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Author Topic: 2019 Cryptocurrency (Elliott Wave)  (Read 7567 times)
exstasie
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September 09, 2020, 08:35:05 PM
 #241

LOOKs like this chart is back in play with the top at D

So we might be in the early stages of a bubble, but if the market breaks below $7,466 then we're going to the $700s? Quite a binary situation! Shocked

I'm still watching this triangle scenario. With wave (d) possibly complete now, $5,500-$7K could be next for wave (e).

One more leg up it seems to complete you d

Been looking at it closely and I think there is at least a 30% chance it is one of the outcomes Wink



It's definitely still in play, but how likely it is I'm still not sure.

I believe the March-August rally can be counted impulsively. A reversal in the $12,000s could easily imply the start of a Wave 2 pullback, just as much as it could imply the start of a Wave E in our multi-year triangle.

We'll have to play it by ear! Smiley

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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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November 05, 2020, 04:29:28 PM
 #242

JL0
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November 07, 2020, 03:46:41 PM
 #243

Can you explain it please ? What do you mean by that or what do you want to tell us?
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November 07, 2020, 09:54:46 PM
Merited by JL0 (1), xxxx123abcxxxx (1)
 #244

Can you explain it please ? What do you mean by that or what do you want to tell us?

It's an ultra bullish EW count. At a bird's eye view, it puts us in Historic Wave 5, same as Masterluc's count.

At the lower degree, he shows a nested wave count, indicated by the "(1)-(2), 1-2, (i)-(ii)" progression. Not only are Wave 3s already very powerful, but this indicates an extended Wave (3) with an expectation of further sub-dividing waves. If the count is correct, then this will result in an even more powerful upside move. We're talking about another bubble.

Potential nested counts are tricky though. They are very......binary.....in their outcomes. The count will be confirmed once we see an obvious Wave 3 towards the previous ATH. If we don't see that happen relatively soon, then the impulsive count starts to look invalid and we're probably likely looking at another pattern entirely.

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November 07, 2020, 11:04:31 PM
 #245

Can you explain it please ? What do you mean by that or what do you want to tell us?

It's an ultra bullish EW count. At a bird's eye view, it puts us in Historic Wave 5, same as Masterluc's count.

At the lower degree, he shows a nested wave count, indicated by the "(1)-(2), 1-2, (i)-(ii)" progression. Not only are Wave 3s already very powerful, but this indicates an extended Wave (3) with an expectation of further sub-dividing waves. If the count is correct, then this will result in an even more powerful upside move. We're talking about another bubble.

Potential nested counts are tricky though. They are very......binary.....in their outcomes. The count will be confirmed once we see an obvious Wave 3 towards the previous ATH. If we don't see that happen relatively soon, then the impulsive count starts to look invalid and we're probably likely looking at another pattern entirely.
Thank you for that  Grin
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November 09, 2020, 08:35:44 PM
Last edit: September 10, 2023, 01:28:43 PM by dragonvslinux
 #246

LOOKs like this chart is back in play with the top at D

So we might be in the early stages of a bubble, but if the market breaks below $7,466 then we're going to the $700s? Quite a binary situation! Shocked

I'm still watching this triangle scenario. With wave (d) possibly complete now, $5,500-$7K could be next for wave (e).

One more leg up it seems to complete you d

Been looking at it closely and I think there is at least a 30% chance it is one of the outcomes Wink

Each of the waves (a, b, c and now d) look like 3 wave structures (a-b-c)

The coming weeks will tell us more.

OP

I love your thread!

I lurk here way too often and I appreciate you putting your thoughts out for the public. Thank you!

PS: THIS CHART IS NOT AN INDICATOR OF TIME, ONLY DIRECTION.



This looks like a crazy thought, given lots of other metrics, but none the less completely possible it seems...

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exstasie
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November 10, 2020, 12:58:54 AM
 #247

This looks like a crazy thought, given lots of other metrics, but none the less completely possible it seems...

Returning to the $6,000s is technically possible, but in my opinion very unlikely. Based on historic bull market corrections, anything below the $9,000s would surprise me greatly.

Either way, that triangle has long been invalidated, ever since the B pivot in the $13,800s was broken. From an EW perspective, we're definitely looking at something else now.

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January 22, 2021, 10:15:03 AM
 #248

I imagine you are waiting for a correction so you can update this count from 2.5 months ago.

There is no chance that the ending of PRIMARY [4] is actually the March low, marked as (2)?



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xxxx123abcxxxx (OP)
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January 22, 2021, 10:28:46 AM
 #249

I imagine you are waiting for a correction so you can update this count from 2.5 months ago.

There is no chance that the ending of PRIMARY [4] is actually the March low, marked as (2)?

The count remains unchanged, and requires no updating.

PRIMARY[4] bear market ended in DEC-2018, and PRIMARY[5] bull market has been underway since.

See new thread here: 2021 Elliott Wave
 
Bbirdy
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January 22, 2021, 10:38:07 AM
 #250

Thank you for indicating the new thread  Roll Eyes
josegines
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January 22, 2021, 10:57:41 AM
 #251

thanks also, because i didn't know the new thread.

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