NBA preseason betting experiment on totals.

[Natalim]

Day 4 of the preseason.

Indiana at Cleveland over 216 win
Toronto at Charlotte over 217 wn
 New Orleans at Miami over 218.5 lose
Dallas at Milwaukee over 224 - win
Memphis at Minnesota over 222 - win
Phoenix at Utah over 222 - lose

For the last few days, my winning percentage of over is not good, but we are just heating up, we could still turn this into a positive one.

good luck!

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[harizen]

Are you actually putting up a bet on this experiment or a wild guess just to check your "what if"?

I'm not really into this betting for O/U during the pre-season. Even they are playing with no defense, sometimes (or should I say most of the time), the shooting percentage (FG %) is not that good resulting in low scoring than their usual.

Still have several days to bounce back so goodluck.

[chaser15]

LMAO, OP's prediction is just an experiment, it's like blindly betting on the overs in all games available in the preseason, and thus far, it looks like the experiment is going at his expectation as his winning rate is currently at 60% or 3 out of 5, but this is just the first day of the preseason, more games to come so it's hard to conclude for now.

But at least way better if there's a real bet. Not on all games of course as it's risky. The experiment with a blind bet is nothing because Pre-Season games are running only in a short timeframe. The next one will be next year and this experiment might not be good as a basis for the next pre-season games.

For now, the stats for OP is not good. Even everyone is not playing defense, not all are aggressive in making good points. Expected for every pre-season game.

OP still has a chance to make a good record as there's around a week for the remaining games.

[Botnake]

OP is having a good day so far, 4/6 games went to over, it's a bounce back for the last 2 games that under was winning. Continue this experiment, whether you bet on it or not, what's important is you share your stats as it could be useful for some bettors out there.

[Reid]

Day 4 of the preseason.

Indiana at Cleveland over 216 Won
Toronto at Charlotte over 217 Won
 New Orleans at Miami over 218.5 Lose
Dallas at Milwaukee over 224 Won
Memphis at Minnesota over 222 Won
Phoenix at Utah over 222 Lose

Quoted and edited.
You did well this day Natalim.  Bounced back from almost losing a lot of money.
I just watched one game out of all that and it's Mavs vs Bucks.
Both teams are on fire that is why the score soared to the roof.

I hope you can continue this streak. Good luck.

[Natalim]

I have a good day 4 of the preseason, thanks for editing it @Reid, and I'm okay with 2/3 tonight.

Day 5 of the preseason.

Boston at Philadelphia over 216.5 - lose
San Antonio at Houston over 223.5 - lose
Golden State at Sacramento over 225 - win

bad day 1/3 only.

[Natalim]

Day 6 of the preseason.

Cleveland at New York over 212.5 - lose
Chicago at Oklahoma City over 219,5 - win
Portland at Denver over 220.5 - win
L.A. Lakers at Phoenix over 220.5 - lose

Hopefully more overs today,  

[Russlenat]

Good luck on your pick. Would you mind putting a running percentage every time you update?

That would be awesome for us to see how's the experiment is going at a given date.

[Kelvinid]

Day 6 of the preseason.

Cleveland at New York over 212.5
Chicago at Oklahoma City over 219,5
Portland at Denver over 220.5
L.A. Lakers at Phoenix over 220.5

Hopefully more overs today,  

Too bad mate. I think the preseason never gives you luck. Almost all results are under which I think that players aren't so serious this time.

Anyway, that was only in 6 days result, I expecting more heat to come in the next days. They are actually making a warm-up here and no such a team strategy has been applied. It can be changed and probably make you favor then.

Well, goodluck mate.

[goinmerry]

Too bad mate. I think the preseason never gives you luck. Almost all results are under which I think that players aren't so serious this time.

It was already anticipated nor expected and it's the reason for conducting this test.

I think no money at stake here or only to few picks but OP just wants to see if betting on OVER will be effective during pre-season.

If the percentage is good, then anyone can refer to the result of this experiment in the following games or in the next year's pre-season games.

[Natalim]

Good luck on your pick. Would you mind putting a running percentage every time you update?

That would be awesome for us to see how's the experiment is going at a given date.

I got 2-2 today.

Thank you for your suggestion, I'm gonna make a running percentage in my next post.

Seems like overs are not really hitting most of the time, it's different compared to the last season when covid-19 wasn't still here, but still let's see by the end of the preseason.

[Russlenat]

Good luck on your pick. Would you mind putting a running percentage every time you update?

That would be awesome for us to see how's the experiment is going at a given date.

I got 2-2 today.

Thank you for your suggestion, I'm gonna make a running percentage in my next post.

Seems like overs are not really hitting most of the time, it's different compared to the last season when covid-19 wasn't still here, but still let's see by the end of the preseason.

Thank you too, looking forward to that, and hoping you'll end up this experiment at a positive note, under has been more consistent lately, I'm not sure betting on overs would bring a success here.

[Natalim]

Good luck on your pick. Would you mind putting a running percentage every time you update?

That would be awesome for us to see how's the experiment is going at a given date.

I got 2-2 today.

Thank you for your suggestion, I'm gonna make a running percentage in my next post.

Seems like overs are not really hitting most of the time, it's different compared to the last season when covid-19 wasn't still here, but still let's see by the end of the preseason.

Thank you too, looking forward to that, and hoping you'll end up this experiment at a positive note, under has been more consistent lately, I'm not sure betting on overs would bring a success here.

After Day 6, my win rate is 48% (15/31)

We will continue to Day 7

1-Charlotte at Orlando over 220.5 - win
2-Detroit at Washington over 214.5 - lose
3-San Antonio at Houston over 219.5 - win
4-Atlanta at Memphis over 224.5 - win
5-Minnesota at Dallas over 222.5 - win
6-Golden State at Sacramento over 226.5 - lose
7-Utah at L.A. Clippers over 218.5 - win

[coin.princess]

May I know how long does the preseason last and also may I know how much profit you've already made?
Was it positive or negative? Well is there a way we could use the result in preseason to the regular season and based the bets on this thread?
I really think we could do something about this experiment.

[Viscore]

May I know how long does the preseason last

The preseason will end in 2 days.

and also may I know how much profit you've already made?

OP has below 50% win rate, hence no profit, I'm assuming he is betting fairly in every game.

Was it positive or negative? Well is there a way we could use the result in preseason to the regular season and based the bets on this thread?
I really think we could do something about this experiment.

Negative , that's only 15 wins for 31 games.

[Natalim]

In day 7 I got  5 wins of 7 games, and that will bring my win percentage to 52.6% or (20/38)

Day 8 here we go.
 
1-Philadelphia at Indiana over 218.5 - win
2-Miami at Toronto over 218.5 - win
3-Cleveland at New York over 211 - lose
4-Milwaukee at New Orleans over 229 - win
5-Chicago at Oklahoma City over 221.5 - lose
6-Brooklyn at Boston over 224.5 - lose
7-Portland at Denver over 220.5 - win
8-L.A. Lakers at Phoenix over 220.5 - win

Will edit once the line is out.

[safari88]

In day 7 I got  5 wins of 7 games, and that will bring my win percentage to 52.6% or (20/38)

that's a great prediction 5 out of 7 well i'll would like to join you on your next prediction i hope i could take profit on it. i'll be placing 1mBTC for each game so it's 8mBTC in total.

[fiulpro]

1-  Orlando at Atlanta - over 224
2- New York at Detroit -  over 217
3- Houston at Chicago -  over 221
4- L.A. Clippers at L.A. Lakers - over 221
5- Sacramento at Portland - over 225

3 out of 5, no bad at all.

We have 7 games tomorrow and looks like most of them will hit the 220 points average.

Good if you have a spreadsheet showing your loss or profit mate so that followers of this thread could appreciate more on what you are doing.

Great prediction! if things go well I think you can create your own prediction thread and I'll follow your tips in NBA totals. It's nice that the NBA now starts the preseason may I ask when is the start of the NBA season?

Hello it's not a prediction it's risk taking ,which does mean he doesn't really have a proof of well why he choose it ... So therefore I believe OP did slightly evade the loss and it could have gone down both ways.

In day 7 I got  5 wins of 7 games, and that will bring my win percentage to 52.6% or (20/38)

Day 8 here we go.

1-Philadelphia at Indiana
2-Miami at Toronto
3-Cleveland at New York
4-Milwaukee at New Orleans
5-Chicago at Oklahoma City
6-Brooklyn at Boston
7-Portland at Denver
8-L.A. Lakers at Phoenix

Will edit once the line is out.

Hopefully it would be good but I do think you should rely on more stable things instead of just going for luck though.
 

May I know how long does the preseason last and also may I know how much profit you've already made?
Was it positive or negative? Well is there a way we could use the result in preseason to the regular season and based the bets on this thread?
I really think we could do something about this experiment.

He already have given the profit and loss percentage if you want to see. Which is around 52.8, 20 out of 38 games.

Good luck on your pick. Would you mind putting a running percentage every time you update?

That would be awesome for us to see how's the experiment is going at a given date.

I got 2-2 today.

Thank you for your suggestion, I'm gonna make a running percentage in my next post.

Seems like overs are not really hitting most of the time, it's different compared to the last season when covid-19 wasn't still here, but still let's see by the end of the preseason.

You are consistent that's a given but I do believe you should change your strategy according to the situation here . But at the same time you did give people a good experiment to count on which might be used by many in the course of time. But then again it's a 50/50 chance that at any particular time you will win. Best of luck 👍

[Natalim]

Hello it's not a prediction it's risk taking ,which does mean he doesn't really have a proof of well why he choose it ... So therefore I believe OP did slightly evade the loss and it could have gone down both ways.

It's an experiment to be exact, betting all overs in the game, no exemption, and happy to see we are in the winning side as of now.

By the way, day 8 totals pick are already updated, good luck! hopefully another profitable day.

[danherbias07]

All "Over"?
Wow. I envy your courage for doing it. There would be no analysis or whatsoever so it is at high risk of losing.
Even though it's preseason games where players will not play that hard, there's a high chance it will end at a low scoring game.
How is it? Today is the last day right? I am kinda intrigued about the total profit or loss.