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Author Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting?  (Read 1943 times)
Quidat
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October 02, 2020, 08:22:56 PM
 #121

Through my experience I've found out that small odds does not mean a safer event. Sometimes it is quite the opposite. You end up taking more risk for a measly reward. For example, on a $100 bet on a 1.15 odds event you would only get $15, but the real odd should have been around 1.50 (there are techniques out there to determine the fair odds). So you are actually betting on a high-risk event for a measly reward.
It depends into someone because there are people who wont consider on betting on 1.15 and just stick out on 1.5x onwards.It isnt really that worth to risk out for a
really very small amount of profit but since these odds been set out will surely most likely to win.Some say that it isnt worth but there are really people who do
dive into this kind of odds but i agree that it isnt really that worth from time to time.Winning 7 games of 1.15 odds would really be just sweep out with a single loss.
On my part im not really a fan into these numbers.I do set out 1.7 or higher and thats the time i do consider on betting on it.

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October 02, 2020, 10:01:20 PM
 #122

Through my experience I've found out that small odds does not mean a safer event. Sometimes it is quite the opposite. You end up taking more risk for a measly reward. For example, on a $100 bet on a 1.15 odds event you would only get $15, but the real odd should have been around 1.50 (there are techniques out there to determine the fair odds). So you are actually betting on a high-risk event for a measly reward.
It depends into someone because there are people who wont consider on betting on 1.15 and just stick out on 1.5x onwards.It isnt really that worth to risk out for a
really very small amount of profit but since these odds been set out will surely most likely to win.Some say that it isnt worth but there are really people who do
dive into this kind of odds but i agree that it isnt really that worth from time to time.Winning 7 games of 1.15 odds would really be just sweep out with a single loss.
On my part im not really a fan into these numbers.I do set out 1.7 or higher and thats the time i do consider on betting on it.

Betting on small odds is sometimes really waste of effort and time. But there are gamblers who are sticking to lower odds if they believe that they have higher chance of winning. It really depends on the game they are playing. If they are confident that they can win betting on this very low odd and not only once but many times, maybe for them, it is worth their time. So this is actually depends on the player's preference in sports betting. Everyone has their own strategy to earn from this game. But yes, not all of them (betting on low odds) can be considered a safe bet.
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October 03, 2020, 02:40:37 AM
 #123

Betting on small odds is sometimes really waste of effort and time. But there are gamblers who are sticking to lower odds if they believe that they have higher chance of winning. It really depends on the game they are playing. If they are confident that they can win betting on this very low odd and not only once but many times, maybe for them, it is worth their time. So this is actually depends on the player's preference in sports betting. Everyone has their own strategy to earn from this game. But yes, not all of them (betting on low odds) can be considered a safe bet.
I do not think that a good betting pool would be those who have high odds and low adds. The best betting pool would to which the betting would be 50/50 chance of winning and that would divide the betters on their choice. If we are going to take an example of the current Game Miami and Lakers of course many will going to bet on Lakers because they had shown great performance and has high chance to win against Miami and the reward since Miami will be in high Odds of winning the pool will definitely be small enough for Miami and if Lakers will win the pool of bet from Miami will be divided accordingly to the percentage for those who bet in lakers and obviously it would be a small amount to make a profit. What if Lakers lose? Miami bets will get a huge amount of winnings.

This is why I consider a good bet is that both parties has 50/50 percent chance of winning. The betters will definitely will going to have hard time to chose between the team to bet.
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October 03, 2020, 10:18:43 AM
 #124

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

It only looks like that this is "safer". In reality, odds like 2.5-2.9 are often win, so another side with 1.1-1.2 will lose such games. It's not enough just to look odds and bet to some outcome. You need to know a sport which you're betting on. Because sometimes books calculate odds in a weird way, so strong team will get winning odd like 2.1 and more weak - 1.2 . In that case you will lose your money pretty sure.

Knowledge is the strongest weapon and the safer way to get money in betting. Not odds
Actually I have seen that Table Tennis is one game where the underdog actually wins more than the favorite player. I don't know if that happens only with me or that happens with everyone but betting on TT I have lost more than 80% bets on favorite and by favorites I mean like odds of 1.35 are never safe on table tennis. So yeah it depends what sports you bet on because in a sport like NBA you would hardly see a huge upset and likely to win more on the favorites.

Pick wisely and sports with single player like tennis table tennis are more dangerous to bet on low odds, because a single player might have a say off but it is unlikely a favorite team will suddenly have all their players having a bad day. I mean it is hard for a team to loose against a weaker opponent while much easier for a single player to loose a game.

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October 03, 2020, 10:43:56 AM
 #125

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

It only looks like that this is "safer". In reality, odds like 2.5-2.9 are often win, so another side with 1.1-1.2 will lose such games. It's not enough just to look odds and bet to some outcome. You need to know a sport which you're betting on. Because sometimes books calculate odds in a weird way, so strong team will get winning odd like 2.1 and more weak - 1.2 . In that case you will lose your money pretty sure.

Knowledge is the strongest weapon and the safer way to get money in betting. Not odds
Actually I have seen that Table Tennis is one game where the underdog actually wins more than the favorite player. I don't know if that happens only with me or that happens with everyone but betting on TT I have lost more than 80% bets on favorite and by favorites I mean like odds of 1.35 are never safe on table tennis. So yeah it depends what sports you bet on because in a sport like NBA you would hardly see a huge upset and likely to win more on the favorites.

Pick wisely and sports with single player like tennis table tennis are more dangerous to bet on low odds, because a single player might have a say off but it is unlikely a favorite team will suddenly have all their players having a bad day. I mean it is hard for a team to loose against a weaker opponent while much easier for a single player to loose a game.

Not only in tennis actually, all kinds of sports, 1.35 looks safe but it was never, you only have a higher chance of winning but winning is not guaranteed. I know you know that based on your experience, but for those who does not have an experience, they might find it attractive and might experiment on it.

The longer we play we get curious and will try different strategy but we will understand in the long run that risk is always present regardless what odds we pick.

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October 03, 2020, 10:50:53 AM
 #126

Greetings! When I started betting on various events, I kept putting money on the options that were offering high payout but, naturally, weren't that likely to come true. I kept losing, so I decided to go for a radical change: betting only when the winner is pretty obvious and the payout is low but more or less secured. I won a few bets in a row like that, but my question is whether you'd consider it a good strategy for sports betting. I'm talking about bets for which the odds are 1.15 or something like that. Here're some bets I won like this:


Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

There's a reason why all these bets have odds and that is because everything has a chance to go the other way. Not all games and matches have a sure outcome because all it take to create a game changing play is only one moment. You could either bet where majority of people are betting or take a risk.

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October 05, 2020, 06:20:36 PM
 #127

It is a good strategy but only for the short term. In gambling, no one can really say such thing as an obvious winning especially in sports betting.
Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?
As I have said, it is a good strategy but only for the short term but not considered safe since we cannot always guarantee your winning even if you bet on an obvious winner, there will always be a chance that your bet will lose. I'd rather not go with that strategy.

Odds were still odds as they're no really safe or guaranteed in gambling especially in betting. The safer is when we do know the event, the team or the players backgrounds. Odds can help in indicating the potential and can help us in determine in what event we should focus and do study on which to bet since we can still discover more about the game when we do research and identify some winning or losing points of both sides.
Of course and the odds are being offered on an event simply means that the chances of that happening and not happening still exist. I often see that gamblers believe they have a good read on the game but no mater how good a read you have on the game you can still be wrong because if the odds are there there is a good chance you can loose.

I was watching IPL games recently and there were so many unpredictable events happening all the match that I was happy that I did not bet as I might have lost all bets I made if I had bet on the match. So, no matter how good you read and analyze a match but there is a strong possibility you can loose, yes though sometimes you get better odds than it should be so maybe if you analyze good you can make better picks but might still lose.

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October 05, 2020, 06:27:56 PM
 #128

There's always a risk in regards to sports betting, actually not just sports betting but all type of betting including casino.
Betting with small amount only lessen the chance of you losing a big amount I think this is what you are referring as safe bets right? Just think of this.Your winning amount and your losing amount if you lose one time then it would take you 3-4 executive bets before you can recover it what if you lose within that 3-4 next bets?

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October 06, 2020, 03:18:14 AM
 #129

I think it is better if you do what you are doing right now, yes the returns are low but imagine the long term benefit of safe bet, you have more winnings and your losses are winnable by playing one or two bets then compare it if you are a long time high risk betting, though the reward for all the risk is high the chances that you lose are high also because it is the unfavorable bet, basically winning once will not do you justice when you are losing twice.

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October 06, 2020, 03:57:15 AM
 #130

I think it is better if you do what you are doing right now, yes the returns are low but imagine the long term benefit of safe bet, you have more winnings and your losses are winnable by playing one or two bets then compare it if you are a long time high risk betting, though the reward for all the risk is high the chances that you lose are high also because it is the unfavorable bet, basically winning once will not do you justice when you are losing twice.
Safer bets actually good if you will not do die hard betting like always likes to bet. Just imagine you bet to a certain sports where outcome is very predictable and you win but of course since the odds is lower then you will going to win small amount of it that would do already. However, in the long run as you continue to bet one loss might equivalent to all small winning you acquire from the previous bets so still no difference when you just want a safer bets vs. getting profit in it. No way in gambling that could earn profit just by doing a safe bet. This is not reliable means for earning from gambling.
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October 06, 2020, 08:04:02 AM
 #131

The longer we play we get curious and will try different strategy but we will understand in the long run that risk is always present regardless what odds we pick.

I guess serious bettors would learn from experience the longer they play. Bur the problem  would be how can they learn without taking big risk... Probably with small bets, free bets or by practicing for free on some sort of dedicated free betting platform(more like demo trading)
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October 06, 2020, 01:36:16 PM
 #132

Betting on an event with a lower odds is certainly less risky, but the profit from such a bet is much less.

In my opinion, constantly betting on events with a lower odds is quickly boring, because the pleasure of such a win is not as bright as the pleasure of a more risky bet.   

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October 06, 2020, 01:52:11 PM
 #133

If it were me, i wouldn't bet in a low amount my minimum is 0.0001 or if im confident i go for much higher. Micro bettings in my experience will be easily taken back, once you decide to go all in or get tempted by a potential win in a sports bet.
But be cautious, to limit your spendings, so you dont get burned in the end.

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October 06, 2020, 02:42:01 PM
 #134

Betting on an event with a lower odds is certainly less risky, but the profit from such a bet is much less.

In my opinion, constantly betting on events with a lower odds is quickly boring, because the pleasure of such a win is not as bright as the pleasure of a more risky bet.   

If you have luck, even if you have lower odds, you can still win big because the luck will help you get bigger money. But still, not many gamblers will have luck as we know that the luck will not come to the wrong gambler.

If you feel bored because of betting with lower odds, maybe you can try to make a random bet. By doing that, you don't have to feel bored because you can set it every time you want to bets. Or maybe you can try to stop gamble for a while after you play for some rounds, so you can take a breath and drink something to refresh your mind and body.

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October 07, 2020, 04:56:09 AM
 #135

Actually what a safe bet means depends on your definition of the word "safe". Because if you mean by safe bet that it should always win, then there is never ever a chance of that unless you have some fixed matches and know the outcome already. If safe bet means it has better higher chances of winning than the odds suggest then surely you are going in the right direction as I have often seen odds provider being poor especially on events like UFC where I have often seen that they give grapplers a lower chances while in reality grapplers win more fights than boxers and now days they pay more respect to grapplers because of the submission threat.

So, make sure what you mean by a safe bet because the term betting itself means there is always a chance to win or loose even if you blind pick a bet or you have deep knowledge it can still win or lose.

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October 07, 2020, 08:59:48 PM
 #136

^ On my own, no betting is safe. Especially with the beginners. Betting is considered betting because of the high risk of losing your bet in the first place. No guarantee, no security. If you want to have a more secured type of ^betting (not really) but sort of, then go technical by doing trading (at least it is based on skills, not by the luck). In that place, you will be able to make your fortune still. Not that risky compared to sportsbetting. Nevertheless, I do suggest betting sites that have a promotion here or running a business here is the best gambling sites you have chosen, the community will tag them as a scam if they have fishy activity.
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October 07, 2020, 09:39:27 PM
 #137

In betting, I do not the word 'safe bets' actually exist. This is because a safe bet's probability of winning should be nothing less than 1, which means it is certain to be a win. Any thing other than that makes it an unsafe bet so to say.
Betting on these pretty sure games with very low odds might be safe and profitable in the short term but devastating with just one loss incurred. With such low odds, even if you make a win five times in a row, just a loss the sixth time would make you lose even more than you've made in those five wins.

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October 07, 2020, 09:46:26 PM
 #138

Actually what a safe bet means depends on your definition of the word "safe". Because if you mean by safe bet that it should always win, then there is never ever a chance of that unless you have some fixed matches and know the outcome already. If safe bet means it has better higher chances of winning than the odds suggest then surely you are going in the right direction as I have often seen odds provider being poor especially on events like UFC where I have often seen that they give grapplers a lower chances while in reality grapplers win more fights than boxers and now days they pay more respect to grapplers because of the submission threat.

So, make sure what you mean by a safe bet because the term betting itself means there is always a chance to win or loose even if you blind pick a bet or you have deep knowledge it can still win or lose.

You are right because it hasn't been stated nor clarified about on the word "safe" yet it can be classified into two things which one do talks about guaranteed win and one will be indicating about higher chance of winning even though its not completely safe due to risk of losing but it can be considered out.

Safe bets or 100% win does really exist on fixed matches where we know that these informations cant really be attained or known by average bettors but on general theres no such thing
about thinking to be on the safe side once you do really involved with gambling.

People do still think that they can make theirselves rich into this industry but once reality slapped up their faces then they would really have that different input.

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October 07, 2020, 09:59:53 PM
 #139

Greetings! When I started betting on various events, I kept putting money on the options that were offering high payout but, naturally, weren't that likely to come true. I kept losing, so I decided to go for a radical change: betting only when the winner is pretty obvious and the payout is low but more or less secured. I won a few bets in a row like that, but my question is whether you'd consider it a good strategy for sports betting. I'm talking about bets for which the odds are 1.15 or something like that. Here're some bets I won like this:

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

This might be safe for short term but in the long run you will lose your money because there will be matches where the favorite team will lose and hence you will lose the money.
As as example, you keep betting 100$ on these safe bets and earn 5$-15$ per bet. Lets suppose you won consecutive 5 bets and won 25 dollars but lost the next match and lose your 100$.



this is a good rational for thinking gambling.
it has a lot of crossing with risk management thinking.

e.g:
you can only afford to loose 100% of a bet if it totals a max of 1-3% of your portifolio.

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October 07, 2020, 10:10:12 PM
 #140

Through my experience I've found out that small odds does not mean a safer event. Sometimes it is quite the opposite. You end up taking more risk for a measly reward. For example, on a $100 bet on a 1.15 odds event you would only get $15, but the real odd should have been around 1.50 (there are techniques out there to determine the fair odds). So you are actually betting on a high-risk event for a measly reward.
It depends into someone because there are people who wont consider on betting on 1.15 and just stick out on 1.5x onwards.It isnt really that worth to risk out for a
really very small amount of profit but since these odds been set out will surely most likely to win.Some say that it isnt worth but there are really people who do
dive into this kind of odds but i agree that it isnt really that worth from time to time.Winning 7 games of 1.15 odds would really be just sweep out with a single loss.
On my part im not really a fan into these numbers.I do set out 1.7 or higher and thats the time i do consider on betting on it.

Betting on small odds is sometimes really waste of effort and time. But there are gamblers who are sticking to lower odds if they believe that they have higher chance of winning. It really depends on the game they are playing. If they are confident that they can win betting on this very low odd and not only once but many times, maybe for them, it is worth their time. So this is actually depends on the player's preference in sports betting. Everyone has their own strategy to earn from this game. But yes, not all of them (betting on low odds) can be considered a safe bet.
We do all know that and you're right that there are still some gamblers whom do really love on sticking out on very low odds with much money that had been risk for such kind of low gains.
This is indeed profitable and you can hit up 2x on capital with several wins but you should know the fact that one loss will really wipe out everything will really be a useless run you had
since you gain nothing or the worst you are still on negative.We do have indeed our own ways because this might not work on others but for some it did really give out some profitability.
It all matters on how you do deal with the game and making smart bets according to your knowledge and capacity.You should not think about on the safe side because when we are
on this field then this safe where people everybody talking is really less.

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