Gold/BTC parity guessing game! Guess and win some BTC! (current jackpot: 70mBTC)

[dnaleor]

I haven't voted in this, but this voting system seems like it could be used widely. A system where every voter can be verified (if necessary) (through signing the address), fraudulent voting could be eliminated, and the record of the vote is permanently recorded in the blockchain so cannot be altered by a corrupt organisation. Would this work? Or am I missing something here...

I guess it would work you even have a timestamp

[dnaleor]

Ok, reorganized the opening post a little, to make it clear.
This is the first time I organize a game, so the rules were not clear.

The posted rules are final now. No changes to the rules will be made.

Please note that rule §2 changed a little, to avoid "last minute guesses":

You can not guess the "parity date" as the current date or the next day.
For exemple: When the current GMT date is 2013-11-01 you can not guess/claim 2013-11-01 and 2013-11-02.
These invalid guesses will also be refunded (minus transaction costs)

edit: I waited to change this rule to not affect the game. I introduce this today, because, according to the old rules, you can not guess on todays date. But the date of tomorrow is already claimed, so this rule change does not affect the game. The only thing that changed is that, if you want to guess 2013-11-27 as parity date, you need to claim that date today!

[dnaleor]

new guess => new jackpot: 40 mBTC !!!

[dnaleor]

The earliest guess (2013-11-26 by 1Mwbsy6g2fR1DMe1AhDcCeU8Wzoz9NRS6Y) was wrong, but he still has a chance to win. If it is today or tomorrow, he still wins, because those days are unclaimable due to rule 2.

Exciting times We broke the 1000 USD barrier, so now the next significant level is Gold Parity !!!

[dave3k]

Let's have a go. 

2013-29-11

1GoLdyKwQaaZLuvqwp5Sy99xAKjHeXG52B

Good concept btw.

[dnaleor]

Let's have a go.  

2013-29-11

1GoLdyKwQaaZLuvqwp5Sy99xAKjHeXG52B

Good concept btw.

ok, date claimed, I will update the topic!
Good luck with your guess  

edit: jackpot now 50 mBTC!

[dnaleor]

And we have a first failed guess.
1Mwbsy6g2fR1DMe1AhDcCeU8Wzoz9NRS6Y, you were close, but, today we are 2013-11-28 GMT.
BTC is 1080 USD and gold is 1238 USD.
Close... You can try again

edit: excuse me. Didnt use bitcoinaverage... at bitcoinaverage we are at 1000 USD, not 1080

[dnaleor]

Although I said I would not change the rules, Bitcoinaverage changed their charts, you can now see the 30min price:
https://bitcoinaverage.com/charts.htm#USD|averages

So we will use that also

[kehtolo]

I'm not entering a guess or trying to win anything.. but it looks like it will happen in the next hour.

All i can say is WOW! That happened pretty fast.

[dnaleor]

I'm not entering a guess or trying to win anything.. but it looks like it will happen in the next hour.

All i can say is WOW! That happened pretty fast.

we use bitcoinaverage.com, so it will take a little longer than on gox

[dnaleor]

jackpot is now 60 mBTC!

The next days will be exciting:

2013-11-29: 1GoLdyKwQaaZLuvqwp5Sy99xAKjHeXG52B
2013-11-30: 1AzTfV5DZ1nxrMcyTTFXEpcAsYWVThAczS
2013-12-01: 19eLe663ao4jVPqzTksz2CnESt5eMX9tQA

 

[dnaleor]

I discovered that we you play around with the chart slider at the bottom of bitcoinaverage.com, we can have 5 min close intervals. So we will use that


gold rising a little, currently 1248 USD
bitcoin is going down a little on bitcoinaverage.com the last 5min close is 1056.25

[dnaleor]

I found the minute data on bitcoinaverage.com

We will use this:
https://api.bitcoinaverage.com/history/USD/per_minute_24h_sliding_window.csv

[davidgdg]

Is it my imagination or wasn't gold parity against Gox reached just before 0600 GMT this morning at US$ 1242?!!!

[dave3k]

Is it my imagination or wasn't gold parity against Gox reached just before 0600 GMT this morning at US$ 1242?!!!

True, however we are going with average bitcoin price not just gox...unfortunately
still 14 hrs left for my guess.

[dnaleor]

good luck all!!!  

crazy times, did not expect that it was getting so close this early

we are going up again... Now >1100 USD
But gold also is going up: 1247 USD

Bitcoin is chasing Gold it seems

[dnaleor]

@dave3k:

sorry man, you were really close, but...

current gold price: 1252 UD
current BTCaverage: 1128 USD

You really came close!

[Mythoranium]

Hi all, hi dnaleor!

I'm the owner of todays vote. Seems like it's not a bad bet, although this being saturday, the market might be slower as in workdays.
Wish me luck!

And dnaleor, regardless of the results, make another interesting guessing game like this

[dave3k]

And dnaleor, regardless of the results, make another interesting guessing game like this

+1

Good luck!

[dnaleor]

Hi all, hi dnaleor!

I'm the owner of todays vote. Seems like it's not a bad bet, although this being saturday, the market might be slower as in workdays.
Wish me luck!

And dnaleor, regardless of the results, make another interesting guessing game like this

good luck!  
we are very close now! BTCaverage was already >1150 USD. Target is 1252.50 USD !!!

and yes, considering other games, but with a few adjustlents:
*lower ticket price (maybe 0.005 or even 0.001), but I need to think of a way to "shorten" the date then...
*maybe a rule that guesses need to be posted 5 days in advance or something?

What do you guys think?


I was thinking to set up a new game for the 10000 USD mark (or, if there is enough interest, 5000 USD also)



edit: if it happens between 20:00 and 00:00 GMT today, I will not be able to post it here and celebrate with you, because I need to go to a party... But just wait 12 hours and you will get your prize


edit2: I found a way to lower the ticket price and still be able to put the guess in the date:
if the ticket price is 0.001, a guess would look like this: 0.00113365
This means year 2013 day 365 (31 december)  
!!! do not use this method to post guesses for this game. The rule of the first post need to be followed !!!