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Question: What is the chance that Satoshi Nakamoto will ever be found? <future improved technology>
100% - 4 (6.1%)
80% - 1 (1.5%)
50% - 8 (12.1%)
25% - 1 (1.5%)
0% - 41 (62.1%)
I do not care :-> - 11 (16.7%)
Total Voters: 66

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Author Topic: Will they ever find Satoshi Nakamoto? Make your prediction...  (Read 13130 times)
Kakmakr (OP)
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May 04, 2019, 04:05:14 PM
 #1

Lately there are many people obsessed with finding Satoshi Nakamoto again and the research that they are doing is getting very detailed in comparison with the research that I have seen from previous years.

Do you think with the improvement of forensic technology and analysis, that it would be possible to find Satoshi Nakamoto in the future?

I am amazed with the research that was done so far and I think we would eventually get very close to Satoshi Nakamoto's real identity. The reason why I say this is based on how DNA technology helped to solve many crimes, after it was developed and used in 1986. Lately they even found Serial murderers based on their genetic link to family members who had their DNA logged on some medical database.  Roll Eyes

So please make your prediction and decide if you think that there are a good chance that Satoshi's real identity might be discovered in the future?

Let's discuss.  Wink

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May 04, 2019, 04:09:43 PM
 #2

I gone for 0% chances.
If I want to hide myself and disconnect me from the internet world and live a life of old school then I believe it's very impossible to find me. Satoshi seems a smart guy (and he is smart). If he can hide himself for these long years then he can easily stay under radar for the rest of his life unless he comes forward himself.

However this Craig guy is a fake by the way.

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May 04, 2019, 04:22:02 PM
 #3

I think that there is a 50 percent possibility for finding out who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Maybe one day he/she/they will explain in the future. But I don't expect that he/she/they will come out and tell who he/she/they is/are.

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May 04, 2019, 04:22:06 PM
 #4

Considering that Satoshi is not really needed now and he is not working on BTC blockchain and for the last time his name was used only to scam people I guess that none of the serious people is care about finding him while all those scammers that use his name are getting a huge benefit of his anonimity.
Also it is pretty hard to find him. It is like looking for an old forum member that never left his real data and remains offline for years.
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May 04, 2019, 04:37:41 PM
Merited by Kakmakr (1)
 #5

I'd say there's a chance, probably 10%? Or 5%? It's really next to impossible to have an estimate of the percentage chance if we don't know what safety precautions Satoshi took to hide his/her/their identity.

Now, I don't think it matters who Satoshi is, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't at least slightly curious in knowing who Satoshi is/are.

Considering that Satoshi is not really needed now and he is not working on BTC blockchain .....
I mean, who knows? Maybe Satoshi is actually working on bitcoin right now, just under a different persona. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


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May 04, 2019, 04:43:10 PM
 #6

]I don't think that they would ever find the person behind the name Satoshi Nakamoto.
They are just wasting their time .
The person behind the name Satoshi just vanished and I think Satoshi isn't going to leave a trace to find him/them.


I mean, who knows? Maybe Satoshi is actually working on bitcoin right now, just under a different persona. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
~snip~
I agree I think Satoshi is still with us but using a different name.

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May 04, 2019, 04:47:30 PM
 #7

What's the sense of looking for the real Satoshi?
If it's his choice to hide everything about him then who are we to force him to show up? He did it for his own reason and whatever it is, we should just accept and respect it. The best thing is he has done his part already and he contributed a lot to our success.

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May 04, 2019, 04:52:54 PM
 #8

I'm guessing Bitcoin was some technological project some guy worked on since the dawn of the Internet.
This guy kept adding and perfecting it, but never released it cause he wasn't totally satisfied.

Then the banking crisis happened and he found himself on his death-bed. Instead of taking his project to the grave, he released it to a bunch of computer nerds...

The original Satoshi took almost a million with him - but most likely died before he could see his baby grow up to the Bitcoin we see today...

Thats my story. Satoshi is dead, from natural causes. Otherwise - We would know who he is.

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May 04, 2019, 05:18:00 PM
 #9

I'm guessing Bitcoin was some technological project some guy worked on since the dawn of the Internet.
This guy kept adding and perfecting it, but never released it cause he wasn't totally satisfied.

Then the banking crisis happened and he found himself on his death-bed. Instead of taking his project to the grave, he released it to a bunch of computer nerds...

The original Satoshi took almost a million with him - but most likely died before he could see his baby grow up to the Bitcoin we see today...

Thats my story. Satoshi is dead, from natural causes. Otherwise - We would know who he is.

You might not be too far from the truth with this prediction, because this will explain why he has not touched any of his coins. I think Satoshi Nakamoto was a pseudonym for a group of people and Hal Finney <RIP> was one of that team.  Wink  I think he might have been one of the project leaders and they made a pact to hide Satoshi's real identity. <Out of respect to Hal Finney>

Hal Finney might even have been the holder of the private keys of most of the coins that were mined in the early days and he might have lost access to it. <Once again, out of respect to Hal Finney, the rest of the team wants to hide that mistake>  Huh

It will also explain the different ways in which text was posted on the Internet and why it is so difficult to link it to one person.  Wink

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May 04, 2019, 05:39:29 PM
 #10

many people now claim that if he is Satoshi Nakamoto maybe in the future there will be more and according to my thinking, no one will be able to find him because he is a very smart person and always thinks for the long term (above our IQ) maybe he smarter than albert einstein

I gone for 0% chances. same like Royse777
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May 04, 2019, 06:01:33 PM
 #11

Satoshi decided to keep himself anonymous so I believe he will do everything to stay anonymous. If there are many people tries to find him then it is their own right but I believe Satoshi knows how to stay anonymous as long as he wish. So I can say that the chance for others to find him is almost 0% unless he decide to reveal himself in the future.

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May 04, 2019, 06:34:53 PM
 #12

I voted for 0% because it's really impossible for us to meet Satoshi Nakamoto. We didn't even know if he/she's a person because there are theories that it might be an organization of leading companies in Asia. No one can ever know where Satoshi is, even our admin and moderators don't know where he/she is. The important thing is, he/she made history in the world of modern technology.
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May 04, 2019, 06:37:12 PM
 #13

What is with the Satoshi craze all of a sudden? Its like a festival which activates itself randomly after a specific period of time. No matter what, I strongly believe that Satoshi will never reveal himself/herself. I respect his/her decision because BTC is all the matters at the end of the day.

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May 04, 2019, 08:15:23 PM
 #14

History knows many examples of authors publishing their works anonymously or under pseudonym, and it also has many examples of those authors being uncovered later. So it may be possible that someone will indeed find him, maybe they'll look at all the people who were active in the cypherpunk community, who had interest in cryptography, who had some background in programming, and so on, and then they'll look for further matches, like comparing their writing styles, activity hours, etc.

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May 04, 2019, 08:45:20 PM
 #15

The obsession with finding Satoshi is becoming crazy. He created something special and it's being used worldwide and of course, he has his own hundreds of Bitcoin for himself. So let's leave him and stop trying to solve what's not necessary. All this will lead to imposter claiming they heard from him or they're his mouthpiece. Blockchain has come to stay.

I'm not really sure he still works on blockchain again thank ugh he may, under a pseudo name.

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May 04, 2019, 08:52:37 PM
 #16

I dont think we can do as some say he is dead at all but dont think now if he is even live would go for public but maybe after total btc dominance and all country start accept it then he would come to public and talk about idea because its revolution in technology and everywhere so its very risky be public now.

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May 04, 2019, 09:35:04 PM
 #17

They won't find him I'm sure of it. Maybe there's 1% chance because there's always a chance that something will happen even if it's a very small one.
If they couldn't find him for so many years they won't do it now. He was smart to leave no clues and when there are no clues you can only speculate. I also think they shouldn't look for him. What would that accomplish besides destroying his life?
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May 04, 2019, 09:40:04 PM
 #18

IMO, if anyone or an agency in the world has the highest interest to find who Satoshi is then it is most probably CIA. I don't think that CIA was just sitting quietly for a decade and haven't tried to find Satoshi Nakamoto, they probably tried their best with their advanced tech and sources. So if my doubt is true and as CIA didn't find him then it is more likely no one will ever find him, unless he reveals himself.

Wait a minute, Mr. McAfee knows who Satoshi is and he will reveal soon. haha.
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May 04, 2019, 09:43:22 PM
 #19

I don't believe they will ever fine the real identity of santoshi Nakamoto with this recent search for the face behind the name, to my I have come to accept the fact that santoshi is an acronym of a group of people and not just a single person and even with the use of the advanced DNA technology that you say it not possible because they is no spaceman to be use to conduct the test.
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May 04, 2019, 09:55:38 PM
 #20

finding satoshi nakamoto is an impossible search which will never yield anything positive. He has been able to keep himself hidden for so many years since after introducing bitcoin, I don't think its possible to find him now except he wants to be found. How are we even sure satoshi nakamoto is a man, a woman or even a group of person...No one really knows.
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May 04, 2019, 10:05:26 PM
 #21

IMO, if anyone or an agency in the world has the highest interest to find who Satoshi is then it is most probably CIA. I don't think that CIA was just sitting quietly for a decade and haven't tried to find Satoshi Nakamoto, they probably tried their best with their advanced tech and sources. So if my doubt is true and as CIA didn't find him then it is more likely no one will ever find him, unless he reveals himself.

Wait a minute, Mr. McAfee knows who Satoshi is and he will reveal soon. haha.

This is a good read though - https://www.ccn.com/satoshi-website-countdown-live-unveiling-bitcoin

Will there be a substantial information that will be revealed or is it just another hoax to crypto community? I'm pretty sure, CIA has done their homework into this but we don't know how much information they got or how far they want to proceed in discovering this person of interest.
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May 04, 2019, 10:09:58 PM
 #22

I think that there is no chance that Satoshi Nakamoto will ever be installed. We see that he himself wanted to remain anonymous and did everything to preserve his anonymity. Therefore, if he does not want, no one can prove that he used the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto earlier. Now many are trying to establish the identity of the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto, including John McAfee, some site even set a reverse ten-day countdown, after which it should be installed, but I do not believe it.
It's been ten years since Satoshi Nakamoto wanted to remain anonymous. This is too long. In addition, he is also aging.
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May 04, 2019, 10:14:02 PM
 #23

Why don't we just forget about finding satoshi nakamoto and focus on getting bitcoin adopted by everyone across the globe which is more important. I feel satoshi nakamoto is not a person, its a group of people. well i may be wrong but thats what i think

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May 04, 2019, 10:52:16 PM
 #24

Well, ccn has put all the piece of information of revealing nakamoto in this article.
I thought Mr. McAfee is trying to divert the case of eating his own dick in public by 2020 with a new drama "revealing Satoshi" soon.
But now it seems he is serious about this, saying on the basis of the attorney thing. Anyway, Mr. McAfee and Faketoshi are giving us wonderful free entertainment at least, so stick with it to enjoy.

https://gotsatoshi.com/ < this site is real or just a lead capture thing? Interesting, about 9 days left to know where Satoshi is...
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May 05, 2019, 07:37:57 AM
 #25

One day in and the Poll is going like I expected the final outcome would be. <More than 50% of the participants has so far indicated that they think there are a ZERO percent chance that Satoshi Nakamoto will ever be found.>

There have been loads of discussions on this forum about Satoshi Nakamoto and what his real identity is, but it looks like most people think that Satoshi will be the mythical Loch Ness monster of this century.  Roll Eyes Tongue

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May 05, 2019, 07:54:41 AM
 #26

Well, ccn has put all the piece of information of revealing nakamoto in this article.
I thought Mr. McAfee is trying to divert the case of eating his own dick in public by 2020 with a new drama "revealing Satoshi" soon.
But now it seems he is serious about this, saying on the basis of the attorney thing. Anyway, Mr. McAfee and Faketoshi are giving us wonderful free entertainment at least, so stick with it to enjoy.

https://gotsatoshi.com/ < this site is real or just a lead capture thing? Interesting, about 9 days left to know where Satoshi is...

No one knows who own this site.

All I know is that I will never ever put my email there. Also, I did some searches on the internet and there is an article about that site gotsatoshi.com. I will just post the link here so you can read it :

https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2019/05/new-website-counts-down-to-live-unveiling-of-bitcoin-creator-satoshi-nakamoto/
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May 05, 2019, 08:11:25 AM
 #27

the only way Satoshi Nakamoto can be found is if he himself decides to reveal himself some day in the future which is highly unlikely because someone who has protected his identity from the start is not going to change his mind suddenly and come out!
so we may see this happen by his children for example in 80 years from now we may see someone reveal that (s)he is the child of Satoshi for historical reasons only!

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May 05, 2019, 09:38:02 AM
 #28

The people that are looking for Satoshi will never find him  except he wants to be found. Satoshi has created Bitcoin 10 years ago and had vanished into thin air. The people that had worked with him had no clue to who he really is. The guy is a genius to come up will Bitcoin . A cryptocurrency that is changing the world financial cycle. I do not see any body finding him except he wants to show him self which I doubt he will show himself to the world. He is better off being anonymous its safer for him.
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May 05, 2019, 11:19:52 AM
 #29

Not gonna happen unless if still alive, Satoshi weirdly decides to reveal his / her identity.

Spoiler: it's not Craig S Wright.
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May 05, 2019, 11:47:40 AM
 #30

I don't think we can find Satoshi Nakamoto with easy because we don't know where he lives and we don't know the picture of him, nor we don't know his real name. We only know that someone/some group of people using the name called Satoshi Nakamoto.

We don't know who is the family members of Satoshi Nakamoto so we cannot get their DNA to test. But we only know that person is the real Satoshi Nakamoto when he can use his wallet, send some bitcoin and with the other proofs. And I think we still difficult to find where he lives because I am sure that he doesn't want to be known as Satoshi Nakamoto.
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May 05, 2019, 11:54:59 AM
 #31

https://gotsatoshi.com/ < this site is real or just a lead capture thing? Interesting, about 9 days left to know where Satoshi is...
This is nothing but a PR move from someone/a group of people trying to attract attention, or simply some trolls. Sorry to say this but, anyone expecting that this website will reveal the "real Satoshi Nakamoto" is a moron.

Btw, I would recommend people to use a disposable email on that site, not your main email acc, god knows what the people behind this website will send you in the future (spam, shady links, pishing, scams, etc).

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May 05, 2019, 07:12:16 PM
 #32

Is this being done with his consent?  What if he doesn't want to be found or want to be anonymous? We they still go on to violate his right to privacy?


How will they even find him without gaining access to his private stuff?
The DNA part sounds a bit confusing
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May 05, 2019, 10:15:34 PM
 #33

<snip...>

In all honesty, I doubt that the true identity of Satoshi would be known, due to safety and privacy reasons. If I were the creator of a revolutionized payment method that generated billions of dollars in terms of value, I would never tell anyone or let alone do something that will expose my true identity. In fact, the only persons that are obsess with his identity our bitcoin fanatics, as most do not even care about his existence.


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May 05, 2019, 10:28:48 PM
 #34

https://gotsatoshi.com/ < this site is real or just a lead capture thing? Interesting, about 9 days left to know where Satoshi is...
This is nothing but a PR move from someone/a group of people trying to attract attention, or simply some trolls. Sorry to say this but, anyone expecting that this website will reveal the "real Satoshi Nakamoto" is a moron.

Btw, I would recommend people to use a disposable email on that site, not your main email acc, god knows what the people behind this website will send you in the future (spam, shady links, pishing, scams, etc).

no person in his right disposition will give his main mail account to that website.
this is really entertaining to our community! live unveiling? but got my curiosity here honestly. what they will show to us? another freakin drama?
but i do believe, that in the future someone will discover who satoshi really is. it is like digging the tombs of our ancestors. someone will find him and will be considered as the greatest discovery of their time...

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May 05, 2019, 10:37:11 PM
 #35

I don't think they'll ever find Satoshi Nakamoto, even with this great advancement in technology. The internet world is so wide and vague compared to the scientific one, and virtual is googol far from physical. The fact that we are not even left with a dust of hint about Satoshi's identity, where will they start? There must be a given premise to start with, and sad to say, there is none. I know there are lot of claims springing that they are the real Satoshi, but how would we know that who's the real Satoshi among them? Many are just fame-hungry, riding the hype. Well, that's still subject to long, fastidious proving.
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May 08, 2019, 06:18:32 PM
 #36

Well who knows maybe there are still a small chance that they could reveal to us who is the real Satoshi Nakamoto.
But I think it would only be around 1-10% chance after all it has been almost 9 years since the last message of Satoshi so I think it would be really hard to find a person who turns into a ghost and leave without a trace.

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May 08, 2019, 07:31:37 PM
 #37

It seems that the poll decided that they believe that they will not find nakamoto. I don't think that they can find him/her/them because if nakamoto wanted to reveal he/she absolutely done it a long time ago. I am just hoping for the betterment of cryptocurrency and a little bit hope to find satoshi.
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May 08, 2019, 07:47:52 PM
 #38

Well who knows maybe there are still a small chance that they could reveal to us who is the real Satoshi Nakamoto.
But I think it would only be around 1-10% chance after all it has been almost 9 years since the last message of Satoshi so I think it would be really hard to find a person who turns into a ghost and leave without a trace.
There is a 100% chance to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto and that 100% chance belongs to Mr. McAfee only... LOL!

Mr. McAfee is going to make the cryptoverse proud and he will be elected as President of USA in 2020 for revealing Satoshi.
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May 08, 2019, 09:33:17 PM
 #39

Lately there are many people obsessed with finding Satoshi Nakamoto again and the research that they are doing is getting very detailed in comparison with the research that I have seen from previous years.

Do you think with the improvement of forensic technology and analysis, that it would be possible to find Satoshi Nakamoto in the future?

I am amazed with the research that was done so far and I think we would eventually get very close to Satoshi Nakamoto's real identity. The reason why I say this is based on how DNA technology helped to solve many crimes, after it was developed and used in 1986. Lately they even found Serial murderers based on their genetic link to family members who had their DNA logged on some medical database.  Roll Eyes

So please make your prediction and decide if you think that there are a good chance that Satoshi's real identity might be discovered in the future?

Let's discuss.  Wink


I think if Satoshi Nakamoto is a person, he has 50% of probabilities that he is alive, because we are missing since 2009 when he created Bitcoin, and he launched it into the world.

Now if we start that Satoshi Nakamoto is not a person but an organization, we are in the same mystery, which, I think is most likely, because all the development that there is in Bitcoin and Blockchain is really a genius or many brilliant minds who worked together.

And if Satoshi Nakamoto gives proof that he is a man and that he exists, how can we determine that he really is? How can you prove it ?? by the firm that has ?? I think this is an enigma that only he and / or they know it, what if I applaud him is the tremendous development that left the world, because basically create a technology where governments and banks do not have the control, that is something impressive and that is worth admiring.

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May 09, 2019, 12:14:41 AM
 #40

We will probabily be able to find him when he want's to come out to the real world and to get know him for something else.
Why would Satoshi Nakamoto reveal himself in the first place? Many bad people could take that as an advantage on extracting more than revealed source code.
He could also be having some other ideias where he prefers to keep for himself for a later future.

Nothing to see here
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May 09, 2019, 07:06:37 AM
Last edit: May 09, 2019, 09:39:10 AM by BitcoinFX
 #41

"Finding Satoshi" ...

BTCe like ...

- https://youtu.be/1VFuHj9_Tgw

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May 09, 2019, 07:29:35 AM
Last edit: May 09, 2019, 09:28:10 AM by hahahafr
 #42

I was impressed when i saw the option that says "I do not care" among the leading options in the poll. I don't know why so many folks are bent on knowing who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Probably for their own selfish gains but hey leave the dude in peace and support his technology. I am sure that is enough for him.




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May 09, 2019, 07:44:40 AM
 #43

Satoshi Nakamoto, whoever he was, did not want to show himself and took deliberate actions in order to remain anonymous. Therefore, if he does not want to appear in public, no one can force him to do it. Meanwhile, more than ten years have passed since the creation of Bitcoin, and these are very much for the supposedly elderly person. Every year the chances of his appearance fall.

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May 09, 2019, 09:26:48 AM
 #44

All these searches about the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto is not necessary what we need to do is to support and campaign for cryptocurrencies to be legalized. I think this is more necessary.
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May 09, 2019, 10:24:50 AM
 #45

All these searches about the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto is not necessary what we need to do is to support and campaign for cryptocurrencies to be legalized. I think this is more necessary.
I believe that Satoshi Nakamoto's identity will remain anonymous forever. This is better for Bitcoin and for all cryptocurrencies. Such secrets are best kept secret.
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May 24, 2019, 09:47:18 AM
 #46

They can do nothing until Satoshi Nakamoto wants to reveal his identity himself. I think there would appear some more fake Satoshis in the future looking for popularity, selfish gains or for some other reasons. His creation – Bitcoin proved to be a viable and sustainable project without a single center. If real Satoshi Nakamoto whoever it may be, goes on public, it can change the course of events and development of BTC dramatically. And it’s not necessarily in a good way. I think it’s better to leave things as they are.
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May 24, 2019, 10:25:27 AM
 #47

There was plenty of questions who is the real satoshi nakamoto but the identify was never been published because he or they were remain anonymous and regarding the poll i think I will go for 50% chance as future improved technology might be people will pretty near to identify who is satoshi nakamoto but it will be founded or possibly too it will forever anonymous

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May 24, 2019, 10:32:13 AM
 #48

I think if ''they'' will find him , then we never will know that . Imagine how many people would like to know who he are or them . He was / is clever enough to erase himself from online . Imagine he already knew somebody would try to find him and he was hidden from the start even when bitcoin was not launched yet Smiley
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May 24, 2019, 11:41:46 AM
 #49

It is really hard to find people who doesn't want to be found out. Especially people that are open minded and have the intelligence, they are such good hiders that even CIA is having a hard time to crack them down. Maybe if Satoshi doesn't have those million Bitcoin he could show himself to the public, wel that is just a guess.
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May 24, 2019, 02:08:34 PM
 #50

I was impressed when i saw the option that says "I do not care" among the leading options in the poll. I don't know why so many folks are bent on knowing who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Probably for their own selfish gains but hey leave the dude in peace and support his technology. I am sure that is enough for him.

I actually opted to don't care at all. Why? Because it does not matter at all as we now have the blockchain technology and our beloved bitcoin in our midst. Though if we can find the real Satoshi Nakamoto we can finally dispel the claim of that liar named Craig Wright that he is the real one. When Satoshi Nakamoto decided to be anonymous and go underground, I am sure he considered many reasons for that decision and we have to fully respect that. The thing is that many people are just using Nakamoto Satoshi for their own commercial interest thinking that telling people that he will soon surface can bring them and their business more attention and fame.
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May 24, 2019, 05:55:31 PM
 #51

The DNA worked because there was a sample. You can't do that with digital codes. So it seems to me that if Satoshi made it so that he could remain anonymous, then it will remain so. I think that all attempts to unravel the identity of Satoshi will not succeed.
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May 24, 2019, 06:28:56 PM
 #52

I am of the opinion that Satoshi is already dead. Else, he would have sold at least some of his coins in 2017, when the exchange rate climbed to $20,000 per coin. At that point of time, his stash was worth some $20 billion. He could have either used the money for himself, or could have donated it to some of the charities. Or even better, he could have used it to set up a libertarian micronation, where Bitcoin would be the official currency.
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May 24, 2019, 06:35:58 PM
 #53

Most likely, the person who once used the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto will never be identified. He was an anonymity specialist and we see that he took steps to remain anonymous and unknown to the public. If Satoshi Nakamoto himself does not want to announce, no one will do it. In this case, there will be no hard evidence for this. And ten years have passed. Every year this probability falls.
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May 24, 2019, 06:54:20 PM
 #54

I'll go for 0%. Satoshi does know the consequences if he'll reveal his real identity. There will be conflicts so it's right if he will remain silent and keep his identity in private.
I believe that he did the right thing for the right reason.
It's also hard to find someone who is hiding. It's fine that he's living a quiet and simple life which is far from media and the mainstream.
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May 24, 2019, 07:36:38 PM
 #55

I'll go for 0%. Satoshi does know the consequences if he'll reveal his real identity. There will be conflicts so it's right if he will remain silent and keep his identity in private.
I believe that he did the right thing for the right reason.
It's also hard to find someone who is hiding. It's fine that he's living a quiet and simple life which is far from media and the mainstream.
If a person is already known to the world and further he has hidden on his own, then it is possible to find him. There were more cases, where the person do some crime and gets hidden into other nations. With the help of interpol several such people were caught as their identity is known. Here none knew the identity of Satoshi and on the same it is impossible.

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May 24, 2019, 08:21:58 PM
 #56

In this case, there will be no hard evidence for this. And ten years have passed. Every year this probability falls.
The further we progress in time, the more of a subject satoshi becomes because of his gigantic coin stack. At one point satoshi (assuming it's an individual) will very likely become the wealthiest person in the world.

Right now the satoshi coins are worth a pretty ~$6 billion, which at the 2017 peak was ~$17 billion. That's a staggering amount to have it sit in addresses that haven't ever been touched.

If satoshi no longer has the ability access his coins for whatever reason, we can only thank him for donating more scarcity to an asset that is already super scarce. We're lucky to be part of this revolution, people. Smiley

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May 24, 2019, 08:33:53 PM
 #57

It would be very much appreciated if Satoshi nakamoto can just put everyone out of our mystery and show up. Well I don't think much about who is satoshi nakamoto I feel if the man wants us to respect his privacy and that exactly what everyone should do
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May 24, 2019, 08:44:32 PM
 #58

No they won't find Satoshi Nakamoto. It is a very smart mathematician. He managed to forecast the finances in the next 70 years very good.

 
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May 24, 2019, 09:33:13 PM
 #59

I don't think Satoshi Nakamoto would ever be found and i think we should give that dude some space. why are people so keen on finding his identity, i am sure he has his own tangible reasons for staying silent all this while.

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May 24, 2019, 09:49:32 PM
 #60

I'd rather say a different answer here, I'd actually never believe anybody coming up and saying that he's Satoshi Nakamoto even if he is, in fact, the real one. There are many reasons why he's not coming up and "maybe" not even touching even a "Satoshi" out of his coins. There had been enough drama created at first by Craig Wright to prove himself to be Satoshi (all he was doing was just to play his pump and dump game with his BSV coin and he actually succeeded in this) and as well he was a bit successful in making a few part of the community to actually believe he is. Well, I don't give a fuck to him. A person who can file a lawsuit (to demonstrate his power) against an innocent guy who just shared his opinion via a tweet can never be Satoshi et al. After that came McAfee who claimed something and said he'd eat his dick if that doesn't happen (sorry I don't remember this), he even claimed he knew Satoshi and that he could (and was going to) reveal him but some law firm asked him to stop his plans right there and leave the things going as it is, here's the tweet about that - https://mobile.twitter.com/officialmcafee/status/1120803594041688069

Really Mr. McAfee? You really think we would ever believe a dormant like you?

And last but not the least, this website that became a pain in the ass for many I guess - http://gotsatoshi.com/ (Don't visit as it has got nothing but an advertisement in a stupid video). They claimed to reveal Satoshi with a countdown over their website, a strategic plan into effect to gain the attraction of people at first and endorse their product in front of them later onwards.

With all these trials, I'd respectfully encourage you people to please put all the power of the last poop of your ass and try the hell out there to find out Satoshi, but you'll never ever be able to get to him, never, ever.

P.S.: May sound a bit off-topic, but I thought to add some spice to make you laugh at the end of my post. Satoshi may be an Indian as the name looks to have a missing letter "n" in between which makes it "Santoshi". Here, in India, Santoshi is the name of the Goddess of satisfaction, Santoshi means satisfier. Satoshi has done everything to satisfy the needs of the current investors as well as those who are interested in earning money by owning it.

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May 24, 2019, 10:25:24 PM
 #61

The DNA worked because there was a sample. You can't do that with digital codes. So it seems to me that if Satoshi made it so that he could remain anonymous, then it will remain so. I think that all attempts to unravel the identity of Satoshi will not succeed.
This is a topic ever since and I think we can’t really find the real Satoshi because he wanted to remain anonymous not unless he reveal his self and start appearing on every news. I hope Satoshi is still alive, and living healthy because he deserve to live in a better life, let’s see it in the future.
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May 24, 2019, 10:27:10 PM
 #62

I really like this topic because people have been asking this question everyday on this platform. One thing I want to ask is what if you are the Nakamoto we are talking about of which we don't know. I think we should just sit back and watch Satoshi himself come out show himself to us which is impossible. Hehe Grin

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May 24, 2019, 10:54:13 PM
 #63

I also vote for 0% chance to find Satoshi. Even if they try they can't and the only way to find, is only if Satoshi will reveal his identity which i strongly believe that will not reveal it never, and i respect his decision.
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May 25, 2019, 03:03:24 AM
 #64

Satoshi would have revealed himself if he had wanted to. He is either dead or has decided it's best to leave his creation for the world to enjoy without the distraction of possibly being designated a leader without his wish or consent. Actually, his anonymity strengthens the perception of bitcoin's decentralization.
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May 25, 2019, 04:13:16 AM
 #65

Oh trust me, her identity will only be revealed if/when she wants it to be

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May 25, 2019, 04:27:49 AM
 #66

That will be hard to find Satoshi Nakamoto because we don't have much information, but I don't know with the government because they have unlimited resources to find Satoshi. Maybe the government still trying to find out where is Satoshi lived so they can meet Satoshi if they found him. Let's let him hide for his own good and let him decide to reveal himself or not to the public.

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May 25, 2019, 05:25:18 AM
Last edit: May 25, 2019, 05:45:02 AM by ralle14
 #67

The chances in the poll are too high imo so I voted for 0%. I think there's a chance for someone to know who Satoshi is, but it's not near 25%,50%,80% or 100% because there's no sufficient information or evidence until now. In the future maybe Satoshi would be revealed but it could be too late for the people who are desperate to find him. Or ff there's a few people that already found Satoshi maybe they don't want to disclose it.

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May 25, 2019, 05:45:53 AM
 #68

I think with a small probability you can find the Creator of bitcoin, but I think such a clever figure will not be found, because he himself understands what difficulties can then arise with the government and many others, so the maximum will be anonymous.
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May 25, 2019, 05:54:32 AM
Last edit: May 25, 2019, 06:48:25 AM by Janation
 #69

Oh trust me, her identity will only be revealed if/when she wants it to be

Oohh, this is amazing, so Satoshi is a she huh? SatoSHE?


I think with a small probability you can find the Creator of bitcoin, but I think such a clever figure will not be found, because he himself understands what difficulties can then arise with the government and many others, so the maximum will be anonymous.

There are some tracks that Satoshi left but this is the internet.

There are still a lot of ways to escape people when you are on the internet. Satoshi might be dead, he might be the Thanos of cryptocurrency but not the one that will wipe the half of it, Thanos where he resides on his comfort zone after completing his destiny. It is rude to attack him while he's eating his lunch and I think we should just let him be.
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May 25, 2019, 11:34:16 AM
 #70

I gone for 0% chances.
If I want to hide myself and disconnect me from the internet world and live a life of old school then I believe it's very impossible to find me. Satoshi seems a smart guy (and he is smart). If he can hide himself for these long years then he can easily stay under radar for the rest of his life unless he comes forward himself.

However this Craig guy is a fake by the way.

That’s right! I have been seeing debates and articles about Satoshi Nakamoto being discovered and they are saying that his this and that and up until now no one has proven to be the legit one. He is really smart to not been able to expose himself to anyone and bitcoin has been around for years now and considering the success of bitcoin he hasn’t come out so that only means he doesn’t want to be discovered. Why can’t people just let him be, besides if he really wants to be recognized then he should have exposed himself a long time ago.

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May 25, 2019, 12:00:39 PM
 #71

I know for sure that the Craid guy's a fraud. Since Satoshi has decided to become ghost, let's leave it at that while we enjoy what he has created and allow him to enjoy the bitcoins in his possession. So many threads on Satoshi here and there. Let's enjoy the blockchain technology that has come to stay

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May 25, 2019, 12:06:50 PM
 #72

I don't care, The dude doesn't want he's Identity to be known and maybe for a good reason. he chose to disappear
from this community I think we should let him be. these people looking for him are just doing it for their own satisfaction
and that is just selfish and inconsiderate.

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May 25, 2019, 01:20:24 PM
 #73

Satoshi was an user in this forum, and old admins such as theymos may be aware of his real identity. So even in case he is dead, there is a very strong chance that his identity will be revealed sometime in the future. But in case he wants to remain anonymous, then may be it is better for others to respect his decision and stay away from these investigations.
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May 25, 2019, 02:12:12 PM
 #74

I voted for 0%
Satoshi is really anonymous. Until now, we don't know what he or it is. Is it the name of a person or organization.
The chance to reveal the real Satoshi will not be easy. And for what? Satoshi himself didn't want to show himself to the world and kept hiding after these long years. And now, several people acknowledged as the real Satoshi. This is strange and I don't believe it.

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May 25, 2019, 07:09:46 PM
 #75

I think that in 10 years if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto has not been revealed,it will not be disclosed further.It just doesn't make sense.I think that no and one will ever declassify the one who created Bitcoin.
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May 25, 2019, 11:02:23 PM
 #76

I think that no and one will ever declassify the one who created Bitcoin.
Yup. Technically speaking, even if one manages to sign from the genesis block, it still doesn't mean it's actually satoshi. It could be a thief that stole the key, or a rogue government that seized it.

The only thing that makes satoshi somewhat interesting is his immense Bitcoin wealth, but with all due respect, other than that there isn't much that anyone should care about. He's not a Bitcoin developer anymore and never will be.

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May 26, 2019, 12:04:00 AM
 #77

No one will find Satoshi Nakamoto unless he reveals himself with proof of his work during the time he was developing the codes.

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May 26, 2019, 12:26:58 AM
 #78

There are two situations that I see regarding this.

1. Those who really wants to know who satoshi is will find their way to know who the creator is. They will do what they can just to find satoshi. Search on the internet or travel around the world to find some evidences.

2. I think there will be a time that satoshi will reveal his/her/their true identity. Although this mostly will not happen, lets not remove the possibilities that satoshi will reveal his/her/their true identity.

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May 26, 2019, 01:22:29 AM
 #79

The chances are really low maybe around 10%-20% and I don't think Satoahi will ever admit or want to show the identity to the public, if the person want to be found, I think he already declare it long time ago, even with the highest and sophisticated technology it will be hard, no matter how great the technology, there will be always a loophole
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May 26, 2019, 01:32:47 AM
 #80

I think they will never find Satoshi Nakamoto. It's different from a situation involving murderers and dna. We don't have blood, victims, weapons or a criminal scene. It's like Satoshi existed only on the virtual world, totally anonymous, no traces left.
If there were any chance of finding him there wouldn't be so much fud and hoaxes without showing any evidence spread by these crypto space heavyweights. The real identity of Satoshi theories will be just stories like Elvis isn't dead or that Russia cheated Usa presidential polls.

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May 26, 2019, 01:39:20 AM
 #81

Probably in 50 years when he's long dead. There will be an ambitious investigative reporter who will dig everywhere and make a legitimate connection.
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May 26, 2019, 02:21:32 AM
 #82

Satoshi has made himself anonymous from the beginning, and he knew exactly what he signed up for by creating the bitcoin, and therefore he defiantly has hidden any trace of his identity or anything that might lead to his real identity, therefore id on't think that he will ever be found, if people false claiming that hey are satoshi got this much attention imagine if the real one was revealed, the world would actually burn on fire, so i don't think he will reveal himself even to his dying breath.
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May 26, 2019, 02:25:10 AM
 #83

mybe no, i see in news information Satoshi nakamoto has gone for longlest time, i sure not people can find satoshi nakamoto, unless he will attend in many people

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May 26, 2019, 04:46:28 AM
 #84

Lately there are many people obsessed with finding Satoshi Nakamoto again and the research that they are doing is getting very detailed in comparison with the research that I have seen from previous years.

Do you think with the improvement of forensic technology and analysis, that it would be possible to find Satoshi Nakamoto in the future?

I am amazed with the research that was done so far and I think we would eventually get very close to Satoshi Nakamoto's real identity. The reason why I say this is based on how DNA technology helped to solve many crimes, after it was developed and used in 1986. Lately they even found Serial murderers based on their genetic link to family members who had their DNA logged on some medical database.  Roll Eyes

So please make your prediction and decide if you think that there are a good chance that Satoshi's real identity might be discovered in the future?

Let's discuss.  Wink
I think it will be very difficult to find out who is Satoshi Nakamoto, even though it was still possible to find it. DNA technology can't make it easier to find who is Satoshi because it can be Satoshi Nakamoto is only a name for 2 people or groups, not individuals
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May 26, 2019, 05:03:15 AM
 #85

Satoshi decided to keep himself anonymous so I believe he will do everything to stay anonymous. If there are many people tries to find him then it is their own right but I believe Satoshi knows how to stay anonymous as long as he wish. So I can say that the chance for others to find him is almost 0% unless he decide to reveal himself in the future.

Yes, it is his decision to make his identity anonymous and we should respect it. It would be better not to try to find out who he is unless Satoshi willing to reveal it someday.

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May 26, 2019, 05:34:21 AM
 #86

Wait, I thought Craig is the real Satoshi  Undecided

LOL, I am kidding, he can be a Faketoshi though  Grin . I don't care is Satoshi is eventually found or not because it will not change how bitcoin is working right now.
Satoshi left bitcoin for itself to grow which is why I think he won't return. It wouldn't be easy to find him given that he is anonymous till date.
I wonder why people are so eager to find his identity. He is just a normal human being who did something good for the world.

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May 26, 2019, 05:53:16 AM
 #87

Probably in 50 years when he's long dead. There will be an ambitious investigative reporter who will dig everywhere and make a legitimate connection.
If you cannot find someone when he is alive, there is no way anyone could dig his grave and find the truth  Tongue. In the past few years we had many connections from investigative journalist about Satoshi and everyone turned out to be just fictitious and one of them brought out the Craig White syndrome which we are dealing till now  Cheesy. If Satoshi wants to reveals himself he will do so by proving himself by signing in the genesis block other than that there is no point in chasing a ghost.
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May 26, 2019, 05:56:40 AM
 #88

I really do not care. It's best to just leave the guy/s and respect his/her/their decision to stay anonymous. He/She/They will come out if they wanted to. Bitcoin will move forward with or without him/her/them anyway.
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May 26, 2019, 06:12:07 AM
 #89

Wait, I thought Craig is the real Satoshi  Undecided
^ Lol forgot that who pretend and claim real Nakamoto he is a lazy one.
Well, we can't predict earlier maybe soon will trace the real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. But as of now, it has zero chances to find him/them, he can still hiding as an anonymous founder of bitcoin.

I really do not care. It's best to just leave the guy/s and respect his/her/their decision to stay anonymous. He/She/They will come out if they wanted to. Bitcoin will move forward with or without him/her/them anyway.
That's why he/they left Bitcoin open source code so that anyone can modify on it and improve. I would rather not waste my time on searching the founder of Bitcoin, besides, we are thankful to the founder of bitcoin he/they discover a great digital currency.
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May 26, 2019, 06:43:43 AM
 #90

I really do not care. It's best to just leave the guy/s and respect his/her/their decision to stay anonymous. He/She/They will come out if they wanted to. Bitcoin will move forward with or without him/her/them anyway.
That's why he/they left Bitcoin open source code so that anyone can modify on it and improve. I would rather not waste my time on searching the founder of Bitcoin, besides, we are thankful to the founder of bitcoin he/they discover a great digital currency.
I am not supporting anyone who is after Satoshi Nakamoto when he wanted privacy, i understand the sentiment that he left the source code open so that anyone could modify, but have you ever imagined, if someone or a team could come up with something that no one ever thought will have a solution (double spending) and if he has the intellect to built something from scratch, do you think that he did not have a solution for the transaction bottle necks, some things have spooked him and so is the reason he went hiding and if he was active i am sure we could have got solutions and the development should progress in a smooth way.
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May 26, 2019, 06:49:11 AM
 #91

I go 0%.  In addition to the value of bitcoin and even issues that are closely related to blockchain technology.  they will want to remain anonymous with countless reasons.  with the advancement of medical technology.  Perhaps, he has become a more youthful person.  That's the biggest mystery in the blockchain world, similar to MH370 of the airline industry.
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May 26, 2019, 07:00:10 AM
 #92

I'm not sure, i think satoshi nakamoto isn't just a single person. I guess it's a group of people. Maybe they found already one, maybe Craig was involved in an outer circle, he is just seeking for attention. Roll Eyes
But i really think the deeper group members are still anonymous and a few of them will be found one day.
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May 27, 2019, 06:59:42 AM
 #93

I'm not sure, i think satoshi nakamoto isn't just a single person. I guess it's a group of people. Maybe they found already one, maybe Craig was involved in an outer circle, he is just seeking for attention. Roll Eyes
But i really think the deeper group members are still anonymous and a few of them will be found one day.
The way in which you describe things looks like it is a deep conspiracy to create a new market like bitcoin, there is no deeper group and outer group and it is not created by any crime syndicate  Cheesy. Someone created the entire platform and went offline leaving everything to the initial developers who became interested in it during the initial phase after the release of the white paper, Craig has no involvement until he proves other wise and till now he never gave any valid proof regarding that.
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May 27, 2019, 12:00:56 PM
 #94

I don’t care if they will ever find Satoshi or not because that’s not part of my way in this cryptocurrency world,I never think of needing to find the Great creator instead I totally respect his need for privacy and I will be forever thankful for what the man brings to me,and I think this must be our treatment in the said issue.why need to always bother about the whereabouts of this person if we can have our own problem to face in our daily lives?please respect the man and bother no more of his identity and place of living

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May 27, 2019, 04:24:00 PM
 #95

I think that there is a 50 percent possibility for finding out who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Maybe one day he/she/they will explain in the future. But I don't expect that he/she/they will come out and tell who he/she/they is/are.
If we think theres a possibility that we find Satoshi, but its not surely. But we believe on the coming days we can find it. I think its better to wait for the time that he show to the public. So now the good thing we do is just focus only on bitcoin. 
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May 27, 2019, 04:32:34 PM
 #96

The better question is will those early 1 million bitcoins that Satoshi mined be spent eventually?  That is the number one thing that I would want to know.

Over $9 billion at current prices and he had over 20 billion at the peak.
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May 27, 2019, 05:23:28 PM
 #97

If during the last ten years Satoshi Nakamoto did not show up and before that he used a pseudonym to remain anonymous, then he is unlikely to ever declare himself. He is not officially sought, so it is unlikely that we will already know this secret. Perhaps it will be even better. Cryptocurrency as an invention will not belong to anyone, for its decentralization and anonymity it is even good.
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May 27, 2019, 07:15:48 PM
 #98

Finding Satoshi Nakamoto is just like  a camel going through the eye of a needle. Satoshi main aim of creating Bitcoin goes with the mystery of his identity; Anonymous. I don't think he will eat back his words and come out say jack I am now giving up for hiding so many years.
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