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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115018 times)
freedomgo
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April 23, 2019, 09:03:45 PM
 #881

I`m just trying Bucks earlier because the odds are too high and I'm happy that I won but still regret the amount that I place bet on bucks. I hope the odds on bucks vs celtics will be that high I'm taking the risk if that will happen in game 1.



That's some big odds man, and it's worth the risk I must say. The Greak Freak put up a big show, there's no stopping him.

I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average odds. Though my sportsbook does not have 21+ but I just think odds are too high.

@paul00, I would appreciate if you could share what site you are using, I just want to test it since it has good odds.

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April 23, 2019, 09:32:26 PM
 #882

I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average

Odds indeed seem very suspect, unless bet was made when Bucks were down 12pts early in the first quarter. I was thinking of placing one myself when they were down 8 and Blake started hobbling around (props to him though, he basically played that game on one leg). I thought that -7.5 with 1.8 odds was a spread MIL could cover with 3+ quarters left. If I'm not mistaken they have over 40 reg season games with double-digit wins.

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April 23, 2019, 10:06:29 PM
 #883

I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average

Odds indeed seem very suspect, unless bet was made when Bucks were down 12pts early in the first quarter. I was thinking of placing one myself when they were down 8 and Blake started hobbling around (props to him though, he basically played that game on one leg). I thought that -7.5 with 1.8 odds was a spread MIL could cover with 3+ quarters left. If I'm not mistaken they have over 40 reg season games with double-digit wins.

Hey mate, What are your thought on Blazers - 4 vs OKC +4  ? I'm thinking of going Blazers again, but I guess favoritism and emotion is clouding my judgement, I could really use an opinion on this.

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morvillz7z
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April 23, 2019, 11:05:55 PM
Last edit: April 24, 2019, 12:32:40 AM by morvillz7z
 #884

`snip`

Well...my opinion is probably as biased as yours as I like and root for Dame and CJ.  Tongue

OKC:

OKC had a grand total of 2 and a half good/decent quarters out of those 4 games where they outplayed Portland. Not much.

They shot terribly from 3 in those two away games respectively 15% and 17%, if you can't shoot the 3, forget about winning.

Russ is on the verge of losing for third straight year in the first round following KD's departure.

I don't particularly trust him in elimination games either, he is way too emotional and will force a bunch of bad shots. (I.e last year vs. Jazz)

PG13 is playing with a bad shoulder, I'm sure that is obvious for everyone. If your two best players are underperforming, nothing good will come out of it. I don't see Grant or Ferguson or anyone else for that matter have a monster game.

POR:

Dame and CJ are both playing great in these series, even if one is having a bad quarter/half the other one steps in and carries the team. They both have exploded for +15pts in a quarter. I also like what Aminu and Harkless are doing on the defensive end against PG13.


Conclusion:

I expect multiple flagrant fouls, possibly ejections and Blazers covering the -4 spread. (If I'm not mistaken bookies valued first two home games at -2.5 and now is -4, that is almost 2x and I don't think they are trying to trick us, but rather objectively pointing out which team is better).

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April 23, 2019, 11:39:55 PM
 #885



Conclusion:

I expect multiple technical fouls, possibly ejections and Blazers covering the -4 spread. (If I'm not mistaken bookies valued first two home games at -2.5 and now is -4, that is almost 2x and I don't think they are trying to trick us, but rather objectively pointing out which team is better).


I agree with the conclusion, the line is fair since Blazers are up 3-1 in the series and they pretty win convincingly against the OCK.
Closing the series is hard but Blazers here needs to prove they can as they are up to a big challenge once they pass the first round, however we can't say that Blazers would win easily in this game, OKC can win and they might bring this back to their home.

For OKC bettors, moneyline is good as it has better return, and if a sportsbook offers at least -3 for OKC, that would worth a take with a sure x3 odds.

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April 24, 2019, 03:21:15 AM
 #886



Conclusion:

I expect multiple technical fouls, possibly ejections and Blazers covering the -4 spread. (If I'm not mistaken bookies valued first two home games at -2.5 and now is -4, that is almost 2x and I don't think they are trying to trick us, but rather objectively pointing out which team is better).


I agree with the conclusion, the line is fair since Blazers are up 3-1 in the series and they pretty win convincingly against the OCK.
Closing the series is hard but Blazers here needs to prove they can as they are up to a big challenge once they pass the first round, however we can't say that Blazers would win easily in this game, OKC can win and they might bring this back to their home.

For OKC bettors, moneyline is good as it has better return, and if a sportsbook offers at least -3 for OKC, that would worth a take with a sure x3 odds.
Good start for OKC, but like what both have said I also assume that Blazers will force this one up and win the series, they needed to make things happen as they don't wanted to give OKC a chance to bring this game at home and play with a do or die scene, the game still pretty early and for live game bettors everything can still be analyze before betting live.

@cloudbet, two more to go from your shared tips, the other two already won the game., good luck everyone.
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April 24, 2019, 05:39:10 AM
 #887



@cloudbet, two more to go from your shared tips, the other two already won the game., good luck everyone.

The last two loss.

Lillard end the series today, they won but failed to cover the spread but still congrats to them especially the man behind the win who carried
his team when CJ was foul trouble early in the game.


Westbrook made some crucial shots but have a lot of miss shots, thanks to the OKC bench who contributed well that resulted a comfortable lead for them but because of their lack of defense, The TrailBlazers rally by having their own run and take the game which supposedly they could win.

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April 24, 2019, 07:35:39 AM
 #888

`snip`

Well...my opinion is probably as biased as yours as I like and root for Dame and CJ.  Tongue

Thanks for the tip mate, I appreciate Grin
Unfortunately, it was only a close game.

Going into the series, I expected OKC to put up a challenge and win at least two games, but here we are.
I just hope GS, Nuggets and Rockets will just end their series already.

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April 24, 2019, 11:35:03 AM
 #889


I just hope GS, Nuggets and Rockets will just end their series already.

The GS and Rockets might end the series in 4-1 but I doubt the the Nuggets can end the spurs in 6, it might be a classic series going into 7.
Only is possible to go to game 7 and more entertaining to watch a game like this.

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April 24, 2019, 11:36:10 AM
 #890

Blazers couldn't cover the spread and it was a lot closer game then what I expected, nonetheless I'd never trade any winning bet for what Damian Lillard did last night. That shot will go down in basketball history as one of the most disrespectful, cold-blooded game winners ever. 👉⌚️

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April 24, 2019, 01:39:47 PM
Last edit: April 24, 2019, 02:17:33 PM by Harkorede
 #891


I just hope GS, Nuggets and Rockets will just end their series already.

I doubt the the Nuggets can end the spurs in 6, it might be a classic series going into 7.
Only is possible to go to game 7 and more entertaining to watch a game like this.

I think I'm gonna against the odds on that game, I'm definitely betting on Nuggets I'm not sure yet if I'm going ML or Handicap, but I'm sure not going to bet on Spurs.

what Damian Lillard did last night. That shot will go down in basketball history as one of the most disrespectful, cold-blooded game winners ever. 👉⌚️

I'm not sure if I'd call that disrespectful (although he's reaction somewhat was), but it was a cold-blooded execution like the PES commentator would say, I can't imagine how painful that short would have been for OKC fans.

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April 24, 2019, 08:25:58 PM
 #892

Blazers couldn't cover the spread and it was a lot closer game then what I expected, nonetheless I'd never trade any winning bet for what Damian Lillard did last night. That shot will go down in basketball history as one of the most disrespectful, cold-blooded game winners ever. 👉⌚️
I don't think we can call that a disrespectful shot as long as he made it and anyway the score was time so it wasn't like they would lose the game is that shot would have been missed. Lillard was full of confidence for the entire game and his mindset was focused on making that shot as it would be the shot for winning the final. Nothing you can do about it, the mistake was at OKC that they didn't scored on the possession they had before that shot since the pressure on Lillard would have been a lot higher which could have lead to a miss.
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April 24, 2019, 10:19:29 PM
 #893

Rockets -8.5 and GSW -14.5, are they gonna covered and end the series tonight?
This is tough because the spread is so high, I'm confident about the Rockets but I'm not sure with the GSW to cover as they could be overvalued.

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April 25, 2019, 03:47:03 PM
 #894

Rockets -8.5 and GSW -14.5, are they gonna covered and end the series tonight?
This is tough because the spread is so high, I'm confident about the Rockets but I'm not sure with the GSW to cover as they could be overvalued.

Unfortunately, neither of the spread was covered, as matter of fact of Warriors lost the game to the Clippers and the series is currently 3-2 still in favor of GSW though. I always feel GSW opponents are mostly underrated by bookies because the lines are just a bit crazy, Imagine a playoff team that came back froma 31 points gap to win a game still being offered 13.00~ Odds on ML, I didn't make any bet on the game though, I never would have anyways, except I was going against the odds.

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April 25, 2019, 09:02:02 PM
 #895

Thoughts about today's game? I had this series go to a game 7, so obviously I have to bet on San Antonio to win, it's just that I don't really trust them. White, DeRozan, Mills and Gay all had a subpar game the other day and Nuggets are slowly getting their mojo back, playing much better in the last 2 games. I'm wondering whether I should go with ML or -3.0?

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April 26, 2019, 12:21:07 AM
 #896

Last hope in Spurs.i hope in Q1 score over 54 Let's go Spur and Nugget you can it Smiley
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April 26, 2019, 02:46:03 AM
 #897

Thoughts about today's game? I had this series go to a game 7, so obviously I have to bet on San Antonio to win, it's just that I don't really trust them. White, DeRozan, Mills and Gay all had a subpar game the other day and Nuggets are slowly getting their mojo back, playing much better in the last 2 games. I'm wondering whether I should go with ML or -3.0?


Spurs win, but the job was done in the 4th q, so spread covered and there is game 7 for this series.
It's a crucial game then for both, I like to see them give their best in game 7, so whoever wins it should cover, I like the spurs to win though.


Last hope in Spurs.i hope in Q1 score over 54 Let's go Spur and Nugget you can it Smiley


Congrats for the win, what sportsbook you are using?

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April 26, 2019, 05:23:55 AM
 #898

Thoughts about today's game? I had this series go to a game 7, so obviously I have to bet on San Antonio to win, it's just that I don't really trust them. White, DeRozan, Mills and Gay all had a subpar game the other day and Nuggets are slowly getting their mojo back, playing much better in the last 2 games. I'm wondering whether I should go with ML or -3.0?


Spurs wins and covered the handicapped, extending this to game 7, the series become a do or die experienced will add as an advantage here, rooting for Spurs since I'm a long time fan of coach Pop system, game 7 will be a tough one for Nuggets to handle, although they have the advantage for homecourt
crowd, but pressures also will be the determining factors, mind game against this two teams.

In the other side, it's tempting to bet with gsw winning margins, 8.6x odd for  21-25 winning edge. what do you think guys?
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April 26, 2019, 01:41:53 PM
 #899


In the other side, it's tempting to bet with gsw winning margins, 8.6x odd for  21-25 winning edge. what do you think guys?

Why not bet on 26+ as this could be a blowout win for the warriors, remember the NBA finals last year when they end the Cavaliers on the road, they end the game with more than 30+ points IIRC.


26+ win for the warriors has better odds with 11

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April 26, 2019, 02:26:43 PM
 #900

With all due respect to Warriors, their all-star roster, won championships, etc...but there is no way in hell, a Doc Rivers lead team to get blown out at home in an elimination game.

Even if they come with a win, as most people expect, it sure won't be 30+... unless GSW somehow figured out how to stop/guard Lou and Harrell.

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