NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[rdbase]

Another Thursday night football as there aren't very many of them left so put in your picks for your chance to win a freebet.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5376942

Chargers and the Chiefs ought to be a slugfest so I would expect Mahomes to turn up the juice on those passes to punch them into the endzone.

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[ralle14]

The over hits but Rams defense was too much for Murray as he threw 2 interceptions which gave enough breathing room for the Rams to blow the game wide open and secure the win.

For later i'm liking the Chiefs, both teams could score a lot so another over seems likely but i'm leaning more towards the Chiefs since their defense looks pretty good recently as they hold teams below 15 points.

[wheelz1200]

Another Thursday night football as there aren't very many of them left so put in your picks for your chance to win a freebet.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5376942

Chargers and the Chiefs ought to be a slugfest so I would expect Mahomes to turn up the juice on those passes to punch them into the endzone.

Chiefs have been hanging 30+ on people and on paper this seems like an easy over pick which is causing me concern.  I'm actually leaning on the under side of this one.  Go against the grain, most of the money is on the over.

[rdbase]

That TNF matchup was amazing to watch no matter which team you went for.
It came down to the wire and was settled in OT.
Mahomes had 410 yards passing so you know how it went but Kelce was the star of the night with the two touchdowns in the final few minutes and in extra time to seal the win for the Chiefs.
It was high scoring of course so everybodys overs won that night.

[ralle14]

Trying out this +200 parlay (Cards ML, Packers ML, Bills ML and Jags -5.5)  since I don't like the spreads on most matches except for the Jags. The Texans are missing a lot of players and I expect the Jaguars to come out on top here and win by at least a touchdown or two. Same goes for the Bills and Cardinals, both of them just lost their previous match and I think they'll turn it up here knowing there's only a few weeks left to lock in those playoffs spot. Ravens are also missing a lot of players and the Packers should get the win with ease.

[rdbase]

I don't know about you but if someone told you Lions would beat the Cardinals and Buccs to get absolutely shutdown by the Saints in the same day,
Would you believe them?
I certainly wouldn't. Yet both these scenarios just happened for Sunday night football.
These are the matches where they are clinching playoff berths yet this happens.
Shocking results as Detroit had only won this game and the other last weekend and New Orleans without their starting quarterback.

[ralle14]

I don't know about you but if someone told you Lions would beat the Cardinals and Buccs to get absolutely shutdown by the Saints in the same day,
Would you believe them?
I certainly wouldn't. Yet both these scenarios just happened for Sunday night football.
These are the matches where they are clinching playoff berths yet this happens.
Shocking results as Detroit had only won this game and the other last weekend and New Orleans without their starting quarterback.

Yeah, the number of underdogs winning this week is unbelievable, Packers nearly lost against a short-handed Ravens team, Texans trashing the Jags like they don't have any injured players.

I might have to tread lightly for the following weeks after this brutal beatdown from the underdogs.


Skipped the Browns game as I really like the Chicago Bears to cover +7.5 @1.85 since the Vikings are in a tight spot and I still can't believe they're the ones who gave the Lions their first win. Hopefully, the trend on the road continues as they've been winning by a single possession and I think the Bears have a decent shot at winning as the Vikings are 2-5 on the road.

How about you guys do you have any insight or bets on this division matchup?

Edit : Another close loss, Bears got the touchdown in the final possession but they don't have enough time for the extra point.  

[wheelz1200]

Skipped the Browns game as I really like the Chicago Bears to cover +7.5 @1.85 since the Vikings are in a tight spot and I still can't believe they're the ones who gave the Lions their first win. Hopefully, the trend on the road continues as they've been winning by a single possession and I think the Bears have a decent shot at winning as the Vikings are 2-5 on the road.

How about you guys do you have any insight or bets on this division matchup?

This is gonna be a tough fight for the Bears to pull this out.  Even though they are home they can't score.  And fields might be good someday but right now he needs a lot to go right for them to just stay competitive.  If he had Allen Robinson to throw too it would be better but he has Mooney and that's pretty much it.  Viks and tee up on them without fear of getting burned.  It's 10-0 now but this one might get ugly.

[bbc.reporter]

@wheelz1200. The game is presently 10-3, however, I agree. The Bears is only 4-9 against the spread. The Minnesota Vikings might only be 2-5 on the road but they are 7-6 against the spread. If the Bears had a better record against the spread, +7.5 might be a good bet with only 1.85 odds. Similar to Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields was also a disappointment.

[rdbase]

Some teams are playing tonight so they get them done before the holiday break:
Washington vs Philadelphia & Seattle vs L.A Rams

This should clear up the tables to see who gets their place a top the NFC and AFC tables.

Don't forget to put in your picks towards the Thursday night football challenge for your chance to win a freebet:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5378065

[ralle14]

I honestly want to avoid the match winner market and go for some prop pick but unfortunately sportsbet isn't offering interceptions so I had to go with the betbuilder route.

Tannehill's int stats at home is interesting, it's the same as their home record which is 5-2 and 4-3 on the road. With those numbers I think he's likely to throw another int and 49ers will probably squeak out a close win since they can't afford to drop another match as they'll be facing the Rams and Texans in the last two matches and it'll be tough to pull a win against the Rams.

[rdbase]

^^
It was the exact opposite of the above said: Jimmy G had the 2 interceptions (from what I remember while watching til I had to leave) and then those Titans brought on the pain in the second half after getting shutout in the first.
Quite the upset until that first interception happened for the 49ers.

Anyways, on to the holiday break and on the Colts to win on Christmas day.
Thinking another upset will happen against the Cardinals at home in Arizona.

[ralle14]

Anyways, on to the holiday break and on the Colts to win on Christmas day.
Thinking another upset will happen against the Cardinals at home in Arizona.

I agree with this one as well, I feel like the Cardinals regression will continue and Colts get the win but I kind of like the team total more as the Colts have been scoring a lot and the Cardinals gave up a lot of points in their recent losses. With that said, i'm going for Colts team total over 23.5 @1.9, if the Lions were able to score 30 then it should be doable for the Colts. 

Also, many thanks to Sportsbet for giving out some sweet free bets this Christmas. 

[rdbase]

The Colts made it look easy with their win against the a lowly Cardinals team which just can not win a game at their home stadium.
I think that is 4 games in a row there without a W.

I am on the Chiefs for today as the EPL took all my watching time before the earlier matches started.
Mahomes with an over 305+ yard passing performance is in the cards for this match as they just seem to keep scoring in their last three matches.
So expect no different boxing day.

[ralle14]

Tough loss on the team total as the Colts missed a field goal, moving on I got the Raiders @1.94 for now just because the coin said so.

I also missed the early games as I was waiting for my football ticket to get settled, anyways i'm eyeing the Cowboys -6.5 for the SNF game as they're able to beat Washington by 7 on the road.

It looks like Mahomes will easily cover that 300+ passing yards as it's only the 2nd quarter and he's already at 190 passing yards.

[rdbase]

^^
Good call on selecting the Raiders for that nearly double odds to go green!
That was a great decision on picking the Cowboys on the -6.5 line because they are 21-0 and it is just the 1st quarter. Also with the Washington QB throwing an interception for his first attempt in the game didn't look good at all.
And Lawrence just got a pick 6 to drive it into the end zone after running for 40 yards.
Dak Prescott is already at 128 yards in passing and I think my props bet I placed for him to get over 282.5 the entire game @1.82x will hit quite easily.

[ralle14]

^^
Good call on selecting the Raiders for that nearly double odds to go green!
That was a great decision on picking the Cowboys on the -6.5 line because they are 21-0 and it is just the 1st quarter. Also with the Washington QB throwing an interception for his first attempt in the game didn't look good at all.

It was frustrating to see the Raiders score the first touchdown then go down 7-13 due to turnovers but good thing the Broncos struggled to convert anything in the second half.

I'm surprised with the way Cowboys dominate that division match and hopefully, their momentum carries on next week as they face the Cardinals.

As for the MNF i'm rolling with the Dolphins -2.5 @1.70, I must say the Saints defense is a bit worrying based on their last two wins but at the same time it's hard to go against a Dolphins team that's on a 6 win streak.

[bbc.reporter]

The Colts made it look easy with their win against the a lowly Cardinals team which just can not win a game at their home stadium.
I think that is 4 games in a row there without a W.

I am on the Chiefs for today as the EPL took all my watching time before the earlier matches started.
Mahomes with an over 305+ yard passing performance is in the cards for this match as they just seem to keep scoring in their last three matches.
So expect no different boxing day.

It is very arguable to call the Cardinals lowly. They have clinched their place to play in the post season already. They have also lead their division for much of this season. However, yes they have been having some problems in their last 3 games. It can be argued that those losses versus the Rams and the Colts are okay. But they should never lose against the Lions hehe.

In any case, the Cardinals has a chance to win the division if they win the last 2 games and the Rams lose 1 game of 2.

[rdbase]

Come on, the Cardinals have been really bad in the last 5 games.
I think I have bet on all of them and had them to win just to be disappointed in their performance.
Missed passes, missed field goals and missed extra points not to mention the penalties galore.

The Cowboys last game on the other hand was the match of the 2021 season so far. Which they face Arizona in their next match.
With them scoring 59 points and Dak Prescott broke records that night.
I thought the Chiefs game was one to watch and the best of the week. But that game was one to remember.
Week 18 is the finale of the season so get your bets in for the final round before the playoffs.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. I was not arguing about their results on the last 5 games, you are correct on that. I was only arguing that the Cardinals are not a lowly team. They are only going through a rough period in the regular season similar other good teams. However, I speculate this might change during the post season if they are lucky not to be vs. Brady and the Buccaneers in the wild card round hehehe.