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Author Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting?  (Read 1943 times)
kryptqnick (OP)
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September 13, 2020, 09:13:22 AM
 #1

Greetings! When I started betting on various events, I kept putting money on the options that were offering high payout but, naturally, weren't that likely to come true. I kept losing, so I decided to go for a radical change: betting only when the winner is pretty obvious and the payout is low but more or less secured. I won a few bets in a row like that, but my question is whether you'd consider it a good strategy for sports betting. I'm talking about bets for which the odds are 1.15 or something like that. Here're some bets I won like this:


Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

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September 13, 2020, 09:24:42 AM
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 #2

No, they are not safe Smiley For beginners or not so advanced betting people, I would even recommend to not go with this strategy, since the bookmakers/markets tend to put more value into the higher odds, because a lot of people do actually play these small odds. So the less value they put there, the better for the bookmaker longterm. When a team like Liverpool, Kansas City, Barcelona lose, this is always payday for bookmakers. And these <1.20 bets lose more often than you would think Wink

But you can find value in all odds, can be 1.01 or 1000, it's just harder to spot the value in these low odds for beginners.

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September 13, 2020, 11:18:39 AM
 #3

Greetings! When I started betting on various events, I kept putting money on the options that were offering high payout but, naturally, weren't that likely to come true. I kept losing, so I decided to go for a radical change: betting only when the winner is pretty obvious and the payout is low but more or less secured. I won a few bets in a row like that, but my question is whether you'd consider it a good strategy for sports betting. I'm talking about bets for which the odds are 1.15 or something like that. Here're some bets I won like this:

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

This might be safe for short term but in the long run you will lose your money because there will be matches where the favorite team will lose and hence you will lose the money.
As as example, you keep betting 100$ on these safe bets and earn 5$-15$ per bet. Lets suppose you won consecutive 5 bets and won 25 dollars but lost the next match and lose your 100$.

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September 13, 2020, 11:24:03 AM
 #4

Greetings! When I started betting on various events, I kept putting money on the options that were offering high payout but, naturally, weren't that likely to come true. I kept losing, so I decided to go for a radical change: betting only when the winner is pretty obvious and the payout is low but more or less secured. I won a few bets in a row like that, but my question is whether you'd consider it a good strategy for sports betting. I'm talking about bets for which the odds are 1.15 or something like that. Here're some bets I won like this:

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

This might be safe for short term but in the long run you will lose your money because there will be matches where the favorite team will lose and hence you will lose the money.
As as example, you keep betting 100$ on these safe bets and earn 5$-15$ per bet. Lets suppose you won consecutive 5 bets and won 25 dollars but lost the next match and lose your 100$.



Yes, this is correct as there are matches which in the ends changes its course completely and other team wins it. So, in such cases you might lose the bet. So, one can mix of both like certain percentage you can bet on this type and remaining it can be done with better odds so that you can take advantage of both.

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September 13, 2020, 11:30:32 AM
 #5

Safe bets does not excess in sports betting, every bet you'll make regardless of the odds are always risky. Man, I'm done with that experiment and I tell you it does not work on my end, what strategy I'm using now which is I am comfortable is betting on odds 1.90 and above.

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September 13, 2020, 11:42:49 AM
 #6

Lower odds means high chance of winning however I don't think it's a safe to bet on low odds since there's still a chance that they will still lose about the long term not quite sure if it does work I think proper analysis is still the safest way to bet in sports betting.

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September 13, 2020, 11:48:32 AM
 #7

Safe is not even the right term for betting on any gambling platforms, because mostly you will lose your money as an outcome, and if your reason in betting is to have some fun, well that's not the fun you are really looking for. I know that it's not my place to say this since it's your money, but you could acquire the happiness that gambling gives you in another way in which you don't have to lose your money mostly.

Finding your passion is the key, and just a disclaimer, gambling isn't bad as long as you have a limitation for yourself, that way, you won't lose all of your money while seeking a temporary happiness.

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September 13, 2020, 12:01:13 PM
 #8

Don't gamble if you think of safety as you can never have that safety.

Try betting on odds that has the highest chance of winning which is 1.01, and tell me if you will not lose at least one game in 100 tries.
Every odds has corresponding chances of winning, oddsmaker would not just imagine the odds without basis, and they always serve the interest of the sportsbook with the odds they provide so most likely they will win more than they lose.

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September 13, 2020, 12:16:34 PM
 #9

Your stakes are quite huge and it is really radical as you call it but then yes. Odds within that range of 1.10 - 1.20 are often that promising and seems of little or no risk. It's very unlikely for games to change in that aspect but then, it's always best to put the team in consideration first, the time on the clock and the difference as to scores on the score board. Once those criteria can be satisfied to be drastically distinct, it's more likely to always turn out in your favour.
No doubt, the referee can be a factor in cousins certain miracles on the field of play by calling some surprising and amazing shots but then, it's only on very rear cases.
Even with that, apply caution.

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September 13, 2020, 12:26:45 PM
 #10

Lower odds means high chance of winning however I don't think it's a safe to bet on low odds since there's still a chance that they will still lose about the long term not quite sure if it does work I think proper analysis is still the safest way to bet in sports betting.

Betting on the basis of odds only is wrong.

If you think lower odds gives better chance of winning, then that is wrong, there are odds that are overvalued and undervalued, you need to determine that in order to find the best odds and the best winning chances at the same time, if you are familiar with the term "trap" in gambling, you'll understand what I mean.  Actually, in order for you to prove if what you thought would work, better start experimenting and start with a small amount.

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September 13, 2020, 12:52:27 PM
 #11

Odds are all about risks and rewards. The gambling operator are not betting on win or loss or anything would happen or not but are actually matching people with different opinion and taking a commission on the process. Gambling odds are determine by the user and the amount they gamble with. The lower odds means large number of people believe the team or person would win, that defines a confidence. But going low risk would yield you less and for a 1.01 odds, you need to be right 101 times without being wrong to make 0.01 profit.
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September 13, 2020, 12:54:26 PM
 #12

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

I won't normally go for bets with as low odds as 1.10 or 1.20. For me, they are not worth it. It would be much better if you parlay 3-5 bets with these very low odds.

It would take more or less 10 wins for you to be able to win the same amount that you bet. And even a single loss is deep enough that you end up trying to recover your losses for a long while. Unfortunately, upsets in sports are not that unusual.

It is like playing dice with 90% winning chance vs. 10% winning chance. I prefer the latter.

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FlightyPouch
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September 13, 2020, 01:15:39 PM
 #13

I don't prefer these, maybe 1.40 I could hardly accept but 1.10 to 1.2 seems a little low. Some might say that it could be a sure win but still, the percentage of your loss is not 0. Safe? Yes, worth it? For me, no. As a beginner, I wasn't picky so I usually bet on these since I always win but when I lost one time, it just stings because I won a lot and lost once but that one loss is higher than my consecutive wins.

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RapTarX
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September 13, 2020, 02:36:27 PM
 #14

In cricket, I have seen people to lose with odd of 1.06; it's England vs Srilanka match in last cricket world cup and for your info, England was the champion in that edition. Therefore, you can never have sure bet. While it's good to bet on team with lower odds who are unlikely to lose but sometimes, with different team combination or some other factors, result can be different. For instance; we have seen in UCL, Mancity to lose against Lyon. Mancity was hot favorite and supposed to be reached in Final as well but lost the match. I wouldn't say it's a good strategy but yeah, it can be good start for new gamblers.

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September 13, 2020, 04:49:20 PM
 #15

Not quite sure if it's safe just imagine this thing there's a chance that you might be losing 2x in a row in a long term and you bet 0.0005 for each bet so you lose 0.001 while if you one you only earn 0.0001 profit from 1.2 odds it's risky for me also i don't really think there's a safe bets in sports betting. Once you placed your bet you are already at risk of losing it.
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September 13, 2020, 05:04:22 PM
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My strategy is to know first the participants of the said sports that I will be betting. From that you can have your assumption what might be the most possible result, but it's not guaranteed since we can't control how they play, we just watch and bet.
Tho, with your odd, that's quite safe I guess since it's low. And ofcourse the reward from your odd is low. Better to bet on those person/team that you think has a better chance of winning.
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September 13, 2020, 05:31:17 PM
 #17

I have done it several times, and I can say that 1.1x is still an unsafe odds.
I usually pick mix parlay with that kind of odds until I got 2x of odds.
But still, even 1.05x is not a safe odds. It surely depends on the league and team itself.
You cant blindly pick 1.1x odds for a league or team from out of nowhere.
Dont be easily to be tricked with odds Sad
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September 13, 2020, 05:37:49 PM
 #18

There is no safe bets, but there are bets safer bets.
For example if you are betting on winner on game you can have 33.33% for in as it can be home win, draw or away win.
If you play Asian handicap 0 for example you will get back your stake if game end up as draw.
Or if you play double chance 1X you have 50% to win.

Odds with super low odds like 1.1 when there are 3 outcomes for match, are not good as you can lead to serious loss of money.

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September 13, 2020, 05:43:41 PM
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Somehow I find it safer than betting on higher odds and expect an upset when it rarely happen. You may win big with 1.40 odd but it also mean that the other team has the chance to win which you will actually lose it all.

I'd find it safer if the sport is basketball since you can definitely see the skills of the top 5 players of both team say Lakers or Clippiers. It wouldn't be safer if both teams almost have same records and both have great players.
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September 13, 2020, 06:13:25 PM
 #20

The greater the odds the higher stakes you can win however there is least chance of you winning that odd. Is there any safe bets? YES, when odds are low that means that the game might go fair enough or a close game, either of them can win in that case. But still it depends on the composing team, as we know all players have different moods in the game, even Lebron can just score a single digit in a game with 48 minute appearance. I'd say comfort bet is safer.
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