Can anyone tell me how much at the current difficulty these eruptors are mining in bitcoins?
I think .6 is a fair price on BTC Guild but I would like to make sure it won't be 5 years before seeing anything come of it.
Also this would be strictly hobby use. Not looking to get rich.
You'll probably break even within the year. Some expect several months, others claim over a year.
Assuming .004BTC per day as raw income, you'd break even in 150 days at the current difficulty, which is about 5months.Scratch that, I've done the math... read on below.
However, people seem to expect a 20% increase in difficulty every two weeks, so income drops 20% every two weeks.
So here's a table, assuming perfect 24/7 availability (no pool downtime, no computer downtime)
2w period | BTC/day | 2w Total BTC | All-time Total |
1st | 0.004BTC | 0.056BTC | 0.056BTC |
2nd | 0.0032BTC | 0.0448BTC | 0.1008BTC |
3rd | 0.00256BTC | 0.03584BTC | 0.13664BTC |
4th | 0.002048BTC | 0.028672BTC | 0.165312BTC |
5th | 0.0016384BTC | 0.0229376BTC | 0.1882496BTC |
6th | 0.00131072BTC | 0.01835008BTC | 0.20659968BTC |
7th | 0.001048576BTC | 0.014680064BTC | 0.221279744BTC |
8th | 0.0008388608BTC | 0.0117440512BTC | 0.2330237952BTC |
9th | 0.00067108864BTC | 0.00939524096BTC | 0.24241903616BTC |
10th | 0.000536870912BTC | 0.007516192768BTC | 0.249935228928BTC |
So that's 140 days, and not even close to 0.6
BTC.
Depending on how much electricity costs, it may not even pay for itself.
However, the price for these things is just simply affordable now, and electrical usage is near nothing. Rule of thumb here is that a 1watt device, running 24/7, will cost €2,- (or $2,50) per year in electricity. It's a little high to allow for price fluctuation.
So an Eruptor, 2,5watt each (5V x 0,5A = 2.5W), will cost €5,- per year to run. And just extrapolating the above table will tell you it will make more than it will cost in electricity for a long time to come.
I believe that electricity in the USA costs less than half what it costs here, so it'll be profitable for far longer.
When your investment has returned completely? Not within 6 months.
Ofcourse, this does not account for overhead powercosts. A PC, RaspberryPi, etc is not included.
Edit: I've extrapolated it in MS Excel. 52blocks of 2 weeks (so 2 years), will yield 0,279997442372135
BTCAfter 29 two-week periods (or 58weeks, a little over a year) the 2week income will drop below 0.0001
BTC that would be less than a single cent per 2 weeks (at 1
BTC = $100 exchange).
Daily income will drop below 0.0001
BTC after 17blocks (or 34weeks)
Ofcourse, this is purely based on speculation that difficulty will rise 20% per two weeks and that your mining income will drop by the same amount.
Edit2: Extrapolated through to 4 years (104 2week blocks), income total will be 0,279999999976638
BTCIf the difficulty only rises by 10% per 2weeks:
after 2 years, income total would be 0,55766224756596
BTC, drop below 0.0001
BTC/day would occur after 72weeks
after 4 years, income total would be 0,559990240917066
BTCEdit3:
Factoring in power at €5 per year and 1
BTC = €100,-, it would become unprofitable after 66weeks @ 10% diff increase per 2weeks.
At 20% diff increase per 2 weeks, it would become unprofitable after 54weeks.