Gold/BTC parity guessing game! Guess and win some BTC! (current jackpot: 70mBTC)

[dnaleor]

We are getting close again...

BTCaverage: 1047 USD
1oz Gold: 1222 USD

 

[dnaleor]

before the crash, we came really close, but no gold parity...

Will we hit it soon, or will we need to wait for more weeks or even months?

[dnaleor]

Lets bump this topic again

I edited rule §6 to distribute more prizes

§6 The winner (the one who was closest to the actual date) wins all the tickets. If the winning date is at an equal "distance" of 2 guesses, the jackpot will be split amoung them.
The person on the second place wins 50% of the mBTC paid for the guesses.
The person on the thrid place wins 25% of the mBTC paid for the guesses.
If the jackpot for the first place was split, the person on the third place will receive 75% of the mBTC paid for the guesses.
If there is an ex aeqo for the second place, they will both receive 37.5% of the mBTC paid for the guesses.
I keep the remaining 25% of the mBTC paid for the guesses.

Current prizes:

[1] 70 mBTC
[2] 4.644505 mBTC
[3] 2.3222525 mBTC



edit: note that the original rule was that I received 100% of the mBTC paid for the guesses
This should be an incentive to guess again! If you get the second price, you get almost half of your ticket back

[dnaleor]

Just a *BUMP* to tell you the game address was spammed with
"Enjoy Sochi"

If those 2 transactions will ever be confirmed, 2 satoshis are added to the jackpot

[dave3k]

Just a *BUMP* to tell you the game address was spammed with
"Enjoy Sochi"

If those 2 transactions will ever be confirmed, 2 satoshis are added to the jackpot

Now we're talking!

[dnaleor]

to give this game a boost, I decided to drastically change rule number 2:

§2 You can not guess the "parity date" as the current date or a day in the next 2 weeks (so 14 days total).
For example: When the current GMT date is 2013-11-01 you can not guess/claim 2013-11-01, 2013-11-02, ..., 2013-11-13 and 2013-11-14.
These invalid guesses will also be refunded (minus transaction costs)

this means that if you think we will reach partity in the next 14 days, you need to post your guess NOW!



PS: this change of the rule does not affect any of the current guesses. Only one is still valid, but dates back from januari.
PPS: I still got the private key from this address

[dnaleor]

Also edited this rule:

§4In case bitcoinaverage.com is not available, we use the bitstamp-price.
In case Bitstamp is not available, we use the BTC-e price.
In case goldprice.org is down, we use xe.com

(the original mentioned gox in stead of bitstamp as secundary source. I added BTC-e as third choice

[dnaleor]

Positive vibes for BTC, negative vibes for gold... Time to bump this thread again. Feel free to post guesses. I verified and still have acces to the game address

[dnaleor]

*bump*

Goldprice going down... BTC on the verge of a new rally?
Parity date could be closer than we think... Who knows?



Also... You can participate in Risto's Prediction game.
You need to predict the exchnage rate for the last day of the month in 2014. And the first prize is above 1 BTC !!  

[dnaleor]

*bump*

Still alive guys

If a new rally starts, we could reach the gold price within one month. Don't forget that this rule:

§2 You can not guess the "parity date" as the current date or a day in the next 2 weeks (so 14 days total).

Wich means that the earliest guess you can make is 2014-07-26

the advantage is that if you do this, you "lock" all dates before that date as yours, because nobody placed a guess close to that date (and it isn't possible due to the rules)

[megamore]

Let's begin 

2014-08-01

1EeottMHyQSBkDNeZr2ZnKUtg58Xv199XD

[dnaleor]

Let's begin  

2014-08-01

1EeottMHyQSBkDNeZr2ZnKUtg58Xv199XD

great, a potential new participant!  

Did you read the rules? You need to send 0.01140801 BTC to 1Ge7zgS2H6QmxG7m78rgAKsVbfn92nse3G.
Your guess will be recorded by the blockchain and nobody else can claim that date

This incentiveses others to participate because now some days are "locked" AND the jackpot goes up.

[megamore]

Let's begin  

2014-08-01

1EeottMHyQSBkDNeZr2ZnKUtg58Xv199XD

great, a potential new participant!  

Did you read the rules? You need to send 0.01140801 BTC to 1Ge7zgS2H6QmxG7m78rgAKsVbfn92nse3G.
Your guess will be recorded by the blockchain and nobody else can claim that date

This incentiveses others to participate because now some days are "locked" AND the jackpot goes up.

Ups, I didn't read with careful, to big 0.01 for me 
Maybe I'll thinking again 

[dmoss]

2014-06-03
1JgUEs5aJzqM8NcWusuj5zphKPZyA3pqM7

[dnaleor]

Let's begin  

2014-08-01

1EeottMHyQSBkDNeZr2ZnKUtg58Xv199XD

great, a potential new participant!  

Did you read the rules? You need to send 0.01140801 BTC to 1Ge7zgS2H6QmxG7m78rgAKsVbfn92nse3G.
Your guess will be recorded by the blockchain and nobody else can claim that date

This incentiveses others to participate because now some days are "locked" AND the jackpot goes up.

Ups, I didn't read with careful, to big 0.01 for me  
Maybe I'll thinking again  

ok, no problem mate

I know 0.01 isn't cheap. It wasn't intended to be an expensive guessing game. And I should probably made it cheaper, but it is impossible to change it now. I'll create a new one for the 10000 USD mark and the ticket price will be lower

[dnaleor]

2014-06-03
1JgUEs5aJzqM8NcWusuj5zphKPZyA3pqM7

please read the rules in the OP
You need to send some mBTC to be able to participate

[hodgson]

Let's have a go. 

2013-09-11
18EahzqVgL2bPmFrcrrexzApfwovZG689j

[dnaleor]

Let's have a go. 

2013-09-11
18EahzqVgL2bPmFrcrrexzApfwovZG689j

I should have made this a self moderated thread. Plese read the rules of the game first.
The ticket price to participate is 0.01 BTC

[dnaleor]

let's bump this one again.

I still have the private key to the address, don't worry

[dnaleor]

I still have acces to the private key, so place your bets