FAIRLAY - The Bitcoin prediction market

[fairlay]

We have a lot of new events and some predictions are waiting to get matched.

For example more than 100mBTC are predicted on next difficulty < 10B. To me that looks like a good chance to grab some coins...
If you look at bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-10b/

Find more of the latest bets:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/latest

Posted from Bitcointa.lk - #XV3BbGFYKtJ8XXzZ

[1715565940]

1715565940

[1715565940]

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[fairlay]

We have a couple of predictions on the auction of the silk road sized coins:
For example will the lowest price of a Block be < $450?

https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/price/

[fairlay]

We recently have a lot of activity on our regular "next difficulty prediction"

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/

bet against difficulty >31B at odds of 3.5. Note that from the current difficulty data odds should be more like 2. (50%/50%).

Some sources that predict the difficulty and their current prediction:

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty: 31,109,256,240
https://cryptanalys.is/difficulty/bitcoin_btc.php: 29,611,949,922
http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php: 29,804,000,000
http://mining-profit.com/bitcoin-difficulty-history: 30171493992

Thus all sites (in exception of bitcoinwisdom) predict a difficulty of <31B that would bring you 3.5 times your money back.