Alex_Sr (OP)
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July 16, 2018, 09:33:37 AM Last edit: February 01, 2020, 08:55:41 AM by Alex_Sr |
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Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-20192017Month | Registered | Total at the beginning of the month | % increase | First user of the month | January | 12 677 | 936 822 | 1,43% | First user of Jan, 2017 | February | 13 354 | 950 176 | 1,33% | First user of Feb, 2017 | March | 14 760 | 962 853 | 1,53% | First user of Mar, 2017 | April | 15 807 | 977 613 | 1,62% | First user of Apr, 2017 | May | 23 978 | 993 420 | 2,41% | First user of May, 2017 | June | 32 733 | 1 017 398 | 3,22% | First user of Jun, 2017 | July | 41 011 | 1 050 131 | 3,91% | First user of Jul, 2017 | August | 42 254 | 1 091 142 | 3,87% | First user of Aug, 2017 | September | 46 186 | 1 133 396 | 4,08% | First user of Sep, 2017 | October | 89 444 | 1 179 583 | 7,58% | First user of Oct, 2017 | November | 97 344 | 1 269 026 | 7,67% | First user of Nov, 2017 | December | 191 537 | 1 366 370 | 14,02% | First user of Dec, 2017 | Total: | 621 085 | 2018Month | Registered | Total at the beginning of the month | % increase | First user of the month | January | 224 576 | 1 557 907 | 14,42% | First user of Jan, 2018 | February | 112 212 | 1 782 483 | 6,30% | First user of Feb, 2018 | March | 97 644 | 1 894 695 | 5,15% | First user of Mar, 2018 | April | 86 898 | 1 992 339 | 4,36% | First user of Apr, 2018 | May | 91 993 | 2 079 237 | 4,42% | First user of May, 2018 | June | 77 683 | 2 171 230 | 3,58% | First user of Jun, 2018 | July | 69 840 | 2 248 912 | 3,11% | First user of Jul, 2018 | August | 54 384 | 2 318 752 | 2,35% | First user of Aug, 2018 | September | 45 362 | 2 373 136 | 1,88% | First user of Sep, 2018 | October | 39 354 | 2 418 498 | 1,60% | First user of Oct, 2018 | November | 35 127 | 2 457 852 | 1,41% | First user of Nov, 2018 | December | 23 504 | 2 492 979 | 0,93% | First user of Dec, 2018 | Total: | 958 575 | 2019Month | Registered | Total at the beginning of the month | % increase | First user of the month | January | 22 234 | 2 516 483 | 0,88% | First user of Jan, 2019 | February | 16 202 | 2 538 716 | 0,63% | First user of Feb, 2019 | March | 18 932 | 2 554 918 | 0,74% | First user of Mar, 2019 | April | 17 910 | 2 573 850 | 0,69% | First user of Apr, 2019 | May | 24 472 | 2 591 760 | 0,94% | First user of May, 2019 | June | 22 357 | 2 616 232 | 0,85% | First user of Jun, 2019 | July | 18 913 | 2 638 589 | 0,71% | First user of Jul, 2019 | August | 16 452 | 2 657 502 | 0,62% | First user of Aug, 2019 | September | 14 561 | 2 673 954 | 0,54% | First user of Sep, 2019 | October | 17 891 | 2 688 515 | 0,66% | First user of Oct, 2019 | November | 16 356 | 2 706 406 | 0,60% | First user of Nov, 2019 | December | 17 600 | 2 722 762 | 0,64% | First user of Dec, 2019 | 2020 100 000 user has been registered April 14, 2013, 11:49:44 PM
500 000 user has been registered March 31, 2015, 05:46:08 AM
1 000 000 user has been registered May 11, 2017, 09:12:46 AM
2 000 000 user has been registered April 03, 2018, 10:30:32 AM
74% - 0 post - Brand new 8% - 1 post 3% - 2 post 6% - 10 posts and more 3% - 30 posts and more 1% - 40 posts and more
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DdmrDdmr
Legendary
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Activity: 2450
Merit: 11000
There are lies, damned lies and statistics. MTwain
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July 16, 2018, 09:59:04 AM |
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Comparing your stats to the forum’s oficial stats ( https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats) there are a few discrepancies: - Jan and Feb 2017 are inverted between your stat and the official one. - August and October 2017 are off by 1 - November 2017 is off a few (97 344 vs 97 286 official) - December 2017 is off quite a bit (191 537 vs 63 756 official) December’s number of registered users seems a bit small on the official stats, considering that BTC peaked on the 16th of December, so I always wondered if they were correct for December 2017. I've just seen that, oddly enough, they only go up to the 13 of December (clicking the detail on the official Stats), so yours seem coherent with events. Forum official stats are not available for some reason for 2018. Can you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it). On forum profiles there is a recent one published this week by mazdafunsun: Truth about bitcointalk users 2.0 . He focused on profiles while you've focused on registration dates.
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Alex_Sr (OP)
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July 16, 2018, 10:19:07 AM |
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I just translated my topic created in may, 2018 Cтaтиcтикa peгиcтpaций нa BitcointalkCan you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it).
Alternative because there are already official
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Harlot
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July 16, 2018, 10:52:32 AM |
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So I am concluding that the merit system didn't hinder people from creating an account here in the forum as it has been consistent all through out from 2017-2018. The only number jumping is when the bull run is happening from December to January and it has only drop after that. What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.
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Alex_Sr (OP)
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July 17, 2018, 01:33:24 PM |
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What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.
Yes, that would be very interesting. But it is very difficult to calculate manually.
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spokewsa
Newbie
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Activity: 2
Merit: 0
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July 17, 2018, 02:02:22 PM |
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What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ? Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
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TryNinja
Legendary
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Activity: 2968
Merit: 7397
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July 17, 2018, 02:08:18 PM |
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What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ?
Most likely because it was using too much of the forum's process. Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
I doubt. Why would it? Jr. Members still can join most of the shitbounties announced in the forum. And it only takes 30 days to become one.
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DabLjat
Member
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Activity: 193
Merit: 70
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July 18, 2018, 05:39:21 AM |
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The chart of registrations resembles the dynamics of the bitcoin exchange rate
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Quickseller
Copper Member
Legendary
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Activity: 2982
Merit: 2371
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July 18, 2018, 07:04:03 AM |
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I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
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Alex_Sr (OP)
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I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
74% - 0 post - Brand new 8% - 1 post 3% - 2 post 6% - 10 posts and more 3% - 30 posts and more 1% - 40 posts and moreThe calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks) Start - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=21712311: 2171231 (Date Registered: June 01, 2018, 12:00:33 AM) 2: 2171331 ... 500: 2221131 (Date Registered: June 19, 2018, 11:31:01 AM) P.S. Sorry for my English
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John_BAKA
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Activity: 2
Merit: 0
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July 18, 2018, 11:53:37 AM |
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Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
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LoyceV
Legendary
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Activity: 3444
Merit: 17471
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
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July 18, 2018, 12:37:42 PM |
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74% - 0 post - Brand new I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation. Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly? This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
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Thirdspace
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July 18, 2018, 09:56:10 PM |
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74% - 0 post - Brand new I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation. probably most of them are already barred from posting because of proxyban I also believe proxyban is one factor that drives the registration numbers high but of course this is a result from spammers get banned, thus evil point added to those bad IPs spammer get banned >> mark bad IP >> new registration >> add evil point on the same IP the faster and more frequent they get banned on various IPs, the more IPs get flagged, the more accounts created and abandoned due to proxyban
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shield132
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July 18, 2018, 10:09:32 PM |
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74% - 0 post - Brand new I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation. Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly? This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements. No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate. John_BAKAI think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough.
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Quickseller
Copper Member
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2982
Merit: 2371
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July 19, 2018, 05:16:32 AM |
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I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...] The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks) Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts? I am most curious to see how many users make their first 10 posts, by month and compare this to the overall number of accounts registered to look for trends of entities possibly creating many accounts that are not used. In general, “active” users is a more useful stat than “users” (that includes those who are not/never active).
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Alex_Sr (OP)
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July 19, 2018, 03:05:41 PM |
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I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...] The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks) Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts? The sample began with 100 accounts: Sample 100: 79% - 0 post - Brand new 7 % - 1 post 3 % - 2 post 4 % - 10 post and more Sample 200: 75% - 0 post - Brand new 8 % - 1 post 4 % - 2 post 5 % - 10 post and more Sample 250: 73,6% - 0 post - Brand new 8,0 % - 1 post 4,0 % - 2 post 5,2 % - 10 post and more I think the error in the sample of 500 accounts is no more than 0.5-1%
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stompix
Legendary
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Activity: 3024
Merit: 6598
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
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July 19, 2018, 06:52:38 PM |
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Are there some statistics about the number of users that have been banned/nuked? And in the case of banned members, about their ranks? I think it would be interesting to see how many of the freshly registered users are shown the exit door daily. I have a feeling that each time the mods are following the lists of LoyceV and others, after a few hours the number of fresh registrations spikes again
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John_BAKA
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
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July 20, 2018, 05:12:08 AM |
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74% - 0 post - Brand new I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation. Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly? This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements. No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate. John_BAKAI think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough. How about the daily new posts, new topics and page views. They seems look like useful.
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shield132
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July 20, 2018, 08:16:36 PM |
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74% - 0 post - Brand new I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation. Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly? This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements. No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate. John_BAKAI think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough. How about the daily new posts, new topics and page views. They seems look like useful. Can provide the daily data? Thx Here it is: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=statsIf you are looking for them, then I suggest you to choose some sections because for example bitcoin discussion is very spammed. Also it will be better if you often visit cointelegraph.
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Quickseller
Copper Member
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2982
Merit: 2371
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July 21, 2018, 04:33:06 AM |
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I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...] The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks) Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts? The sample began with 100 accounts: Sample 100: 79% - 0 post - Brand new 7 % - 1 post 3 % - 2 post 4 % - 10 post and more Sample 200: 75% - 0 post - Brand new 8 % - 1 post 4 % - 2 post 5 % - 10 post and more Sample 250: 73,6% - 0 post - Brand new 8,0 % - 1 post 4,0 % - 2 post 5,2 % - 10 post and more I think the error in the sample of 500 accounts is no more than 0.5-1% I understand that the sample might be generally accurate for that general period of time, but I am interested in seeing how this changes over time.
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