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Author Topic: Who and when will hit 10k merits???  (Read 435 times)
cryptovigi
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Activity: 518
Merit: 502


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March 20, 2019, 12:28:07 AM
Merited by Foxpup (6), LoyceV (2), DdmrDdmr (2), bones261 (1)
 #1


Seeing how quickly the users from the top of the most merited ranking win merits by tens and even hundreds of each month, I thought to myself today: "In a moment these crazy people will reach ten thousand merits!" and then another thought appeared: "I wonder when it will happen and who will be the first of them?"

I decided to check it, but how to do it relatively accurately? I decided that you can not do it exactly, you can of course calculate the average earned merits per day, but what period to take? From the beginning of the merit system introduction? Probably not a good comparison, because in the first weeks the merits flew like crazy, only later their distribution stabilized a little. On the other hand, a longer period would be better. Ok, so a year, from today, but what about the users who started their activity later than in March 2018, for example in July 2018 in October or maybe this year? So I decided to calculate 4 different averages and on their basis set 4 likely dates of reaching 10k merits by users from the most merited list. Everyone knows what his activity looks like and which average will be the best in his case. Anyone can choose:

average from 1 year (2018-03-14 to 2019-03-13),
average from six months (2018-09-14 to 2019-03-13),
average from 3 months (2018-12-14 to 2019-03 -13) and
average of 1 month - exactly 28 days because February is shorter (2019-02-14 to 2019-03-13)

And here are the results I received (due to the limitations of characters in the post fit only the first 150 users from the list (full list here)

Of course, Theymos will be the one who will reach the fastest possibly already in September 2020 (if he maintains his best average for three months) but some of you have a chance to get there less than a year later ;-)

I have a chance to get there between November 2027 (rather unlikely to keep my last month averege) and March 2054  (I'm not sure if I will have enough enthusiasm to make it)

Of course, my predictions are just fun, I have not included hundreds of factors here (increase / decrease in the number of merits distributed over time, drop / increase in popularity of the forum, the appearance of new players or return of inactive, bullrun return, etc.)

Rank    Profile Name                                  1y average            6m average            3m average            1m average                     min date            max date           
1theymos2021-09-062021-01-102020-09-182021-11-05         2020-09-182021-11-05
2LoyceV2023-06-282022-03-192021-07-282021-06-26         2021-06-262023-06-28
3DdmrDdmr2023-06-042022-11-052022-11-082022-05-01         2022-05-012023-06-04
4suchmoon2024-05-132022-11-242022-04-182023-08-29         2022-04-182024-05-13
5satoshi2027-11-012027-03-142027-11-172110-02-14         2027-03-142110-02-14
6The Pharmacist2025-01-082023-09-232023-02-182026-01-02         2023-02-182026-01-02
7micgoossens2025-02-012023-06-162023-06-302026-03-28         2023-06-162026-03-28
8o_e_l_e_o2025-07-302023-05-072022-10-312022-07-04         2022-07-042025-07-30
9Last of the V8s2026-06-162025-12-022025-12-042024-12-18         2024-12-182026-06-16
10hilariousetc2026-01-152026-02-032027-05-112031-08-24         2026-01-152031-08-24
11achow1012028-08-222027-04-302025-08-072027-04-13         2025-08-072028-08-22
12Jet Cash2029-06-232029-07-232027-09-162025-07-11         2025-07-112029-07-23
13gmaxwell2028-12-212026-01-242025-08-112024-11-25         2024-11-252028-12-21
14Vod2031-10-102031-02-182032-03-082029-12-06         2029-12-062032-03-08
15xtraelv2028-02-042029-09-242033-10-072045-09-07         2028-02-042045-09-07
16xhomerx102029-03-142025-10-062027-12-252031-12-30         2025-10-062031-12-30
17HairyMaclairy2029-12-022026-10-222025-09-282025-06-08         2025-06-082029-12-02
18Piggy2028-09-072028-12-262030-07-182027-06-10         2027-06-102030-07-18
19joniboini2032-08-242032-12-102029-11-092030-06-25         2029-11-092032-12-10
20krogothmanhattan2030-06-152031-06-192030-04-152045-02-11         2030-04-152045-02-11
21TMAN2037-09-212039-09-092032-11-062719-08-23         2032-11-062719-08-23
22qwk2031-12-162028-04-302026-02-222031-12-16         2026-02-222031-12-16
23Lauda2042-03-272036-04-022031-12-112051-01-31         2031-12-112051-01-31
24iasenko2031-04-232030-05-252032-04-062027-02-08         2027-02-082032-04-06
25BobLawblaw2033-11-302032-11-222031-11-252032-06-20         2031-11-252033-11-30
26coinlocket$2031-08-202029-11-072027-02-032025-05-28         2025-05-282031-08-20
27abhiseshakana2031-01-282028-01-042029-04-202025-07-08         2025-07-082031-01-28
28nullius2089-08-012288-03-102343-11-09         2089-08-012343-11-09
29Lutpin2131-09-132166-10-072588-06-30         2131-09-132588-06-30
30HCP2035-04-172034-03-312029-03-182024-05-22         2024-05-222035-04-17
31Hhampuz2033-09-142032-06-262027-01-122030-06-28         2027-01-122033-09-14
32marlboroza2037-01-082036-02-282036-09-162037-12-24         2036-02-282037-12-24
33jojo692040-02-092036-01-292035-09-292029-02-20         2029-02-202040-02-09
34Alex_Sr2033-06-032028-11-112027-05-232024-10-18         2024-10-182033-06-03
35bitmover2033-11-272037-10-172035-08-242066-12-08         2033-11-272066-12-08
36DarkStar_2037-10-172033-12-042033-08-132032-09-27         2032-09-272037-10-17
37ETFbitcoin2034-11-252027-12-172027-08-282028-05-28         2027-08-282034-11-25
38JayJuanGee2038-11-232034-08-132034-09-072031-10-18         2031-10-182038-11-23
39theyoungmillionaire2034-01-222078-09-092049-12-192033-01-04         2033-01-042078-09-09
40roycilik2037-05-052031-05-102028-10-272026-06-17         2026-06-172037-05-05
41BitCryptex2034-12-272032-10-042029-01-012023-04-27         2023-04-272034-12-27
42infofront2039-01-182040-10-012037-07-282038-02-25         2037-07-282040-10-01
43OgNasty2042-06-292036-05-192039-11-142055-03-14         2036-05-192055-03-14
44mu_enrico2034-12-192028-10-302029-09-252028-03-19         2028-03-192034-12-19
451miau2036-07-172031-04-012026-10-032024-05-11         2024-05-112036-07-17
46TryNinja2037-05-162033-09-122030-02-252032-07-29         2030-02-252037-05-16
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48bob1232038-01-112036-03-062047-03-022122-05-02         2036-03-062122-05-02
49gentlemand2037-11-192033-07-282029-02-162034-07-28         2029-02-162037-11-19
50mikeywith2037-03-052028-04-162024-01-032024-10-22         2024-01-032037-03-05
51Steamtyme2036-04-092033-02-092034-03-122026-09-26         2026-09-262036-04-09
52Coolcryptovator2035-06-162032-01-312029-06-282027-10-25         2027-10-252035-06-16
53Toxic20402044-03-142038-02-152030-08-272029-04-01         2029-04-012044-03-14
54mole08152037-09-222034-11-222047-03-172084-12-03         2034-11-222084-12-03
55kenzawak2037-07-192029-04-062026-03-112026-11-26         2026-03-112037-07-19
56SaltySpitoon2038-01-272029-03-232030-11-032028-08-10         2028-08-102038-01-27
57Carlton Banks2040-08-292040-08-012035-09-192038-04-07         2035-09-192040-08-29
58minerjones2041-03-252034-08-142032-06-112042-08-02         2032-06-112042-08-02
59LFC_Bitcoin2037-10-262032-09-202030-06-222028-03-01         2028-03-012037-10-26
60LeGaulois2049-02-252051-07-282049-11-292055-07-04         2049-02-252055-07-04
61GameKyuubi2058-09-062047-09-062042-10-21         2042-10-212058-09-06
62Husna QA2038-04-242039-08-222033-07-172032-09-02         2032-09-022039-08-22
63PHI16182044-04-132035-10-262052-02-142061-12-23         2035-10-262061-12-23
64ICOEthics2038-04-282032-11-162028-04-092026-10-14         2026-10-142038-04-28
65HeRetiK2040-05-172035-02-242033-09-242032-09-05         2032-09-052040-05-17
66sncc2042-06-212090-07-082156-11-042383-05-07         2042-06-212383-05-07
67TheNewAnon1352462040-03-152029-10-312024-07-122021-07-02         2021-07-022040-03-15
68Coding Enthusiast2039-12-062029-11-272026-09-262037-05-30         2026-09-262039-12-06
69pandukelana27122055-10-022043-07-012033-03-282024-10-25         2024-10-252055-10-02
70taikuri132040-01-262033-12-302031-05-132032-12-23         2031-05-132040-01-26
71zazarb2049-09-112063-04-162086-03-21         2049-09-112086-03-21
72asche2042-09-122032-04-242028-09-292046-03-28         2028-09-292046-03-28
73pitipawn
74pooya872041-12-082035-01-012033-01-082032-04-03         2032-04-032041-12-08
75BTCforJoe2049-08-202964-06-25         2049-08-202964-06-25
76Flying Hellfish2041-05-122038-08-262063-07-122035-02-04         2035-02-042063-07-12
77mocacinno2042-09-072036-08-252035-02-022033-01-01         2033-01-012042-09-07
78Torque2048-09-192069-06-292067-03-052062-03-22         2048-09-192069-06-29
79yahoo622782060-11-062061-10-222043-06-142044-06-08         2043-06-142061-10-22
80hilariousandco2046-12-182055-11-302078-01-262263-06-14         2046-12-182263-06-14
81bill gator2059-03-012063-11-192051-06-192049-09-25         2049-09-252063-11-19
82bitserve2043-10-272035-07-162036-05-252047-05-20         2035-07-162047-05-20
83d_eddie2048-05-042039-02-132038-01-212085-11-01         2038-01-212085-11-01
84TheQuin2054-08-072297-12-272176-03-292752-06-19         2054-08-072752-06-19
85Lafu2042-10-262034-09-152032-03-012071-08-09         2032-03-012071-08-09
86actmyname2052-06-042049-03-262039-09-212062-05-18         2039-09-212062-05-18
87Welsh2045-01-252087-12-222076-09-292141-07-12         2045-01-252141-07-12
88Goran_2045-12-092037-10-262035-04-062032-10-20         2032-10-202045-12-09
89Veleor2044-01-052033-03-042030-03-102030-07-05         2030-03-102044-01-05
90Pmalek2042-05-072030-09-072026-07-102029-04-11         2026-07-102042-05-07
91nutildah2046-03-142035-02-262031-09-172028-03-04         2028-03-042046-03-14
92esmanthra2045-09-052049-02-032045-06-182386-11-15         2045-06-182386-11-15
93stompix2046-01-212039-07-102048-10-012057-11-27         2039-07-102057-11-27
94Smart man2043-03-292061-08-292610-10-282203-01-11         2043-03-292610-10-28
95bones2612045-02-162035-11-242031-03-192029-09-20         2029-09-202045-02-16
96morvillz7z2043-05-172039-11-232039-08-092039-08-27         2039-08-092043-05-17
97romanornr2132-01-252495-05-152255-10-16         2132-01-252495-05-15
98DannyHamilton2081-02-262257-04-192413-08-22         2081-02-262413-08-22
99franky12046-06-302039-04-232044-09-042060-02-21         2039-04-232060-02-21
100Xal0lex2046-05-092043-07-092037-01-092034-04-03         2034-04-032046-05-09
101vit052045-09-132044-03-052038-03-062034-11-27         2034-11-272045-09-13
102Hal2046-10-082037-12-272035-07-272043-10-22         2035-07-272046-10-08
103deeperx2144-02-172496-09-152414-05-19         2144-02-172496-09-15
104d50002050-12-192045-02-202041-10-212045-07-28         2041-10-212050-12-19
105QuestionAuthority2080-02-232114-09-214395-10-07         2080-02-234395-10-07
106explorder2404-05-253213-02-103207-09-26         2404-05-253213-02-10
107nullCoiner2048-09-022039-03-142037-01-262027-10-21         2027-10-212048-09-02
108eddie132049-11-272035-08-212033-01-10         2033-01-102049-11-27
109Coin-12049-07-152041-04-012040-01-262032-06-03         2032-06-032049-07-15
110poptop2090-08-232086-07-262074-07-062051-05-19         2051-05-192090-08-23
111Elwar2051-02-232067-01-132078-09-012072-01-22         2051-02-232078-09-01
112mdayonliner2048-10-162080-07-132080-03-112167-02-27         2048-10-162167-02-27
113mfort3122061-11-202120-12-19         2061-11-202120-12-19
114aliashraf2046-12-052036-11-102035-05-232054-06-12         2035-05-232054-06-12
115Quickseller2050-07-152043-08-142039-09-202033-09-21         2033-09-212050-07-15
116pugman2051-05-222095-03-072101-04-162759-12-25         2051-05-222759-12-25
117tvplus0062048-04-132047-09-142034-04-102028-03-29         2028-03-292048-04-13
118buwaytress2052-04-102049-02-172046-11-212042-05-10         2042-05-102052-04-10
119Foxpup2051-09-222041-05-192041-01-202050-01-29         2041-01-202051-09-22
120sidehack2055-10-152044-10-262107-05-272080-12-08         2044-10-262107-05-27
121hugeblack2068-10-012071-11-052059-07-302039-10-18         2039-10-182071-11-05
122ibminer2082-05-092069-08-212091-05-242167-06-03         2069-08-212167-06-03
123paxmao2060-02-272061-04-012114-07-082204-06-26         2060-02-272204-06-26
124gawlea2149-11-023217-04-28         2149-11-023217-04-28
125mjglqw2054-03-252045-02-122039-01-272041-01-07         2039-01-272054-03-25
126sabotag3x2063-02-232086-09-172055-04-282125-02-19         2055-04-282125-02-19
127yogg2053-11-172045-06-032043-07-192039-04-07         2039-04-072053-11-17
128mprep2072-08-272058-11-092045-02-192030-10-22         2030-10-222072-08-27
129seoincorporation2051-02-272048-04-202049-01-162058-04-16         2048-04-202058-04-16
130Heisenberg_Hunter2056-04-202047-12-162034-04-272025-06-14         2025-06-142056-04-20
131mithrim2065-02-082076-05-192065-02-172034-01-26         2034-01-262076-05-19
132mstfprcn2353-03-02         2353-03-022353-03-02
133cryptovigi2054-03-142036-07-232043-02-092027-11-09         2027-11-092054-03-14
134HagssFIN2054-04-292053-01-222062-08-312125-06-07         2053-01-222125-06-07
135AlyattesLydia2091-07-252102-02-092218-06-19         2091-07-252218-06-19
136DireWolfM142053-09-172037-08-192034-09-262027-12-17         2027-12-172053-09-17
137r1s2g32053-02-132039-10-062041-12-262076-06-09         2039-10-062076-06-09
138Raja_MBZ2053-04-012044-10-182050-09-072035-10-01         2035-10-012053-04-01
139mindrust2057-07-202055-08-272043-02-172038-10-17         2038-10-172057-07-20
140VB10012053-11-142036-05-252029-05-082030-04-28         2029-05-082053-11-14
141Matthias95152068-03-232191-02-042285-02-122143-04-17         2068-03-232285-02-12
142arulbero2056-02-182039-10-152059-02-102168-02-26         2039-10-152168-02-26
143RichDaniel         
144tmfp2055-06-162053-11-112043-05-282036-02-23         2036-02-232055-06-16
145shorena2124-10-102248-08-183217-12-20         2124-10-103217-12-20
1461Referee2063-10-072075-03-232080-08-172093-09-25         2063-10-072093-09-25
147Globb02059-03-072044-01-152036-06-102039-11-29         2036-06-102059-03-07
148Lesbian Cow2056-09-192043-06-032039-05-052034-09-26         2034-09-262056-09-19
149Claymore2063-05-172100-11-112418-04-13         2063-05-172418-04-13
150tonych2068-10-152272-10-072285-06-122168-04-11         2068-10-152285-06-12




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March 20, 2019, 12:59:29 AM
 #2

I'm just curious, what's the purpose of having 10K merits? Would there be a unique title something like "The Victorious Member" or like a badge? In the future I guess.




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March 20, 2019, 01:38:56 AM
 #3

I'm just curious, what's the purpose of having 10K merits?
Just bragging rights, I guess. 

It'll most likely be Theymos, depending on how much he posts.  He gets showered with merits whenever he does post, but even still it would take quite a while to reach 10k.  I'm about 25% there, but I got 1000 of those merits airdropped to me when Theymos rolled out the merit system last year (I'm stating this for those newbies who might not realize it).  Earning merits isn't easy, nor is it consistent.  I get them in spurts, often going a while without receiving any at all.  I might reach 10k, but it would take years to do it.

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March 20, 2019, 01:51:38 AM
 #4

It'll most likely be Theymos, depending on how much he posts.  He gets showered with merits whenever he does post...

If he were to post updates on the new forum, he'd definitely reach 10k sooner than we think.

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March 20, 2019, 01:58:43 AM
 #5

I'm just curious, what's the purpose of having 10K merits?
Just bragging rights, I guess. 
No need to brag when it's theymos though. It's understood, maybe the next person to get that same achievement can have that bragging right. Lol Cheesy




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March 20, 2019, 02:18:57 AM
 #6

My pick is LoyceV, at some point theymos merit recieving ratio will slow down but for LoyceV don't think that will be happening anything soon. I just saw few weeks ago when he updated his personal text to " self-made Legendary (2x) "and  yesterday after reading his reply to my post I notice he has received enough merit for Self-made full member rank and a potential snr member. His work rate and progress is just so inspiring.

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March 20, 2019, 02:29:34 AM
 #7

Update:
CLUB OF ABOVE 2000 MERITS-EARNED

RankUser nameBPIP profileTotal Earned-MeritsTrust
Administratortheymostheymos4050202: 0 / +22
LegendaryLoyceVLoyceV216486: 0 / +14


Source: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5115154.msg50184337#msg50184337

CLUB OF ABOVE 1000 MERITS-EARNED

RankUser nameBPIP profileTotal Earned-MeritsTrust
SeniorDdmrDdmrDdmrDdmr19222: 0 / +1
As you can see above, in my clubs, by  now there are outstanding members, @theymos, @LoyceV, and @DdmrDdmr.
Both @theymos and @LoyceV have earned  more than 2000 merits, they are on top, but I think we should exclude @theymos from the list, that should focus on normal forum members, not admin.
Next, @DdmrDdmr have moved fastly and has come very closely to the 2000-earned-merits threshold.

They both earned around 2k merits (lower or higher a little bit around one year after merit system activated). Let assume the rate of earned-merits per year is 2k per year.
If both @LoyceV and @DdmrDdmr will maintain both their dedication to make contributions for the forum, and keep their good rate to earn merits, they will hit that 10k earned-merits finish line in the next four years (might be sooner or later a little bit).

For someone who hit that line, years from now (LOL), I think they should have a new badge, new name-calling/ rank, such as Myth.

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March 20, 2019, 02:57:20 AM
 #8

If Loyce keeps up with his constant work on guides, analysis & tools to see trust there's no doubt in my mind he'll get there. I won't count theymos as everyone is giving him merit regardless of what a post contains  Cheesy

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March 20, 2019, 04:29:03 AM
 #9

I didn't even open the thread and knew that person would be theymos or loyceV. Unless they get inactive, this would be most likely the case.

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March 20, 2019, 04:40:57 AM
 #10

You forgot a crucial factor: people tend to give merits to classifications, calculations, and analysis, which means that "@LoyceV, @DdmrDdmr, and @Piggy" will get Merits faster than the rest of the users.
Also, @theymos gets a lot in each update so you should remove those merits from those users to be a more fair list.

It seems I needed about 60 years to get 10,000 Roll Eyes.


@nullius will reach that number within two months.

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March 20, 2019, 05:25:27 AM
Last edit: March 20, 2019, 05:46:45 AM by tbct_mt2
 #11

Those areas are the most favorite ones of sMerits.
You forgot a crucial factor: people tend to give merits to classifications, calculations, and analysis, which means that "@LoyceV, @DdmrDdmr, and @Piggy" will get Merits faster than the rest of the users.
@nullius shed lights as a shooting star after merits appeared in the forum.
He earned the highest number of merits than anyone else in the forum, except theymos, during those early days merits come to the forum.
Unfortunately, he shut off around 11 months ago.
Code:
April 24, 2018, 11:02:30 PM
Quote
@nullius will reach that number within two months.
It takes @DdmrDdmr 13 months to earn around 2000 merits, the merit-earned rate of @DdmrDdmr is about 154 merits per month.
For @nullius, he earned 775 merits in total (BPIP), his rate is 259 merits per month (acitvely only three months after merit system started).
If he has been active continuously till today, he would have earned 259* 13 (months) ~ = 3367.
It means that if he been actively, and keep that pace, he will hit 10k merits in nearly 3 years, not two months  Roll Eyes

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March 20, 2019, 05:30:29 AM
 #12

@The Pharmacist, you must prepare your April-mop (posts/events).
Maybe you can achieve Legendary 3x with it.  Cheesy








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March 20, 2019, 05:43:57 AM
 #13

Am I seeing those 4-digit numbers as years?Cheesy
Buddy we're all dead by that time hahaha, Though even if we don't want to, we will be surely on the ground lying silently and Merits will stop coming to our accounts, In fact, no one will know here that the account holder is already dead not unless there is someone out here who knew about him/her.

And also, bitcointalk is no longer running by that time, maybe we already have a third or fourth forum Cheesy ( Merits will be gone I think by that time )




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LoyceMobile
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March 20, 2019, 05:46:50 AM
 #14

Satoshi will hit 10k merit the day he returns and posts a signed message.

LoyceV on the road (or in bed, couch, ....). Don't deal with this account (there's one exception), I use it on untrusted devices.
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March 20, 2019, 05:48:06 AM
 #15

Satoshi will hit 10k merit the day he returns and posts a signed message.
I like it. It will be a big event for whole crypto world.
Satoshi's return, and his signed message with tons of bitcoin from genesis block that have not moved over years.

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March 20, 2019, 06:14:05 AM
 #16

Satoshi will hit 10k merit the day he returns and posts a signed message.

I'll dump all my sMerits on him if that happens hahaha.

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March 20, 2019, 06:44:08 AM
 #17

I'm just curious, what's the purpose of having 10K merits? Would there be a unique title something like "The Victorious Member" or like a badge? In the future I guess.

Lol, exactly, I will get there in the year 3872, but do I care? there are too many more important things in life than worrying about this artificial scarcity.
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March 20, 2019, 07:40:51 AM
 #18

Lol, exactly, I will get there in the year 3872, but do I care? there are too many more important things in life than worrying about this artificial scarcity.
You even can not earn only one merit till now, so how do you can get that point?
https://bpip.org/profile.aspx?p=francoise
One lined posts are abundantly in more than 90 % of your posts, how do you get your fisrt merit?
I agreed that you can get your first merit 3872 years from now, not your 10.000th merit.

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March 20, 2019, 09:31:44 AM
Merited by Foxpup (3), LoyceV (1)
 #19

Satoshi will hit 10k merit the day he returns and posts a signed message.
Well, before his account is allowed to post again, he would have to contact theymos, prove it is him, and have theymos unlock the "satoshi" account, which would probably then lead to a post from theymos first stating that satoshi had returned before satoshi himself posted. So theymos might get the 6k he needed from that first before satoshi would.

Or theymos could just make a new post right now stating the minimum requirement for displaying a signature is now 10 merit and every signature campaign which doesn't clamp down on spam will be banned, and he would get there in the next 24 hours.


4395-10-07
That made me chuckle. If bitcointalk is still going in 2000 years, I'll be mighty impressed. (LoyceV will obviously still be here due to the fact he is a sentient machine.)

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March 20, 2019, 09:34:17 AM
 #20

It’ll be theymos if he posts semi regularly. If theymos slows hos posting down it could be Llyce, nobody else will beat them to 10k Merit’s.




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