I've been betting on NFL games on and off for about 10 years, don't have a great track record to share with anybody, but two years ago
I called all 7 post-season games, including the Super Bowl.
Last year I didn't do too hot, but this year I've been doing pretty well, for at least the last couple of weeks. I started off the season cold and had 3 bad picks in a row. I took the middle of the season off, and have come back to 5 wins in a row. I like to think I do a little bit better late in the season but who really knows. This is not financial advice, lol.
Here's the call before the start of each game:
1.
Gonna take Miami at -10.5 this week for 1.98x, which I think is a good deal. I tend to do a little bit better toward the end of the season because teams that are really fighting for wins to get into the playoffs have more of an incentive to get extra points than those who have no chance. Additionally, if they tend to cover in the past, that trend should continue into the playoffs, is my rationale...
I also like Washington Football Team to finally hand Pittsburgh a loss.
2-3.
I put a bet in on Washington to win the ML, and a bigger bet to cover @ +6.5 (in retrospect I should have gone with +7). So if they just cover then I'll still be up a little, we'll see.
4.
I'm taking the Rams at -5 instead of -4.5 so that was the payout will be closer to 2x... Line seems to have shifted just a tiny bit closer to -5.
5.
I narrowed my list of 4 games down to one game that looks a lot better than the rest, and that is:
Tennessee @ -7
Also, not saying these count for anything necessarily but 3 of these 4 games have already won, with the 4th being played tomorrow:
Immediately I like the following for Sunday, but I'm gonna think a bit deeper about it before placing a bet.
Cleveland +2.5 (plays tomorrow)
Washington +3
Miami +7
Tennessee -7
The thing is I don't really have a "Pick of the Week" yet, but I would be most inclined to take a look at the Ravens/Browns game tomorrow and see if there's any good reasons not to take Cleveland at +2.5. For now I'm just setting up this thread for my first pick, which will likely be a Sunday game.
So yeah, since I won 5 games in a row I'm now an expert in everything forever,* and so I opened my own thread about it.
* This is sarcasm and who knows, I'm equally as likely to be a reverse indicator for betting as I am to be good at it, as a disclaimer. I really just wanted to open a thread to harbor my own picks. Feel free to comment and/or add your own NFL picks, for the remaining games, playoffs, super bowl, etc. No spammers or dufuses.