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Author Topic: Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019  (Read 1042 times)
Alex_Sr
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July 16, 2018, 09:33:37 AM
Last edit: June 01, 2019, 12:12:46 PM by Alex_Sr
Merited by suchmoon (4), DdmrDdmr (2), Daniel91 (1), LoyceV (1), Coin-1 (1)
 #1

Alternative statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk


2017

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January12 677936 8221,43%First user of Jan, 2017
February13 354950 1761,33%First user of Feb, 2017
March14 760962 8531,53%First user of Mar, 2017
April15 807977 6131,62%First user of Apr, 2017
May23 978993 4202,41%First user of May, 2017
June32 7331 017 3983,22%First user of Jun, 2017
July41 0111 050 1313,91%First user of Jul, 2017
August42 2541 091 1423,87%First user of Aug, 2017
September46 1861 133 3964,08%First user of Sep, 2017
October89 4441 179 5837,58%First user of Oct, 2017
November97 3441 269 0267,67%First user of Nov, 2017
December191 5371 366 37014,02%First user of Dec, 2017
Total:621 085
   

2018

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January224 5761 557 90714,42%First user of Jan, 2018
February112 2121 782 4836,30%First user of Feb, 2018
March97 6441 894 6955,15%First user of Mar, 2018
April86 8981 992 3394,36%First user of Apr, 2018
May91 9932 079 2374,42%First user of May, 2018
June77 6832 171 2303,58%First user of Jun, 2018
July69 8402 248 9123,11%First user of Jul, 2018
August54 3842 318 7522,35%First user of Aug, 2018
September45 3622 373 1361,88%First user of Sep, 2018
October39 3542 418 4981,60%First user of Oct, 2018
November35 1272 457 8521,41%First user of Nov, 2018
December23 5042 492 9790,93%First user of Dec, 2018
Total:958 575

2019

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January22 2342 516 4830,88%First user of Jan, 2019
February16 2022 538 7160,63%First user of Feb, 2019
March18 9322 554 9180,74%First user of Mar, 2019
April17 9102 573 8500,69%First user of Apr, 2019
May24 4722 591 7600,94%First user of May, 2019
June??2 616 232??First user of June, 2019




100 000 user has been registered April 14, 2013, 11:49:44 PM

500 000 user has been registered March 31, 2015, 05:46:08 AM

1 000 000 user has been registered May 11, 2017, 09:12:46 AM

2 000 000 user has been registered April 03, 2018, 10:30:32 AM





74% - 0 post - Brand new
8% - 1 post
3% - 2 post
6% - 10 posts and more
3% - 30 posts and more
1% - 40 posts and more

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DdmrDdmr
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July 16, 2018, 09:59:04 AM
 #2

Comparing your stats to the forum’s oficial stats (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats) there are a few discrepancies:

-   Jan and Feb 2017 are inverted between your stat and the official one.
-   August and October 2017 are off by 1
-   November 2017 is off a few (97 344 vs 97 286 official)
-   December 2017 is off quite a bit (191 537 vs 63 756 official)

December’s number of registered users seems a bit small on the official stats, considering that BTC peaked on the 16th of December, so I always wondered if they were correct for December 2017. I've just seen that, oddly enough, they only go up to the 13 of December (clicking the detail on the official Stats), so yours seem coherent with events.

Forum official stats are not available for some reason for 2018.

Can you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it).

On forum profiles there is a recent one published this week by mazdafunsun: Truth about bitcointalk users 2.0 . He focused on profiles while you've focused on registration dates.

Alex_Sr
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July 16, 2018, 10:19:07 AM
 #3

On forum profiles there is a recent one published this week by mazdafunsun: Truth about bitcointalk users 2.0 . He focused on profiles while you've focused on registration dates.

I just translated my topic created in may, 2018
Cтaтиcтикa peгиcтpaций нa Bitcointalk

Can you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it).

Alternative because there are already official

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July 16, 2018, 10:52:32 AM
 #4

So I am concluding that the merit system didn't hinder people from creating an account here in the forum as it has been consistent all through out from 2017-2018. The only number jumping is when the bull run is happening from December to January and it has only drop after that. What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.

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July 17, 2018, 01:33:24 PM
 #5

What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.

Yes, that would be very interesting. But it is very difficult to calculate manually.

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July 17, 2018, 02:02:22 PM
 #6

What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ? Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
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July 17, 2018, 02:08:18 PM
 #7

What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ?
Most likely because it was using too much of the forum's process.

Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
I doubt. Why would it? Jr. Members still can join most of the shitbounties announced in the forum. And it only takes 30 days to become one.

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July 18, 2018, 05:39:21 AM
 #8

The chart of registrations resembles the dynamics of the bitcoin exchange rate


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July 18, 2018, 07:04:03 AM
 #9

I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.

Alex_Sr
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July 18, 2018, 10:16:33 AM
Merited by xandry (1), Piggy (1), DdmrDdmr (1)
 #10

I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.




74% - 0 post - Brand new
8% - 1 post
3% - 2 post
6% - 10 posts and more
3% - 30 posts and more
1% - 40 posts and more


The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)
Start - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2171231
1: 2171231 (Date Registered:   June 01, 2018, 12:00:33 AM)
2: 2171331
...
500: 2221131 (Date Registered:   June 19, 2018, 11:31:01 AM)

P.S. Sorry for my English  Smiley

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July 18, 2018, 11:53:37 AM
 #11

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
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July 18, 2018, 12:37:42 PM
 #12

74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.

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July 18, 2018, 09:56:10 PM
 #13

74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.
probably most of them are already barred from posting because of proxyban
I also believe proxyban is one factor that drives the registration numbers high
but of course this is a result from spammers get banned, thus evil point added to those bad IPs

spammer get banned >> mark bad IP >> new registration >> add evil point on the same IP
the faster and more frequent they get banned on various IPs,
the more IPs get flagged, the more accounts created and abandoned due to proxyban

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July 18, 2018, 10:09:32 PM
 #14

74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate.
John_BAKA
I think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough.

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July 19, 2018, 05:16:32 AM
 #15

I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...]

The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)

Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts?

I am most curious to see how many users make their first 10 posts, by month and compare this to the overall number of accounts registered to look for trends of entities possibly creating many accounts that are not used.

In general, “active” users is a more useful stat than “users” (that includes those who are not/never active).

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July 19, 2018, 03:05:41 PM
 #16

I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...]

The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)

Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts?

The sample began with 100 accounts:
Sample 100:
79% - 0 post - Brand new
7 % - 1 post
3 % - 2 post
4 % - 10 post and more

Sample 200:
75% - 0 post - Brand new
8 % - 1 post
4 % - 2 post
5 % - 10 post and more

Sample 250:
73,6% - 0 post - Brand new
8,0 % - 1 post
4,0 % - 2 post
5,2 % - 10 post and more

I think the error in the sample of 500 accounts is no more than 0.5-1%

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July 19, 2018, 06:52:38 PM
 #17

Are there some statistics about the number of users that have been banned/nuked?
And in the case of banned members, about their ranks?

I think it would be interesting to see how many of the freshly registered users are shown the exit door daily.

I have a feeling that each time the mods are following the lists of LoyceV and others, after a few hours the number of fresh registrations spikes again  Grin

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July 20, 2018, 05:12:08 AM
 #18

74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate.
John_BAKA
I think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough.
How about the daily new posts, new topics and page views. They seems look like useful.
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July 20, 2018, 08:16:36 PM
 #19

74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate.
John_BAKA
I think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough.
How about the daily new posts, new topics and page views. They seems look like useful.
Quote
Can provide the daily data? Thx
Here it is:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats
If you are looking for them, then I suggest you to choose some sections because for example bitcoin discussion is very spammed. Also it will be better if you often visit cointelegraph.

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July 21, 2018, 04:33:06 AM
 #20

I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...]

The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)

Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts?

The sample began with 100 accounts:
Sample 100:
79% - 0 post - Brand new
7 % - 1 post
3 % - 2 post
4 % - 10 post and more

Sample 200:
75% - 0 post - Brand new
8 % - 1 post
4 % - 2 post
5 % - 10 post and more

Sample 250:
73,6% - 0 post - Brand new
8,0 % - 1 post
4,0 % - 2 post
5,2 % - 10 post and more

I think the error in the sample of 500 accounts is no more than 0.5-1%
I understand that the sample might be generally accurate for that general period of time, but I am interested in seeing how this changes over time.

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