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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115023 times)
stadus (OP)
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December 30, 2018, 01:02:45 PM
Last edit: October 10, 2023, 06:11:30 AM by stadus
Merited by Viscore (6), suchmoon (4), DarkStar_ (4), Vaculin (3), Maslate (2), morvillz7z (1), Harkorede (1)
 #1

SUMMARY _ Winning RATE - 33.33 %   (5W - 10L)                            
January 2019 result - 56.25 % - https://imgur.com/a/BrqfAxI
February 2019 result - 63.63 - https://imgur.com/a/tCrqqaj
March 2019 result - 33.33% - https://imgur.com/a/DpqGMsy
Achived as of May 7, 2019 - https://archive.is/XYjud

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stadus (OP)
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December 31, 2018, 08:28:34 AM
Last edit: January 10, 2019, 04:15:04 AM by stadus
Merited by Litzki1990 (5)
 #2

Putting it here to reserve above for summary only.

Since I'm a big fan of NBA and I do gamble on a regular basis, I decided to create this thread to track my record and share my bets as well.
I have decided to choose only one bet every day when games are available in order to take advantage of the price boost in sportsbet.io, that way, I will be able to eliminate the 10% juice that is normal to every sports betting site.

So Let's start.

Current record is 4-4 = 50%

Sun. Dec 30 - Lakers +1 vs Kings -1


The Lakers are currently on 2 losing streak, the last time this two played was a very close game and the Kings are coming big in the 4th and manage to win at home with 1 point only. Now, they are facing again, and Lebron is still not available in this game, plus 3 other players are unavailable for the Lakers.

The Lakers last game was close to a blowout loss against the Clippers, and I think that despite the injuries, they will play strong to win this game. They are on the playoff spot right now and I think this team has already the pride and will prove that they can win even without their best player.



Pick :  Lakers Moneyline

Winner _ happy new year EVERYONE!
Record updated

____________________________________________________

I'd like to hear your thoughts if you have.

Sun. Dec 31 - Magic +7.5 vs Hornets-7.5

This is the first road game of the Magic after successfully winning 2 consecutive wins at home. People might be thinking that the Hornets are highly favored in this game with -7.5 and it seem like the Magic can cover or win straight up  on this game as they are on a momentum as they beat the Raptors at home with a good margin.

I like to back this kind of line because the public might be thinking it's gonna be hard for the Hornets to cover if they win.
But look at their last 3 games at home, they all won at double digit, so this bet is solid for me.

Pick : Hornets-7.5
Winner _ happy new year EVERYONE!
Record updated

______________________________________________________

I'd like to hear your thoughts about my pick

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December 31, 2018, 09:14:28 AM
 #3

I am an NBA fan and this thread is what I was asking for and thank you very much for providing it for free as well. As win-lose bets provide very little odds especially when the teams that play are a strong and a weak one, is there a chance to post some other bets like over-under points in the whole game or something like that?
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December 31, 2018, 10:25:00 AM
 #4

I was about to tail on the Hornets, they should win by 10 at least.

My bookie offers this for today on the moneyline market:
Hawks 7.20 vs Pacers 1.14
Magic 3.65 vs Hornets 1.34
Grizzlies 2.80 vs Rockets 1.49
Celtics 1.88 vs Spurs 2.01

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
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December 31, 2018, 12:03:40 PM
 #5

I was about to tail on the Hornets, they should win by 10 at least.

My bookie offers this for today on the moneyline market:
Hawks 7.20 vs Pacers 1.14
Magic 3.65 vs Hornets 1.34
Grizzlies 2.80 vs Rockets 1.49
Celtics 1.88 vs Spurs 2.01

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
That's quite risky, though Spurs is not playing too well, might past for this one and go with rockets ML instead, I would love to see more people here sharing their thoughts and insight with upcoming games, lets share each other's knowledge and provide some useful hints why we are placing our bets. Good luck to everyone.
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December 31, 2018, 12:10:53 PM
 #6

I was about to tail on the Hornets, they should win by 10 at least.

My bookie offers this for today on the moneyline market:
Hawks 7.20 vs Pacers 1.14
Magic 3.65 vs Hornets 1.34
Grizzlies 2.80 vs Rockets 1.49
Celtics 1.88 vs Spurs 2.01

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
That's quite risky, though Spurs is not playing too well, might past for this one and go with rockets ML instead, I would love to see more people here sharing their thoughts and insight with upcoming games, lets share each other's knowledge and provide some useful hints why we are placing our bets. Good luck to everyone.
Houston is a solid bet for tonight, but the odds are less attractive for a reason.
I may take the points then, Houston -4.5 @ 1.87 looking quite good.

May also start a thread about NCAA, some good value to find, I would back East Washington tonight, together with North Colorado for odds around 1.65.
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December 31, 2018, 02:17:30 PM
 #7

I am an NBA fan and this thread is what I was asking for and thank you very much for providing it for free as well.
Your welcome, my pick does not guarantee a winner, this is just a result of my analysis.
Like I said, I only post one game a day to take advantage on the price boost promo of sportsbet.io, but if people ask for my opinion about other match-up, I'm willing to state my opinion.

I was about to tail on the Hornets, they should win by 10 at least.
Good luck to us.

Celtics 1.88 vs Spurs 2.01

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
I'd go against that bet, but please don't get influence by my decision.
The line seems to be moving in favor of the Celtics, maybe because Gay is likely not gonna play in this game, but the spurs still has one of the best coach in the NBA, and lately, they've been winning games convincingly, especially at home.

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December 31, 2018, 03:22:44 PM
 #8

I was about to tail on the Hornets, they should win by 10 at least.

My bookie offers this for today on the moneyline market:
Hawks 7.20 vs Pacers 1.14
Magic 3.65 vs Hornets 1.34
Grizzlies 2.80 vs Rockets 1.49
Celtics 1.88 vs Spurs 2.01

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?

Boston is quite a good choice at these. But the odds are a bit low compared to Hawks vs pacers . I think I would choose Spurs over the Celtics , however if Rudy gay would not play then I would rather go with the Celtics.

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January 01, 2019, 03:28:25 AM
 #9

We got lucky today, the Hornets won with double digit, that was an easy win for us.
Congratulations to those who put their money on the Hornets spread.
_______________________________________________________________________________ ____________

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
I'd go against that bet, but please don't get influence by my decision.
The line seems to be moving in favor of the Celtics, maybe because Gay is likely not gonna play in this game, but the spurs still has one of the best coach in the NBA, and lately, they've been winning games convincingly, especially at home.

I hope you were able to made a bet on the Spurs.

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January 01, 2019, 06:29:50 AM
 #10

We got lucky today, the Hornets won with double digit, that was an easy win for us.
Congratulations to those who put their money on the Hornets spread.
_______________________________________________________________________________ ____________

I'll trust Boston here at these odds, what do you think?
I'd go against that bet, but please don't get influence by my decision.
The line seems to be moving in favor of the Celtics, maybe because Gay is likely not gonna play in this game, but the spurs still has one of the best coach in the NBA, and lately, they've been winning games convincingly, especially at home.

I hope you were able to made a bet on the Spurs.


It's a tough win for the San Antonio Spurs against the Boston Celtics. Boston controlled the first half and then Spurs put a good defence and hit their shot and was able to take a good lead. I think the closest they got is 8 points but then Spurs increased it again by hitting clutch 3's and was never gave it up. Good call mate.

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January 01, 2019, 08:46:41 AM
Last edit: January 02, 2019, 04:44:29 AM by stadus
 #11

Monday. January 1 - TrailBlazers -1.5 vs kings +1.5

This is the game where I think there is something wrong with the line, looks like a sucker bet for me.
Blazers has been in hype lately when betting the Warriors on the road, and once again they are gonna play on the Road against a not so popular team which is the kings. The line is +1.5 for the Kings, but I like their chances because they have a good ATS record which is (11 - 6 Home)

Pick : Kings +1.5
Loser
Record updated

_________________________________________________
I'd like to hear your thoughts about my pick

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January 02, 2019, 07:11:44 AM
Last edit: January 03, 2019, 06:37:12 AM by stadus
 #12

Monday. January 2 - LAL +5.5 vs OKC -5.5

The Lakers are doing well on their previous game at home, now they are still gonna play at home but against a better team OKC.
I will take this bet early because I believe the line will move close to game time, OKC is just too much for this young team that is gonna play without Lebron.



Pick : OKC -5.5



Winner _
Record updated

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January 03, 2019, 08:51:40 AM
Last edit: January 04, 2019, 07:18:40 AM by stadus
 #13

Tuesday January 3 - HOU +8.5 vs GSW-8.5

The Rockets have been playing really good lately, with 9-1 record of the last 10 games. Their lose was only against the Heat with 2 points only, so this line is too easy for them with the way they are playing. What we are about to witness in this game is the rematch of the Western Conference Finals, or game 8 Grin

So, with the above reasons, I will take the Warriors with the point spread because the line is so good that I cannot resist.



Pick : GSW -8.5

______________________________________________

I'd like to hear your thoughts about my pick

Loser
Record updated


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January 03, 2019, 01:57:04 PM
 #14

I am an NBA fan and this thread is what I was asking for and thank you very much for providing it for free as well. As win-lose bets provide very little odds especially when the teams that play are a strong and a weak one, is there a chance to post some other bets like over-under points in the whole game or something like that?

you mean you give an advantage for those who bet for the weak team? Yeah but there are cases like that when one will going to bet on weak team with advantage but it will work on p2p agreement.

Anyway, there betting has a pool and one can freely choose to bet without taking any advantage like the pool that has larger bet will be competing against a pool with lower. Profit will be automatically computed after the game and will give to the winning pool.
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January 03, 2019, 02:58:03 PM
 #15

Pick : GSW -8.5
I'm a complete rookie regarding NBA betting.

What does the -8.5 mean please?
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January 03, 2019, 04:14:43 PM
 #16

What does the -8.5 mean please?

It's just a simple handicap line. Warriors start the game with 8.5 pts deficit and in order for stadus' Pick : GSW -8.5 to be winning, Warriors have to beat Rockets by at least 9 points.


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January 03, 2019, 05:17:24 PM
 #17

Tuesday January 3 - HOU +8.5 vs GSW-8.5

The Rockets have been playing really good lately, with 9-1 record of the last 10 games. Their lose was only against the Heat with 2 points only, so this line is too easy for them with the way they are playing. What we are about to witness in this game is the rematch of the Western Conference Finals, or game 8 Grin

So, with the above reasons, I will take the Warriors with the point spread because the line is so good that I cannot resist.



Pick : GSW -8.5

______________________________________________

I'd like to hear your thoughts about my pick

I'm also in the same position, I'm positive that GSW will take this challenge and will likely win in double digits, though there's a high risk taking this pick, knowing how harden and Paul can manage the game, I'm not an expert and just relying with my own observation, keeping myself updated with your thread have a chance to share picks from each others.
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January 03, 2019, 05:31:38 PM
 #18

What does the -8.5 mean please?

It's just a simple handicap line. Warriors start the game with 8.5 pts deficit and in order for stadus' Pick : GSW -8.5 to be winning, Warriors have to beat Rockets by at least 9 points.



Thought so, but wasn't sure.

Can you also explain the money line to me?
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January 03, 2019, 06:47:58 PM
 #19

After the latest game between Milwaukee and Detroit, I have started to believe that Bucks will be the winner of their region and why not going to the NBA finals. I thought that their great performance won't last long and it will stop at the beginning of this year, However, they still continue to perform great. Do you believe that it is worth betting for them to reach the finals?
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January 04, 2019, 01:42:22 AM
 #20

What does the -8.5 mean please?

It's just a simple handicap line. Warriors start the game with 8.5 pts deficit and in order for stadus' Pick : GSW -8.5 to be winning, Warriors have to beat Rockets by at least 9 points.



Thought so, but wasn't sure.

Can you also explain the money line to me?
Moneyline is when you bet on a team to win straight up (SU), it's the term in sports betting, you'll get acquainted to it as you go on with your journey.
For example, in the game tonight between the warriors and the Rockets, their odds when betting on moneyline is 1.25 and 3.95 respectively.
Which means, if you bet on the warriors and they won, you will only win 25% of your bet as they are the heavy favorite, on the other hand, if you put your bet on the Rockets and they won, you will win 295% of your bet, which will give you a very good return.


After the latest game between Milwaukee and Detroit, I have started to believe that Bucks will be the winner of their region and why not going to the NBA finals. I thought that their great performance won't last long and it will stop at the beginning of this year, However, they still continue to perform great. Do you believe that it is worth betting for them to reach the finals?
Detroit is a shitty team right now, only Griffin is constantly scoring, but I believe the Bucks has a shot to be in the Finals or even take the championship. They are the warriors destroyer, so if they'll meet in the NBA Finals, they have a decent chance, although they are still an undergo on the series.

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