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Question: When will the bubble pop
this week - 24 (20.9%)
in 1 week, - 16 (13.9%)
i two weeks - 13 (11.3%)
in three weeks - 7 (6.1%)
1 month - 17 (14.8%)
never - 38 (33%)
Total Voters: 115

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Author Topic: When will the bubble pop?  (Read 2519 times)
bitwhizz (OP)
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November 06, 2013, 11:05:35 PM
 #1


Disclaimer -
OP is  a long term bull and holder of bitcoins

Op wants the price to keep going up
Op understands we are in an unsustainable bubble right now

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TheJuice
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November 06, 2013, 11:06:51 PM
 #2

what bubble?
BitChick
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November 06, 2013, 11:08:30 PM
 #3

The last "bubble" did not last.  The next "bubble" will do the same.  Sure there will be some volatility but over the long run the price will just continue to go up.

1BitcHiCK1iRa6YVY6qDqC6M594RBYLNPo
bitwhizz (OP)
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November 06, 2013, 11:11:32 PM
 #4

what bubble?

the 100 dollar rise in bitcoin value in ten days - generally known as a bubble -

 looks at a two year chart on bitcoin and see the other two instances this occurred, and no this time isn't different. THe price is irrational right now  , however i do believe in longterm value appreciation for bitcoin

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November 06, 2013, 11:15:17 PM
 #5

what bubble?

the 100 dollar rise in bitcoin value in ten days - generally known as a bubble -

 looks at a two year chart or bitcoin and see the other two instances this occurred, and no this time isn;t different. THe price is irrational, however i do believe in longterm value appreciation for bitcoin


The only "bubbles" with bitcoin have been rapid > 10x price movements. The first in 2011 from 0.01 to ~30 and the second in 2013 from ~10 to 266.

Going from ~130ish to 266 is not a bubble by this metric.

We will be in bubble land if the price rapidly moves to >1,500. Until then this is a stable rise.
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November 06, 2013, 11:19:13 PM
 #6

When it doubles for the fifth time it will crash to the 3rd double and then even out to the 4th.

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November 06, 2013, 11:22:46 PM
 #7

The bitcoin economy suddenly grows from a single major (incompetent) exchange to several high volume highly liquid exchanges plus etfs, second market, etc. The price goes up 80% over an entire month  to a level that its already visited during the mtgox era. This is a bubble?
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November 06, 2013, 11:23:51 PM
 #8

404

bubble not found

This is not some pseudoeconomic post-modern Libertarian cult, it's an un-led, crowd-sourced mega startup organized around mutual self-interest where problems, whether of the theoretical or purely practical variety, are treated as temporary and, ultimately, solvable.
Censorship of e-gold was easy. Censorship of Bitcoin will be… entertaining.
bitwhizz (OP)
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November 06, 2013, 11:25:47 PM
 #9

considering this rally is being led by solely by the chinese, i would call it a bubble
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November 06, 2013, 11:27:42 PM
 #10

considering this rally is being led by solely by the chinese, i would call it a bubble

You sir, are racist!  Wink
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November 06, 2013, 11:28:12 PM
 #11

bubble would be if we went to 400 tomorrow and 720 on an intraday spike the following day

there will be a correction, I am sure, but the current price is close to long term trends

This is not some pseudoeconomic post-modern Libertarian cult, it's an un-led, crowd-sourced mega startup organized around mutual self-interest where problems, whether of the theoretical or purely practical variety, are treated as temporary and, ultimately, solvable.
Censorship of e-gold was easy. Censorship of Bitcoin will be… entertaining.
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November 06, 2013, 11:28:23 PM
 #12

I'm sure it will decrease in price again, but no one knows when.  And, when the price has fallen a bit, it will increase again. This pattern keeps coming back in my opinion. Allthough I don't think it will decrease to a price less than $200,-.

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November 06, 2013, 11:37:48 PM
 #13


The only "bubbles" with bitcoin have been rapid > 10x price movements. The first in 2011 from 0.01 to ~30 and the second in 2013 from ~10 to 266.

Going from ~130ish to 266 is not a bubble by this metric.

We will be in bubble land if the price rapidly moves to >1,500. Until then this is a stable rise.


What characterize bubble is fast price increase, near the bubble pop is often even higher price increase.

Im pretty sure we are in a bubble now, only question of time when the bubble pop
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November 06, 2013, 11:47:27 PM
 #14

After the real bubble begins and the chart rescales, October/November will be seen as the "steady rise period" like march. Anyone who thinks 4%/day is fast is new to bit coin.
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November 06, 2013, 11:48:32 PM
 #15

After the real bubble begins and the chart rescales, October/November will be seen as the "steady rise period" like march. Anyone who thinks 4%/day is fast is new to bit coin.

this

This is not some pseudoeconomic post-modern Libertarian cult, it's an un-led, crowd-sourced mega startup organized around mutual self-interest where problems, whether of the theoretical or purely practical variety, are treated as temporary and, ultimately, solvable.
Censorship of e-gold was easy. Censorship of Bitcoin will be… entertaining.
bitwhizz (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 12:09:02 AM
 #16

After the real bubble begins and the chart rescales, October/November will be seen as the "steady rise period" like march. Anyone who thinks 4%/day is fast is new to bit coin.

i'm not new to bitcoin, i've seen 4% rise a day before, and i've seen the outcome
sgbett
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November 07, 2013, 12:23:19 AM
 #17

After the real bubble begins and the chart rescales, October/November will be seen as the "steady rise period" like march. Anyone who thinks 4%/day is fast is new to bit coin.

i'm not new to bitcoin, i've seen 4% rise a day before, and i've seen the outcome

Yeah, after about a month they eventually gave way to 10% a day gains Wink

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November 07, 2013, 12:53:57 AM
 #18

404

bubble not found

ding ding ding

 
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November 07, 2013, 07:49:04 AM
 #19

Then 4% a day it will be  Shocked

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November 07, 2013, 07:53:13 AM
 #20

I think to have a real bubble it must pop and never recover, so a price correction would probably be a better term. If ever bitcoin goes to below $1, that will be a bubble pop! (imho)
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