Betting Diary - Trying out different betting systems every week

[aoluain]

ok so you are playing a new system, 50:50 on two single games.
Todays result was a 50% win.

Valencia - 0 - Espanyol - 0
Spal Ferrara - 1 - Fiorentina - 4

Tomorrow needs to be 100% win - no pressure!!
Good Luck.

[Pmalek]

@Trofo have you tried betting on Asian handicap markets? Has been profitable for me in the past, only on single bets though and odds off 1.75 and above. I used to put an X amount in my 'betting bank' for every month and bet on Asian handicaps only.

[Trofo]

@Trofo have you tried betting on Asian handicap markets? Has been profitable for me in the past, only on single bets though and odds off 1.75 and above. I used to put an X amount in my 'betting bank' for every month and bet on Asian handicaps only.

I will play Asian handicaps sometimes but it is not something I am doing on daily basis.

Week 2 | Day 3

After 50:50 results yesterday my bank is currently at 0.00575BTC. Today I will play two games on more goals and both to score

Chelsea - Man UTD -> Both to score and over 2,5 goals @ 2,1 | Stake 0.002875BTC
Chealsea got humiliated at hands of City and will try their best to show good face today. Man Utd lost badly against PSG and will also try to their best today. I am expecting an open game today.

Jong PSV - Twente Ensch. -> Both to score and over 2,5 goals @ 1,7 | Stake 0.002875BTC
This game is from Dutch 2nd league which is one of the leagues with most goals scored per match. H2h is also full of goals and I am expecting another goal fest today.

I will update first post a little later. Just came home from work 

[Trofo]

Both games ended with 2 goals scored for guests while home teams didn't managed to score. That ended this week experiment very quickly. Damn, it seems there is some kind of curse on me to miss all the games I write publicly  


No matter this is after all only experiment and I started with expectation to lose money so i could argue that things are going according to plan

On a more serious note. Next week I will try betting without restrictions. Based entirely on feeling. If I like one game it will be single. If I like more games, maybe I will play accumulator with 4 games. We'll see. I will probably bet whole bank on day one and if successful half of bank on later days.


Edit:
I tried editing my OP while on the mobile phone and screwed things up rather badly. Is there some archive here on the forum from where I can get a copy of it? If affirmative please copy it here for me or send me via pm so I can recreate the OP. Any time before this post in last 2 days should be ok.

[Trofo]

Week 3 | Day 1

Today I feel like playing Premier League treble for whole bank:

Newcastle 1x @ 1,3
This is very important game for both teams. I believe Newcastle has more quality in the side and they are playing at home. This should be a straight win but I am playing 1x for extra security

Totenham x2 @1,2
Spurs are much better side and great when traveling this season. Again I believe this should be a straight win but playing x2 for more security.

Bournemuth - Wolves 2+ @1,3
This should be encounter with quite a few goals in it. I am playing two or more goals as more secure choice but I belive this will end 2:2 or similar.

Total Odds: 2.028 | Stake: 0.006BTC

Edit: Colored the post. And with this gameweek the Spurs are probably out of title contest. Not that they has a big chance. Everybody sort of expected them to start loosing points sooner or later.

[big_daddy]

Tottenham players were too nervous today, and selfish too
This is why they have lost their game, and unfortunately ruined your bet 

[Ucy]

Meaning you make profits from gambling? What is this Asian handicap market for? Does it need skills or it pure gambling.? Could you please provide link.

[Pmalek]

@Ucy
Asian handicap means giving one team a sort of advantage at match start by the bookies. With asian handicap there are several outcomes of your bet. You can win the bet fully, you can win half, loss half, loss all or have your money returned to you.

There is a lot of information about asian handicaps, here is one resource you can check:
https://www.betshoot.com/asian-handicap-betting/

[Trofo]

Asian handicaps are just a way to take your bets more easily. You can accomplish all that staff with bet managing in case your local bookie doesn't support them. Granted you will have to play few tickets instead of one if you want to get same result as 1/4 Asian handicap.


I think I will have to stop with this experiment. It doesen't make sense but I have way more luck with pairs I didn't share with you guys. It is sort of cursed for me I guess. If I put it publicly I lose it. Today I played a nice double of under 2.5 goals on ManUtd-Lpool and Arsenal to win and both passed easily. There is no proof involved but for those of you playing Premier League Pool with me you can check my entered results and at least see that I expected that kind of results.

For those of you who are not part of the pool here on Bitcointalk, you guys don't know what you are missing. Make sure to be here next season
I hope we will have another one.

[goaldigger]

I see clearly that this theory is correct.

The house always makes you win on the first play thats why there is a phrase beginner's luck. After that, you keep comming back for more with the hope of winning again until you noticed that you just only win once. Too late if you are now bankrupt.

[maydna]

I see clearly that this theory is correct.

The house always makes you win on the first play thats why there is a phrase beginner's luck. After that, you keep comming back for more with the hope of winning again until you noticed that you just only win once. Too late if you are now bankrupt.

Beginner's luck can always appear to a new gambler even for the second time of playing gambling. And as long as he can follow the house in placing bets, he will have a chance to win in every time he gamble.

The house cannot always win, and so do you. It is about how we can search the right information that will support our prediction in the sports betting and you know what, you can win from the house in many times if you can collect better information than the house.

In the sports betting, who can get as much information will have a big chance to be the winner because he can make a right prediction from the statistic each team so he can decide to choose the right team.