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Question: Which exchange sets the price that the other one  will catch up with?
MtGox - 18 (39.1%)
Bitstamp - 25 (54.3%)
Other (pls specify in comment) - 3 (6.5%)
Total Voters: 46

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Author Topic: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?  (Read 1752 times)
adamstgBit
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October 09, 2013, 03:30:20 AM
 #21

It is not just BTC100.org. Take a look at the rest of the sites on http://btckan.com/price . All I will say is ignore China at your peril when trading BTC.


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?

Because its bullshit and clearly not actual data.

Thats the same site that was claiming like 150k not too long ago, with like 2CNY price rise BAHAHhAHAHAHHA

How can you possibly...?

idk, i never heard of btc100 until , 5 mins ago

can someone confirm derpinheimer's comment?

Derpinheimer here to prove derpinheimer's comment.



Guess what that is?

Hint: BTC100 Orderbook. As of minutes ago. With 50k volume claim.

maybe the volume is in CNY

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October 09, 2013, 09:13:27 AM
 #22

I feel bitstamp will surpass Gox.

The withdrawal issue is the big trouble for most of the speculators.

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October 09, 2013, 04:39:17 PM
 #23

Leading =/= being the closest to gox  Huh

Pardon me for being ignorant here, but maybe I'm not the only one.  In what context is "=/=" used?       If it was to mean "roughly equal" I'ld have expected to see (~=).   If it was "not equal" then I'ld expect "!=" or "<>".     But "=/=" isn't intuitive to me.

Which exchange sets the price that the other one  will catch up with?

You presume prices always equilibrate?   That will not always happen.  And it has little to do with trading volume.   Instead, various differences between exchanges are reflected in the price.    If there was zero friction between moving funds to and from exchanges, the prices would be the same.   As long as there are differences, the cost (or savings) of those differences are reflected in the exchange rate.

Now a spike or drop in volume (or urgency) may cause the degree of difference between the exchanges to grow or shrink over time but generally the exchange rate will move up or down at roughly the same level between the exchanges.

As far as determining a single "current market price" for bitcoin, currently Mt. Gox must be seen as an outlier but those bids are real so it cannot be entirely dismissed.   If you notice, both Coindesk's Bitcoin Price Indicator (BPI) and BItPay's exchange rate -- each computed with slightly different approaches yet seem to always land within about 1% of each other:
 - http://www.coindesk.com/price/
 - https://bitpay.com/bitcoin-exchange-rates

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