Bitcoin Forum
May 06, 2024, 06:24:24 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1] 2 »  All
  Print  
Author Topic: It's quiet... *too* quiet!  (Read 3037 times)
trogdorjw73 (OP)
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 482
Merit: 500


View Profile WWW
November 22, 2011, 09:18:30 PM
 #1

So, we've had since about 5AM GMT on Nov. 20 with no super large sell or buy orders, leaving us in a lull of activity while we all wait (and hedge our bets) on the next big move. Up or down, that's the question. A single 10K BTC sell could drop us to $2.19 or so, while a 10K BTC buy would bump us up to $2.40, so not very large movements. 20K BTC would extend the range to $2.15 and $2.47, and 30K would give us $2.12 and $2.59. Of course, that's only if we had a single giant sell/buy order, as a bunch of smaller orders would quickly trigger bots to rearrange the walls. If we follow last month's pattern, we'll have a slow upward trend for the next couple of weeks, but who knows what will happen over the holidays -- any guesses?

1714976664
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714976664

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714976664
Reply with quote  #2

1714976664
Report to moderator
1714976664
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714976664

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714976664
Reply with quote  #2

1714976664
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1714976664
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714976664

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714976664
Reply with quote  #2

1714976664
Report to moderator
1714976664
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714976664

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714976664
Reply with quote  #2

1714976664
Report to moderator
PatrickHarnett
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
November 22, 2011, 10:31:18 PM
 #2

wait
Jonathan Ryan Owens
Donator
Sr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 252



View Profile WWW
November 22, 2011, 10:34:25 PM
 #3

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

ElectricMucus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057


Marketing manager - GO MP


View Profile WWW
November 22, 2011, 10:48:15 PM
 #4

What I know of candlestick patterns the rally should be over now and it should go down from here. (Multiple dojis at resistance level)

On the other hand they haven't been very reliable lately.
My other indicators (Aroon Down is spiking while heads downwards goes down) suggests that the bears have taken over at least temporarily but the bulls could get back in the race with a few consecutive buys. The bulls hope is that the bears overdo it again we will move out of the Bollinger Band bounce back in and continue the upwards movement. However if there is a sustained downwards move for over an hour the price would back to 2.2.

A crash is possible in any scenario, it all depends on "The manipulators"

I am liquidating part of my short position as long it is profitable to reduce the risk since I know the sentimental bulls can be quite resentful, just in case they really have enough funds to attempt a short squeeze. Stinks but security goes before profit.
StewartJ
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 250



View Profile
November 22, 2011, 11:01:40 PM
 #5

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ
BTCurious
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 714
Merit: 504


^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.


View Profile
November 22, 2011, 11:27:57 PM
 #6

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ
Yup.
Or not.

PatrickHarnett
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 12:03:12 AM
 #7

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ

shhhh

btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 
StewartJ
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 250



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 12:08:22 AM
 #8

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ

shhhh


btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

Nudge nudge, wink wink...


If there are more bids than bitcoins, than it's like the silver market, way more paper than actual physical.

I guess I need to be holding "physical" bitcoin....
ElectricMucus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057


Marketing manager - GO MP


View Profile WWW
November 23, 2011, 12:10:50 AM
 #9

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ

shhhh

btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

Which doesn't mean that they gonna stay there...  and that was the case probably when the price was at 20 also... To this comes people tend to sell at a loss if they don't believe in the fundamentals.
cbeast
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1736
Merit: 1006

Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.


View Profile
November 23, 2011, 12:11:30 AM
 #10


It's quiet... *too* quiet!

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
Jonathan Ryan Owens
Donator
Sr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 252



View Profile WWW
November 23, 2011, 12:30:55 AM
 #11

wait

Just a few thousand more BTC depth from 2.15 - 2.30 to go..

I see on the Gox Depth Table, a 10K bid at $2.10 and an 8K bid at $2.15.

Do these prices look to be the new lows for a while?

SJ

shhhh

btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

Which doesn't mean that they gonna stay there...  and that was the case probably when the price was at 20 also... To this comes people tend to sell at a loss if they don't believe in the fundamentals.

What fundamentals?


ElectricMucus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057


Marketing manager - GO MP


View Profile WWW
November 23, 2011, 12:33:33 AM
 #12

Demand to use it for barter?
proudhon
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 01:14:17 AM
 #13

btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

I think the more relevant bit of information is that there is currently about $600,000 in bids.  There is, undoubtedly, more money than that sitting in MtGox, but that's all that we can see.  Even if there's twice that in MtGox, that isn't that much.  If twice the visible cash were to instantly advance on the supply, then the price would go to just about half the all time high. 

Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
PatrickHarnett
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 518
Merit: 500



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 01:54:56 AM
 #14

btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

I think the more relevant bit of information is that there is currently about $600,000 in bids.  There is, undoubtedly, more money than that sitting in MtGox, but that's all that we can see.  Even if there's twice that in MtGox, that isn't that much.  If twice the visible cash were to instantly advance on the supply, then the price would go to just about half the all time high. 

A million (USD1M) would clean out the offers up to $13.30 on Gox, but there is only 264,000 coins for sale there and could all be had for just $3M.

back to waiting now . . . . . . . . . . . .
FreeMoney
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1246
Merit: 1014


Strength in numbers


View Profile WWW
November 23, 2011, 04:05:36 AM
 #15


shhhh


btw - on the GOX depth table, there are more bids than coins in existence, or that will ever be in existence (total = 27 million bid) 

Nudge nudge, wink wink...


If there are more bids than bitcoins, than it's like the silver market, way more paper than actual physical.

I guess I need to be holding "physical" bitcoin....

No, it doesn't mean that at all. If two people offer to buy my one of a kind time traveling Volkswagen it doesn't mean there is a paper Volkswagen.

Play Bitcoin Poker at sealswithclubs.eu. We're active and open to everyone.
Cluster2k
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 06:11:25 AM
 #16

It's actually quite nice when the price isn't falling 5 or 10% within a few minutes.  Some of the crazy trading action in recent weeks has been triggered by Bitcoinica.  While speculators profit everyone else who wants to use bitcoin for something useful (they do exist, somewhere) are hurt by the massive volatility.
bb113
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 728
Merit: 500


View Profile
November 23, 2011, 06:20:18 AM
 #17

Market volatility should be driving innovation, not disregarded as "bad". Volatility may be the future that western civ is headed towards, whether bitcoins become widely used or not. If your business can handle bitcoin it can handle anything.
Cluster2k
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 10:40:02 AM
 #18

Market volatility should be driving innovation, not disregarded as "bad". Volatility may be the future that western civ is headed towards, whether bitcoins become widely used or not. If your business can handle bitcoin it can handle anything.

Merchants usually don't like to receive $10 for their sale... make that $9.50 a minute later.  No, $8.50 5 minutes later.  Oh look, it's up to $11.  No, back to $8.50 again.  It's fun for speculators but not for people who want to know how much money they are getting, one minute to the next.  For the foreseeable future bitcoin is directly tied into the value of other currencies.

A business doesn't have to handle bitcoin at all to be successful (well, unless it's Silk Road).
Vandroiy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002


View Profile
November 23, 2011, 12:04:25 PM
 #19

It's funny that, just now, this thread was followed by the "EVERYBODY CALM DOWN" thread.

It's just never right, eh? Grin
StewartJ
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 250



View Profile
November 23, 2011, 04:29:17 PM
 #20

Going back to the theme of it's too quiet, I have noticed the BTC price chart for the last week where everything seems quite steady.

There are no precipitous drops, a good point of resistance in the $2.20 range, gradual 5% to 10% increase over a few days, a bit of a gradual sell off, and then it repeats.

I know this can change any time, especially with manipulator intervention, but isn't this nice, for now??

SJ
Pages: [1] 2 »  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!