Bitcoin betting on the 2020 US Presidential Election | Trump vs Biden

[bryant.coleman]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

[OrdinaryBloke26]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

From Kanye West's 12 qualified ballot states, the only state that could make any impact, in my opinion, is Iowa - that's the only battleground state where Biden is leading by 0.5%

[peter0425]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

From Kanye West's 12 qualified ballot states, the only state that could make any impact, in my opinion, is Iowa - that's the only battleground state where Biden is leading by 0.5%

Kanye West has nothing to do with this election,he wont even have any effect to the result .
the main candidate will battle on this event and i believe that according to news it is Biden whos leading on the race,added that trump had a Covid?or this is another media popularization because of His desperation to retain the presidential position?

[shoreno]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

From Kanye West's 12 qualified ballot states, the only state that could make any impact, in my opinion, is Iowa - that's the only battleground state where Biden is leading by 0.5%

Kanye West has nothing to do with this election,he wont even have any effect to the result .
the main candidate will battle on this event and i believe that according to news it is Biden whos leading on the race,added that trump had a Covid?or this is another media popularization because of His desperation to retain the presidential position?

wait , why kanye west is involved on here i thought this was a presidential election . kanye west is a singer . i didnt knew who is biden is but his name sounds like binladen , are they related ?

trump with a covid has nothing to do woth the result because trump is already popular and he can still make a campaign even if he has a covid and cant roam around outside but he is already a president before , is that possible to retain such position ? i thought this works by term  .

[fulham4life]

Really thinking of putting down some coins on Trump - 2.50 are amazing odds! Just need him to survive Covid.

[OrdinaryBloke26]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

From Kanye West's 12 qualified ballot states, the only state that could make any impact, in my opinion, is Iowa - that's the only battleground state where Biden is leading by 0.5%

Kanye West has nothing to do with this election,he wont even have any effect to the result .
the main candidate will battle on this event and i believe that according to news it is Biden whos leading on the race,added that trump had a Covid?or this is another media popularization because of His desperation to retain the presidential position?

That was my point.

[wheelz1200]

As soon as I saw the news and now that we get confirmation Trump has been in fact infected by the coronavirus I knew we were in the presence of something big, has there been any noticeable change in the odds given by casinos around the world about the chance of Trump winning the presidency?

After all there are probably two main reactions that people could have to this announcement, one is to be empathic to Trump and this could give him some votes of people that could have been otherwise undecided about their vote, the other possible reaction is that some will believe this to be nothing more but a political move and this could take votes away from him if this narrative takes place.

I am still not sure how Turmp having Corona is going affect the odds for November. So far it seems the odds are not really changed and the Democrats are still far in the lead. The odds in the last weeks were kind of stable, even after the debate. I really would like to profit more from the election this year. Do you guys have any recommendations how to bet right now? Go for Trump and maybe try to hedge with a bet on Biden if the odds change before the election? I am so unsure this year. The payout for Biden winning seems quite low at the moment.

I don't think that Trump diagnosed having Covid will have big impact on the odds.
Maybe if there will be stimulus checks and other financial aids before the election, that will change the scenario.
Or am I just reading too much comments from these Stimulus check updates videos?  

Since the news broke, Betfair and other bookies have actually closed their US Election markets. Biden’s odds have actually shortened considerably. It’s going to be an interesting month or so!

Absolutely going to be interesting.  Any bet on the elction at this point is a shot in the dark.  Literally anything can happen from here.  After the latest covid news and the debacle that was that pissing match of a debate, im more interested in seeing the vice's talk then those 2.

I’m reading a lot of chatter saying that Trumps positive COVID announcement is a publicity stunt after the “debate”. Thoughts on these claims or fake news?

There is no way that Trump "wants" covid-19 with only weeks to go in the campaign.  October is a critical month he doesn't want to have to be secluded from people and places.  With a coue more debates right in front of him he needs every minute to keep his head in the game.

[PonziSkeem]

Really thinking of putting down some coins on Trump - 2.50 are amazing odds! Just need him to survive Covid.

Line doesn't seem to have moved much over last couple days, looking at a couple of books. Even now that he's out of hospital 

Does anybody know if any book is carrying any prop markets on Harris v Spence debate this week? In Trump v Biden debate there were some funny props like what would Biden say first, what would Trump say first...

[cryptofiend01]

Really thinking of putting down some coins on Trump - 2.50 are amazing odds! Just need him to survive Covid.

Line doesn't seem to have moved much over last couple days, looking at a couple of books. Even now that he's out of hospital 

Does anybody know if any book is carrying any prop markets on Harris v Spence debate this week? In Trump v Biden debate there were some funny props like what would Biden say first, what would Trump say first...

@fulham4life This man has produced better content than SNL and Comedy Central in the last 4 years, I sure hope he stays alive and win. lol

@PonziSkeem Just stay put, maybe it will come live tomorrow.

[aesma]

So he's on the ballot in 12 states, and that's it. He can only help Trump or Biden win electors (depending on the state), there is no way he can win himself. If you try and vote for him in a state he isn't a candidate in, it's a spoiled ballot.

This is a controversial topic. But from what we have seen, there is very little evidence to prove that third party candidates will have an impact on the outcome of the elections. They get very few votes and most of these votes come from those who want to cast protest vote. The votes received by such candidates doesn't lower the vote count for the main candidates. And for the POTUS 2020 elections, none of the third party candidates have received any attention from the media.

From Kanye West's 12 qualified ballot states, the only state that could make any impact, in my opinion, is Iowa - that's the only battleground state where Biden is leading by 0.5%

Kanye West has nothing to do with this election,he wont even have any effect to the result .
the main candidate will battle on this event and i believe that according to news it is Biden whos leading on the race,added that trump had a Covid?or this is another media popularization because of His desperation to retain the presidential position?

Don't you know that Bill Clinton won the presidency thanks in part to third party candidate Ross Perot ? Maybe you shouldn't bet on things you don't understand.

If someone, let's say a black voter, can't stand Trump so would never vote for him, but is not really convinced by Biden, and instead votes for Kanye, then Biden just lost a vote because of Kanye. That's why the Kanye candidacy is propped up by Republicans.

[LGD2Business]

2.53 for Donald Trump is actually a pretty good odd but due to his latest health situation I wouldn't play for now.
I hope odds won't change too much if he beats corona virus soon.

[OrdinaryBloke26]

2.53 for Donald Trump is actually a pretty good odd but due to his latest health situation I wouldn't play for now.
I hope odds won't change too much if he beats corona virus soon.

Bitedge has 2.53 as the best value atm: https://bitedge.com/odds-comparisons/us-presidential-election/

[LGD2Business]

2.53 for Donald Trump is actually a pretty good odd but due to his latest health situation I wouldn't play for now.
I hope odds won't change too much if he beats corona virus soon.

Bitedge has 2.53 as the best value atm: https://bitedge.com/odds-comparisons/us-presidential-election/

I've never heard of Bitedge but I checked Cloudbet as OP says and saw the 2.53 odd from there.
I don't know why you promote other site in Cloudbet's thread though. It's not even a better odd, it's just the same.

[NotATether]

I can't believe some of you guys actually think Kanye West is going to make an impact. The guy can't run in 38 states and can't even get enough signatures to qualify as a candidate in the remaining states. So for all purposes, consider the official vote count for him 0.

Even the Green Party has a higher chance of winning the presidency than West

[Lucasgabd]

Maybe some people here are not aware but FTX also has presidential contracts where you can bet on the outcome of US elections.

I'm pretty uninformed about Biden and only know Trump because of media and all, where would you indicate for a non-north-american to learn more about biden's proposals? hiw own website first?

[ReiMomo]

According to the BBC news, this was the latest update yesterday.


This is an exciting bet. I would regret not participating in this. You know how Trump plays the game by being unpredictable and that makes
this bet really exciting and confusing. The odds for Biden is actually something to consider, for now, he got the highest odds and got a lot of votes based on the survey. But then, we will still be waiting for the analysis so we can see how would this bet work!

[Darker45]

2.53 for Donald Trump is actually a pretty good odd but due to his latest health situation I wouldn't play for now.
I hope odds won't change too much if he beats corona virus soon.

It seems the virus has taken hold including the future of the US presidency. With Trump infected, the outcome in the coming days might play a significant role in his campaign. Trump is now trying to leverage his partial recovery from the virus. But the macho and invulnerable image that he's created is still under threat. His team of doctors are very careful in releasing updates, even hiding certain health details citing medical confidentiality, probably under instruction that it could very well influence his reelection bid.

2.53 for Donald Trump looks like a must-grab odds if one is very positive that Trump will come out of his infection barely scathed. But if one is not very optimistic of Trump's infection, then one will expect that the current odds will still rise.

[OrdinaryBloke26]

2.53 for Donald Trump is actually a pretty good odd but due to his latest health situation I wouldn't play for now.
I hope odds won't change too much if he beats corona virus soon.

It seems the virus has taken hold including the future of the US presidency. With Trump infected, the outcome in the coming days might play a significant role in his campaign. Trump is now trying to leverage his partial recovery from the virus. But the macho and invulnerable image that he's created is still under threat. His team of doctors are very careful in releasing updates, even hiding certain health details citing medical confidentiality, probably under instruction that it could very well influence his reelection bid.

2.53 for Donald Trump looks like a must-grab odds if one is very positive that Trump will come out of his infection barely scathed. But if one is not very optimistic of Trump's infection, then one will expect that the current odds will still rise.

....Trump winner market is now 2.61

[jademaxsuy]

According to the BBC news, this was the latest update yesterday.


This is an exciting bet. I would regret not participating in this. You know how Trump plays the game by being unpredictable and that makes
this bet really exciting and confusing. The odds for Biden is actually something to consider, for now, he got the highest odds and got a lot of votes based on the survey. But then, we will still be waiting for the analysis so we can see how would this bet work!

Which survey is it?

I agree with you that this is an exciting bet if you will going to make this a way of having excitement during the election process. Anyway, the best thing to do here is to make a platform or betting thread for this one and we will going to see which really between the two running candidates has the higher odds.

My bet will goes to Trump. My opinion is very simple and that is because Trump is an Incumbent official and has higher connections that he can use with his current positions.

[cryptofiend01]

According to the BBC news, this was the latest update yesterday.
https://i.imgur.com/19DjPfX.png

This is an exciting bet. I would regret not participating in this. You know how Trump plays the game by being unpredictable and that makes
this bet really exciting and confusing. The odds for Biden is actually something to consider, for now, he got the highest odds and got a lot of votes based on the survey. But then, we will still be waiting for the analysis so we can see how would this bet work!

Which survey is it?

I agree with you that this is an exciting bet if you will going to make this a way of having excitement during the election process. Anyway, the best thing to do here is to make a platform or betting thread for this one and we will going to see which really between the two running candidates has the higher odds.

My bet will goes to Trump. My opinion is very simple and that is because Trump is an Incumbent official and has higher connections that he can use with his current positions.

I found the article @ReiMomo is referring to, it was published by BBC on Oct 4th - after Trump's cornonavirus diagnosis. link.