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Author Topic: 1 btc to whoever predicts the high/low for the next 4 hrs starting from 2:53  (Read 2665 times)
ineededausername
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November 18, 2011, 02:55:10 AM
 #1

0253 SMF time (GMT) that is.
Your prediction is scored according to
(abs(actual high - your predicted high) + abs(actual low - your predicted low)) / (time left)^2
edit: Ties broken by (actual high-your predicted high)^2 + (same thing for low)^2
yes, I pulled these formulae out of my ass. Deal with it.

---

My prediction: 2.08 - 2.26

update: Also, 1 BTC bonus for best chart!

(BFL)^2 < 0
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The network tries to produce one block per 10 minutes. It does this by automatically adjusting how difficult it is to produce blocks.
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Crypt_Current
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November 18, 2011, 02:55:49 AM
 #2

high was 2.32, low will be 1.5

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naypalm
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November 18, 2011, 02:57:41 AM
 #3

high: 2.21
low:  1.84

EDIT:



Time   2:53   3:53   4:53   5:53   6:53
High   2.51   2.43   2.25   2.23   2.21
Low   1.99   1.98   2.15   2.01   1.84

1Fc6fH4nmiBbmkvkD7FiXgMPLpzZyDpdhE

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Jonathan Ryan Owens
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November 18, 2011, 03:00:57 AM
 #4

High 2.28
Low 2.04

bittenbob
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November 18, 2011, 03:04:08 AM
 #5

Low 2.14
High 2.51

Wallet address: 1HhW4UYNfVH6ByYoSGnbsuHUhW1u43yq3P

Adjusted to reflect the new 4 hour time window
Dan The Man
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November 18, 2011, 03:05:10 AM
 #6

How long can people guess for?

High-2.28
Low-2.19

17CRiJeKA58Ac6GipJNQWt4yE1V3oXrsy

ineededausername
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November 18, 2011, 03:08:35 AM
 #7

OK sorry, I overlooked that.
The new formula has been adjusted. You can guess for the next four hours.

(BFL)^2 < 0
RyNinDaCleM
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November 18, 2011, 03:19:07 AM
 #8

$2.1499/2.254


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adamstgBit
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November 18, 2011, 03:41:39 AM
 #9

low: 2.200001
high 2.356789

bittenbob
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November 18, 2011, 03:48:28 AM
 #10

Here's my chart. No dollar or time values needed. I call it the double fuck.

btc_artist
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November 18, 2011, 03:52:19 AM
 #11

$2.11 - $2.33

BTC: 1CDCLDBHbAzHyYUkk1wYHPYmrtDZNhk8zf
LTC: LMS7SqZJnqzxo76iDSEua33WCyYZdjaQoE
memvola
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November 18, 2011, 03:54:13 AM
 #12

2.11 - 2.33
Dan The Man
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November 18, 2011, 03:54:45 AM
 #13

you should write everyone's prediction on the first post so they can't change them.

bittenbob
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November 18, 2011, 03:57:03 AM
 #14

you should write everyone's prediction on the first post so they can't change them.
Yup quote them just like this:

2.11 - 2.33

$2.11 - $2.33

low: 2.200001
high 2.356789

$2.1499/2.254


1Au1zBioqvUxvKaZKLQZL2kB88spDFqoo

How long can people guess for?

High-2.40
Low-2.19

17CRiJeKA58Ac6GipJNQWt4yE1V3oXrsy


Low 2.14
High 2.51

Wallet address: 1HhW4UYNfVH6ByYoSGnbsuHUhW1u43yq3P

Adjusted to reflect the new 4 hour time window

High 2.28
Low 2.04

high: 2.21
low:  1.84

EDIT:



Time   2:53   3:53   4:53   5:53   6:53
High   2.51   2.43   2.25   2.23   2.21
Low   1.99   1.98   2.15   2.01   1.84

1Fc6fH4nmiBbmkvkD7FiXgMPLpzZyDpdhE

high was 2.32, low will be 1.5
btc_artist
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November 18, 2011, 04:00:04 AM
 #15

2.11 - 2.33
Hey, you copied me! :p

BTC: 1CDCLDBHbAzHyYUkk1wYHPYmrtDZNhk8zf
LTC: LMS7SqZJnqzxo76iDSEua33WCyYZdjaQoE
Dan The Man
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November 18, 2011, 04:02:45 AM
 #16

I just saw the new time window. I changed my high price to 2.28 to reflect that.

Dan The Man
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November 18, 2011, 04:04:20 AM
 #17

Low 2.81
High 1.77

You forgot to quote yourself

bittenbob
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November 18, 2011, 04:06:23 AM
 #18

wouldnt have been appropriate to quote myself because then i could change both quotes. Thanks for quoting me.
btc_artist
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November 18, 2011, 04:06:31 AM
 #19

Can we guess multiple times?

BTC: 1CDCLDBHbAzHyYUkk1wYHPYmrtDZNhk8zf
LTC: LMS7SqZJnqzxo76iDSEua33WCyYZdjaQoE
ineededausername
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November 18, 2011, 04:08:31 AM
 #20

Can we guess multiple times?

Sure, but don't edit your post.

(BFL)^2 < 0
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