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Author Topic: Football betting (betting at the start of the season or later?)  (Read 181 times)
just_Alice
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February 05, 2021, 10:35:31 PM
 #21

As for me, it's better to bet somewhere in the middle of the season (even closer to the end) because at the beginning, naturally, it's hard to tell how a certain team will perform, there's not much to go on with. Sometimes a team can win many matches in a row, beat all of the opposing teams, but after a few months the situation can be quite different, other teams start to "wake up" as the end is getting closer and often perform better, than at the beginning. So if you rely on your own judgment - mid-season is the best solution.
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February 07, 2021, 12:42:57 AM
 #22

I have been gambling for awhile now, I noticed gambling at the start of a season is more risky than gambling when the strong teams are surfacing. At the beginning of leagues like premier league, bundesliga, Seria A, ligue 1 and other strong leagues like that, I noticed weak teams are strong but on getting to the middle, the strong teams at the first five leads are more predictable about the matches they can win, though they can still lose but the chances of strong team losing is at the start of the season. So, I am prefering now to bet more during the middle to ending of a season rather than the start. How about you, which one do you prefer?

It doesn't matter.

The uncertainties and trends that you talk about are all mostly priced into the odds that you get, so that at the end of the day you are essentially getting around the same value on each of your bets.

This is unless you have some sort of model/insight that allows you to consistently beat the betting market at a particular phase of the season. But I highly doubt this is the case - so really, just bet whenever you want during the season. The expected outcome will be the same.
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February 07, 2021, 01:11:38 AM
 #23

I have been gambling for awhile now, I noticed gambling at the start of a season is more risky than gambling when the strong teams are surfacing. At the beginning of leagues like premier league, bundesliga, Seria A, ligue 1 and other strong leagues like that, I noticed weak teams are strong but on getting to the middle, the strong teams at the first five leads are more predictable about the matches they can win, though they can still lose but the chances of strong team losing is at the start of the season. So, I am prefering now to bet more during the middle to ending of a season rather than the start. How about you, which one do you prefer?
Accord to what I've searched across the internet, I got 5 tips of Pro for the beginner gamblers. First know the rules, you're likely to bother the dealer and other players unless you're playing at a really low-stakes table designed to get you started. If you attempt, even unintentionally, to break the rules, they might ask you to stop playing. This could be a little embarrassing. Second know the odds and pick your game, Each game is played for the benefit of the house. Without learning sharp card counting skills or spotting a roulette wheel that has become a little weighted towards those numbers over time, there is no real way around this. Third don't play Keno, this is because the odds are completely stacked in favor of the casino, and 1 in 3.5 quintillions is your chance of landing all 20 numbers. That's one out of three,535,316,142,212,174,320. Fourth set a limit before you start, gambling is enjoyable, but the danger is still there, and it's not the be-all and the end-all of all. Always have that in mind. Before you go in, know how much you're going to spend, and preferably, just bring cash. A smart tactic to force yourself to stick to your budget is to take a certain amount of cash with you while realizing that you need the last $10 or so to get a cab back later. And last know when to walk away, when a losing streak hits you, it's easy to get upset. Your careful budgeting goes out the window, and after successful attempts to recover your losses, you hurl more bad money. Just breathe. Sit out the next few hands, throws, or spins. Take a moment out of the game. Better still, take a break altogether. Go get a beer, or for a moment, go outside. Or even call it an evening and head back home. Too many gamblers lose their composure when they get emotional about the game and end up losing way too much.
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February 07, 2021, 06:04:54 PM
 #24

It is upto the user. Spending at the beginning matches of the league will give way for easy selection of odds. This isn't possible at the end or middle of the league. At the beginning there'll be matches between the best and mid level teams. Here the highest odds can be easily chosen and won. With the end matches the odds will be having very minimal difference. During those matches my preference is live betting.
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February 08, 2021, 08:18:43 PM
Last edit: February 08, 2021, 11:13:18 PM by seleme
 #25

I rather prefer to bet on favorite teams no matter it is the start or end of the season, the timing is not as important as you care, IMHO. If the Barcelona can't score a goal in 5 matches when it is new season on La Liga, I am going to bet a high amount on the total goals of the Barcelona team.  The seasonal factors can be effective if you bet only on one team starting from the first and until the last match but it doesn't make sense for me Smiley

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February 08, 2021, 08:24:31 PM
 #26

I try to bet throughout the season. In the top leagues everything is relatively clear. The only exception is the English Premier League, because here almost any team can both win and lose a match. In general, it does not matter when to bet, the main thing is not to bet on those teams that play in the Champions League or Europa League in the same week.

There's always exemptions, gamblers who have good knowledge in regards to any game that they'll going to bet are aware that they needed to assess each games that they are planning placing their bets.

Not sure but in some ways OP's arguments are related, there are events that in the beginning strong team are just relaxing and possible of suffering being beated by weaker opponents, while during the mid season where winnings are very important, strong team are really competing and aiming to win the game, just need to make more studies about the team that you are supporting with to avoid making mistakes placing your bets.

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February 09, 2021, 07:22:36 PM
 #27

In the past I considered this but in fact the theory didn't really work for me personally, so I made that conclusion just about the luck factor. Therefore, I will always gamble when I have the time and money to spend because for me, soccer betting is the same to be done at the beginning, in the middle, or even at the end of the season because winning and losing is all about luck and bad luck. If you assume the mid-season bet is good for you, then I can only congratulate you because the theory really doesn't work for me.
I'm really bad when it comes in sport betting myself as well, but I think that the theory makes sense, maybe someone that has the ability and the knowledge about a particular sport could make it work, the problem is that there are seasons that are just too short and by the time enough games have been played so you can try to get a competitive advantage over the casino you only have a few games left, so for those kind of sports that kind of strategy is not going to be very effective.
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