However, when the same pattern occurs three years in a row at almost exactly the same time, it can be easy to question the validity of this statement.
3 years is honestly a very very short time span. Even if we had the same market movement for 10 straight years, the price can still move in a different manner the following year; especially knowing that we're talking about a very very young asset class here. Not like other assets like stocks that has existed since as far as we can remember.
Also take note that the market sentiment and the people's perception of bitcoin today compared to the past 3 years, is very very different. Remember to also always take fundamentals into account, and to not only look at charts.
I know that the market is so unpredictable now,
The markets has ALWAYS been very unpredictable.