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Author Topic: Bitcoin DOWN, Litecoin UP  (Read 4959 times)
S3052 (OP)
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June 25, 2013, 08:21:38 PM
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Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin UP.
This could be a theme for the next months...

What do you think? Discuss.

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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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June 25, 2013, 08:23:57 PM
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Brought to you by your new Litecoin shill. Grin

I don't think so. I see it being Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin DOWN (versus the dollar).
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June 25, 2013, 08:24:21 PM
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I don't think so. I see it being Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin DOWN (versus the dollar).

Ditto.
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June 25, 2013, 08:29:42 PM
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Last LTC/BTC trade: 0.02732 BTC

*4 (total future money supply of Bitcoin's) = 0.10928. Over 10% valuation of Litecoin versus Bitcoin? I wouldn't even be willing to bet on that if I granted Litecoin a "backup" or "silver" function since that would be at a much lower valuation. Anyone buying at current levels for anything a little more longer term is betting on Litecoin dethroning Bitcoin as "#1 Digital Cash/Gold". Is the probability for that better than 10%? Very doubtful.
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June 25, 2013, 08:29:56 PM
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Sorry, will not support scam-coins. ( alt-coin ? ... same as blockchain fork to me, I will stay on longer chain )
S3052 (OP)
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June 25, 2013, 08:32:22 PM
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Last LTC/BTC trade: 0.02732 BTC

*4 (total future money supply of Bitcoin's) = 0.10928. Over 10% valuation of Litecoin versus Bitcoin? I wouldn't even be willing to bet on that if I granted Litecoin a "backup" or "silver" function since that would be at a much lower valuation. Anyone buying at current levels for anything a little more longer term is betting on Litecoin dethroning Bitcoin as "#1 Digital Cash/Gold". Is the probability for that better than 10%? Very doubtful.

fundamentally this might not make so much sense, but markets are irrational, and this is why Litecoins could eventually rise to crazy levels - based on the technical chart picture


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June 25, 2013, 08:33:53 PM
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Oh that's cute the Blue GuyPapa Smurf gonna pump & dump LTC. Grin
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June 25, 2013, 08:37:04 PM
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Last LTC/BTC trade: 0.02732 BTC

*4 (total future money supply of Bitcoin's) = 0.10928. Over 10% valuation of Litecoin versus Bitcoin? I wouldn't even be willing to bet on that if I granted Litecoin a "backup" or "silver" function since that would be at a much lower valuation. Anyone buying at current levels for anything a little more longer term is betting on Litecoin dethroning Bitcoin as "#1 Digital Cash/Gold". Is the probability for that better than 10%? Very doubtful.

fundamentally this might not make so much sense, but markets are irrational, and this is why Litecoins could eventually rise to crazy levels - based on the technical chart picture


Sure, I would never argue that. Smiley

Personally though, I like having fundamentals and technicals align. I made some Bitcoins off Namecoin once, and somehow I just closed the "altcoin" chapter a long time ago as I firmly believe that no proof of work based coin can overtake Bitcoin.
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June 25, 2013, 08:38:48 PM
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they are positively correlated, I doubt so.
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June 25, 2013, 08:39:16 PM
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Last LTC/BTC trade: 0.02732 BTC

*4 (total future money supply of Bitcoin's) = 0.10928. Over 10% valuation of Litecoin versus Bitcoin? I wouldn't even be willing to bet on that if I granted Litecoin a "backup" or "silver" function since that would be at a much lower valuation. Anyone buying at current levels for anything a little more longer term is betting on Litecoin dethroning Bitcoin as "#1 Digital Cash/Gold". Is the probability for that better than 10%? Very doubtful.

fundamentally this might not make so much sense, but markets are irrational, and this is why Litecoins could eventually rise to crazy levels - based on the technical chart picture


Sure, I would never argue that. Smiley

Personally though, I like having fundamentals and technicals align. I made some Bitcoins off Namecoin once, and somehow I just closed the "altcoin" chapter a long time ago as I firmly believe that no proof of work based coin can overtake Bitcoin.

fair point. overtaking will be difficult, but getting closer is possible

by the way, there has just been a new guardian article published about alt digital currencies
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2013/jun/25/bitcoin-successors-litecoin-freicoin

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June 25, 2013, 08:45:53 PM
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The rise of perception of altcoins is certainly something I foresee being a sentimental driver in the Bitcoin bear market, along with legal stuff and maybe debates over blocksize limit.

It's going to be a complete disaster, and I'm looking forward to it. Grin
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June 25, 2013, 08:49:28 PM
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I have been very anti litecoin thinking there is really only space for one crypto currency and litecoin would die due to redundancy. I am less convinced if this now because litecoin could be used in tandem with bitcoin to complement it. If micro transactions are bloating the chain they could be pushed to litecoin and the bitcoin chain could be freed for heavy lifting.

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June 25, 2013, 08:51:43 PM
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If micro transactions are bloating the chain they could be pushed to litecoin and the bitcoin chain could be freed for heavy lifting.
That same problem would occur on Litecoin then and you'd have to move on to Feathercoin and then to another scamcoin.
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June 25, 2013, 09:28:01 PM
 #14

Sorry, will not support scam-coins. ( alt-coin ? ... same as blockchain fork to me, I will stay on longer chain )

Litecoin would be the absolute LEAST scammy of the alt-coins and the blockchain is 50% longer  Tongue

Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin UP.
This could be a theme for the next months...

What do you think? Discuss.


Really, this is only because of Gox bringing LTC trading to their site, so it's a speculative bump. They say in July, but I would wager a guess that something will delay it further. Typically LTC/USD follows BTC/USD while LTC/BTC would have an obvious inverse correlation

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June 25, 2013, 09:33:55 PM
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Sorry, will not support scam-coins. ( alt-coin ? ... same as blockchain fork to me, I will stay on longer chain )

Litecoin would be the absolute LEAST scammy of the alt-coins and the blockchain is 50% longer  Tongue
Namecoin actually provides an innovative use case, and not if you weight by difficulty, which is how cryptocurrencies judge chain length.

Quote
Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin UP.
This could be a theme for the next months...

What do you think? Discuss.


Really, this is only because of Gox bringing LTC trading to their site. They say in July, but I would wager a guess that something will delay it further

People who buy on news like this always make me wonder about our survival as a species.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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June 25, 2013, 09:43:16 PM
 #16

Sorry, will not support scam-coins. ( alt-coin ? ... same as blockchain fork to me, I will stay on longer chain )

Litecoin would be the absolute LEAST scammy of the alt-coins and the blockchain is 50% longer  Tongue
Namecoin actually provides an innovative use case, and not if you weight by difficulty, which is how cryptocurrencies judge chain length.


I can agree with this, but NMC isn't really considered a "currency", so I left that one out.
I'm not even sure how one would compare the difficulty of the two, but LTC difficulty is still very high for a scrypt coin.

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June 26, 2013, 02:28:19 AM
 #17

Litecoin was conceived as silver to Bitcoin's gold by design. I actually would expect a variation of the LTC/BTC price over time in many ways comparable to that of silver/gold. I actually would also expect a high degree of correlation between LTC and BTC over time when compared to USD, EUR, CAD etc.  Is it possible to trade LTC/BTC profitably. Of course just like silver/gold. As for charts the chart that I find the most interesting over time is LTC/BTC rather than LTC/USD.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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June 26, 2013, 02:31:11 AM
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Litecoin was conceived as silver to Bitcoin's gold by design. I actually would expect a variation of the LTC/BTC price over time in many ways comparable to that of silver/gold. I actually would also expect a high degree of correlation between LTC and BTC over time when compared to USD, EUR, CAD etc.  Is it possible to trade LTC/BTC profitably. Of course just like silver/gold. As for charts the chart that I find the most interesting over time is LTC/BTC rather than LTC/USD.


I agree, at first I have been very focused on LTC/USD but for the past weeks I have shifted my attention more to the LTC/BTC price more.
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June 26, 2013, 02:35:02 AM
 #19

One another note the BTC/LTC debate of the 21st century resembles in many ways the bimetallism (gold/silver) debates of the 19th century  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bimetallism

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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June 26, 2013, 02:38:22 AM
 #20

both tied down because of UP USD.
LTC probably has more individual miners then BTC at the moment considering asics.
if asics decide to offload their huge BTC reserves and hedge their capital with LTC we could see some significant changes.

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