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Author Topic: Bitcoins 2018 speculations that will make you LOL!  (Read 732 times)
figmentofmyass
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December 31, 2018, 10:14:30 PM
Last edit: January 01, 2019, 09:13:25 AM by figmentofmyass
 #41

Am I the only one who would prefer it if there wasn't another bubble? A nice steady rise over a long time would screw far fewer people and improve BTC's overall perception amongst those yet to arrive. I know that's not going to happen for a few more cycles yet but it would be better for all.

sounds nice but it doesn't matter what any of us wants. Smiley

the boom-and-bust nature of the market makes perfect sense because bitcoin is an extremely speculative asset. this results in hyper-emotional market cycles as market sentiment goes from "new paradigm!" to "bitcoins are beanie babies!" and back.

cryptocurrency isn't the only market that moves like this. all speculative markets do to differing degrees. look at a historical chart of rhodium or other low-supply commodities with elastic demand.

also, markets love to screw over as many people as possible. whatever will cause the least pain for traders, the opposite will probably happen. Wink

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December 31, 2018, 10:18:55 PM
 #42

There is nothing to LOL every one predicted according to trend analysis and their experience. Problem is btc donot follow any trend Smiley

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December 31, 2018, 10:24:54 PM
 #43

There is nothing to LOL every one predicted according to trend analysis and their experience. Problem is btc donot follow any trend Smiley

I think a trend has been set, look at the last two halvings and what happened the followinng year. I think many will be expecting it this time, let's see if it repeats.
kingaltcoins
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December 31, 2018, 11:43:26 PM
 #44

Those are exaggerated speculations backed up by nothing but emotions.
If you look at the pricing back then, the recurrent downfall was called for and was known by many. Its just that some smart traders knew about it and therefore took measures while the others missed the train. Tongue
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January 01, 2019, 08:18:38 AM
 #45

Am I the only one who would prefer it if there wasn't another bubble? A nice steady rise over a long time would screw far fewer people and improve BTC's overall perception amongst those yet to arrive. I know that's not going to happen for a few more cycles yet but it would be better for all.

sounds nice but it doesn't matter what any of us wants. Smiley

the boom-and-bust nature of the market makes perfect sense because bitcoin is an extremely speculative asset. this results in hyper-emotional market cycles as market sentiment goes from "new paradigm!" to "bitcoins are beanie babies!" and back.

cryptocurrency isn't the only market that moves like this. all speculative markets do to differing degrees. look at a historical chart of rhodium or other low-supply commodities with inelastic demand.

also, markets love to screw over as many people as possible. whatever will cause the least pain for traders, the opposite will probably happen. Wink

If, as economists are only recently realising, that traditional markets are susceptible to emotion and behave the complete opposite of rational theories simply because people are anything but rational... It should be a surprise if Bitcoin were to show anything but rational behaviour.

Would love that too, a gradual rise petering off to some value that's in tandem with worth... But we ain't seeing that in our lifetimes I think.

Maximum pain, and path with most resistance. That's the Bitcoin market we must expect;)

Oh and OP, what makes you so sure McDick still can't make 2020? 2 years. A lot of time!

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exstasie
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January 01, 2019, 08:53:48 AM
 #46

Am I the only one who would prefer it if there wasn't another bubble? A nice steady rise over a long time would screw far fewer people and improve BTC's overall perception amongst those yet to arrive.

I'm totally with you on that one. Everyone dreaming of hitting $50-100k in the next year or two is in the wrong mindset, as far as I'm concerned. Another rise that quickly will be based on pure speculation, as the rise at the end of last year was.

Just like 2011 and 2013?

Why would you expect things to change all of a sudden? It's not about dreaming. It's about respecting a reliable trend and understanding how this market moves. Slow, sustained growth always snowballs into speculative rises.

The next year or two is pushing it anyway. I think 2021 (and much higher than $100K) is possible though, based on a continued logarithmic trend.

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January 01, 2019, 01:54:32 PM
 #47

What one guy is saying (and others are supporting) is "wanting" something and what you guys are going against is his wishes not his estimates or guesses.

I too want bitcoin to increase gradually and slowly instead of a big boom but I also understand that bitcoin is a volatile thing and it will increase a lot faster and will keep going high very quickly and go low very quickly as well. That is what bitcoin has done ever since it was created, all the increases has been a sudden thing and it will most probably keep going that way. Just because it has been like that before and most probably will happen again in the future doesn't mean we want something else from bitcoin, we are allowed to wish bitcoin to go up slowly and make a great place at high prices instead of going up and down constantly.

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South Park
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January 02, 2019, 05:02:17 PM
 #48

Am I the only one who would prefer it if there wasn't another bubble? A nice steady rise over a long time would screw far fewer people and improve BTC's overall perception amongst those yet to arrive. I know that's not going to happen for a few more cycles yet but it would be better for all.

I retain an open mind about what future levels might look like. A 5x rise is still enormous and at that point we would have to put the idea of BTC being chicken feed in global terms to bed for good, but it all depends on the enormousness of the funds and people who arrive.

This is a neat summation of this year's predictions.

https://www.theblockcrypto.com/2018/12/31/here-comes-the-new-year-please-stop-irresponsibly-predicting-cryptocurrency-prices/
That is what many experimented members of the forum want for bitcoin not only because it will be the best for them it will be the best for bitcoin and everyone, but all of those that are just investing and discovering bitcoin will like to see the price skyrocketing again because they will see the past behaviour of bitcoin and they will like to see profits similar to what you could see in the past.
elloco4ever
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January 02, 2019, 05:15:02 PM
 #49

BTC speculation was very much exciting for the Investors but it turned to sorrows which was never expected by anyone as BTC suffered with a massive downfall. however It's better to Hodl coins in this tough market situation and now it is slowly trending let's wait patiently till the Value of BTC comes to a normal position.

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January 02, 2019, 05:57:29 PM
 #50

I hope many of us will hold to this your great advice and do research before investing.  The speculators are in the business of moving the market within any reason backing the movements!  Remember that investing into cryptocurrencies market is a very risky venture and you should not go into it without adequate investments plan and decisions
BTC speculation was very much exciting for the Investors but it turned to sorrows which was never expected by anyone as BTC suffered with a massive downfall. however It's better to Hodl coins in this tough market situation and now it is slowly trending let's wait patiently till the Value of BTC comes to a normal position.
Speclators can said many things about the market but since it is not back up by adequate fact they is no way we can depend on those speculations in making investments decision.  Like you said we have to be patience with the market until the values of bitcoin rise again.
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