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Author Topic: Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!!  (Read 7724 times)
El duderino_
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January 10, 2020, 01:00:11 PM
 #381

Participants list GL

3101-3150          Yaplatu
3151-3200          KTChampions *
3451-3500          Eduarop
4401-4450          rdbase
4451-4500          MagicByt3
5051-5100          fabiorem
5151-5200          sgbett *
5451-5500          cabalism13
5601-5650          Asuspawer09
5751-5800          Mallyx
5801-5850          makrospex
5901-5950          Mbitr
5951-6000          Snork1979
6001-6050          tyKiwanuka *
6051-6100          tweetious
6151-6200          bakasabo
6201-6250          dothebeats *
6251-6300          Heisenberg_Hunter *
6301-6350          Spray. *                      -A previous winner-
6351-6400          DoublerHunter
6401-6450          Saint-loup
6451-6500          Icygreen *
6501-6550          haloxon
6551-6600          Majormax *
6601-6650          bitebits                       -A previous winner-
6651-6700          Corrosive
6701-6750          Polar91
6751-6800          theymos *
6801-6850          bbc.reporter *
6851-6900          ChuckBuck
6901-6950          Biodom
6951-7000          Last of the V8s
7001-7050          tvplus006
7051-7100          sirazimuth                               -A previous winner-
7101-7150          GazetaBitcoin
7151-7200          unsoindovo
7201-7250          hosseinimr93 *
7251-7300          wheelz1200
7301-7350          dragonvslinux *
7351-7400          Cryptotourist
7401-7450          android17
7451-7500          bct_ail
7501-7550          iasenko
7551-7600          xyz
7601-7650          sheenshane
7651-7700          7jaka7
7701-7750          Lauda
7751-7800          ezeminer *
7801-7850          Globb0 *                                     -A previous winner-
7851-7900          teeGUMES
7901-7950          tg88
7951-8000          leea-1334 *
8001-8050          HairyMaclairy *
8051-8100          wachtwoord
8101-8150          brobbel
8151-8200          gentlemand                                -A previous winner-
8201-8250          Ryker1
8251-8300          JSRAW
8301-8350          marlboroza
8351-8400          efialtis
8401-8450          TopTort777
8451-8500          madnessteat
8501-8550          pawel7777
8551-8600          kurious  *
8601-8650          oscar2000 *
8651-8700          mindrust
8701-8750          Phil_S *
8751-8800          abel1337
8801-8850          malevolent *
8851-8900          mu_enrico
8901-8950          stompix
8951-9000          Mitchell
9001-9050          Dunkelheit667 *
9051-9100          actmyname
9101-9150          Olegya199
9151-9200          somac.
9201-9250          psycodad
9251-9300          Tytanowy Janusz
9301-9350          hatshepsut93 *
9351-9400          BobLawblaw
9401-9450          Febo
9451-9500          buwaytress *
9501-9550          FutureBitcoin
9551-9600          Vispilio
9601-9650          1miau
9651-9700          DragonDance
9701-9750          JimboToronto *
9751-9800          AlcoHoDL
9801-9850          wwzsocki
9851-9900          thisisntbic
9901-9950          DeathAngel
9951-10000        GrosWesh
10001-10050      jojo69
10051-10100      Pamoldar
10101-10150      Lanatsa
10151-10200      krogothmanhattan
10201-10250      vapourminer
10251-10300      JanEmil
10301-10350      BitcoinPenny
10351-10400      cryptobaboon
10401-10450      RapTarX
10451-10500      ivomm *
10501-10550      DireWolfM14
10551-10600      F2b
10601-10650      hacker1001101001
10651-10700      LoyceV *
10701-10750      xLays
10751-10800      d_eddie
10801-10850      SPQRCoin
10851-10900      akhjob
10901-10950      Dabs
10951-11000      wh1rlw1nd *
11001-11050      RaspoBTC
11051-11100      Swordsoffreedom *
11101-11150      slaman29 *
11151-11200      Searing
11201-11250      FontSeli
11251-11300      LFC_Bitcoin
11301-11350      Real-Duke
11351-11400      geophphreigh
11401-11450      Sat0shisGhost
11451-11500      bitmover
11501-11550      LUCKMCFLY *
11551-11600      alegotardo
11601-11650      STT *
11651-11700      bitserve
11701-11750      johhnyUA *
11751-11800      xenon131
11801-11850      freedomgo
11851-11900      Kasabus
11901-11950      P_Shep
11951-12000      WhiteManWhite
12001-12050      Stedsm
12051-12100      Soonandwaite
12101-12150      naska21
12151-12200      gokudera
12201-12250      Lesbian Cow
12251-12300      Darker45 *
12301-12350      o_e_l_e_o
12351-12400      Lakai01
12401-12450      NeuroticFish
12451-12500      cygan
12501-12550      ChinkyEyes
12551-12600      Questat
12601-12650      tokeweed
12651-12700      exstasie                       -A previous winner-
12701-12750      rhomelmabini
12751-12800      Russlenat
12801-12850      Nestade
12851-12900      asu
12901-12950      figmentofmyass
13001-13050      Hhampuz
13051-13100      jokers10
13101-13150      hanspeter77
13151-13200      Captain-Cryptory
13201-13250      Yamifoud *
13251-13300      SFR10
13301-13350      JollyGood
13351-13400      Yatsan
13401-13450      eddie13
13451-13500      Buchi-88
13501-13550      epis11
13551-13600      HI-TEC99
13751-13800      squatter
13951-14000      igor72
14001-14050      klaaas
14151-14200      Unknown01
14201-14250      Hueristic
14351-14400      Debonaire217
14401-14450      mole0815
14451-14500      Koal-84
14501-14550      qwk
14551-14600      Sanitough
14601-14650      Viscore
14651-14700      Lucasgabd
14701-14750      fronti
14751-14800      mirakal
14901-14950      Steamtyme
15001-15050      tranthidung
15151-15200      zasad@
15201-15250      TryNinja
15251-15300      stadus
16201-16250      plvbob0070
16301-16350      Alai19 *
16351-16400      xhomerx10
16401-16450      finaleshot2016
16501-16550      PoolMinor
16601-16650      SwayStar123
16801-16850      yefi
16851-16900      Vaculin
17001-17050      Paashaas
17451-17500      friends1980
17501-17550      minerjones
17801-17850      HBKMusiK
17951-18000      DdmrDdmr
18801-18850      Wind_FURY
18851-18900      rdluffy
19501-19550      MishaMuc
19651-19700      posi
20001-20050      ChefImGartenPavillion
21951-22000      bitcoinPsycho *
22501-22550      Bitcoinaire
22551-22600      bkbirge
23201-23250      pressnegl
23501-23550      Hyperjacked
24501-24550      VB1001
25001-25050      fillippone *
28501-28550      Smartprofit
34001-34050      smartcomet
37001-37050      StartupAnalyst


Updated


List is closed   Goodluck to all the participants!!!!!!!

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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pressnegl
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January 10, 2020, 01:15:38 PM
 #382

Participants list GL
snip
Updated


List is closed   Goodluck to all the participants!!!!!!!

I wish you all an income!! Little bitcoin, we're rooting for you! Cheesy
Mic El duderino_ thank you for making my life a little more interesting! Wink
hosseinimr93
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January 10, 2020, 01:41:40 PM
Merited by TMAN (18), El duderino_ (5), pawel7777 (2), JayJuanGee (1), bitserve (1), Dunkelheit667 (1), brobbel (1), iasenko (1), pressnegl (1)
 #383

Here is final list of participants with links to posts they have made.
Winning price range is range of price which makes a user winner. (This range can be bigger than 50 dollar.)

____________________________________________________________
Selected price rangeParticipantsWinning price range
____________________________________________________________
3101-3150Yaplatu0-3150
3151-3200KTChampions *3151-3325
3451-3500Eduarop3326-3950
4401-4450rdbase3951-4450
4451-4500MagicByt34451-4775
5051-5100fabiorem4776-5125
5151-5200sgbett *5126-5325
5451-5500cabalism135326-5550
5601-5650Asuspawer095551-5700
5751-5800Mallyx5701-5800
5801-5850makrospex5801-5875
5901-5950Mbitr5876-5950
5951-6000Snork19795951-6000
6001-6050tyKiwanuka *6001-6050
6051-6100tweetious6051-6125
6151-6200 bakasabo6126-6200
6201-6250dothebeats *6201-6250
6251-6300Heisenberg_Hunter *6251-6300
6301-6350Spray. * (A previous winner)6301-6350
6351-6400DoublerHunter6351-6400
6401-6450Saint-loup6401-6450
6451-6500Icygreen *6451-6500
6501-6550haloxon6501-6550
6551-6600Majormax *6551-6600
6601-6650bitebits (A previous winner)6601-6650
6651-6700Corrosive6651-6700
6701-6750Polar916701-6750
6751-6800theymos *6751-6800
6801-6850bbc.reporter *6801-6850
6851-6900ChuckBuck6851-6900
6901-6950Biodom6901-6950
6951-7000Last of the V8s6951-7000
7001-7050tvplus0067001-7050
7051-7100sirazimuth (A previous winner)7051-7100
7101-7150GazetaBitcoin7101-7150
7151-7200unsoindovo7151-7200
7201-7250hosseinimr93 *7201-7250
7251-7300wheelz12007251-7300
7301-7350dragonvslinux *7301-7350
7351-7400Cryptotourist7351-7400
7401-7450android177401-7450
7451-7500bct_ail7451-7500
7501-7550iasenko7501-7550
7551-7600xyz7551-7600
7601-7650sheenshane7601-7650
7651-77007jaka77651-7700
7701-7750Lauda7701-7750
7751-7800ezeminer *7751-7800
7801-7850Globb0 * (A previous winner)7801-7850
7851-7900teeGUMES7851-7900
7901-7950tg887901-7950
7951-8000leea-1334 *7951-8000
8001-8050HairyMaclairy *8001-8050
8051-8100wachtwoord8051-8100
8101-8150brobbel8101-8150
8151-8200gentlemand (A previous winner)8151-8200
8201-8250Ryker18201-8250
8251-8300JSRAW8251-8300
8301-8350marlboroza8301-8350
8351-8400efialtis8351-8400
8401-8450TopTort7778401-8450
8451-8500madnessteat8451-8500
8501-8550pawel77778501-8550
8551-8600kurious *8551-8600
8601-8650oscar2000 *8601-8650
8651-8700mindrust8651-8700
8701-8750Phil_S *8701-8750
8751-8800abel13378751-8800
8801-8850malevolent *8801-8850
8851-8900mu_enrico8851-8900
8901-8950stompix8901-8950
8951-9000Mitchell8951-9000
9001-9050Dunkelheit667 *9001-9050
9051-9100actmyname9051-9100
9101-9150Olegya1999101-9150
9151-9200somac.9151-9200
9201-9250psycodad9201-9250
9251-9300Tytanowy Janusz9251-9300
9301-9350hatshepsut93 *9301-9350
9351-9400BobLawblaw9351-9400
9401-9450Febo9401-9450
9451-9500buwaytress *9451-9500
9501-9550FutureBitcoin9501-9550
9551-9600Vispilio9551-9600
9601-96501miau9601-9650
9651-9700DragonDance9651-9700
9701-9750JimboToronto *9701-9750
9751-9800AlcoHoDL9751-9800
9801-9850wwzsocki 9801-9850
9851-9900thisisntbic9851-9900
9901-9950DeathAngel9901-9950
9951-10000GrosWesh9951-10000
10001-10050jojo6910001-10050
10051-10100BitcoinGirl.Club10051-10100
10101-10150Lanatsa10101-10150
10151-10200krogothmanhattan10151-10200
10201-10250vapourminer10201-10250
10251-10300JanEmil10251-10300
10301-10350BitcoinPenny10301-10350
10351-10400cryptobaboon10351-10400
10401-10450RapTarX10401-10450
10451-10500ivomm *10451-10500
10501-10550DireWolfM1410501-10550
10551-10600F2b10551-10600
10601-10650hacker100110100110601-10650
10651-10700LoyceV *10651-10700
10701-10750xLays10701-10750
10751-10800d_eddie10751-10800
10801-10850SPQRCoin10801-10850
10851-10900akhjob10851-10900
10901-10950Dabs10901-10950
10951-11000wh1rlw1nd *10951-11000
11001-11050RaspoBTC11001-11050
11051-11100Swordsoffreedom *11051-11100
11101-11150slaman29 *11101-11150
11151-11200Searing11151-11200
11201-11250FontSeli11201-11250
11251-11300LFC_Bitcoin11251-11300
11301-11350Real-Duke11301-11350
11351-11400geophphreigh11351-11400
11401-11450Sat0shisGhost11401-11450
11451-11500bitmover11451-11500
11501-11550LUCKMCFLY *11501-11550
11551-11600alegotardo11551-11600
11601-11650STT *11601-11650
11651-11700bitserve11651-11700
11701-11750johhnyUA *11701-11750
11751-11800xenon13111751-11800
11801-11850freedomgo11801-11850
11851-11900Kasabus11851-11900
11901-11950P_Shep11901-11950
11951-12000WhiteManWhite11951-12000
12001-12050Stedsm12001-12050
12051-12100Soonandwaite12051-12100
12101-12150naska2112101-12150
12151-12200gokudera12151-12200
12201-12250Lesbian Cow12201-12250
12251-12300Darker45 *12251-12300
12301-12350o_e_l_e_o12301-12350
12351-12400Lakai0112351-12400
12401-12450NeuroticFish12401-12450
12451-12500cygan12451-12500
12501-12550ChinkyEyes12501-12550
12551-12600Questat12551-12600
12601-12650tokeweed12601-12650
12651-12700exstasie (A previous winner)12651-12700
12701-12750rhomelmabini12701-12750
12751-12800Russlenat12751-12800
12801-12850Nestade12801-12850
12851-12900asu12851-12900
12901-12950figmentofmyass12901-12975
13001-13050Hhampuz12976-13050
13051-13100jokers1013051-13100
13101-13150hanspeter7713101-13150
13151-13200Captain-Cryptory13151-13200
13201-13250Yamifoud *13201-13250
13251-13300SFR1013251-13300
13301-13350JollyGood13301-13350
13351-13400Yatsan13351-13400
13401-13450eddie1313401-13450
13451-13500Buchi-8813451-13500
13501-13550epis1113501-13550
13551-13600HI-TEC9913551-13675
13751-13800squatter13676-13875
13951-14000igor7213876-14000
14001-14050klaaas14001-14100
14151-14200Unknown0114101-14200
14201-14250Hueristic14201-14300
14351-14400Debonaire21714301-14400
14401-14450mole081514401-14450
14451-14500Koal-8414451-14500
14501-14550qwk14501-14550
14551-14600Sanitough14551-14600
14601-14650Viscore14601-14650
14651-14700Lucasgabd14651-14700
14701-14750fronti14701-14750
14751-14800mirakal14751-14850
14901-14950Steamtyme14851-14975
15001-15050tranthidung14976-15100
15151-15200zasad@15101-15200
15201-15250TryNinja15201-15250
15251-15300stadus15251-15750
16201-16250plvbob007015751-16275
16301-16350Alai19 *16276-16350
16351-16400xhomerx1016351-16400
16401-16450finaleshot201616401-16475
16501-16550PoolMinor16476-16575
16601-16650SwayStar12316576-16725
16801-16850yefi16726-16850
16851-16900Vaculin16851-16950
17001-17050Paashaas16951-17250
17451-17500friends198017251-17500
17501-17550minerjones17501-17675
17801-17850HBKMusiK17676-17900
17951-18000DdmrDdmr17901-18400
18801-18850Wind_FURY18401-18850
18851-18900rdluffy18851-19200
19501-19550MishaMuc19201-19600
19651-19700posi19601-19850
20001-20050 ChefImGartenPavillion19851-21000
21951-22000bitcoinPsycho *21001-22250
22501-22550Bitcoinaire22251-22550
22551-22600bkbirge22551-22900
23201-23250pressnegl22901-23375
23501-23550Hyperjacked23376-24025
24501-24550VB100124026-24775
25001-25050fillippone *24776-26775
28501-28550Smartprofit26776-31275
34001-34050smartcomet31276-35525
37001-37050StartupAnalyst35526-
____________________________________________________________



For creating the table, I used 1miau's template.

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January 10, 2020, 02:34:06 PM
 #384

Look's like I am late in the game. Good luck Smiley

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January 10, 2020, 05:25:01 PM
 #385

cool, I'm in!
but also feel that too late.

probability of reaching more than 14,000 USD in the next few months is quite small imho.

let's see.



BIG WINNER!
[15.00000000 BTC]


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hatshepsut93
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January 10, 2020, 05:48:53 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), Buchi-88 (1), exstasie (1), Dunkelheit667 (1), hosseinimr93 (1), dragonvslinux (1)
 #386

As promised, I made a live leaderboard page for this game too, the address is still the same - https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/

I made a small improvement, now the delta column comes with a sign, so you can quickly see how much and in which direction the price should change in order for that user to become #1 on the leaderboard.

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January 10, 2020, 06:50:44 PM
 #387

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad

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January 10, 2020, 08:15:00 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)
 #388

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad


Not true. Check this final list of participants: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5214437.msg53569347#msg53569347
Rules are that your winning range extends if there is a gap in the list before or after you. Lowest prediction is 3101-3150 so there is a gap before and this user gets the entire range 0-3150.
Similarly if there is a gap between two participants, the gap splits and ads to both of them, for example:
Quote
Selected price rangeParticipantsWinning price range
5051-5100fabiorem4776-5125
5151-5200sgbett *5126-5325
Gap from 5101 to 5151 is 50, fabiorem gets 25 added to his range and sgbett gets 25 before his range.

I think this rule was fantastic idea because otherwise we could have a situation when no one wins.

.WOLF.BET.▄███████████▄
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January 10, 2020, 08:34:25 PM
 #389

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad




at zero the prize is also zero

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January 10, 2020, 11:58:45 PM
 #390

^^ simple genius  Shocked
A self defeating prophesy and fairly low probability even the biggest bears I hear say hundreds is fair for BTC (imo just saying that opens up the idea for any price with bad FIAT standards).   Only some ironic humour of the highest calibre only could make zero an outcome worth betting on.   Still the people who bet the giant ranges in theory I have to tip my hat for the best value bet vs chance.   Price really can do anything for any particular day, no qualifier says it has to stay there or any great volume confirms it as true.
   Only a price that sticks over a week or more is the real deal, people talk about 19k but did we stay there for a week (aprox. 3 days) and accumulate volume.  Its a castle in the sky for all it matters in reality; this dude who got the price range: 0-3150 smart af   & 35526- I guess though we all win at that point :p


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Champion thanks

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I'm not the optimist but in case I were to get my price before that day like last try, for reference it started like that.

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El duderino_
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January 11, 2020, 10:18:15 AM
 #391

Brobbel is leading, nice and easy to see THX to hatshepsut93 and he's very useful tool: https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/


Also THX for the amazing list improvement credit to: hosseinimr93/

Muchos gracias for making this game even more fun and nice to follow , only minor point, you guys make me look like a totale n00b ....

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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January 11, 2020, 12:49:49 PM
 #392

Also 209 participants  Shocked

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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January 11, 2020, 03:31:57 PM
 #393

Gl to all 209!
If I'll lose, I wouldn't mind if BTC goes above 20.000$ Smiley

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January 11, 2020, 08:00:00 PM
 #394

We didn't post our bitcoin addresses. Will you contact the winner via private message?

.WOLF.BET.▄███████████▄
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January 11, 2020, 08:45:04 PM
 #395

We didn't post our bitcoin addresses. Will you contact the winner via private message?

When we are at the last days I always write that the winner has to PM me, then all gets settled and I only ask for a post when received....

Already handled some games so I hope some guys can vouch for me that I keep my word Smiley

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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January 11, 2020, 11:47:39 PM
 #396

We didn't post our bitcoin addresses. Will you contact the winner via private message?

When we are at the last days I always write that the winner has to PM me, then all gets settled and I only ask for a post when received....

Already handled some games so I hope some guys can vouch for me that I keep my word Smiley

I surely can. And also many others more trusted and well known users than me.

I would trust you more than I would trust my own mother (literally.. but that's something I don't really want to talk about).

19VBmRQVqrtNTGiwngZutwREagcKxJgVZM
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January 12, 2020, 01:56:51 AM
 #397

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad


Not true. Check this final list of participants: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5214437.msg53569347#msg53569347
Rules are that your winning range extends if there is a gap in the list before or after you. Lowest prediction is 3101-3150 so there is a gap before and this user gets the entire range 0-3150.
Similarly if there is a gap between two participants, the gap splits and ads to both of them, for example:
Quote
Selected price rangeParticipantsWinning price range
5051-5100fabiorem4776-5125
5151-5200sgbett *5126-5325
Gap from 5101 to 5151 is 50, fabiorem gets 25 added to his range and sgbett gets 25 before his range.

I think this rule was fantastic idea because otherwise we could have a situation when no one wins.

 Thanks.  I was merely pointing out the inconsistency  in groupings for future events if they were to occur by the grace of el duderino.
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January 12, 2020, 02:03:11 AM
 #398

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad




at zero the prize is also zero



 Respectfully disagree.  At $0 the prize is still .125 Bitcoin and even if the network is down,  i believe El duderino would provide a paper wallet with those funds - probably already set aside.  I also imagine there will be many WO members collecting as many BTC as possible at that price point.

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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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January 12, 2020, 02:30:20 AM
 #399

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad




at zero the prize is also zero



 Respectfully disagree.  At $0 the prize is still .125 Bitcoin and even if the network is down,  i believe El duderino would provide a paper wallet with those funds - probably already set aside.  I also imagine there will be many WO members collecting as many BTC as possible at that price point.

In other words, we are all fucked if we expect los dude to be saving a paper wallet for such going to zero purposes.

I would say that I don't expect los dude to exit scam for anything above $1k.. but jeez, even $1k would be pushing expectations for any of us BTC HODLers to be paying off promises.. we would all be a bit screwed in those kinds of circumstances.

 I would expect him to exit scam at the zero price, or even anything below $1 (I would not even blame him to exit scam for anything below $100..... fuck that shit.... I am NOT going to be very happy with anything below $1k.. but I expect los dude to pay... hahahahahahaha (double standard)..   

Below $1k would be outrageous, and I might even stop buying BTC at a certain point of down.. and below $1k could be one of those scenarios (depending on context), not sure about what point that would be the stop buying point as I type this emotional reaction.. to your ostentatious "cool, calm and collected."    I would NOT believe that I would be selling, but I might NOT buy at certain points.

I proclaim to be relatively unemotional about BTC investment and even willing to ride it to zero... but still, we have already been through very low triple digits in 2014, 2015, 2016.. (mostly 2015).. been there done that, and even $3ks in late 2018 early 2019 were no cake walk, even though I was somewhat emotionally / financially prepared to get close to $1k or even quickly dipping below.. within the momentum of that price move...   

However, seems that I have been a bit spoiled with the passage of more time, and maybe the Lindy effect is real in terms of how low any of us even consider to be feasibly within outrageous reason, and below certain prices just seems a bit of going too far in the speculation of realistic possibilities..

Hey.. I am even prepared to visit $3,124 again.. but I believe such odds are realistically getting to the below 10% arena, currently... maybe if we were really giving lots of benefit of the doubt to bear scenarios, we might come up with some benefit of the doubt thoughts of odds of 20%ish... perhaps? perhaps?.. but sub $1k.. jeez, those odds must be much below 5%, no?  Maybe even below 2%?  Gotta be some pretty dark and black swan and Armageddon type shit to go below $1k.

Put BTC here: 35EVP8EePt8dyvKHaB7bXaRmKLm22YgRCA

How much alt coin diversification is necessary? if you are investing in Bitcoin, then perhaps 0%?
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January 12, 2020, 10:35:01 AM
 #400

It's not really a big deal but I found a small problem with the ranges we've decided on.

 The very first set should be 1-50 (or 0-49 which would change all other picks too) otherwise whoever chooses that has one extra dollar in their range (0-50 is a $51 range) over everyone else.  On the other hand, if the price is $0 then I guess we all lose anyway...  Sad




at zero the prize is also zero



 Respectfully disagree.  At $0 the prize is still .125 Bitcoin and even if the network is down,  i believe El duderino would provide a paper wallet with those funds - probably already set aside.  I also imagine there will be many WO members collecting as many BTC as possible at that price point.



Oh yeah, buy em all and all that.

Anyway its just a nonsense discussion  Smiley

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