millenium
Newbie
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Activity: 34
Merit: 0
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January 31, 2014, 03:04:22 PM |
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l'ultimo che ha fatto una roba del genere ora mi sembra che lavori per Google  ma io non lavoro e voglio continuare a non farlo ! Letto tutto, interessante e complimenti.... su tutto quello che hai detto la migliore è questa... |
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Jack-alb
Newbie
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Activity: 4
Merit: 0
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January 31, 2014, 04:01:59 PM |
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4) Puoi ricavare una formuletta che da il prezzo in funzione del tempo ?
come piccolo esercizio matematico ho ricavato la funzione
esponenziale che estrapola la mia funzione del prezzo:
P = e^(((days from 01/01/2012) * 0.0067) + 1.641))
praticamente indica una stima del prezzo in base ai giorni
trascorsi dal 01/01/2012 .....
esempio: prezzo al 01/01/2015 =
giorni dal 01/01/2012 al 01/01/2015 = 366 + 365 + 365 = 1096
P = e^((1096*0.0067) + 1.641) = 7976.06132258175 Sto effettuando le analisi di cui ti avevo parlato con risultati molto interessanti. Studiando l'estrapolazione della tua formula sul prezzo in previsione futura non sono però riuscito a capire da dove ricavi due dati: P = e^(((days from 01/01/2012) * 0.0067) + 1.641) lo 0.0067 ed il 1.641 da dove li hai presi? Scusa probabilmente sono io che ho saltato qualche passaggio e non mi ritrovo più. |
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gbianchi (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2895
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February 01, 2014, 01:50:05 PM |
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block# 281588 20/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0 23640410 0.00% 0.00% 90.4448% 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404311 38.39% 8.86% 1.5468% 16.19% 0.00404 38.39% 8.86% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 888694 82.60% 30.49% 3.4000% 35.58% 178.47579 74.47% 10.88% 0.0015% 0.00000
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 733133 69.94% 9.61% 2.8049% 29.35% 15357.05709 75.19% 14.35% 0.1250% 0.00000
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 246805 71.09% 9.10% 0.9442% 9.88% 114039.92835 76.25% 11.48% 0.9281% 0.00000
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 98291 68.71% 9.43% 0.3760% 3.94% 240798.05631 70.50% 9.90% 1.9598% 0.00000
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31040 72.52% 8.52% 0.1188% 1.24% 242006.83886 74.52% 8.51% 1.9696% 0.00000
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 24893 70.02% 8.92% 0.0952% 1.00% 414247.36810 71.49% 9.12% 3.3714% 0.00000
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50053 92.88% 74.45% 0.1915% 2.00% 2324363.85390 94.53% 79.62% 18.9172% 0.00000
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4489 71.78% 16.77% 0.0172% 0.18% 267665.61522 71.30% 15.28% 2.1784% 0.00000
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5562 82.27% 8.20% 0.0213% 0.22% 524703.32228 83.27% 8.28% 4.2704% 0.00000
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7672 70.75% 8.47% 0.0294% 0.31% 1708360.94025 72.18% 9.15% 13.9038% 0.00000
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1467 74.37% 6.82% 0.0056% 0.06% 1132149.10733 76.05% 7.08% 9.2142% 0.00000
> 1000 BTC 1121 66.73% 10.53% 0.0043% 0.04% 5303179.11919 69.45% 6.34% 43.1607% 0.00000
Total Actives 2497531 69.93% 18.14% 9.5552% 100.00% 12287049.68643 76.07% 21.20% 100.0000% 0.00000
Total 26137941 6.68% 1.73% 100.0000% 12287049.68643 76.07% 21.20% 100.0000% 0.00000
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block# 281754 21/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 23718956 0.00% 0.00% 90.4525% 78546 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404307 38.39% 8.86% 1.5418% 16.15% -4 0.00404 38.39% 8.86% 0.0000% -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 889457 82.58% 30.46% 3.3920% 35.53% 763 178.83823 74.45% 10.86% 0.0015% 0.36244
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 736700 69.81% 9.56% 2.8094% 29.43% 3567 15434.31496 74.86% 14.28% 0.1256% 77.25786
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 247686 70.87% 9.06% 0.9446% 9.89% 881 114311.43846 76.04% 11.44% 0.9300% 271.51010
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 98975 68.52% 9.36% 0.3774% 3.95% 684 242415.69126 70.30% 9.83% 1.9723% 1617.63495
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31278 72.46% 8.46% 0.1193% 1.25% 238 243925.96439 74.48% 8.44% 1.9846% 1919.12553
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 24879 69.84% 8.92% 0.0949% 0.99% -14 414162.34065 71.33% 9.12% 3.3696% -85.02745
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50053 92.91% 74.45% 0.1909% 2.00% 0 2324420.87056 94.54% 79.61% 18.9113% 57.01666
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4512 71.88% 16.67% 0.0172% 0.18% 23 269242.63002 71.40% 15.17% 2.1905% 1577.01479
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5536 82.41% 8.22% 0.0211% 0.22% -26 522588.60633 83.39% 8.30% 4.2517% -2114.71595
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7633 70.65% 8.48% 0.0291% 0.30% -39 1702173.67387 72.18% 9.17% 13.8487% -6187.26638
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1461 74.26% 6.84% 0.0056% 0.06% -6 1127089.70856 75.95% 7.11% 9.1699% -5059.39878
> 1000 BTC 1127 66.90% 10.47% 0.0043% 0.05% 6 5315255.60198 69.46% 6.33% 43.2444% 12076.48279
Total Actives 2503604 69.86% 18.10% 9.5475% 100.00% 6073 12291199.68302 76.06% 21.19% 100.0000% 4149.99658
Total 26222560 6.67% 1.73% 100.0000% 84619 12291199.68302 76.06% 21.19% 100.0000% 4149.99658
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block# 281946 22/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 23788234 0.00% 0.00% 90.4507% 69278 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404307 38.39% 8.86% 1.5373% 16.10% 0 0.00404 38.39% 8.86% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 889525 82.57% 30.46% 3.3823% 35.42% 68 178.98577 74.45% 10.84% 0.0015% 0.14755
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 741440 69.81% 9.50% 2.8192% 29.52% 4740 15566.17831 74.77% 14.15% 0.1266% 131.86335
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 250027 70.68% 8.97% 0.9507% 9.96% 2341 115022.93534 75.88% 11.37% 0.9355% 711.49688
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 99580 68.44% 9.30% 0.3786% 3.97% 605 243602.58819 70.18% 9.78% 1.9812% 1186.89693
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31236 72.35% 8.47% 0.1188% 1.24% -42 243421.87319 74.34% 8.46% 1.9797% -504.09121
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 24963 69.76% 8.88% 0.0949% 0.99% 84 415678.42966 71.27% 9.08% 3.3806% 1516.08901
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50103 92.86% 74.37% 0.1905% 1.99% 50 2326085.97779 94.50% 79.55% 18.9174% 1665.10724
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4501 71.74% 16.69% 0.0171% 0.18% -11 268597.49245 71.24% 15.19% 2.1844% -645.13756
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5524 82.48% 8.20% 0.0210% 0.22% -12 521545.28108 83.46% 8.28% 4.2416% -1043.32526
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7646 70.49% 8.44% 0.0291% 0.30% 13 1705156.04694 72.02% 9.14% 13.8676% 2982.37307
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1466 74.08% 6.82% 0.0056% 0.06% 5 1130403.73945 75.79% 7.09% 9.1933% 3314.03089
> 1000 BTC 1126 66.96% 10.48% 0.0043% 0.04% -1 5310740.25269 69.51% 6.33% 43.1908% -4515.34929
Total Actives 2511444 69.83% 18.04% 9.5493% 100.00% 7840 12295999.78462 76.03% 21.18% 100.0000% 4800.10160
Total 26299678 6.67% 1.72% 100.0000% 77118 12295999.78462 76.03% 21.18% 100.0000% 4800.10160
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block# 282123 23/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 23856570 0.00% 0.00% 90.4693% 68336 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404313 38.39% 8.86% 1.5332% 16.09% 6 0.00404 38.39% 8.86% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 890850 82.53% 30.41% 3.3783% 35.45% 1325 179.45436 74.32% 10.81% 0.0015% 0.46858
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 741894 69.95% 9.49% 2.8134% 29.52% 454 15446.54826 75.26% 14.26% 0.1256% -119.63005
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 249847 70.76% 8.98% 0.9475% 9.94% -180 115223.57715 75.84% 11.34% 0.9367% 200.64181
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 99708 68.43% 9.29% 0.3781% 3.97% 128 244299.08099 70.19% 9.75% 1.9861% 696.49279
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31304 72.47% 8.45% 0.1187% 1.25% 68 244172.92254 74.44% 8.43% 1.9851% 751.04936
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 24907 69.77% 8.89% 0.0945% 0.99% -56 414901.93382 71.25% 9.09% 3.3731% -776.49585
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50131 92.83% 74.32% 0.1901% 1.99% 28 2327214.99511 94.47% 79.51% 18.9198% 1129.01731
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4513 71.55% 16.64% 0.0171% 0.18% 12 269370.15891 71.03% 15.15% 2.1899% 772.66646
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5521 82.67% 8.19% 0.0209% 0.22% -3 521273.04545 83.64% 8.27% 4.2378% -272.23563
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7651 70.42% 8.43% 0.0290% 0.30% 5 1707989.62295 71.95% 9.12% 13.8856% 2833.57601
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1460 74.18% 6.85% 0.0055% 0.06% -6 1126799.66153 75.94% 7.11% 9.1607% -3604.07792
> 1000 BTC 1127 66.90% 10.47% 0.0043% 0.04% 1 5313553.77399 69.42% 6.33% 43.1981% 2813.52130
Total Actives 2513226 69.87% 18.03% 9.5307% 100.00% 1782 12300424.77880 75.99% 21.17% 100.0000% 4424.99418
Total 26369796 6.66% 1.72% 100.0000% 70118 12300424.77880 75.99% 21.17% 100.0000% 4424.99418
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block# 282312 24/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 23919316 0.00% 0.00% 90.4656% 62746 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404273 38.40% 8.87% 1.5290% 16.04% -40 0.00404 38.40% 8.87% 0.0000% -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 891253 82.53% 30.40% 3.3708% 35.35% 403 179.40679 74.32% 10.81% 0.0015% -0.04756
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 746834 69.81% 9.42% 2.8246% 29.63% 4940 15615.89649 74.81% 14.10% 0.1269% 169.34823
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 251302 70.33% 8.92% 0.9505% 9.97% 1455 115694.54530 75.48% 11.29% 0.9402% 470.96814
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 100313 68.21% 9.23% 0.3794% 3.98% 605 245818.39854 69.95% 9.68% 1.9977% 1519.31755
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31449 72.41% 8.40% 0.1189% 1.25% 145 245251.76897 74.41% 8.39% 1.9931% 1078.84643
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25052 69.63% 8.83% 0.0947% 0.99% 145 417291.10370 71.14% 9.03% 3.3912% 2389.16988
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50190 92.80% 74.23% 0.1898% 1.99% 59 2329109.56899 94.45% 79.44% 18.9279% 1894.57388
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4521 71.47% 16.61% 0.0171% 0.18% 8 269922.53709 70.94% 15.11% 2.1936% 552.37818
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5534 82.40% 8.17% 0.0209% 0.22% 13 522585.15612 83.36% 8.25% 4.2469% 1312.11068
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7630 70.16% 8.44% 0.0289% 0.30% -21 1707099.54467 71.64% 9.11% 13.8730% -890.07829
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1455 74.36% 6.87% 0.0055% 0.06% -5 1122178.52159 76.29% 7.14% 9.1196% -4621.13994
> 1000 BTC 1109 67.54% 10.64% 0.0042% 0.04% -18 5314403.32307 69.95% 6.33% 43.1884% 849.54908
Total Actives 2520915 69.78% 17.97% 9.5344% 100.00% 7689 12305149.77507 76.18% 21.16% 100.0000% 4724.99627
Total 26440231 6.65% 1.71% 100.0000% 70435 12305149.77507 76.18% 21.16% 100.0000% 4724.99627
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block# 282477 25/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 23975002 0.00% 0.00% 90.4743% 55686 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404273 38.40% 8.87% 1.5256% 16.02% 0 0.00404 38.40% 8.87% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 892616 82.51% 30.35% 3.3685% 35.36% 1363 179.90381 74.33% 10.78% 0.0015% 0.49702
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 749650 69.86% 9.39% 2.8289% 29.70% 2816 15693.60393 74.78% 14.03% 0.1275% 77.70744
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 250536 70.57% 8.95% 0.9454% 9.93% -766 115367.64763 75.68% 11.32% 0.9372% -326.89767
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 100245 68.43% 9.23% 0.3783% 3.97% -68 245603.76148 70.18% 9.69% 1.9953% -214.63706
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31446 72.40% 8.39% 0.1187% 1.25% -3 245260.39065 74.37% 8.38% 1.9925% 8.62168
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25000 69.78% 8.85% 0.0943% 0.99% -52 416858.91696 71.24% 9.04% 3.3865% -432.18674
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50214 92.78% 74.18% 0.1895% 1.99% 24 2329831.34184 94.44% 79.40% 18.9274% 721.77285
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4512 71.61% 16.62% 0.0170% 0.18% -9 269414.69710 71.09% 15.12% 2.1887% -507.83999
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5538 82.48% 8.14% 0.0209% 0.22% 4 523010.62348 83.45% 8.22% 4.2489% 425.46736
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7645 70.35% 8.37% 0.0288% 0.30% 15 1710751.93319 71.80% 9.05% 13.8981% 3652.38852
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1454 74.35% 6.88% 0.0055% 0.06% -1 1121013.49627 76.30% 7.15% 9.1071% -1165.02532
> 1000 BTC 1112 67.54% 10.61% 0.0042% 0.04% 3 5316288.45150 69.97% 6.33% 43.1893% 1885.12843
Total Actives 2524241 69.83% 17.94% 9.5257% 100.00% 3326 12309274.77157 76.22% 21.14% 100.0000% 4124.99651
Total 26499243 6.65% 1.71% 100.0000% 59012 12309274.77157 76.22% 21.14% 100.0000% 4124.99651
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block# 282629 26/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 24030500 0.00% 0.00% 90.4703% 55498 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404286 38.40% 8.87% 1.5221% 15.97% 13 0.00404 38.40% 8.87% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 893746 82.50% 30.31% 3.3648% 35.31% 1130 180.29252 74.32% 10.76% 0.0015% 0.38871
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 752928 69.94% 9.34% 2.8346% 29.75% 3278 15784.72847 74.80% 13.95% 0.1282% 91.12454
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 252431 70.47% 8.88% 0.9504% 9.97% 1895 116025.50875 75.62% 11.25% 0.9423% 657.86112
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 100810 68.40% 9.17% 0.3795% 3.98% 565 246851.25998 70.14% 9.63% 2.0048% 1247.49850
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31472 72.46% 8.39% 0.1185% 1.24% 26 245350.79422 74.42% 8.37% 1.9926% 90.40357
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25080 69.80% 8.80% 0.0944% 0.99% 80 417932.72476 71.26% 9.00% 3.3942% 1073.80780
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50236 92.76% 74.14% 0.1891% 1.98% 22 2330363.28476 94.42% 79.37% 18.9259% 531.94292
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4526 71.56% 16.57% 0.0170% 0.18% 14 270141.45914 71.05% 15.07% 2.1939% 726.76204
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5534 82.56% 8.15% 0.0208% 0.22% -4 522497.48356 83.53% 8.23% 4.2434% -513.13992
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7635 70.26% 8.37% 0.0287% 0.30% -10 1708335.56307 71.71% 9.04% 13.8742% -2416.37011
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1453 74.12% 6.88% 0.0055% 0.06% -1 1120226.01262 76.08% 7.16% 9.0979% -787.48365
> 1000 BTC 1112 67.45% 10.61% 0.0042% 0.04% 0 5319385.65315 69.90% 6.32% 43.2011% 3097.20166
Total Actives 2531249 69.84% 17.89% 9.5297% 100.00% 7008 12313074.76874 76.16% 21.13% 100.0000% 3799.99717
Total 26561749 6.66% 1.71% 100.0000% 62506 12313074.76874 76.16% 21.13% 100.0000% 3799.99717
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block# 282803 27/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0 24095762 0.00% 0.00% 90.4501% 65262 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404284 38.40% 8.87% 1.5176% 15.89% -2 0.00404 38.40% 8.87% 0.0000% -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 898563 82.51% 30.15% 3.3730% 35.32% 4817 181.71100 74.42% 10.67% 0.0015% 1.41848
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 757644 69.92% 9.28% 2.8440% 29.78% 4716 15907.75197 74.64% 13.83% 0.1291% 123.02350
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 254626 70.21% 8.79% 0.9558% 10.01% 2195 116763.52952 75.40% 11.18% 0.9480% 738.02077
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 101515 68.19% 9.11% 0.3811% 3.99% 705 248671.06574 69.95% 9.56% 2.0189% 1819.80576
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31723 72.34% 8.31% 0.1191% 1.25% 251 247586.52388 74.34% 8.29% 2.0101% 2235.72966
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25182 69.80% 8.76% 0.0945% 0.99% 102 419041.22561 71.29% 8.97% 3.4020% 1108.50085
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50260 92.72% 74.09% 0.1887% 1.98% 24 2331124.45672 94.39% 79.33% 18.9254% 761.17196
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4531 71.44% 16.55% 0.0170% 0.18% 5 270551.45609 70.89% 15.05% 2.1965% 409.99695
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5548 82.46% 8.13% 0.0208% 0.22% 14 523735.81691 83.43% 8.21% 4.2520% 1238.33335
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7618 70.11% 8.36% 0.0286% 0.30% -17 1705005.19699 71.62% 9.04% 13.8422% -3330.36609
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1469 73.72% 6.81% 0.0055% 0.06% 16 1133531.78506 75.54% 7.07% 9.2027% 13305.77244
> 1000 BTC 1106 67.36% 10.67% 0.0042% 0.04% -6 5305324.24410 69.90% 6.34% 43.0717% -14061.40905
Total Actives 2544069 69.83% 17.80% 9.5499% 100.00% 12820 12317424.76733 76.09% 21.12% 100.0000% 4349.99858
Total 26639831 6.67% 1.70% 100.0000% 78082 12317424.76733 76.09% 21.12% 100.0000% 4349.99858
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block# 282957 28/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 24171974 0.00% 0.00% 90.4597% 76212 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404235 38.40% 8.87% 1.5128% 15.86% -49 0.00404 38.40% 8.87% 0.0000% -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 899061 82.50% 30.13% 3.3646% 35.27% 498 181.89135 74.41% 10.66% 0.0015% 0.18035
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 761638 69.89% 9.23% 2.8503% 29.88% 3994 15990.74809 74.51% 13.76% 0.1298% 82.99612
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 255758 70.29% 8.75% 0.9571% 10.03% 1132 117120.68258 75.41% 11.14% 0.9506% 357.15306
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 101262 68.17% 9.12% 0.3790% 3.97% -253 248323.48642 69.95% 9.57% 2.0154% -347.57932
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31638 72.33% 8.33% 0.1184% 1.24% -85 246703.95578 74.33% 8.32% 2.0023% -882.56810
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25138 69.88% 8.77% 0.0941% 0.99% -44 417972.10142 71.37% 8.99% 3.3923% -1069.12419
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50260 92.76% 74.09% 0.1881% 1.97% 0 2331278.68717 94.42% 79.33% 18.9208% 154.23045
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4543 71.52% 16.51% 0.0170% 0.18% 12 271159.20510 70.95% 15.02% 2.2007% 607.74901
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5542 82.66% 8.14% 0.0207% 0.22% -6 523510.42953 83.59% 8.21% 4.2488% -225.38738
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7640 70.37% 8.29% 0.0286% 0.30% 22 1711087.35302 71.81% 8.98% 13.8873% 6082.15603
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1470 73.74% 6.80% 0.0055% 0.06% 1 1133771.97994 75.56% 7.07% 9.2017% 240.19488
> 1000 BTC 1104 67.39% 10.69% 0.0041% 0.04% -2 5304174.24087 69.89% 6.34% 43.0489% -1150.00323
Total Actives 2549289 69.83% 17.76% 9.5403% 100.00% 5220 12321274.76502 76.12% 21.10% 100.0000% 3849.99769
Total 26721263 6.66% 1.69% 100.0000% 81432 12321274.76502 76.12% 21.10% 100.0000% 3849.99769
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block# 283109 29/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 24234079 0.00% 0.00% 90.4533% 62105 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404237 38.41% 8.87% 1.5088% 15.80% 2 0.00404 38.41% 8.87% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 899892 82.47% 30.10% 3.3588% 35.18% 831 182.30419 74.35% 10.64% 0.0015% 0.41283
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 767023 69.81% 9.17% 2.8629% 29.99% 5385 16150.22650 74.29% 13.62% 0.1310% 159.47841
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 257866 70.10% 8.68% 0.9625% 10.08% 2108 117705.99111 75.29% 11.08% 0.9550% 585.30853
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 101407 68.09% 9.10% 0.3785% 3.96% 145 248677.62562 69.87% 9.55% 2.0177% 354.13919
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31616 72.31% 8.33% 0.1180% 1.24% -22 246483.77013 74.31% 8.31% 1.9999% -220.18565
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25148 69.71% 8.77% 0.0939% 0.98% 10 418519.34681 71.22% 8.98% 3.3957% 547.24539
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50240 92.76% 74.12% 0.1875% 1.96% -20 2330537.56489 94.42% 79.35% 18.9089% -741.12228
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4545 71.60% 16.48% 0.0170% 0.18% 2 271334.28814 71.06% 14.99% 2.2015% 175.08303
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5537 82.59% 8.15% 0.0207% 0.22% -5 522813.70230 83.54% 8.22% 4.2419% -696.72724
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7631 70.20% 8.26% 0.0285% 0.30% -9 1709337.61264 71.65% 8.95% 13.8688% -1749.74038
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1476 73.51% 6.78% 0.0055% 0.06% 6 1136998.48978 75.39% 7.05% 9.2251% 3226.50984
> 1000 BTC 1111 67.06% 10.62% 0.0041% 0.04% 7 5306333.83773 69.80% 6.34% 43.0532% 2159.59686
Total Actives 2557729 69.77% 17.70% 9.5467% 100.00% 8440 12325074.76358 76.03% 21.09% 100.0000% 3799.99856
Total 26791808 6.66% 1.69% 100.0000% 70545 12325074.76358 76.03% 21.09% 100.0000% 3799.99856
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block# 283285 30/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 24304459 0.00% 0.00% 90.4570% 70380 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404231 38.41% 8.87% 1.5045% 15.77% -6 0.00404 38.41% 8.87% 0.0000% -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 900853 82.47% 30.07% 3.3528% 35.13% 961 182.65997 74.38% 10.62% 0.0015% 0.35578
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 771830 69.82% 9.11% 2.8726% 30.10% 4807 16234.41090 74.29% 13.55% 0.1317% 84.18440
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 258194 70.25% 8.67% 0.9610% 10.07% 328 117811.98469 75.42% 11.07% 0.9555% 105.99358
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 101420 68.23% 9.10% 0.3775% 3.96% 13 248665.48738 70.03% 9.55% 2.0168% -12.13824
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31678 72.46% 8.31% 0.1179% 1.24% 62 246937.81650 74.45% 8.30% 2.0028% 454.04637
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25297 70.00% 8.72% 0.0942% 0.99% 149 420438.61890 71.48% 8.93% 3.4100% 1919.27209
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50260 92.77% 74.09% 0.1871% 1.96% 20 2331321.29886 94.43% 79.32% 18.9085% 783.73398
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4541 71.68% 16.49% 0.0169% 0.18% -4 271059.01841 71.14% 15.00% 2.1985% -275.26973
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5537 82.46% 8.15% 0.0206% 0.22% 0 522888.82244 83.43% 8.22% 4.2410% 75.12014
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7642 70.18% 8.23% 0.0284% 0.30% 11 1710273.99688 71.63% 8.93% 13.8714% 936.38423
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1481 73.53% 6.75% 0.0055% 0.06% 5 1140497.64000 75.41% 7.03% 9.2502% 3499.15022
> 1000 BTC 1111 67.06% 10.62% 0.0041% 0.04% 0 5303163.00306 69.80% 6.34% 43.0121% -3170.83467
Total Actives 2564075 69.81% 17.66% 9.5430% 100.00% 6346 12329474.76173 76.05% 21.08% 100.0000% 4399.99815
Total 26868534 6.66% 1.69% 100.0000% 76726 12329474.76173 76.05% 21.08% 100.0000% 4399.99815
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block# 283469 31/01/2014 num %noOut %dead %of tot %of act diff prev value %noOut %vdead %TotVal diff prev
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= 0 24375186 0.00% 0.00% 90.4565% 70727 0.00000 0.00% 0.00% 0.0000% 0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) 404247 38.41% 8.87% 1.5002% 15.72% 16 0.00404 38.41% 8.87% 0.0000% 0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC ( ~1$ ) 901871 82.45% 30.04% 3.3468% 35.07% 1018 182.97061 74.38% 10.60% 0.0015% 0.31064
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC 776007 69.80% 9.06% 2.8798% 30.18% 4177 16364.05592 74.08% 13.44% 0.1327% 129.64502
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC 259888 70.03% 8.61% 0.9644% 10.11% 1694 118407.39113 75.21% 11.01% 0.9600% 595.40644
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC 101982 68.11% 9.05% 0.3785% 3.97% 562 249948.07298 69.92% 9.50% 2.0265% 1282.58561
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC 31776 72.19% 8.28% 0.1179% 1.24% 98 247447.64311 74.21% 8.28% 2.0062% 509.82661
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC 25313 69.76% 8.71% 0.0939% 0.98% 16 420626.98969 71.31% 8.93% 3.4103% 188.37078
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC 50299 92.74% 74.03% 0.1867% 1.96% 39 2332760.26293 94.39% 79.27% 18.9131% 1438.96407
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC 4546 71.47% 16.48% 0.0169% 0.18% 5 271388.36323 70.89% 14.98% 2.2003% 329.34482
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC 5526 82.59% 8.16% 0.0205% 0.21% -11 522096.56931 83.53% 8.24% 4.2330% -792.25313
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC 7639 70.10% 8.21% 0.0283% 0.30% -3 1708858.92526 71.56% 8.92% 13.8548% -1415.07162
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC 1478 73.14% 6.77% 0.0055% 0.06% -3 1138682.69721 75.06% 7.04% 9.2320% -1814.94279
> 1000 BTC 1114 66.97% 10.59% 0.0041% 0.04% 3 5307310.81487 69.76% 6.34% 43.0297% 4147.81181
Total Actives 2571686 69.77% 17.60% 9.5435% 100.00% 7611 12334074.75999 75.97% 21.07% 100.0000% 4599.99826
Total 26946872 6.66% 1.68% 100.0000% 78338 12334074.75999 75.97% 21.07% 100.0000% 4599.99826
num : number of addresses in this range of balance
%noOut : percentage of active addresses WITHOUT out operations
%dead : percentage of active addresses with input and output operations prior to 2012
%of tot : percentage of the TOTAL number addresses
%of act : percentage of the number of addresses with zero balance (active)
diff prev: number variation compared to the previous table
%noOut : % value transactions WITHOUT output ( % value of range)
%vdead : % operations value prev 2012 ( % value of range))
%TotVal : % value of this range compared to the total value
diff prev: change in value compared to the previous table
donations : 1LJuCmvbzk7Xph1LQRsSzjYYQVu81N53GN
gbianchi bitcointalk.org bitcoin-italia.org
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gbianchi (OP)
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Activity: 3276
Merit: 2895
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February 01, 2014, 10:55:48 PM |
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zoe
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February 02, 2014, 09:30:38 AM |
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wou. Un giusta testimonianza per un grande lavoro.
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TulipBit
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February 02, 2014, 10:35:45 AM |
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complimenti gbianchi, non siamo gli unici quindi ad aver notato l'ottimo lavoro di ricerca su un campo così complesso come questo.
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angrynerd88
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Activity: 910
Merit: 253
Hodlers Network
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February 02, 2014, 11:04:58 AM |
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gbianchi quali sono le sue idee sul prezzo da qui a due tre mesi?
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zoe
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February 02, 2014, 11:12:30 AM |
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gbianchi quali sono le sue idee sul prezzo da qui a due tre mesi?
se scorri indietro il thread l'ha già postato. |
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gbianchi (OP)
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February 02, 2014, 08:23:32 PM
Last edit: February 02, 2014, 09:05:58 PM by gbianchi |
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HO aggiunto nel grafico il valore della volatilita'. Ho utilizzato la formula classica della volatilita', ossia: deviazione standard delle variazioni percentuali giornaliere. Ogni giorno calcolo la volatilita' in base al prezzo fino a 30 giorni addietro. Emerge in modo molto evidente la periodicita' dei periodi "pump", che sono i picchi nel grafico della volatilita'.  |
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Bunker
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Activity: 112
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February 03, 2014, 11:53:08 AM |
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Bel lavoro gbianchi molto interessante.
Grazie.
A proposito dello "spread" fra GOX e BTCE se ne parlava in "trading chatroom" dove c'è Gordon Geeko e pare che GOX sia sotto controllo dalle autorità (o qualcosa del genere) in questo periodo e ciò potrebbe influire sulla differenza. Ora si attende il rientro dalla festività cinese per vedere l'effetto della news sulla "riapertura" dei depositi.
Si nota una lieve diminuzione dello spread negli ultimi giorni.
BTCunker
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golikcoin
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
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February 03, 2014, 11:57:56 AM |
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Si nota una lieve diminuzione dello spread negli ultimi giorni.
la differenza è rispetto a 1,2 giorni fa ed è comunque ai massimi... |
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Bunker
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Activity: 112
Merit: 10
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February 03, 2014, 12:08:27 PM |
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Si nota una lieve diminuzione dello spread negli ultimi giorni.
la differenza è rispetto a 1,2 giorni fa ed è comunque ai massimi... si, è sempre ai massimi.... perché si vociferava che visti i problemi che c'erano per depositare fiat ma anche BTC che fossero pronti a "saltare"... ma i ritardi forse sono dovuti anche ai controlli che avevano. Sarà interessante vedere come si evolverà la situazione "spread" nelle prossime settimane o mesi. BTCunker |
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Splatters
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Activity: 1232
Merit: 1000
★YoBit.Net★ 1400+ Coins Exchange
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February 03, 2014, 12:14:38 PM |
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ma voi che seguite da tempo il fenomeno, cosa ci si aspetta realmente nei prossimi giorni? Nel senso è meglio investire ora che costa ancora 600€ 1BTC e ci si aspetta un rialzo molto presto, oppure meglio aspettare perchè è possibile che scenda qualcosa? Non chiedo l'esatta previsione, perchè penso non la sappia nessuno, ma così a pelle seguendo come sta andando, cosa ci si aspetta?
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I know why your pray will never be answered!
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angrynerd88
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Activity: 910
Merit: 253
Hodlers Network
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February 03, 2014, 12:29:51 PM |
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ma voi che seguite da tempo il fenomeno, cosa ci si aspetta realmente nei prossimi giorni? Nel senso è meglio investire ora che costa ancora 600€ 1BTC e ci si aspetta un rialzo molto presto, oppure meglio aspettare perchè è possibile che scenda qualcosa? Non chiedo l'esatta previsione, perchè penso non la sappia nessuno, ma così a pelle seguendo come sta andando, cosa ci si aspetta?
a pelle ti direi di investire ora che se ci sarà un pump probabilmente sarà a giorni o settimane massimo. Poi fai te. non ho la palla magica e non mi chiamo mago merlino. |
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zoe
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February 03, 2014, 12:30:21 PM |
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pillolina rossa o pillolina blu  |
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Splatters
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Activity: 1232
Merit: 1000
★YoBit.Net★ 1400+ Coins Exchange
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February 03, 2014, 12:45:07 PM |
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beh certo, non sto chiedendo certezze, ma leggendo da poco sembra debba arrivare sto aumento del prezzo, qundi chiedo solo un consiglio da voi che seguite di più. Preferisco spendere 1200€ ora che non stare fuori perchè tra una settimana sale a 1000€ il singolo. Appena arriva il bonifico su Bitstamp ne compro uno, poi vediamo come si evolve la cosa.
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I know why your pray will never be answered!
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zoe
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February 03, 2014, 12:53:51 PM |
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a guarda stavo scherzando era una battuta. mi è venuto in mente matrix  |
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angrynerd88
Sr. Member
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Activity: 910
Merit: 253
Hodlers Network
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February 03, 2014, 01:17:09 PM |
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a guarda stavo scherzando era una battuta. mi è venuto in mente matrix in effetti entrare nel mondo del bitcoin è un po' come entrare in matrix. Dimentica tutte le certezze. |
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zoe
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February 03, 2014, 01:21:02 PM |
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