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Author Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting?  (Read 1943 times)
swogerino
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September 14, 2020, 06:53:21 AM
 #41

I remember that this is exactly what a tipping service which I was part for a month were doing.They always choose 3-4 events and their total odd was about 1.75-1.9 daily.Although that month I was part of them I won the other month I saw their history which was red.That means safe bets do not exist in sport betting.

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imstillthebest
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September 14, 2020, 07:58:38 AM
 #42

I remember that this is exactly what a tipping service which I was part for a month were doing.They always choose 3-4 events and their total odd was about 1.75-1.9 daily.Although that month I was part of them I won the other month I saw their history which was red.That means safe bets do not exist in sport betting.

but you arent included on those lost bets ? good for you if you arent , that means luck is still in your side  . the reason why they choose low odds its because they can increase thier win chance, they need that as a tipping service because thats the only way that they prove that they are really working as when compare to when they choose higher odds  .  loosing is fine because it would also be impossible if they will only claim that they dont have a history of losses 
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September 14, 2020, 08:03:10 AM
 #43

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
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September 14, 2020, 08:46:43 AM
 #44

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
Yeah even in NBA sports clearly that there are games like being thrown and base on my observation during the first series of playoff lakers vs. trail blazers letting the trailblazers win in the first game. I was having questions to myself why it did happen when clearly that Lakers is a strong team and has advantage winning over it. The next round of playoffs still happen the same when they were being beaten by their first game with houston rockets and now came out to be winning in the playoff and waiting for the their next match between the winners of clippers vs. nuggets.
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September 14, 2020, 09:00:33 AM
 #45

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
well I totally agree with what you say but to be able to overcome the risks that can occur with athletes and the matches that are starting then maybe you can use other ways such as resetting the match schedule and I don't think it's possible to do the money that has been used by the regulator the course of the match.

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September 14, 2020, 09:29:57 AM
 #46

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. 
I think all of the gamblers know about this, no one any of kind of gambling/bet give a 100% safe, all based on prediction. May some of the sport betting needs analysis before taking a place, but this is still same as another betting, will be have a win & lose results. as you say:

There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams.

It's mean, we need to makes our position as safe as we can before take a place, sports also give some surprise in results, so don't just take a place because of name of the clubs, see what happens with Barcelona in the week 37 la liga last season, when they are lose 2-1 vs Osasuna. In paper Osasuna far behind Barcelona, but they can beat Barcelona in last minutes.

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September 14, 2020, 09:52:11 AM
 #47

There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams.

It's mean, we need to makes our position as safe as we can before take a place, sports also give some surprise in results, so don't just take a place because of name of the clubs, see what happens with Barcelona in the week 37 la liga last season, when they are lose 2-1 vs Osasuna. In paper Osasuna far behind Barcelona, but they can beat Barcelona in last minutes.

I've tried gambling making last minute bets. I've placed bets on exact score by the game end and bets on a winner. My tactics was - wait till there are 5 or less minutes in football match or period, place a quick bet with 1.01-1.10 odds. Such strategy lasted for 2-3 evenings and I've tried it for 15 times. I've managed to lose even placing a bet with 1.01 odds which I thought are extremely safe. I was getting very tired refreshing and scrolling my phone, searching for a game to place bet. Then you place a bet, wait, repeat, win few bucks in a day and lose because someone scored on 90+4 minute Cheesy

Personally, there are no safe bets in sports.

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September 14, 2020, 10:00:10 AM
 #48

Looks like safe bets to me, assuming you aren't gambling with your funds or betting what you can't afford to lose. 
It's important to keep improving & learning to bet on matches while betting with small amounts. This should allow you to learn and succeed without fear. If you become consistently profitable for abit long, you can start increasing your bets.
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September 14, 2020, 10:10:05 AM
 #49

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.

That's much safer place to bet but not guaranteed since there some situation that even a good team can lose a game.

By the way OP it's a gambling you need to understand that there are always risk to lose when you are betting and there are no 100% sure win when the game started just take it and bet for the team you think will win.

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September 14, 2020, 11:06:45 AM
 #50

Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.

For me I mean this is my opinion of the said matter. Only good sports betting is the government sponsored sports betting. As long as the games are regulated and sponsored by the government then it is the real deal. Your bets should have a higher chance of being safe. Why do I think this way? Simple, government has been regulating lotteries and other legal gambling schemes for a long time. Private betting can also be safe, as long as it is already established and well known.

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September 14, 2020, 11:28:39 AM
 #51

I like to bet on live games, and usually I bet on small odds, and believe it or not at 1.05 odd,  2 : 0 for the home 30 minutes until the end and I lose the bet with 2:2 in the end! Isn't that funny? I usually win, but when you lose couple big bets on small odds you -ev. So your question:

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

They are not safe as they seem, but I am going for this strategy anyway! What I learned is that making single bets can be safer than making parlay with more picks with low odds, one of them will sell you for sure, more picks more risks! Single bets are safer in general, but I can't resist to make parlay bet here and there, trying to make higher odds and place some lower bets and to hope for the best!

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September 14, 2020, 12:43:20 PM
 #52

That's some really low bets, your strategy is good, but the leverage your putting in is not quite enough. If you want some profit you should bet more, but there's no problem betting with that amount. If, what you're after is fun and enjoyment, but if you want to make some money, you need to raise to actually make profit. This is not financial advice, in the end it's your money.

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September 14, 2020, 01:44:05 PM
 #53

Safe bets are those where you are guaranteed to win. AFAIK these exist only in certain circumstances such as free introductory offers, where you can take up multiple free offers and bet both sides in a two-way contest.

If we are talking about increasing your chances of winning, this is all determined by you being able to predict more accurate odds than the bookmaker can, and for your calculation to more than offset the house edge.

As a simple example, if a bookmaker offers 5/1 on team A winning, then they are basing this on a calculation that the reality is 6/1, and then adding their own percentage gain so that they make profit. What you need to do is to find something like this where your calculation of team A winning is better than 5/1. Basically it's not enough to simply predict better than the bookmaker does, you have to predict sufficiently better than you also overcome their edge... a bit like overcoming the bid/ask spread in crypto trading.






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September 14, 2020, 01:56:02 PM
 #54

Yes, you always consider that.
The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.

Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports.  Grin But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet.
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September 14, 2020, 02:09:44 PM
 #55

Yes, you always consider that.
The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.

Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports.  Grin But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet.
and if you know the team or player that you are betting with.

There are some bettors here that i have read in whos successful in their sportsbetting activities because of familiarization in teams and players.

and also the opponent in which they can analyze what will be the scores or the winners.









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September 14, 2020, 02:12:39 PM
 #56

No bet can be considered safe in the sports betting world. A 1.01 bet can also fail and I have seen it happen many times. Also, many people forget to factor in the juice when placing bets due to which they lose out on value bets quite often.

The only safe betting style possible is arbitrage betting, but it has its own downsides like bookmaker limitations, account closure etc.

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September 14, 2020, 02:54:43 PM
 #57

I don't believe there are safe bets in sports betting, even the outcome odds are 1.18, which has a big chance of winning.
It cannot be called safe, because in sports betting there are often surprises. Often happen strong teams lose against weak teams.
This means that in sports betting, luck still plays a very important role.

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September 14, 2020, 03:46:30 PM
 #58

There is nothing safe in any kind of betting and sports betting isn't exception, risks are always present. Unless you play on arranged and fixed matches and that is illegal. No play you choose can't guarantee the winning only.

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September 14, 2020, 04:01:59 PM
 #59

Mostly of us experience of losing money in betting in a game. In my opinion, if there’s really safe betting many gambler win everytime. A safe bet at first but in the long run it may lose your money. Let's take it from the experts that there's no safe bets and still luck is important to win the game.
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September 14, 2020, 08:45:12 PM
 #60

If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

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