Bull run: will it end in May?

[AakZaki]

~snip~
so anything below $500k is not going to be the end of this bull run. and that level can not be reached as soona as May, it needs at least this whole year and maybe even last until next year. i wouldn't be surprised to see the next final ATH in February 2022.

If that really happened and the current bullish market conditions persist throughout 2021, it would be very pleasant. Many ATH altcoins will be reached especially Bitcoin ATH. The market cycle will probably be different from previous years and of course the current cycle becomes the most stressful cycle and becomes the new ATH cycle is formed. All have hope for a better market.

[cryptoaddictchie]

So OP is basing on historical information? Some events might affect it such as halving or time constraint for some investors schedule but also we should consider the upcoming potential global crisis that is not anticipated. For example the covid19 which suddenly crash the market really affect the marketcap. Who knows what other news might lead to another disaster like this.

[crwth]

As to events happening and repeating, it could have that same timeline, but there are so many variables to consider before arriving at that conclusion. It's still best to do it continuously and maybe cash out/sell some of your stacks incrementally because you will never know what could happen next.

For this reason, I believe that the correct approach is to be patient and check the charts. Maybe you will see a sign in which it will turn the tides.

We are still in that hype moment, and maybe in a few weeks, there could be another noise that could impact the prices with all the coins.

[maydna]

The first two runs ended exactly one year after the mining reward halving.
E.g. December 2016 => Dec. 2017

IMO it will be the same this time, May 2020 => May 2021

So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

You can sell bitcoin anytime you want, without considering to sell in May or not because only you that will know when the right time to sell bitcoin. If you think that the bull run will end in May, you can sell it before May, so you can take profit before the bull run ends. I can only suggest that you sell your bitcoin whenever the price reaches a high price because that will give you the biggest profit, no matter if that will happen in this month, next month or May 2021. We don't know when the bull run and the bear run happen, and we can only prepare for that and always monitor the market, so we can know when we should sell.

[MIner1448]

The first two runs ended exactly one year after the mining reward halving.
E.g. December 2016 => Dec. 2017

IMO it will be the same this time, May 2020 => May 2021

So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

The question is, of course, difficult ... After all, based on your analytics, I don't really want to believe in this, I think that the maximum growth of bitcoin will be by the winter of 2021, and it can also be affected by a pandemic in the world, everything can change at any time.

[carlisle1]

The first two runs ended exactly one year after the mining reward halving.
E.g. December 2016 => Dec. 2017

IMO it will be the same this time, May 2020 => May 2021

So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

Would you Please stop comparing or connecting the what happens this halving to the past halving ?

Look the Market back then seems to be manipulated and big whales are dictating the price of The Bull run, they Push Bitcoin first then Dump to push altcoin and this same scenario over the years.

But look at the market now , do this looks like still manipulated ? or this is really the right way how the market goes? supply and demand by the rules and not because some Individuals that has tons of funds do the action.

[tvplus006]

...So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

Now the market is very different from what it was in 2017. A large capital came to the market, which finally believed in bitcoin. It is the presence of institutional investors that will eventually make the cryptocurrency market look like a securities market. And as a result, we will not see such deep corrections as it was previously.

[cheezcarls]

The answer is....we don’t know. Nobody knows even if you are very good in charts, candlesticks, etc. No trader is perfect, especially in predicting prices because we cannot control the market. But for me, I think we may have a slight pullback in April tax deadline. However, I might be wrong because of the market’s maturity and the continued interests of well-established firms like Tesla, Mastercard, etc., and financial institutions.

[MWesterweele]

The answer is....we don’t know. Nobody knows even if you are very good in charts, candlesticks, etc. No trader is perfect, especially in predicting prices because we cannot control the market. But for me, I think we may have a slight pullback in April tax deadline. However, I might be wrong because of the market’s maturity and the continued interests of well-established firms like Tesla, Mastercard, etc., and financial institutions.

Indeed, we couldn't precisely predict when this bull run will going to end. How i really wish what will going to  happen was only a little price correction and i hope it wouldn't go down as dumped as it was happen after the ATH of 2017. But i guess this bull run will still running as long as investors are more likely attracted to bitcoin which we already have now Elon Musk that was expectedly attracting more people and now make cryptocurrency hype especially bitcoin.

[noormcs5]

The first two runs ended exactly one year after the mining reward halving.
E.g. December 2016 => Dec. 2017

IMO it will be the same this time, May 2020 => May 2021

So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

This is not the right approach to estimate the end of bull market and sell on whatever the price is in May. No one knows exactly how when this bull market will end. Currently the bitcoin price is only 2x from its all time high and therefore as per the previous history we are no where near the peak of this bull run.
Bull market may end few months before or after december 2021 but only time will tell.

[habo8]

market cannot move up always so we can see any correction at any time and market can be bleed any moment but if hype keeps and good news keep coming so bull run can stay for several weeks also.

[habo8]

...So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

Now the market is very different from what it was in 2017. A large capital came to the market, which finally believed in bitcoin. It is the presence of institutional investors that will eventually make the cryptocurrency market look like a securities market. And as a result, we will not see such deep corrections as it was previously.

Exactly but we have also to keep an eye on news such as crypto ban draft bill news because such news can dump market at any moment.

[Renampun]

market cannot move up always so we can see any correction at any time and market can be bleed any moment but if hype keeps and good news keep coming so bull run can stay for several weeks also.

market correction when there is a desire to sell or there are regulatory issues from the government...
can not be sure whether there will be a correction in May, all we are doing is comparing this year with last year's. now that many large companies have bought Bitcoin, it is very unlikely they will immediately sell their Bitcoin in a short time.

[ethereumhunter]

The answer is....we don’t know. Nobody knows even if you are very good in charts, candlesticks, etc. No trader is perfect, especially in predicting prices because we cannot control the market. But for me, I think we may have a slight pullback in April tax deadline. However, I might be wrong because of the market’s maturity and the continued interests of well-established firms like Tesla, Mastercard, etc., and financial institutions.

I hope the bull run will not end in May because with many companies start to invest in bitcoin, it can delay the bear trend to comes and it can give more time to the bull trend to stay at the market. But yes, we do not know when it will end, but before that is happening, we need to make as much profit as possible, so when the bear trend comes, we already make a big profit. If we can make a big profit, we can buy back the potential coins at a low price because when the bear trend comes, the price will be at a lower price.

[Oceat]

Well, I can't deny that I was like OP when thinking about how the market works since there are times when history repeats itself but after learning some technical analysis. I can say that it's not really a planned or a coincidence that the market before is moving like there's a pattern it's all about the factors that would change the outcome of every market.

While looking at the current volume of Bitcoin and comparing it from the past bull run there is no sign yet of a bearish market. Once you know how to look at those volumes that is a good way to know if bear market is coming.

[fullhdpixel]

Would you Please stop comparing or connecting the what happens this halving to the past halving ?

Look the Market back then seems to be manipulated and big whales are dictating the price of The Bull run, they Push Bitcoin first then Dump to push altcoin and this same scenario over the years.

But look at the market now , do this looks like still manipulated ? or this is really the right way how the market goes? supply and demand by the rules and not because some Individuals that has tons of funds do the action.

Unfortunately there are way too many people who look at the past and try to make a decision for the future, I do not know why they are doing that and what could be the reason for it, but there are a lot of people who do it and that is the problem. Obviously speaking we are in a situation where people are not going to make too much profit from something this easy, if you just look at the past and predict the future and almost always right (or at least more right then wrong) all you have to do is keep buying by comparing today with yesterday and you are going to keep making a profit and nobody would lose money.

However since that is not possible at all, we know that past is not indicative of the future, so by looking at the past you can't decide on the future however people do not really understand it and they make posts like this to see what others think.

[JooBra]

It's not wise to compare this bull run with past bulls runs. This time there are different types of things happening. My personal opinion is that we just started with big companies investing in crypto world. With that we can only imagine the new highs which we will achive this time. Bull run will last much longer this time.

[senyorito123]

The first two runs ended exactly one year after the mining reward halving.
E.g. December 2016 => Dec. 2017

IMO it will be the same this time, May 2020 => May 2021

So we shall assume the price the BTC will have in May will be the maximum for this cycle?
Should we sell in May?

If you need money then selling in May is good but if not, then wait for another months because bitcoin is having the possiblity to reach until $100k this year. Don't miss that bigger chances, and if you ignore that potentiality I guess regrets will affect your whole being. Always remember, we can't easily get over when it talks about finances.

[Jaycee99]

There are chances it might who knows plus you made it your own conclusion I would just say maybe it can maybe it will not countless possibilities.

I don't know if you believe this but when a big company buys something there could be a chance others will follow before studying if it is okay that they would also see the potential.

As when it happens big companies invest and invest bitcoin will get a year and more bull run.


If bitcoin drops before or exactly in May the price value for bitcoin will decrease because people keep selling them by the time.

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I don't know how to say this but in particular, I am kind of having a 50 50 thought for me that the prediction would be really come true because it is a prediction after all no backup source saying that this would come true or it will become a reality. Maybe it could now as people and companies slowly studying how bitcoin could be a good investment for them.

_______________________________________________________________________________ ____

Would you Please stop comparing or connecting the what happens this halving to the past halving ?

Look the Market back then seems to be manipulated and big whales are dictating the price of The Bull run, they Push Bitcoin first then Dump to push altcoin and this same scenario over the years.

But look at the market now , do this looks like still manipulated ? or this is really the right way how the market goes? supply and demand by the rules and not because some Individuals that has tons of funds do the action.

Unfortunately there are way too many people who look at the past and try to make a decision for the future, I do not know why they are doing that and what could be the reason for it, but there are a lot of people who do it and that is the problem. Obviously speaking we are in a situation where people are not going to make too much profit from something this easy, if you just look at the past and predict the future and almost always right (or at least more right then wrong) all you have to do is keep buying by comparing today with yesterday and you are going to keep making a profit and nobody would lose money.

However since that is not possible at all, we know that past is not indicative of the future, so by looking at the past you can't decide on the future however people do not really understand it and they make posts like this to see what others think.

Well, it's not their fault fullhdpixel they just want to be safe, it is their way of making an assurance buying a currency. For sometimes you need to know the past but sadly you also need to learn about the present to make a 100% good decision, which you made a good point out of it.

To sum up what you said,...

I just want to add the past is in the past sometimes you need to focus on the present.

[stomachgrowls]

It's not wise to compare this bull run with past bulls runs. This time there are different types of things happening. My personal opinion is that we just started with big companies investing in crypto world. With that we can only imagine the new highs which we will achive this time. Bull run will last much longer this time.

It cant be avoided for people not to look into the past when they are tending to make some analysis for the future but as said that it would really be different this time around if we do compare when it comes to adoption and acceptance after all the years that had passed.

Its up to you on how you do deal with the market and make money. Selling decisions will vary on each person thats why it will really depend.

There's indefinite time on when it would last and thats why its up to you on how you do make most of it. Dont wait for a certain month, as long you do see gains then sell out immediately.