More than likely, if last years trend(100% year to date) continues throughout this year, we'll do pretty well. I just really don't see the market crashing that hard after a solid year like the year we had last year. Plus, you have the halving coming up and the new Ethereum update. This should bring in renewed interest into crypto and keep the market rocking all year long.
We would all like this to happen, but we don't know if wales wants the same. Market capitalization is still too small to protect against large institutional investors. If they decide that they have not bought enough at a low price, then there may be further big price drops.
I think the new whales are the ones who created this upward trend. You can see that the price of bitcoin suddenly increased due to their USD funds being opened and pushing the price of bitcoin. because once the price of bitcoin dropped to $ 6k4 three times, it strongly increased again. That shows that the whales had a plan to buy bitcoin ready and not let its price drop below $ 6k4. in those 3 times, they had collected enough bitcoin and now it is in the stage of pushing up the price of bitcoin.
Interesting theory, but in my opinion whales will want to buy below $6k. Of course, they could already buy enough before and nothing will happen. But for halving the situation will definitely be very uncertain. During these 4 months, a lot can happen, after all, in the crypto world 4 months is already a long term
I hope that there will be no crash, but uncertainty is visible.