Thanks for the explanation.
Yesterday the average base target was ~700%. This means that only 1/7 of all stakeholders were generating blocks, we can't say if the rest 6/7 were hit by bus or trying to fork Nxt blockchain.
This means that with increasing difficulty, instead of reducing the probability of the low valued stake holders to mine blocks, the algorithm cuts off their chance of mining the blocks completely. Now with difficulty 700% (e.g.), only 1/7th of the total coin holders who have the maximum held coins will be able to generate a block. The algorithm cuts out the 6/7th cause they don't have enough balance.
The list of the top 1/7th holder of coins can be generated and so the future miner of the block can be predicted.
Is this correct?