts for it.
andrewsg
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June 21, 2013, 03:04:06 PM
 #57

Just a few comments, I work in a bank in Asia and I am familiar with the operations department and the processing of swift payments.

Whatever Gox says, swift payments are automated. Many millions of them are processed every day, if anyone thinks it can be done manually, they are kidding themselves. I can understand manual intervention is required from two points of view - instructions submitted with incorrect or missing data and KYC / AML requirements. About the only thing I believe from the latest Gox post is that they do not want to upset Mizuho - whatever the real problem is, they're not telling us.

And one more thing, in my professional life I have seen many situations where banking processes get into trouble due to spikes in volume, either caused by shortages in manpower, network bandwidth, software or hardware limitations. What I have never seen is a decision to shut things down for 2 weeks. Any financial institution would first of all monitor volumes, and would know in advance when they are approaching capacity. They would then plan accordingly, in advance and develop an alternative. This takes time. Months, at least. Sure, you can be surprised by volumes. They can go up faster than expected. In that case, the bank would take one of two decisions, based on internal priorities and funds available to fix the problem. Option 1 is they don't spend any additional money - the current process continues, it struggles, there are delays, but at the same time the alternative system is developed. Once that is done and tested, they flick the switch, usually over a week-end or another point of low volume, minimizing downtime. Option B is similar, except with more money thrown at the problem. You hire more people to help the struggling process, and spend more money to accelerate the development of an alternative. The switch-over is the same, and would never result in a downtime of more than 12-24 hours, and even those, over a week-end.

Also, nobody in the financial industry is moronic enough not to understand the impact of an announcement that you are stopping USD withdrawals, especially when you do not fully disclose the reason. They should have done better in the first place, coming 24 hours later to appease the masses is just not good enough.

Disclosure: I have an account with Mt.Gox and have used them in the past, but have no balance of either BTC or fiat.

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phoenix1
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June 21, 2013, 03:29:34 PM
 #58

<snip>

Whatever Gox says, swift payments are automated. Many millions of them are processed every day, if anyone thinks it can be done manually, they are kidding themselves. I can understand manual intervention is required from two points of view - instructions submitted with incorrect or missing data and KYC / AML requirements. About the only thing I believe from the latest Gox post is that they do not want to upset Mizuho - whatever the real problem is, they're not telling us.


I hear you ... but is it possible that there is a problem with the interface between Gox's platform and the Mizuho's (if one even exists), requiring manual intervention for every request ?

If Gox cannot 'speak to' Mizuho directly, then every transfer request submitted to Gox would have to be input manually would it not ?

"Before you embark on a journey of revenge, dig two graves"  - Confucius (China 551BC-479 BC)
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June 21, 2013, 03:31:14 PM
 #59

I hear you ... but is it possible that there is a problem with the interface between Gox's platform and the Mizuho's (if one even exists), requiring manual intervention for every request ?

I think it's possible
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June 21, 2013, 03:41:19 PM
 #60

Just a few comments, I work in a bank in Asia and I am familiar with the operations department and the processing of swift payments.

Whatever Gox says, swift payments are automated. Many millions of them are processed every day, if anyone thinks it can be done manually, they are kidding themselves. I can understand manual intervention is required from two points of view - instructions submitted with incorrect or missing data and KYC / AML requirements. About the only thing I believe from the latest Gox post is that they do not want to upset Mizuho - whatever the real problem is, they're not telling us.

And one more thing, in my professional life I have seen many situations where banking processes get into trouble due to spikes in volume, either caused by shortages in manpower, network bandwidth, software or hardware limitations. What I have never seen is a decision to shut things down for 2 weeks. Any financial institution would first of all monitor volumes, and would know in advance when they are approaching capacity. They would then plan accordingly, in advance and develop an alternative. This takes time. Months, at least. Sure, you can be surprised by volumes. They can go up faster than expected. In that case, the bank would take one of two decisions, based on internal priorities and funds available to fix the problem. Option 1 is they don't spend any additional money - the current process continues, it struggles, there are delays, but at the same time the alternative system is developed. Once that is done and tested, they flick the switch, usually over a week-end or another point of low volume, minimizing downtime. Option B is similar, except with more money thrown at the problem. You hire more people to help the struggling process, and spend more money to accelerate the development of an alternative. The switch-over is the same, and would never result in a downtime of more than 12-24 hours, and even those, over a week-end.

Also, nobody in the financial industry is moronic enough not to understand the impact of an announcement that you are stopping USD withdrawals, especially when you do not fully disclose the reason. They should have done better in the first place, coming 24 hours later to appease the masses is just not good enough.

Disclosure: I have an account with Mt.Gox and have used them in the past, but have no balance of either BTC or fiat.

Thanks~

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